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heso

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Everything posted by heso

  1. The target I went to yesterday was completely out of hand sanitizer. I saw several people with carts full of water. The grocery store I went to today was completely out of bottle water. overall I’d say it was a lot of calm prepping. I expect once the confirmed cases start doubling with regularity the madness amps up quickly.
  2. The death rate in China outside of Hubei Provence is half what it is inside. i expect that the actual number of infected in Hubei is at least an order of magnitude higher than the confirmed number. Which would still only be 1.2% of the population. I think what they are seeing in the hospitals is the worst cases of a much larger outbreak.
  3. Wait, what? You have a source? Johns Hopkins website has mainland China at 2,761 on 79,826 for 3.59%
  4. There was an article linked on reddit that was in Italian but was quoted with a doctor in Milan stating that he expects the virus had been circulating in Italy before January.
  5. My buddy and I made a bet at the start of the season. We each picked a team. He’s on the dragons. I’m on the battlehawks.
  6. Good call. I’ll definitely do that. He sent me video of my best swing of the session, a swing that was an example of me doing what we’re trying to change, and the drill we were using to change it. I’ve probably watched each of those 20-30 times.
  7. I had my first golf lesson ever yesterday. I’m basically a tour pro now. honestly it’s amazing how well a competent pro can teach you what you’re doing wrong in you’re swing. I went in completely lost with my irons and left feeling supremely over confident. im going back next week to polish things off before I sign up for Q school.
  8. I wouldn’t be going anywhere other than Western Europe right now, and even then I’d be very trepidatious about leaving the country with how fast Italy’s outbreak blew up.
  9. Your right, some light pedophilia won’t hurt them any more than thousands of executions did during the inquisitions.
  10. the international law firm I work for told everyone to cancel any travel to CDC level 2 or 3 classification. Currently that’s China and South Korea as level 3. Iran, northern Italy, and japan are level 2. Anyone coming back from any of those places is supposed to self quarantine and work from home for 2 weeks.
  11. If the numbers from China are to be believed, the number recovered is far outpacing the new cases. the death toll in China is 0.0002% of the population. It’s only 0.025% of the population of Wuhan city. Almost 4000 people in China die every single day. However, the numbers from China are probably all lies and the death toll is likely in the 6 figures. (Even if it were it would still be less than 1% of the population of Wuhan).
  12. Just as long as that doesn’t happen until after the masters.
  13. 1 week change in 538’s projected delegate totals: 2/19: Today: Of note is that they are now projecting Bernie to pull 226 delegates out of California alone.
  14. In western PA the only candidate promotion I’ve seen in the last year is Trump stuff except for 1 Pete yard sign and my Yang “Math. Money. Marijuana.” shirt.
  15. I’ve been convinced that Trump is going to run away with PA. When I was rolling up to the light this morning I assumed this was a Trump sticker, but seeing it gave me a little hope that PA is still in play.
  16. Can you elaborate on what policies will be disastrous for the country and how they will play out?
  17. Yinz guys are gonna save the republic when the rust belt stays red.
  18. Where did this idea that the Bernie bro’s sat out and cost the dems the election? Where is the analysis that is the demographic that swung the election? I’ve never seen it. If it exists I’ll take it for what it’s worth but on the surface, I don’t buy it. Pa had 1.66 million primary voters in 2016. Clinton got 2.926 million votes. She underperformed Obama by 63k votes. Trump won by 44k votes, outperforming Romney by 290k votes. Going into Election Day her campaign wanted to carry a margin of 450k in the southeast pa counties. They left those counties with a margin of more than 475k. That alone should have won them the state. So where did she underperform and Trump excel? Literally every suburb in the state. The corridor from Scranton to Wilkes-Barre, Erie, Johnstown, south central Pa. areas that have been reliably blue for decades. She got crushed in those areas for a number of reasons: her assumption that she would win them all, Trump running an effective campaign of stoking fear in Islamist terrorism to convincing people the Mexicans were taking their jobs and bringing in drugs. Clinton stayed out of the state and ran ads that highlighted the offensive stuff Trump said. She should have ran ads about all the people that lost jobs when his businesses folded, highlighted all of the contractors that went out of business when he stiffed them on contracts. Trump ran an effective campaign of lies. Clinton ran an ineffective, lazy, and presumptuous campaign because she and her team thought they had PA in the bag. Blaming the 2016 election on Bernie bro’s is lazy and disingenuous. It completely ignores the facts that Hillary was a terrible candidate that ran a bad campaign and Trump ran an effective campaign that stoked fear and boosted turnout. I don’t see tens of thousands of suburban and rural Bernie bros in pa swinging the election.
  19. Bryson had a nice little run going. -11 thru his last 15 holes before he dunked that one in the water.
  20. Bloomberg bought a bunch of billboard ads in advance of Trump’s rally near his hotel and along the motorcade route: Other billboards: Donald Trump cheats at golf. Donald Trump lost the popular vote.
  21. An article I saw this morning said he still has ~300k left on the mortgage for his DC house and his lake house was bought with his book deal money and some of his wife’s retirement money.
  22. I think Trump wins PA and I don’t think fracking will have anything to do with it.
  23. PA voters are slightly in favor of a fracking ban and it breaks down exactly as you’d expect. Philly and Pittsburgh are in support of a ban. The yokel in the rural western part of the state who was sitting on 100 acres of forest with a hunting shack on it that is now getting paid off loves fracking. Fracking isn’t shifting the vote in PA.
  24. It was exactly the Bloomberg debate. The goal of everyone on that stage was to cut down Bloomberg.
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