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TXSooner518

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Posts posted by TXSooner518

  1. Just now, Constant said:

    Which metric are you referring to here? Just my eyes alone would say Colorado has played a tougher schedule than Texas. 

    Or Florida State. Or Ole Miss. Or LSU, South Carolina, Auburn, Tulsa, a couple dozen other teams. But this dude thinks 10-10 in the 4th and failing to cover by multiple scores is "beating the piss" out of someone so may be a lost cause. 

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  2. 2 minutes ago, Fumbles said:

    It was a 31-10 victory.  You can run whatever semantics arguments you want, whatever statistical arguments you want, OU hasn’t played anyone and Texas has looked dominant against the best schedule in football to this point.

    Please provide the source for "best schedule in football" because LOL no. One elite win for sure. Then Rice, Wyoming (with a backup QB), Kansas (with a backup QB), Baylor (with a backup QB).  

  3. 1 minute ago, Fumbles said:

    How did that 4th quarter end?

    Are you arguing that being tied 10-10 in the 4th quarter against a G5 team can ever be called "beating the piss" out of someone? You would call me out for saying OU "beat the piss" out of SMU, and SMU was never tied or in the lead after 0-0. 

    Also that 4th quarter ended with Wyoming covering the spread by 10.5 points, another solid argument against that being a "piss beating."

  4. 5 minutes ago, Rickylovesweed said:

    Most models/advanced metrics have OU covering because they're a paper tiger. 

    They've been putting up inflated numbers against really bad teams. The same shit occurred last year when OU was ranked in the top 10 of several advanced metrics after the first 3  games. Veneables is really good at beating the shit out of bad teams early in the season. 

    LOL this take is like when people say "this team can't cover the spread, they suck!"  Oh, cool, that wasn't already baked in, they didn't know that team sucked when they set the line. 

    1 minute ago, Fumbles said:

    See, the nice thing about Texas is, we don’t have to cherry-pick stats to make our stats look good.  We’ve just beaten the piss out of everyone and after Saturday, that will include you.

    Weren't you tied with Wyoming on your home field in the 4th quarter?

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  5. 7 minutes ago, Js1 said:

    Did you forget where you are?

    Sure, would expect most/all here to expect Texas to win. But some of the wishcasting or belief that it is still 2018 on the defensive side of the ball, or that literally every metric, including tons that adjust for opponent strength are alllll incorrect and you guys have it figured out instead is hilarious. Texas has a really really good team this year, and very well may win, and possibly can win handily. But things like "OU can't stop the run" and "OU's WRs suck" are pretty objectively false. 

  6. 2 minutes ago, Vertigo said:

    OU has some speed at the WR. The one thing I am a bit nervous about going in is how effectively we manage to defend deep shots. I have a feeling that Lebby is going to dial them up as much as he can. Fortunately, Gabriel seems to wilt a little bit against good defenses. 

    OU's WR blocking has also been really really good so far this season. Andrel Anthony is a playmaker, Nic Anderson is going to be a beast, Gibson is excellent now that he learned how to catch, and Stoops is really really reliable and tough. I think people will be surprised considerably if they think OU's WR are mid. 

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  7. 34 minutes ago, perfectchaos007 said:

    Their big tight end Stogner that transferred to USCe a couple years ago  transferred back to OU for this season. Hopefully we can get someone tall to cover him like Ryan Watts if he’s healthy 

    He's borderline worthless. I disagree with CTJ on the caliber of OU's RB and WR, but TE is a glaring weakness. 

  8. 5 minutes ago, WelfareBuysMyWeed said:

    Brent took over a team that was in the college football playoffs before, and were a dynasty in the conference, then promptly produced their first losing season in a decade and half. Sark took over what you are claiming was the worst stretch in UT history and has us with our highest ranking in 15 years. And prior to that, Sark took over teams like the 0-12 Huskies. Your sooner education is showing because the situations aren't equivalent at all.

    LOL yes OU was in the playoffs two seasons before Brent came. The season before, they didn't win the conference, won a lot of one-score games, and then lost the next season's Heisman winner at QB and lost a lot of one-score games. Funny how Washington immediately got better when Sark left, how both of Sark's USC seasons were worse than the one that got Lane Kiffin fired, and how a Texas team that was 32-18 in the 4 seasons before Sark goes 13-12 in his first 2. Turnaround King!

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  9. Lastly, just giant LOL at how everyone knows Brent is dead with a 10-7 start to his career but Sark starting 13-12 in his first two seasons at Texas after going 46-35 as a head coach is clearly a playoff-ready coach. 

    Sark has 9 seasons as a coach with zero top 20 finishes. Texas has one top 18 finish since 2009. Please find a 13 year stretch where OU had one finish in the top 18. 

  10. 4 minutes ago, closetojumping said:

    As to 8.5, that wasn’t how I was thinking about it. I can see 9-3 and then a bedshitting in a bowl to go 9-4. So if you want to bet that the record will be better than 9-4, I’m in. The Big 12 is garbage, so 4 losses in conference seems kind of absurd. I should have said anything better than 9-4 when rereading the post, but I’m not much for proofreading. 

    OK $150 on over 9 then?

  11. 13 minutes ago, WelfareBuysMyWeed said:

    Yes, it was as bad as being portrayed. OU had a 12 year drought of conference titles between 1988 and 2000. They were exactly as limp dicked as is being advertised. It's merely recency bias to think otherwise.

    OU 88-99 was 77-58-3 (57% win). TX 00-21 was 81-67 (55% win). Also TX had 5 losing seasons sprinkled through the whole run. OU had 3 losing seasons, all in a row. 1994-1998 for OU was agreed a worse sustained run than either have had.  

    Also OU finished in the top 15 three times from 1988 to 1993. Texas finished ranked exactly once (19th) from 2010 through 2017. 

  12. 3 minutes ago, WelfareBuysMyWeed said:

    And let's not talk about losing 8 games in a season, multiple times in a row. Texas has NEVER been that shitty in my entire lifetime. You're talking about going back almost 70 years to find a year Texas lost 8 in a season, and going back to the 19-fucking-30's to find a second, something OU did twice in the span of 2 years. No, Texas has never been the dumpster fire that OU was in the 90's. Not even fucking close.

    Texas hasn't been as bad as 96-98 OU, but the full decade wasn't as bad as being portrayed, and OU 88-99 was better than TX 10-21 overall. 

  13. 36 minutes ago, closetojumping said:

    Confirmed on the bet at $150.

    Booked.  The rest is really wishcasting to the nth level, similar to all those seasons where you posted similar screeds about why Texas was going to get it done, and then paid me hundreds of dollars after eating shit to the tune of 55-17 or 63-21. Yes, man, Demarco is just spitefully fucking with the heads of the RB room for reasons. I 100% guarantee you that anyone who knows defense can look at the lines taken, positions players are in, tackling ability and see marked improvement, schedule or not. OU had four straight 4th down stuffs of Cincy, including multiple short yardage stops, and more on 3rd down. OU had literally 0% of getting off the field last year on 3rd or 4th and short. Stutsman is playing at an elite level.

    I do think Texas is more likely than OU to win the game, but I will put another $150 on over 8.5 wins for the season since 9 wins will surprise you. 

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  14. 31 minutes ago, closetojumping said:

    closetojumping's law - the longer a college football discussion carries forth online about any given CFB subject matter, the probability of a comparison being invoked regarding the subject and Nick Saban trends toward 1.

    Saban lost 6 in 2007, to be clear. 

    There's greater context involved than just record comparisons, but you know that. Venables has stepped on his dick off the field with multiple blunders, not the least of which is how he handled tossing Cale Gundy out on his ass with some trumped up bullshit. His coaching staff is a laughable joke outside of Bates and Bedenbaugh. You don't have to agree or see that. It's just a factual statement from observers who have been to these movies before. Nice touch on putting a rape enabler in a position of power though. Very on-brand for Oklahoma football.

    The recruiting class for 2023 was heavy at the top, thin in the middle, and heavy at the bottom. You've already had 2 guys leave the program from that group. Venables is currently doing the same exact thing with the 2024 class. It will close highly ranked, just as the 2023 class was. We'll see how they work out. They look awfully Herman/late Mack/Chuckles-esque to those of us who follow such things. 

    I don't bet online. If I were in Vegas and could catch -5.5 this week, I would put $1k on it. You and I haven't bet in a good long while. If you're this confident in your team, let me know what you'd like to put on it this year and I'm game. Straight up like old times, usually when OU was favored.

    Yep, I thought he was 7-7 for some reason, stuck in my mind. 7-6 with a home loss to La-Monroe. Stoops 7-5 first season. Tressel 7-5 first season. Mack 5 losses his second season. Y'all are feeling Sark bigly now, and he was 5-7 his first season. 

    And prettttty sure if Cale stayed after using the N bomb in practice, I bet you would have a complaint about that. 

    Again, I'm not even saying I'm so confident in OU or that Venables is for sure the dude. The jury is out is my point, when some people are saying it's a done deal based on a whole bunch of wishcasting. There is no national narrative of this, and in fact the current narrative is how dramatic the defensive improvement, both on-field and recruiting, have been.

    That said, you did take TX straight up in some years where OU was favored, so to be sporting I will offer a $150 straight up wager. 

    29 minutes ago, Thiefery said:

    BV and his staff hit the portal and grabbed the QB they wanted.  Bill stayed behind to continue recruiting and coaching the OL.. Murray stayed as well..  Sure the defense was hot shit but the losses they had in their streak.. a lot of that was due to the offense going 3 and out within 40 seconds, multiple times.

     

    I mean, sure guy, I bet they wanted Dillon Gabriel over Caleb Williams. For sure. Definitely no massive roster turnover happened. Definitely no complete change of the defensive scheme. 

    OU's losses with Gabriel playing the game, they scored 34, 35, 20, 48, and 32, but please do tell me more about how the offense lost those games. 

  15. 2 minutes ago, Thiefery said:

    Saban also didn't take over a school that had finished 11-2 the season prior, either.

    Hmm, I wonder what happened after that 11-2 season that might have had some impact. Also they were 10-2 two seasons before he took over, then fell to 6-6 with Mike Shula, hired Saban and go 6-6 again. Gene Stallings took over a 10-2 Bama, lost 5 games his first year, 3 of his next 4 years were 11-2, 13-0, 12-1, including a natty.  

  16. 56 minutes ago, NoName said:

    rarely do coaches have THAT bad of a dumpster fire of a first year and turn it around.

    You keep saying this, and I'm not saying it's a lock Venables is the dude, but OU was still a Top 25 team in efficiency measures last year, the record was obv ugly going an unsustainable (unless you're Scott Frost) 0-5 in one score games. The only games OU wasn't in were a game on the road against a team that played for the national title where OU's only QB was hurt in the first half, and in the Cotton Bowl against a good team out for blood with OU starting one of the worst P5 QBs in this century.

    Nick Saban literally lost 7 games his first season at Bama, including a home loss to La-Monroe.  Bob Stoops won one more game his first year than Venables did. Fickell went 6-6 his first and only season at tOSU. Again, not saying he's those guys, but acting like it's impossible he's not terrible b/c OU lost a huge lead in Lubbock at night and a wire to wire bowl game against a team in direct CFP consideration this year is silly. Win those 2 and he's 8-5 and then what? Impossible to be good from 8-5 taking over after a massive program upheaval?

    I do hope all you guys that are so sure are dumping thousands and thousands of dollars on that free TX -5.5 money. 

  17. How was the course?  My folks just bought a lot there.  I'm thinking about going out there in two weeks to play.  Haven't been out there in 2+ years.  

    It’s a nice track and was in great condition in July. They are pretty proud of it and have some kind of confusing policies. I wouldn’t hesitate to fire it again.
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