I mean I can try to paint a path and a picture, but no, nobody has scientific proof of anything. People still debate if the Franz Ferdinand assassination really started WWI, they are wrong but yeah I have no scientific proof.
We should not be paralyzed by this though, there was a baseline 40% of Gen Z men were going MAGA, that was the expectation baked into the model, older people would die, younger people would be more progressive and we could see the light at the end of the tunnel. That calculus changed and while it might have not been enough to alter the 2024 election the repercussions are real and will be with us for the rest of our lives, the question is how to reverse course without looking like a bunch of out of touch "why hello fellow kids".
Feminists positing Coach Tim Walz as a male role model was offensive and tone deaf. Hell you need someone like DiCaprio who is a lady's man, but guess what? feminists loathe Leo because he dates young women. We can't let the inmates run the asylum.