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The Dog

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by The Dog

  1. Trump must leave the stage. He's the glue holding it together. When that happens, who takes over? Does Laura stick around and continue to siphon off money to the family, or do they leave and find their next grift? Until we know either of these things the GOP is stuck with MAGA.
  2. Anecdotal but we know a wife of a GOP voter who isn't telling her husband her intention to vote for Harris. We know another couple who are getting divorced over this. Anyone who thinks this isn't a thing is in denial and needs an education.
  3. Benched:
  4. I put this in the other thread but found the Suffolk one: https://www.suffolk.edu/news-features/news/2024/10/21/16/00/suprc-national-poll-10-21
  5. found the Suffolk one: https://www.suffolk.edu/news-features/news/2024/10/21/16/00/suprc-national-poll-10-21
  6. You ask someone who has received a ballot whether or not they have mailed it in. The secretary of state offices have lists of registered voters and in those states with only mail you know who will receive a ballot.
  7. I'm assuming these are national numbers of those who have already voted.
  8. It's not appearing on the embedded tweet but it's the gender gap - or the lack of one:
  9. That and the crosstabs are fucky. Greater margin among men for Harris than for women? That's not happening. anyway there's this:
  10. and it's significant because Trump/GOP had been making inroads with that demographic. they just blew it all up.
  11. except we're seeing pretty significant gaps between local and national races in the polls so far. Trump is outrunning the local candidates by 5-10 points in several places. Some of it is this: But it still doesn't make much sense.
  12. This. I'd also add that whatever information they consume is whitewashed/sanitized - even in the more mainstream outlets.
  13. I think people are anchoring to 2020 too much. That said, I've been thinking NV goes red regardless.
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