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heso

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Everything posted by heso

  1. heso

    A&M at ND

    “A slight hold” holy fuck he dragged him down from behind after he got beat.
  2. When Indiana and Illinois can become playoff contenders, no one is permanently dead. All it takes is the right coach and money to buy a team.
  3. Wisconsin looks like they get off the field on a 3rd and long but get called for a pretty weak roughing the passer, bama scores on a 40 yard pass on the next play. 14-0
  4. Some charts based on the red zone scoring numbers I posted. Trigger warning: Texas is going to be the worst in a lot of these metrics. This first one is essentially the premise for going for it instead of taking the FG in the red zone, and completely unsurprising. Points per red zone attempt by red zone td %. The more often you score a td when you’re in the red zone the more points you score. Shocking, right? Texas is really bad at this. 54th in FBS at scoring TDs once they get in the red zone. But what about when you don’t score a TD? This next one is points per red zone attempt vs points per red zone attempt that didn’t result in a TD. Inversely, points per red zone attempt by the percentage of times that you come away with nothing. Again, unsurprising that coming away with nothing is bad and Texas came away with nothing the most. 111th in FBS in scoring % in the red zone. And points per red zone attempt by the percentage of times that a team attempted to kick a field goal instead of going for it on 4th down. At this point I was pretty strongly in the camp of taking the points vs going for it on 4th down. So what would it look like if they took the field goal as much as the highest of these teams. Same chart, bumping Texas to taking the field goal 72% of the time. Only from 4.98 points per red zone attempt to 5.24. They would only have to increase their red zone td% from their actual 64% to 68% to achieve the same result. That’s moving from 54th in fbs to 38th. What if they kicked and made the FG 100% of the time? That would increase points per red zone attempt to 5.55, still below average for the group. They’d need to increase their TD % from 64% to 72% to achieve the same result, 14th in fbs, 4th of these 8 teams. So the problem isn’t in the decision to go for it. It’s the inability to score TDs in the red zone. For comparison, 2023 was even worse in red zone td %. 120th in FBS in red zone td%. They the field goal more often, came away with nothing less often, scored more points on drives that didn’t result in a TD, but still score half a point less per red zone attempt. What’s mind bottling is how a team with this level of talent is underperforming so badly once they get in the red zone. Edit to add, not only is Texas bad at converting red zone opportunities into TDs, because they are so aggressive in going for it, they compound the problem and end up worse than the peer group in all of the other red zone metrics.
  5. Some numbers from last season for Texas and the other SEC, B1G, and ND playoff teams. RZ % is red zone tds and fgs, so scoring anything vs coming away with nothing. RZ sc/g is the total number of scores from the red zone per game (I would have preferred RZ ppg, but I couldn’t find that number easily). RZ TD % is the percentage of RZ attempts that are converted to TDs. RZ Att is total number of RZ attempts. 4th % and Att are totals not just in the red zone. PPG is total points per game, not RZ. These are all FBS ranks. Last season, of the major playoff teams, Texas got into the red zone the most but also came away with nothing most often. Scored a TD the second least. Their drives stalled out the most, and they settled for the FG the least, and despite the aggressive play, didn’t get TDs more often, and didn’t end up with more total points per game from it. They were also the highest in 4th down attempts and least successful in those attempts. A couple of comparisons there, Texas was tied with PSU & UGA in total 4th down conversions despite going for it more often. And ND was almost as aggressive on 4th down but significantly more successful in converting them. Edit: I calculated the points per attempt in the red zone for these 8 teams. In order from most to least points per red zone attempt: Indiana - 5.97 OSU - 5.69 PSU - 5.59 Oregon - 5.58 UGA - 5.5 ND - 5.3 Tenn - 4.95 Texas - 4.94
  6. This one was also amusing.
  7. ND scores again right before halftime. up 21 - 17
  8. I was really conflicted. I decided im rooting against LSU without rooting for Clemson.
  9. They better not pick that up. The wr gets there if he’s not held.
  10. Off target throws - 33%. Highest of any Texas QB in the last 10 seasons.
  11. I don’t expect them to go the way of Nebraska where they become completely irrelevant, but more part of the churn where some years they are playoff contenders and some years they’re trash.
  12. The comments that this game means nothing are just coping with the probability of losing it. This game doesn't mean anything if you win the rest. But if they lose another game it could be the difference in a home game vs a road game in the first round of the playoffs.
  13. That should be overturned. I don’t have faith in it happening
  14. Cuse scores to make it a game with 2 minutes left in the half and is now getting shredded to give it back before half time
  15. Why are Syracuse and Tennessee playing in Atlanta?
  16. Pout about that drop pussy.
  17. God dammit I forgot I’m going to have to hear Gus say “world famous” 1000 fucking times.
  18. I hate that Fox puts their big game at noon, but this is a fucking fantastic kickoff to the season.
  19. My favorite Corso picks are when he gets to fire a gun. Cracks me up every time.
  20. #5 Indiana @ #2 osu Then 4 playoff games, and today.
  21. Was about to say “Terrible play on 3rd if you were going to go for it on 4th.” But when you can just run to the end zone uncovered on 4th and 9, I guess it doesn’t matter what you do the play before.
  22. I wasn’t saying that you not referencing ole miss was a bitch move, rather calling the writer a bitch when he talks about “factual information” without bringing up ole miss. And let’s not kid ourselves with the sec scheduling change. There is exactly one change of significance and that’s going to 9 conference games. Ole Miss can still have a non conference schedule of the citadel, Charlotte, and wake forest. The sec has taken the most bitch made approach to out of conference play as has been routinely discussed here. Get your big dogs a couple marquee wins, play fewer conference games than everyone else to boost the overall records of the conference, schedule fcs games in November so the conference trickles up the rankings when every other conference is taking an extra loss. It’s not surprising or mysterious. They were trying to maximize the perception of the league. The only reason the big ten and big 12 went a different direction was money. The sec is not doing this to be “a leader as a conference in scheduling”. That’s marketing bullshit. They are doing it because there is more money in a 9th conference game and the change to how the cfp looks at scheduling took some of the weight off of the scale for keeping 8 conference games. The pussy coaches will take the easiest path to the playoff. It’s exactly what you’d expect from schools like the Mississippi schools and Indiana. Psu has no excuse. UT, osu, bama, Clemson, etc schedule with stones because they recognize that fans would rather see them compete in marquee games that the whole country is watching even if that means losing that game because that’s more entertaining than seeing them beat a 3rd team by 50 points. It’s an administrative decision that is (or should be) above the coaches head because the coach might not be there by the time those games are played. Hopefully the change to the playoff evaluation of schedules changes the charmin approach to non conference games. UGAs non conference schedule for 2030 had Clemson, Ohio state, and GT. I think they can be forgiven for having NC A&T as the 4th game that year.
  23. Penn state’s future ooc schedule might be the most egregious given the tier of teams they want to be in. Texas, bama, OU, uga, Ohio state, UM, Clemson all schedule at least one non conference game of some significance each year. Usually it’s a national marquee game. They could find themselves fucked by the strength of schedule metric even when they aren’t at risk of missing the playoffs. Losing out on a bye, or having to play a road game in round 1. I’ll be interested to see what the strength of schedule metric looks like, but they’re absolutely setting themselves up to be on the wrong side of it. They should have a 6 year rotation home-home series with Pitt and wvu where 2/6 years your team is “off”. They should have a marquee game. And then with that 3rd game they can do whatever bullshit fbs team they want.
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