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HookEm

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Everything posted by HookEm

  1. It is crazy, because we should have an elite perimeter defensive team. Tramon Mark was a key contributor in Houston's Final Four team and is supposed to be a lock down defender Tre Johnson was supposed to be a plus defender and definitely has the length and aggressiveness to do the job Julian Larry was 2x All-Defense at Indiana State Jayson Kent was All-Defense at Indiana State Weaver and Pope could also be good defenders as they have the necessary size and athleticism to lock people down It seems like the staff has not put a priority on holding this group accountable. A hard ass, hard nosed coach would have this group humming on the defensive side. They are constantly out of position and the defensive fundamentals as a whole seem to be missing. That is pure coaching as defensive lapses have to be checked immediately and consistently or the players, no matter how good they are, will not give their best effort on the defensive end.
  2. No. Something like a 33% chance.
  3. I don't mind the lack of rim protection nearly as much as the turnstile approach to perimeter defense that let's the opponent into the lane with ease.
  4. Updated conference probability distribution based on KenPom game odds: Only 25% chance we finish 6-12 or worse. If we assume a 7-11 record gives us a 50% chance of a tourney bid, and an 8-10 record is 100% a tourney bid, then our tourney chances right now are about 65%.
  5. Found this pic of Kadin Shedrick training in the offseason. Kind of sums it up.
  6. Arthur Kaluma Dillon Mitchell In the end it looks like we made the right call letting Dillon Mitchell go, as it probably helped us get Arthur Kaluma. Kaluma is better in just about every way.
  7. This is a much better roster than last year. But a worse product on the court. We definitely have the pieces to be good, but you can so clearly see how poorly they are coached. This should be a lock down defensive team.
  8. I guess I’ll take the win. But that was frustrating as hell.
  9. Oh look another dumb AF play
  10. Tre made that one but man it was a hard shot.
  11. Oh look another dumb AF play
  12. The team defense is just terrible. And then we take stupid shots. We have no idea how to close out an opponent. Remember under Beard when we would be up by 10 and it was basically game over. That was fun.
  13. As soft as Shedrick is, he plays even dumber.
  14. Also worth noting that Dillon Mitchel is averaging 26.5% from the line. Holy fook. Hunter's efficiency is also coming back down to earth.
  15. Amazing to me that anyone would react "F you" to this post. Tells me that you, like Beard, are also probably a scumbag. Anyone who thinks that the night of his arrest was the first and only dust up that Beard has had with a female is a moron. I guess you think he was just unlucky. His reaction after the fact, with zero contrition, shows that he doesn't have the self awareness needed to coach somewhere like UT. This is not a man of high character. Period. The fact that he left UNLV 19 days into his tenure, just days after signing a 5 year contract, should have been a clue. I can't recall another time when a coach has done that. Any current UT supporters of Beard come across as desperate and pathetic. We can do better.
  16. Updated season probability distribution:
  17. Out of all the coaches we could hire, bitch ass Beard is just about at the bottom of my list.
  18. Remind me what the story is with Jay Wright. I wouldn't just assume we have no shot there. It is possible that he needed a break and wanted to give Kyle Neptune a shot at a big role. He is "only" 63, which may seem old until you consider: Mark Few is 62 Bill Self is 62 Bruce Pearl is 64 Kelvin Sampson is 69 Tom Izzo is 69 Rick Barnes is 70 Roy Williams retired at 71 Mike Krzyzewski retired at 73 Hell, 63 seems to be right in the sweet spot these days. He might get 8-10 years. Another name that nobody talks about is Tony Bennett. Is it possible that he just needed a change of scenery like Rick Barnes? In the six years from 2014-2019, Virginia won a title, made an Elite 8 and another Sweet 16, going 178-36 in a tough ACC. Their average KenPom ranking was 4.8 which had to be one of the top 2-3 programs over that time. He is only 55. Maybe after a year or two out of the sport he will be ready to get back at it. He also claimed to resign due to the "current state of the sport", but maybe he would have a fresh perspective somewhere like Texas with a bigger checkbook. Also perhaps NIL will stabilize a little by the time we move on from Rodney.
  19. I'm assuming you know how a probability distribution works. If not, here is a simple example.... Say you are playing 10 games and have a 40% chance to win each one. Well, the odds are you aren't going to lose every game, despite being an underdog in each of them. The win distribution looks something like this:
  20. Updated conference probabilities based on KenPom individual game odds:
  21. Who are the top coaches in the 45-55 year old range? Here are some candidates: Dan Hurley, UConn (52) - 2 Title Scott Drew, Baylor (54) - 1 Title, 2 EE, 2 S16 Chris Beard, Ole Miss (51) - 1 FF, 1 EE - Kill me Nate Oats, Alabama (50) - 1 FF, 2 S16 Matt Painter, Purdue (54) - 1 FF, 1 EE, 5 S16 Tommy Lloyd, Arizona (50) - 2 S16 TJ Otzelberger, ISU (47) - 2 S16 Dusty May, Michigan (48) - 1 FF Shaka Smart, Marquette (47) - 1 FF, 2 S16 - Kill me Buzz Williams, Aggy (52) - 1 EE, 3 S16 - Meh Notable under 40: Jon Scheyer, Duke (37) - 1 E8 Jake Diebler, Ohio St (38) Todd Golden, Florida (39)
  22. Barnes peak still isn't good enough given our resources. Here are the best KenPom 5-yr and 10-yr stretches for some schools with great coaches and arguably lesser resources than we have today: Ohio St: 7.2 (2010-2014), 13.7 (2006-2015) Baylor: 8.0 (2020-2024), 16.0 (2015-2024) Mich. St 8.4 (2012-2016), 14.3 (2011-2020) Arizona 9.8 (1997-2001), 13.4 (1997-2006) Florida: 9.8 (2003-2007), 13.1 (1999-2008) Texas: 15.6 (05-09), 16.2 (01-10) That isn't even including teams like Kansas, UNC and Kentucky who we really should be competing with. I think the thing that will ultimately doom RT is that the Moody Center is dead. We have a brand new arena, one of the best in the entire sport, and it is just dead. We can't have that.
  23. Kent is a solid role players and Larry is fine as your 8th or 9th best player. The roster is actually really well constructed IMO. If Chris Beard had this team, I have zero doubt they would be ranked in the top-10. He would be running a positionless switch everything defense that would be a nightmare with our forwards. Shedrick would be getting 10 minutes per game, not starting.
  24. Drake has lost their last two games. I'm kind of holding out hope that it is Royal Ivey. He did an amazing job with South Sudan. I just don't think our opening will align with him being viewed as qualified. And there is a decent chance that he gets an NBA job and never makes his way to the college ranks.
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