TheYoungHorn
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Everything posted by TheYoungHorn
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Right now it's Tech -12.5.
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Not that it will matter. But the narrative is shaping up well for BYU. No one giving them a chance it the game. No one giving them a chance to even make the playoffs. CHIP ON THE SHOULDER: CHECK
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Holy shit you dipshits: 9-3 Texas is probably in the playoffs
TheYoungHorn replied to Wulaw Horn's topic in Football
The Florida loss while crappy, and completely on our coaches (I mean, remember the left guard situation in that game) and unwillingness to do anything but try to max protect deep PA shots, is crazy how people think Florida is total garbage. They are incredibly talented team that didn't meet pre-season expectations and after rallying for their beloved coach, wilted down the stretch. This is a team that has only three SEC wins away from the Swamp in the last 4 seasons, and none of those were this year. In all of Napier's tenure at Florida they won 4 total games away from the swamp (4-18 away from Gainesville in his 4 year run). In contrast they were 18-8 in those four years at the Swamp including (10-4) in SEC play in the swamp. At home they had a game they gave away to a good and talented mid-major team USF (turnovers). But otherwise they were 4-2 at home, with 3 wins coming against Power 4 competition (and had completely quit and let Tennessee roll up on them to finally score a win in their rivalry in the swamp). They were neck-and-neck with Georgia on a neutral site, and a controversial reversed-call away from perhaps taking that one, falling only 24-20 to the committee's number 3 ranked team. They then went on the road after fully laying down on the road against Kentucky, and then on the road against the committee's 6th ranked team, Ole Miss led 24-20 at halftime. Then in the fourth quarter, after Ole Miss takes a 3-point lead 27-24, they drive down to deep into Ole Miss territory, where they are in tying field goal range, have a 3rd and 5, and then a tipped-ball interception ends the drive, and takes points off the board. Ole Miss then gets a final punch in touchdown when Florida pinned back on their own goal line has to go for it on 4th and turns it over on downs. -
Holy shit you dipshits: 9-3 Texas is probably in the playoffs
TheYoungHorn replied to Wulaw Horn's topic in Football
Texas Tech lost on the road to Arizona State, who is comparable in finally power ratings to Florida even now. So if Texas Tech loses to BYU are they now disqualified? Of course not. Florida when we lost to them, at the Swamp, in their yearly rally around their beloved but beguiled head coach and win one for the gipper, was ranked 33rd in FEI, with the 18th ranked defense and 15th ranked special teams units. We came in after a two week prep with a bone-headed and brain dead gameplan to keep everything in front of us and not let Lagway beat us with his legs, even after he got gimpy, and because we were missing our best and most reliable corner back we adjusted everything our coverages to be softer and looser (in both man and zones). This was also the most clear picture that Akina had murdered our secondary cohesion as we let simple routes murder us all day. Combined with a handcuffed pass rush, and as a result a passive defensive line not allowed or able to cause havoc, left our second and third level run defenders gashed by a great running back who almost always had a head of steam as we stood around and caught blocks at the line. The biggest issue here is that the Florida loss so soon after the Ohio State loss and two hapless offensive performances at home in OOC games created the national narrative that Texas and Arch was a fraud, and thus they were already out of it barring a miraculous run. Then the dominating performance against OU was chocked up to Red River weirdness, not indicative of our strengths and their weaknesses as good football teams. Then the two road clunkers, let everyone determine that Texas had to win out to be in the playoff. By this time people had already discounted the Ohio State game, and there was never any discussion of the fact that Texas had an 82% post-game win expectancy on the road, against the defending champion and clear best team in the nation this year, in the first road start for a new quarterback. -
Holy shit you dipshits: 9-3 Texas is probably in the playoffs
TheYoungHorn replied to Wulaw Horn's topic in Football
This should be the argument. It's the data behind what many of us have been saying, not just about relative SEC schedule disparity between Texas and A&M/Ole Miss, but overall. FEI has a measure that takes a team two-standard deviations better than average, a stand in for an elite team. In years past you might call this the top 10, but for these purposes let's say its teams in consideration for a 12-team playoff. Which is what we are talking about, so it's the right measure. So based on your schedule here is how many expected losses an elite team would have based on the most recent Week 14 FEI ratings: ELS elite strength of schedule Wisconsin 3.8 expected losses Purdue 3.4 UCLA 3.12 ##Texas 2.8 Penn State 2.74 Florida 2.69 Auburn 2.61 Rutgers 2.53 Arkansas 2.52 South Carolina 2.52 ##Alabama 2.38 LSU 2.38 Kentucky 2.35 Illinois 2.35 Iowa 2.33 USC 2.23 Missouri 2.22 Mississippi State 2.18 ##Oklahoma 2.18 Tennessee 2.08 ##Oregon 2.04 Michigan State 2.02 Washington 2.01 Minnesota 1.95 Michigan 1.94 ## Other Playoff contenders rankings: 32. Texas A&M 1.72 33. Georgia 1.68 34. Vanderbilt 1.65 38. BYU 1.56 42. Notre Dame 1.49 43. Indiana 1.48 47. Miami 1.35 50. Ole Miss 1.31 51. Utah 1.27 53. Ohio State 1.23 57. Texas Tech 1.15 87. Duke .44 105. Virginia .34 G5 contenders 85. Tulane .47 112. North Texas .25 116. James Madison. 21 Texas is the only team in the top 10 that wasn't completely derailed by their crazy tough draw this year. Alabama and Oklahoma for that matter, are the only other playoff contenders in the top 20, and even with that Texas' schedule was almost two-thirds of a whole loss more difficult than OU's. Oregon is the only other team that ranks in the top 25. Texas played a schedule OVER ONE LOSS more difficult than every other playoff contender team. And had more than double the expected losses of 7 of the G4 teams alive for a spot (Miami, Ole Miss, Utah, Ohio State, Texas Tech, Duke and Virginia). -
Holy shit you dipshits: 9-3 Texas is probably in the playoffs
TheYoungHorn replied to Wulaw Horn's topic in Football
What if they got boat raced and had a huge injury, for example a QB go down? They can do whatever they want. Last year it was clear that neither team in SEC/Big 10 championship game was punished, but Texas lost in an overtime game in Atlanta. -
Holy shit you dipshits: 9-3 Texas is probably in the playoffs
TheYoungHorn replied to Wulaw Horn's topic in Football
Since I can't edit. Here is the corrected numbers (at least until I find another mistake) 1. Alabama (7 - 1) (32-32) minus own impact (31-25) Above Georgia, Ole Miss, and Texas A&M based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5). 2. Georgia (7 - 1) (30-34) minus own impact (29-27) With Ole Miss and Texas A&M, below Alabama based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4688). Above Ole Miss and Texas A&M based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4688). 3. Ole Miss (7 - 1) (22-42) minus own impact (21-35) With Georgia and Texas A&M, below Alabama based on conference opponent win percentage (0.3438). With Texas A&M, below Georgia based on conference opponent win percentage (0.3438). Above Texas A&M based on conference opponent win percentage (0.3438). 4. Texas A&M (7 - 1) (18-46) minus own impact (17-39) With Georgia and Ole Miss, below Alabama based on conference opponent win percentage (0.2813). With Ole Miss, below Georgia based on conference opponent win percentage (0.2813). Below Ole Miss based on conference opponent win percentage (0.2813). 5. Texas (6 - 2) .4844 (31-33) minus own impact (29-27) Above Oklahoma and Vandy based on round-robin record (not a full round-robin) due to a round-robin sweep (2-0). 6. Oklahoma (6 - 2) .5156 (33-31) minus own impact (31-25) With Vandy, below Texas based on round-robin record (not a full round-robin) due to a round-robin sweep (0-1). Above Vandy based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (6-1). 7. Vandy (6 - 2) .4375 (28-36) minus own impact (26-30) With Oklahoma, below Texas based on round-robin record (not a full round-robin) due to a round-robin sweep (0-1). Below Oklahoma based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (5-2). 8. Tennessee (4 - 4) (31-33) minus own impact (27-29) Above Missouri based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4844). 9. Missouri (4 - 4) (29-35) minus own impact (25-31) Below Tennessee based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4531). 10. LSU (3 - 5) (36-28) minus own impact (31-25) 11. Kentucky (2 - 6) (34-30) minus own impact (28-28) Above Florida based on head-to-head record (1-0). 12. Florida (2 - 6) opponents .578 (37-27) minus own impact (31-25) Below Kentucky based on head-to-head record (0-1). 13. S Carolina (1 - 7) opponents (42-22) minus own impact (35-21) Above Auburn and Miss St based on conference opponent win percentage (0.6563). 14. Auburn (1 - 7) opponents (39-25) minus own impact (32-24) With Miss St, below S Carolina based on conference opponent win percentage (0.6094). Above Miss St based on conference opponent win percentage (0.6094). 15. Miss St (1 - 7) opponents (37-27) minus own impact (30-26) With Auburn, below S Carolina based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5781). Below Auburn based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5781). 16. Arkansas (0 - 😎 opponents total .5156 (33-31) minus own impact (25-31) Schedule was Ole Miss (7-1), Tenn (4-4), A&M (7-1), Auburn (1-7), Miss State (1-7), LSU (3-5), Texas (6-2), Missouri (4-4) Negating your own impact toughest SEC conference schedules 1. South Carolina (35 other conference wins) 2. Auburn (32 other conference wins) 3-Tie. Alabama, Oklahoma, LSU, Florida (31 other wins) 7. Mississippi State (30 other wins) 8.TIE Georgia and Texas (29 other wins) 10. Kentucky (28 other wins) 11. Tennessee (27 other wins) 12. Vanderbilt (26 other wins) 13-TIE. Missouri and Arkansas (25 other wins) 15. Ole Miss (21 other wins) 16. Texas A&M (17 other wins) -
Holy shit you dipshits: 9-3 Texas is probably in the playoffs
TheYoungHorn replied to Wulaw Horn's topic in Football
Yeah, but what I just posted is as close as you are going to get, at least for this years mess. I would have to go back last year to see. In this case your only real arguments would be Michigan vs. Utah/BYU or Virginia if they lost to Duke. -
Holy shit you dipshits: 9-3 Texas is probably in the playoffs
TheYoungHorn replied to Wulaw Horn's topic in Football
I actually did some math wrong, that number should only be 17 wins out of 56 games. So they beat teams with a combined 12 wins in the SEC. South Carolina, Auburn and Miss State all one each. (3 total) Florida (2) LSU (3) Missouri (4) This is just like the 2020 season. Aggies beat no one, but don't drop their typical bone-headed games, and end up with "best season ever" status. -
Holy shit you dipshits: 9-3 Texas is probably in the playoffs
TheYoungHorn replied to Wulaw Horn's topic in Football
Actually I apparently did the Aggie math wrong. I think their opponents are actually 18-46, I somehow gave them more credit. -
Holy shit you dipshits: 9-3 Texas is probably in the playoffs
TheYoungHorn replied to Wulaw Horn's topic in Football
I said the solution for the whole thing, not just for SEC. If there was 64 teams in 8, 8 team "divisions" and you win your division you are in. If you are part of a "stronger" division or pair of "divisions" maybe your contract already awarded you more spots. This of course would be in a theoretical 64-team super league that doesn't look any closer to appearing than it did 14 years ago. Under the current system, say up to 16 teams where Big 10 and SEC agree on 4 autobids each, with 1 G6, 1 Big 12, 1 ACC. That leaves only 5 at-large, and often Notre Dame is going to take 1 of those. So really only 4. If the compromise is Big 12-ACC get one floater between them, then there are only 3 wild cards for Big 10/SEC each year. So this year you could see SEC get 7, Big 10 only get their 4 and the rest fall the way they would. SEC: Georgia, Alabama, Ole Miss, A&M, OU, Vandy, Texas Big 10: Ohio State, Indiana, Oregon, Michigan? G6: American Winner Notre Dame ACC Winner and Miami if Texas Tech wins Big 12 Winner: Texas Tech or if Tech loses -
Holy shit you dipshits: 9-3 Texas is probably in the playoffs
TheYoungHorn replied to Wulaw Horn's topic in Football
To state it one more time, a slightly different way. Aggies cumulative average SEC opponent had a (2.5-5.5) record South Carolina's (5.25-2.75), almost the inverse. -
Holy shit you dipshits: 9-3 Texas is probably in the playoffs
TheYoungHorn replied to Wulaw Horn's topic in Football
Yes if they both get boat raced and/or suffered a significant (namely QB) injury, then you could jump them. -
Holy shit you dipshits: 9-3 Texas is probably in the playoffs
TheYoungHorn replied to Wulaw Horn's topic in Football
To restate. It's clear that the unbalanced schedules in these massive conferences is not sustainable, and the ultimate cause of all this mess. Which is why you can do two things: 1. make super conferences have divisions again where each division plays true round-robin schedule and 2. Award auto-bids to winners (or top two) after full division play and/or tiebreakers. If you insist on having a plus one (conference championship game), you can take "wild-cards" of divisions to play cross divisionally to determine final spots. It's clear that the Aggies and Ole Miss benefitted from their draw massively this year. Same as it is clear that South Carolina (by a wide margin) and Auburn were jobbed by difficult draws. 28-28 would be .500, in this distribution the Texas and Georgia draw .5179 (29-27) is the median this year. So, Aggies had a schedule strength in SEC play of .3393. Much, much lower than the MEDIAN. And South Carolina was handed a .6250. So while you would often have imbalances in relative strength of one 8 or 6 team division vs another, and therefore the alternating draw with other division teams could result in some imbalances it couldn't end up with this insane variance. South Carolina played a schedule that was 6 wins better than the median, and almost double the wins than the Aggies, 17 games better out of 56. Negating your own impact toughest SEC conference schedules (56 game records of 8 conference opponents remaining not you games) 1. South Carolina (35 other conference wins) 2. Auburn (32 other conference wins) 3-Tie. Alabama, Oklahoma, LSU, Florida (31 other wins) 7. Mississippi State (30 other wins) 8.TIE Georgia and Texas (29 other wins) 10. Kentucky (28 other wins) 11. Tennessee (27 other wins) 12. Vanderbilt (26 other wins) 13-TIE. Missouri and Arkansas (25 other wins) 15. Ole Miss (21 other wins) 16. Texas A&M (19 other wins) -
Holy shit you dipshits: 9-3 Texas is probably in the playoffs
TheYoungHorn replied to Wulaw Horn's topic in Football
Final SEC Standings with conference tie-breakers applied: 1. Alabama (7 - 1) (32-32) minus own impact (31-25) Above Georgia, Ole Miss, and Texas A&M based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5). 2. Georgia (7 - 1) (30-34) minus own impact (29-27) With Ole Miss and Texas A&M, below Alabama based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4688). Above Ole Miss and Texas A&M based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4688). 3. Ole Miss (7 - 1) (22-42) minus own impact (21-35) With Georgia and Texas A&M, below Alabama based on conference opponent win percentage (0.3438). With Texas A&M, below Georgia based on conference opponent win percentage (0.3438). Above Texas A&M based on conference opponent win percentage (0.3438). 4. Texas A&M (7 - 1) (20-44) minus own impact (19-37) With Georgia and Ole Miss, below Alabama based on conference opponent win percentage (0.2813). With Ole Miss, below Georgia based on conference opponent win percentage (0.2813). Below Ole Miss based on conference opponent win percentage (0.2813). 5. Texas (6 - 2) .4844 (31-33) minus own impact (29-27) Above Oklahoma and Vandy based on round-robin record (not a full round-robin) due to a round-robin sweep (2-0). 6. Oklahoma (6 - 2) .5156 (33-31) minus own impact (31-25) With Vandy, below Texas based on round-robin record (not a full round-robin) due to a round-robin sweep (0-1). Above Vandy based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (6-1). 7. Vandy (6 - 2) .4375 (28-36) minus own impact (26-30) With Oklahoma, below Texas based on round-robin record (not a full round-robin) due to a round-robin sweep (0-1). Below Oklahoma based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (5-2). 8. Tennessee (4 - 4) (31-33) minus own impact (27-29) Above Missouri based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4844). 9. Missouri (4 - 4) (29-35) minus own impact (25-31) Below Tennessee based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4531). 10. LSU (3 - 5) (36-28) minus own impact (31-25) 11. Kentucky (2 - 6) (34-30) minus own impact (28-28) Above Florida based on head-to-head record (1-0). 12. Florida (2 - 6) opponents .578 (37-27) minus own impact (31-25) Below Kentucky based on head-to-head record (0-1). 13. S Carolina (1 - 7) opponents (42-22) minus own impact (35-21) Above Auburn and Miss St based on conference opponent win percentage (0.6563). 14. Auburn (1 - 7) opponents (39-25) minus own impact (32-24) With Miss St, below S Carolina based on conference opponent win percentage (0.6094). Above Miss St based on conference opponent win percentage (0.6094). 15. Miss St (1 - 7) opponents (37-27) minus own impact (30-26) With Auburn, below S Carolina based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5781). Below Auburn based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5781). 16. Arkansas (0 - 😎 opponents total .5156 (33-31) minus own impact (25-31) Schedule was Ole Miss (7-1), Tenn (4-4), A&M (7-1), Auburn (1-7), Miss State (1-7), LSU (3-5), Texas (6-2), Missouri (4-4) So cumulative SEC schedule strength, excluding the impact of your direct results against the other teams is below. Negating your own impact toughest SEC conference schedules 1. South Carolina (35 other conference wins) 2. Auburn (32 other conference wins) 3-Tie. Alabama, Oklahoma, LSU, Florida (31 other wins) 7. Mississippi State (30 other wins) 8.TIE Georgia and Texas (29 other wins) 10. Kentucky (28 other wins) 11. Tennessee (27 other wins) 12. Vanderbilt (26 other wins) 13-TIE. Missouri and Arkansas (25 other wins) 15. Ole Miss (21 other wins) 16. Texas A&M (19 other wins)- 6840 replies
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Holy shit you dipshits: 9-3 Texas is probably in the playoffs
TheYoungHorn replied to Wulaw Horn's topic in Football
The stuff at the margins is the difference. Other than their offense, which has massively improved (even adjusted for opponents). For Auburn and SC, playing at home versus on the road at night. That's huge. Second, another year of Elko and co has improved their marginal performance on little things, especially on defensive execution level. Awareness, ball leverage, confidence and ability to hold/interfere without calls. Third, the portal additions at WR, and production from Conception at returner, has been a more than marginal improvement. This combined with more experience from Reed and Klein adding more of the old KSU RPO and dangerous spread/run/option attack, gives them a clear identity and allows all 11 to play more confident. On a down to down basis they have definitely leveled up on offense. So you have one loss swing, even though on the road to ND, with a more experienced QB, more confident and explosive offense and ND having early season Chris Ash defensive struggles. The second and third loss swings come from playing Auburn and South Carolina both at home, a more experienced QB, much better WR production, and maybe a slightly improved return threat on ST. But both were still very, very close. In addition, you had the fact that Auburn was possibly the sloppiest, worst coached talented I have ever seen play and South Carolina took a huge step down in all phases, namely on their offense. Aggie in FEI this year vs. last year heading into Texas game: Last year: Overall FEI .70 (19th) Offense: .22 (28th) Defense: .41 (23rd) ST: .09 (16th) This year: Overall FEI 1.18 (10th) Offense: .60 (10th) Defense: .56 (16th) ST: .05 (39th) For comparison here in Texas: Overall FEI This year .84 (21st) Last year 1.33 (2nd) Offense this year: .18 (36th) Last year .40 (14th) Defense this year: .57 (13th) Last year .85 (2nd) ST this year: .12 (11th) Last year .07 (24th) The other big thing is the relative strength of their opponents this year. Last year Aggies finished with FEI's 17-19th highest SOS from their two advanced measures: 2.08 expected losses for a team 2-standard deviations better than average would fare against their schedule, and (17th best) 5.33 expected wins from a team one-standard deviation better than the average team against their opponents. This year so far, their schedule ranks far weaker: 1.5 expected losses from 2-deviation team (32nd) and 4.28 losses from a 1-deviation team (23rd) For comparison, here is Texas this year: 2.53 expected losses from 2-deviation team (7th) and 4.88 from a 1-deviation team (12th) In conclusion: A&M is a slightly better defense, namely more cohesive on third down and playing with more confidence (some mainly at home in key spots) in second year under a good defensive coach They are much, much better on offense. Second year QB, leveled up WRs, Klein feeling more comfortable and having an identity. Yet, their schedule, and home vs road compared to last year have been huge factors in making the most out of those improvements. -
In this bonkers scenario you have Alabama vs Ole Miss in Atlanta. So unless one of those teams is boat-raced in that game, you'd have to think they are both in. Then if you have Texas, Georgia and Oklahoma all in a pile, you can just take head to head and you would have Texas in front of both of them. And if Texas also beat A&M, you would see Texas ranked ahead of them too. So strangely you could see: 1. Ohio State/Indiana 2.Ohio State/Indiana loser (if good game) 3. SEC championship winner 4. Texas 5. Texas A&M 6. SEC championship loser (in a non blow out) 7. Big 12 Winner if 12-0 BYU or 11-1 Texas Tech 8. Oregon if 11-1 9. Georgia 10. Oklahoma 11. ACC winner 12. G6 team In this case if you had those 6 SEC teams at 10-2 or better, with Bama and Texas, OU and Georgia being the 10-2, and Bama being in SEC CG, you would push Notre Dame and a second ACC or Big 12 team out. Because it would come down to comparing OU and Georgia versus those teams: OU would have losses to top 5 Texas, and top 5/6 Ole Miss. Georgia would have losses to top 5 Texas and top 5/6 Alabama Notre Dame would have losses top 5 A&M and who knows, but not top 15 Miami If Louisville won ACC champ, GA Tech would have losses to Top 10 Georgia, unranked NC State and No. 11 Louisville (for example) If GA Tech won ACC, Louisville would have losses to No. 11 Ga Tech, Top 20 UVA... (11-1 Louisville, with only an OT loss to UVA, losing close to GA Tech in ACC title, would make it tough call between them and OU/Georgia for final spot). This is really the only place where they would need to break out the talk of SOR and strength of schedule, as it would probably end up not even close between 11-1 and ACC loser, and for example 11-1 and Big 12 conference game loser BYU. If they got into the SOS argument to choose all the at largest, it would clearly separate out the Big 12 and ACC teams (even if only had 1 regular season loss, as they would be so so far behind the SEC clump) and while ND would be closer, it wouldn't be that close, plus comparing resumes (best wins and losses) it also wouldn't be close. I honestly don't think it would be that difficult to see in that scenario (which isn't going to happen) all 6 SEC teams.
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Game state. Getting down quick from having an awful defensive game plan and a busted offensive script by having a nonfuctioning interior Oline left Arch mentally feeling like he was playing hero ball (in a tough road environment). Sark also reinforced this by refusing to adjust his play calling in any attempt to get quick passes as run game, QB run game, etc, going. Being behind and unable to get off the field on third down, or create turnovers, left Arch and Sark both pressing. (It also led to directly to a touchdown as McDonald felt like he had to go for the strip on the Dallas Wilson TD play, rather than just forcing him out of bounds). When it's clear that you can't or won't ever run the ball, life for pass rushers becomes much, much easier. For OU, as the game wore on, there were less to no reps in those situations. Preparation. It's clear from all three phases of play that Florida was prepared for the game in front of them, both in scheme and specific player deficiencies we had displayed We came out of a bye week looking slow, unsure and with no edge to attack their weaknesses or press our advantages/strenths). Physicality and motivation. Off a bye, we look like we hadn't practiced intensely or physically for two weeks They had the chip on their shoulder for big home game after suffering heart breaking losses in a row and everyone already counting them out We seemed to embrace the national narrative that Florida was garbage and was checked out already Play calls and scheme. Again, specific play calls made no attempt to adjust for, make up for, or even acknowledge the fact that we couldn't block anyone at C or LG. Different defensive philosophy and calls. Florida's stunts and sim pressures were specifically designed to feast off our silly stupid slide protection rules, and focused on continually exploiting the weakest links we had shown on film and during that game. Florida was not playing the flyover like Venables did with 3 safeties back, they were leaving lots of green grass on the backside wide ass open, and didn't care as they were feasting on us behind the LOS. Arch's execution Arch had a number of plays where he stepped up or away from pressure in Florida and hit receivers, but often even when he got the ball out because the route concepts were all pushing downfield, we had a much lower hit rate than in Oklahoma game where receivers were intentionally working back to Arch and burrowing down into open zones, or bodying defenders to give him higher-percentage outlets during busted plays.
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Yeah, assuming that's on the south side where Cotton Bowl meets the midway, it's always fenced up to create the road to get the busses for teams, bands, etc in and out. In fact, after the game it's nearly impossible to get across until teams leave, as you have to wander through a choke point on the east side way far down at the corner of the exposition hall to cross back over into the midway, and this is even before busses are actually rolling, which for those few minutes you obviously can't cross.
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The fair is big enough and so much of the other attractions are not actually impacted by the game, especially during the game. They already do shut down on the south end where the locker rooms are to get the busses in and out, and set up a larger staging area you can't walk through as its the area for logistics for team/media. Maybe that's what was mentioned here earlier. If they extended the perimeter out, let Texas/OU run GameDay operations instead of the Fair, the whole thing could be a net-plus atmosphere and amenities wise with the stadium as is. Biggest issues are getting in and out of stadium, which sounds like West side issues might have been fixed by renovations, followed by bathrooms/health safety stuff on a hot/sunny day (water, shade during breaks, places for people to catch a breath). It's actually an easier solution than the problems in an old upper deck (DKR west side for example), and just requires a little extra thought on the layout and planning of the space that is already there. The problem here is State Fair of Texas org is the landlord, and we are the tenant, and while we are the biggest event, we are far from the only event as they are running a month long monster with massive events (headliner concerts) 15-plus times. So it would require huge focus and leverage from CDC, OU-AD, CIty of Dallas, and perhaps media partners. The thing is, it should be an easy ask because it's not about asking for another round of capital improvements, and if presented right, CDC and Drew Martin should be able to demonstrate that the loss of real estate for one day out of 30, could actually NET more revenue, as they could professionalize the concession experience inside the security perimeter. Instead of volunteer dallas groups running sheds and troughs, they could bring the best of the state Fair into the "game" as a huge percentage of game attendees don't know how to actually navigate the fair itself. Numerous mini fletchers throughout perimeter. Curated best of fair bites, where they could be hawking the award winning stuff all at one place for a premium if you didn't have to track it down and wait in different lines, while logistics could be ferrying the stuff from the vendors stands right into holders/hot boxes right through a backstage tunnel to the sales outlets inside security. Hell, you could even pay for it with your big name sponsors having "activations/retail" outlets inside security area. Loves could have huge walk in and out convenience "stores" setup for their sooner brethren. You have to get more real estate, with more square footage you can solve the circulation, bathroom and concession issues. But it would require a truly professional team and trained staff brought in to actively run it. Meaning you would need active staff guiding and live signage telling people where more bathrooms are, how easy they are to get to and what the wait times are, etc. Hell, they could even have VIP areas in adjacent areas inside security, with elevated food and beverage offerings to sell as "club" ticket packages, split the revenue with State Fair, and then the sell should be easy.
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It's code. New code requires a crap ton of space, as they can't do troughs or put urinals super tight together. If you went to Ohio State you experienced this first hand. Their newer upper deck concourse had two men's restrooms per sideline, each with only 4 urinals and 4 stalls. Which again isn't a tiny restroom. As with concessions and mechanical it is all they could squeeze in an addition a full football field plus concourse (4 total restrooms, 2 men and 2 women). I estimated there were 8 urinals for 12,000 people. Most of which were men. Let's call it 8 urinals for 8,000 guys. Not good. But if you ran down the stairs to the tiny 200 level, there was a tiny old boiler room sized restroom that was jammed under the seats in a corner and only 5 foot tall on one wall, and they crammed 12 urinals and 2 stalls in the tiny space because it was built 100 years ago, so thus current code didn't apply. Even better if you were willing to walk all the way down to the main level, they had huge restrooms with spots of 100-plus to piss at troughs all at one time. Guys, at the horseshoe, one of the premier venues for the one of the biggest programs in college football, there were men waiting in a 50-yard line for the restroom BEFORE kickoff. At halftime, I would hate to see it. Same or worse at the Big House, as each section has something like 90 rows and one single portal to get in and out. Benefit of there, like the Rose Bowl is since it's practically a single level, you can walk down the hill to larger open air spaces to circulate and go to restroom or find concessions. The secret to the cotton bowl upper deck is the views are amazing because you are so close to the field, and you can get up and down to the main concourse (and out to the fair at half) in seconds going down the stairs. Every year I head out the back straight through to the food and fiber building to the Texas products market, buy 12 waters for everyone in my group and section, and a whole other bag of snacks, and walk back over, hike up stairs and am back in the seat long before second half kicks off. State Fair could solve this issue without millions of dollars in renovations by sacrificing the entire area around the stadium for those six hours once a year, establishing the security fence/ticket area further out on the other side of the road that circles and bringing in 2x the number of vendors and portable toilets. The fair is run by morons, but if CDC and Drew Martin took over the management of the second Saturday in October, and were given additional real estate to run it, most if not all of the issues could be solved. For example, what if on each end of the outer perimeter there was an in house Fletchers stand, that would also eliminate so much of the chaos people experience outside the game before and after. The main issue there is that area on the East Side main gate is one of the most valuable spaces the Fair rents to big brands, and the Fair is a month long event that doesn't want to, or even know how to, be flexible for the premier event and biggest draw.
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Maybe, but for three years now we have been in compete for championships mode and he can watch the same tape I can. this isn’t 2020 anymore. For anyone. Regardless of personnel. I’ve watched good to elite defenses with great defensive coaching befuddle him and have their dudes literally pointing to exactly where the ball is going before it’s snapped over and over. you got to adapt and evolve, not just to your dudes you have and what they can actual due in live game action against equally talented opponents, but also against how the other teams change defending you. most if not all college football teams at this level have a handful of plays each game where a guy is wide open for a TD, and the difference between the great ones, good ones and mediocre ones is the amount of those you convert. but we are neither optimized for success or explosiveness
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Arch was playing hero ball yesterday. he doesn’t have a hero ball scheme or team built around him. If it was Herman calling his hero ball get your qb murdered game, like we saw Sam so many times, maybe we pull that one out by a miracle. Sark wants this offense to be the mac jones bama machine. he refuses to adjust to the fact he doesn’t have those WRs, running backs or line. i don’t care how many touch downs he can scheme open, we need an offense that can reliably move the chains and stay on the field and then can execute in the red zone.
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Here in Central Madrid it didn't pop back on until 11:30 last night. My phone didn't work a lick all of yesterday, but it's back up and running fine. I had to eat goldfish and maria cookies for lunch because the whole apartment only had 5 euros in it. Public radio broadcasts yesterday were worthless, as they didn't know anything, but the rumors at the plaza were that it was for sure a cyber attack. Biggest plus is when we went out this morning to walk to school all the trash that had piled up over the last 10 days of trash workers being on strike was miraculously picked up.
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What happened is that our defense was suffocating, especially against subpar quarterbacking and thus they and Florida got swamped because they couldn’t stay on the field.
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