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TXSooner518

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Posts posted by TXSooner518

  1. 8 minutes ago, NoName said:

    this is all to say: OU should be better than they are statistically, especially because they have played Gabriel a lot in some of these blowouts (why is your injury prone QB playing when the score is 45-17 vs Tulsa? why is he playing in the 2nd half when you are up 47-20 vs Iowa State? he literally played every drive until the last one vs ISU with <6 min in the game) and especially when compared to some of the teams who have played comparable trash schedules.

    I like the analysis overall, but I think this part is aggressively silly. Gabriel played only the first half against Arkansas State. His last snap against Tulsa came with 3:23 to go in the 3rd quarter up 28 until they scored. Ewers' last snap vs Rice was with :30 to go in 3Q to go up 37-3. How is that different?

    Gabriel's last snap against ISU was with 8:41 to go in the 4th Q, but that drive started in the 3rd quarter. Literally no one is pulling their QB in a conference game in the 3rd Q up 27. In fact, Ewers took the field in a drive starting in the 4th Q against Baylor with the score 38-6. Ewers is also running for TDs with 5:00 to go in the game to go up 40-14 on Kansas. 

    I understand injury risk to an extent, but you also need to ensure your offensive unit is cohesive and getting reps together. Also, why is Gabriel injury-prone? He had a broken clavicle at UCF and a concussion last year, in 5 seasons of ball. Why isn't Ewers injury-prone when he missed multiple games in a season and a half of action? Shouldn't Texas not put him in up 32 in the 4th or have him running the ball with 5:00 to go in a game that's over?

     

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  2. 41 minutes ago, NoName said:

    Bryce Young's contract has him making $6.9m next year. i have no clue how much Caleb Williams is making but that's a load of shit, just like him acting like he will stay in college another year, which adds another year to him getting to his second contract

    Not Gonna Happen Justin Gaethje GIF by UFC

    The argument isn't specifically that he will make more next year at USC than he would in the NFL, it's that he would make more with 1 year at USC then a rookie contract at a franchise that maximizes his value vs. coming out and going to a garbage franchise. Of course, the giant hole in that logic is there is no guarantee that a garbage franchise doesn't get the #1 pick next year too and then what? I think it's more for leverage in trying to get a team he doesn't want to trade away the #1 pick rather than "risk" him not playing or whatever. 

    It reeks of his dad. I have nothing but love for Caleb, his dad sucks a bone. 

  3. 1 hour ago, irishtexan said:

    We had Rudy's at our wedding and it was great. Super easy and the out of towners loved it. But yeah, we had A LOT of leftover bbq. Wedding planners always suggest you order too much food and not enough booze. Our wedding planner said to plan on 2.5 drinks per person. My wife and I literally laughed out loud at that suggestion. 

    Anyway, not a new opinion but Rudy's has it's place and catered weddings certainly falls right in their sweet spot. 

    We got married in Allen and had Hutchins do ours, and it worked out phenomenally. 

  4. 12 minutes ago, TexArcher said:

    Hey, guys -- I want to go see Joe Bonamassa at Moody in a few weeks, but the tickets were like $140, so I bought $10 tickets to Saxon Pub that night.  Am I a dick if I sneak from Saxon to Moody and just sit in somebody else's seat?  

     

    I mean, if you ask the BLUEHAIRS

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  5. Pair on Texas side on SeatGeet right now is $840 all in, including fees. Maybe you just suck at ticket shopping?

    Hell, some were sold on the Ticket Exchange board on this very site for $350/ea all in on the Texas side. 

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  6. 7 minutes ago, MikeUT8750 said:

    Well considering the topic at hand was about getting to the Texas side and NOT about trying to upgrade into 'premium' seats, I would say the point is fucking missed. The blue hairs have hijacked the thread. 

    Your post literally was "I can't afford seats I want, so I bought other seats, and now want to sit in the seats I can't afford." The cheapest pair of tickets on SeatGeek on the Texas side is about 80 bucks more expensive than the cheapest pair on the OU side. No, as a 40 year old person, 80 dollars shouldn't be so significant to you that you dramatically worsen not only your own experience, but everyone else's around you.

    Hey, I know, I don't wanna spend $24 for Deep Fried Pho, so I'll just spit on someone else's that just bought it and then take it from them! Don't like it, come on BLUEHAIR, get with it! 

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  7. 1 hour ago, MikeUT8750 said:

    So dont worry blue hairs, you can sit in your little premium bluehair section and jerk each other off to the memory of old Red, sipping your arnold palmies not worrying about someone screaming in your ear when we score a TD. 

    LOL at people being "bluehairs" because they don't want people stealing their already limited space. How many people do you think can wedge into a row beyond its actual seating numbers before it's too many?  2 is fine. 4? 6? If I bring a group of 12 and just smash in and someone's all pressed up on your fiancee, you gonna get pissy or gonna be chill?

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  8. 14 minutes ago, wood said:

    I mean, I dgaf if you drink, or if you drink like a girl, or whatever. But nah man, for what tickets go for now, I ain't gettin' squeezed into half of the normal Cotton Bowl space (that's pretty small to begin with) because you can't figure out how to buy tickets. I've been to about 30 of the last 40 TX-ou games and have managed to never buy seats on the wrong end. Weird.

    This. We had some people wedging into our row a few years ago and people couldn't sit down during timeouts etc because of it, and when we called them out on it, they acted like we were the assholes for trying to actually get what we had paid a premium for. GTFOH.

    I've sat on the Texas side in 1999 (my second OU/TX, was very drunk, by myself in that seat (my friends had already gotten tickets in OU side), and talked A LOT of shit when it was 17-0)), 2000, 2001, 2008, 2011, and on the 50ish in 1995 and one other year. Wife hates sitting on the opposite side, so I don't anymore, but it can really be fun, especially if you are around people who can have some goodnatured shittalking fun without devolving into violent cromags. 

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  9. 1 minute ago, Rickylovesweed said:

    You don't think the style of play has an impact on certain predictive metrics/systems? 

    Bill Connelly has personally admitted that SP+ (S&P back in the day) for whatever reason did not properly predict/evaluate Herman's teams. Even when he was at Houston. Ian Boyd and Bill Connelly had a long discussion about this a few years ago. 

    What, specifically, does Wyoming do and how, specifically, does it affect the metrics?

  10. 1 minute ago, Magus Ossis said:

    Advanced metrics are models. The best model in the universe can't reliably extrapolate from the ability to beat bad teams to know whether you'll play well against a good team early in the season. There is literally a complete absence of the data of interest resulting in total dependence on guessing how to interpret proxy data which is known not to map closely. OU looks good to models that are analyzing turds for data. If OU had even 30 snaps on each side of the ball this year against a solid opponent, the computers would have at least something on which to chew. As it stands, those metrics are just guessing, as shown by the fact that expert humans all seem to agree that OU should be the underdog, but ESPN's machines disagree. The machines are not stupid; they lack useful data.

    Most models have OU the slight underdog. And those models are used heavily in a multibillion dollar industry, it's pretty laughable that you think they are wholly unreliable. The biggest thing is of course that every team has a range of possible results, and so you get outlier outcomes when one team is at the far end of its range and the other is at the opposite end of theirs. Or individual fluky plays. But if OU and Texas could run this game a million times, the end result would be pretty close to 500k-500k. Tech-Wyoming pretty close to 800k-200k Tech. 

  11. 2 minutes ago, Rickylovesweed said:

    No, I just don't take advanced metrics as the end all be all. At the end of the day, it's about wins and losses. 

    When Tech is 20 or 30 spots higher than Wyoming in the advanced metrics (like ESPN efficiency) it's not about "who would be the favorite" it's just that Wyoming is probably undervalued. 

    When Wyoming is 5-1 after this weekend with wins against a P5 team, a decent G5 team in App State, a really good G5 team in Fresno State, and a close loss to Texas I could give two shits if they are ranked outside the top 70 in advanced metrics. They're definitely better than that based on their resume. 

     

     

    Wait I had it on good authority Wyoming got the piss beaten out of them. @Fumbles get in here!  

    And predictive metrics are exactly about who is better and who would win going forward, not about evaluating resumes. I'm waiting for that explanation about how Wyoming's style of play confounds all the systems though. 

  12. Just now, Rickylovesweed said:

    Of course Tech would be favored again. When did I deny that? 

    My point is that Wyoming is not the 80th best team in the country. That will be obvious this weekend when they beat a really good Fresno State team. 

    When you said "For instance, Texas Tech is still ranked above Wyoming in almost every advanced metric by a good bit even though Wyoming beat them."  If you agree Tech is better, then of course they should be higher in advanced metrics. 

  13. 11 minutes ago, Frank Drebin said:

    Spread was Texas -7.5 last year.

    We were discussing this last year over 7am Fair parking lot booze and gummies and decided it had to mean Gabriel was playing. If you could have assured me he wasn't taking snaps, I would have bet literally every penny of disposable income I had on Texas. Beville is legit the worst QB I've ever seen start for OU and I went there and attended every home game for the Schnelly and Blake years. 

  14. Just now, Rickylovesweed said:

    The issue with the advanced metrics is they don't value Wyoming as much as they should based on their style of play. 

    For instance, Texas Tech is still ranked above Wyoming in almost every advanced metric by a good bit even though Wyoming beat them. When Wyoming beats a ranked Fresno State team this weekend people will start to realize that the advanced metrics aren't an accurate reflection of them as a team. 

    So you have figured out a "style of play" loophole in advanced metrics that Sagarin, Connelly, Vegas, etc., are all blind to and unable to correct? Please describe exactly how Wyoming's style of play creates this conundrum. Does it bake in that their starting QB missed the Texas game? Also, if Tech and Wyoming played again, Tech would be favored again. Tech ran fairly bad to lose that game. I agree Wyoming isn't garbage, but if you play in the Cotton Bowl the way you did the first three quarters of that game, Texas will get their asses handed to them. 

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