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TwiceHorn

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by TwiceHorn

  1. Some good stuff there and citations/links to other good stuff. Funny thing, I had half-heartedly searched for critiques/contrary views but the channel is so flooded with bullshit right-wing sites repeating the same shit that it is difficult to find anything else. This is a common thing these days, but for whatever reason, I lacked the diligence to track down any contrary views.
  2. Well, actually no. I may be an above-average student of WWII history, but he did not say he was eaten by cannibals. He said he was shot down on NG, which is a slight miss, and that there were cannibals on NG, which is 100% true. Compared to some of the shit Trump has said, about current events, on a near daily basis, it's kind of a gaffe. There were and are cannibals on the island of New Guinea. They even caused a variant of CJD because of it. Mad cannibal disease.
  3. He was also wrong, apparently, about his uncles' enlistment dates: it wasn't after D-Day, it was after Pearl Harbor. Big fucking deal.
  4. Yeah, you're high and you have fucked up news sources. Yeah, it appears that it probably wasn't cannibals, but that's far from an impossibility. New Guinea has had cannibals forever. https://www.livescience.com/51191-cannibalism-prions-brain-disease.html
  5. We should probably be clear that Michael Cohen was charged with quite a bit more than campaign finance violations, including the "headshot," bank/mortgage fraud. Although it is true that he pled guilty to all of the offenses charged, I'm pretty sure the campaign finance violation was pretty low on the priority list of avoiding trial and conviction. Kinda like using marked cards in the list of Tuco Ramirez' offenses.
  6. Even despite his recent insanity, when he was speaking to courts and legislatures during the peaceful part of the insurrection, he was smooth and articulate. You could see at least glimpses of who he was.
  7. Unless there's something from social media or otherwise that indicates a clear bias, the magic words from a juror are "yes, I can be fair and unbiased."
  8. He posted a $5M and $83M bond in each of the Carroll appeals. Probably has something to do with why he's low on cash.
  9. Judge Lucius Desha Bunton of the Western District of Texas, RIP, had a number of rules about how lawyers could walk around the courtroom and how witnesses behave. He enforced the rules with a water pistol. At first.
  10. Yeah, as with most things Trump, it's an all-new situation. Who knows what the judge will do, but he seems pretty sharp.
  11. It's highly unusual. Most defendants are not stupid enough to make antagonizing comments about or towards a potential juror. Lawyers actually spend some time coaching demeanor during a trial, but Trump just can't help himself, obviously. Pretty much everyone gets a warning before the hammer comes.
  12. The LOI says it is secured by the assets of the DJT Trust. The Schwab account appears to be an asset of the DJT Trust. So, they are second in priority to themselves, at least according to the LOI. So, if the LOI embodies the true security interests pursuant to that loan AND the loan defaults before a claim matures on the bond (the appeal affirms the judgment in excess of $175M), then they are under- or unsecured on the bond. But, as long as the bond/undertaking obligates Knight to pay on the bond, the conditions of their security interests against Trump are pretty much irrelevant unless there's evidence they don't have the assets to pay. If Knight has the money to pay and wants to make a dumb deal with Trump, that's I think pretty much their business.
  13. Sorry, earlier I called you Texas Ed.
  14. That wasn't the actual objection. But part of the insurance accreditation/certification process is or would have been to show reserves and solvency sufficient to support the type of business they are doing. So I suppose that was implicit in the objection to the bond
  15. Actually, from the objection raised by James office, it was just KSLs ability to do insurance business of this nature in NY. The rest of it seems to be overkill.
  16. He can't, as a broad notion, secure with the account. He'd have to liquidate it and bring a cashiers check to the clerk of the court. The supersedeas bond or undertaking is cash in everything but name, in most jurisdictions. The only thing Trump saves is taxes upon liquidation. Really only delaying that, assuming the judgment is affirmed to the tune of 175M.
  17. No shit Sherlock. He should have been prosecuted straight up years ago like a lot of his cohort doing crimes in the Southern District of New York. Then we might not be so worried about all this shit.
  18. No I am not. But that is a violation of federal election law that the statute of limitations passed on in about 2021-2022. As a federal crime, it is a dead letter. Alvin Bragg and the state of New York have no jurisdiction to prosecute that offense except by ginning up this thing that incorporates, ostensibly,** a federal offense to raise a New York misdemeanor to a felony. **I say ostensibly because it is not yet precisely clear which "another crime" Bragg intends to rely upon to prove the felony level offense. If this were somehow a little guy being prosecuted this way, people would be up in arms.
  19. No you are correct. I'm not a defense attorney, criminal anyway.
  20. Oh fuck you I do not. But the reality, minus the total perspective vortex, is that this is a weird prosecution of a misdemeanor offense that back doors a federal offense to make it a felony. Texas Ed nailed the gist of it. The crime that Cohen pled to is a federal offense that Bragg can't prosecute and the feds declined to prosecute against Trump for whatever reason. I applaud the gymnastics to get here and hope they succeed. But they are gymnastics that make this legally probably the weakest case against Trump of all of them (as opposed to factually).
  21. Except he isn't actually charged with an election crime, and, as a federal crime, Bragg has no jurisdiction to prosecute it. But it is a scheme to conceal it. But the NY crime prompts the question from whom, because no one was looking at his books to try to prove it.
  22. You raise a pretty valid point. This is a weird little statute on NYs books. But, it gets prosecuted with some regularity, although I think in contexts where someone is actually deceived. Especially where the deception occurs in the course of the "second" crime that elevates it to a felony.
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