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Posts posted by Burt Macklin
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7 minutes ago, Dbeasy said:
I’ve been a Quinn defender for a long time. He is able to make throws and reads that most other qb’s can’t make. You see how we are even worse with Arch in the game because of his inexperience.
However, there is something fundamentally missing with the guy. His lack of pocket presence, pocket awareness, escapability, and inability to find and hit receivers down field makes him a liability. I really don’t know where you go from here with him. And I don’t know where this team goes. It goes nowhere in the playoffs imo.
I agree with this. He’s good, not great. His lack of mobility, inability to navigate the pocket or handle pressure really hurts us against good to great defenses. I still think he’s our best QB this year by a good bit and you keep playing him all year, but it’s hard to believe we have a national title ceiling with him at QB. He hasn’t shown anything to believe he can play consistently well against 3-4 good defenses in a row in the CFP.
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20 minutes ago, UTEE97 said:Was the playoff game against Washington not a big game? How many chances did he have to get us the W in the end? Yes, Quinn has played well in most big games but it's not a guarantee. Let's see which Quinn shows up tomorrow.
This is such a stupid post. He had over 400 yards of offense with no turnovers. He’s not responsible for our running backs fumbling twice and our defense giving up 37.
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7 minutes ago, The Ace of Aces said:Texas IMO loses by 2+ touchdowns if Quinn plays like he did in 1Q vs OU. Georgia has an offense that can capitalize on short fields and turnovers.
This is some really good analysis. If Quinn performs the entire game like he did in the first quarter he played after being out for a month with an injury, which would result in Quinn playing by far the worst game of his entire career, then Texas will probably lose.
Do you have a newsletter I can subscribe to?
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31 minutes ago, Hookem10 said:
If I was playing Texas and ewers. I’d press the wrs and force ewers to complete long balls honestly. I’m not a coach so I’m sure I’m wrong, but I feel you have to make ewers throw long and take the chance he’s not gonna complete those passes or maybe get lucky and win most of the reps
FAFO GEORGIA
10 minutes ago, GoldAppleCorps said:You can attack physical, pressing DBs by moving off the LOS. Using "bunch" formations where only 1 receiver is actually on the LOS and the rest have to get sorted out at the snap is one way of staying out of physical battles. Pre-snap motion also makes those defenders declare who they're playing.
Of course, there's always the risk that you lose your "jam" at the LOS. Best thing to do when that happens is to fade forward and pretend like your coverage assignment was the flat. Turning and chasing just means you're going to be out of breath when you hear the band play "Texas Fight".
Agree with this. Every fan's first idea for defense is to play press man and get to the QB with 4, but there's a reason that basically no college defense actually runs this. Between motion, rub routes, bunch formations that don't allow pressing and tight alignments combined with the significantly wider hash marks in the NFL. It's way too easy to isolate a safety on a guy like Isaiah Bond with no help or run a mesh route that leaves him wide open with room to run. In other words, Quinn doesn't have to hit a single deep ball to kill press man coverage. On top of that, our OL, and specifically our OTs, are way too good in pass pro to play press man consistently.
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10 minutes ago, kevwun said:
Max last won a race over a month before the rule change was made about braking. The slide started way before it.
This is some impressive head in the sand shit right here.
It wasn't a rule change. The braking device was always illegal. Also, the FIA always goes to the teams first about this before they make any public announcement, just like they did with the Ferrari engines in 2019. Ferrari's pace dropped off way before a public announcement was made.
Same thing happened with Red Bull. Max finished first or second in every race up to the British Grand Prix on 7/7. Since that race, his pace has dropped off a cliff and has usually been finishing around 5th place over 20 seconds behind the leader. There's a very clear correlation between Max's huge decrease in pace and when the FIA started investigating this issue.
Now Red Bull has admitted to the ride height device and said they changed their car after discussing with the FIA.
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33 minutes ago, kevwun said:
Nah it's probably McClaren or Ferrari.
Leaving out the team that pretty much always bends the rules and just had a huge loss in performance right after the FIA "clarified" you can't have an asymmetric braking device is a weird move.
3 minutes ago, Chewbacca said:Everyone on reddit thinks it's Red Bull.
More specifically, an F1 journalist is reporting that Red Bull is the team being accused of cheating by other teams.
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20 minutes ago, Codaxx said:
That SoCar vs A&M game could get interesting. 2 legit DLs in that game. SC edges are excellent. Kennard is an absolute beast. If SoCar gets a couple explosives on offense and they have a chance. Would like them more if their OL was not happy to imitate a well-worn speed bump.
Yeah, that won't be an easy win for them, but SCar's weak OL against A&M's DL will be a problem. Sellers will have to make a lot of off schedule plays. Still though, SoCar being your toughest road opponent all season is a joke. A&M is probably the 6th or 7th best team in the conference, but they have a good shot at making the title game because they have the easiest SEC conference schedule when you take into account opponent strength and home vs. road games.
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19 minutes ago, Fondren & Main said:
OU had a wide open wheel route that could've scored but the DL was just too much for the dirt burglars.
8 minutes ago, Doc Daneeka said:They had the one wide open wheel route heading into their end. Maybe I’m just blanking on the others.
Right. A coverage bust on a wheel route is completely different than the OP claiming our CBs were getting burnt deep multiple times by OU. OU barely had any completions over 10 yards and almost all of them were when we were playing zone or on the last drive of the game.
2 minutes ago, ClubWhatever said:Their third play from scrimmage was a TD if Hawkins puts it on the money
Huh? Muhammad was right there with the WR the whole way and then he pushed off right at the end. Even still, it was good coverage and there was very little room for a catch to be made. Definitely not an example of him getting beat deep.
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53 minutes ago, Atticus said:
But now, we probably see Bama and Kalen DeBoer, so it’s a great time to get the UGa pelt on our wall before they fall off any further.
Ehhh maybe. They're looking very beatable and still have to play at Tennessee and at LSU, plus the Iron Bowl at the end of the season. They could pretty easily end the year with 2-3 losses in conference. Assuming we beat UGA, Bama at LSU and LSU at A&M are the two games that will determine who makes the conference title game. LSU and A&M have 0 losses in conference. A&M has been gifted an unbelievably easy schedule. They don't have to play Bama, UGA, Ole Miss, or Tenn and they get LSU and Texas at home. The toughest road game they play all year will be at South Carolina.
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18 minutes ago, D3zii said:
If you go back and look on film we have been beat multiple times in multiple games deep, specially the WR's more so on our level OU, and Miss State.
Did you watch the same OU game as the rest of us?
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On 10/8/2024 at 12:25 PM, Burt Macklin said:
I'm sure the lines will change based on how UT does against OU, but the markets are a little all over the place with the UGA game in two weeks. Most places have UGA as about a 2 point favorite over us. Fanduel is the outlier with UT as a 2.5 point favorite. Caeser's has UT +3 at -110. That seems like a pretty nice line to bet two weeks out, especially if you think UT will mudhole OU this weekend.
Gonna pat myself on the back on this one. I thought it was crazy you could get UT +3 at almost even odds in the middle of last week. Now the line has swung 8 points.
(Ignore anything I said about Iowa and UW).
On 10/8/2024 at 12:25 PM, Burt Macklin said:1. Vandy is a 13.5 point dog at Kentucky and Bama is a 21.5 home favorite over SCar. So the lines imply Bama seriously dropped the ball to a still not good Vandy team. Also has some inference to Mizzou since Vandy also took Mizzou to OT at Mizzou.
Looking back at these lines is also pretty interesting. Turns out Vandy is legit, and Bama has critical issues that aren't easily fixed. The lines didn't adjust nearly enough to the Bama-Vandy result for either side. Now that Vandy won and Bama easily could have lost to SCar, I'm assuming the lines will be adjusted for both teams moving forward.
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1 minute ago, lilMAC25 said:
I’m not saying it was a perfect throw by any means, I’m saying Bond likely makes the catch if he doesn’t slip.
I don't think so. He was always goin to have trouble coming back to that since he was on a vertical route and had to change course entirely. At best it would have been a diving catch. I don't see any way he was going to be able to catch and run on that.
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32 minutes ago, lilMAC25 said:
Not sure if anyone has discussed this, but on Texas 2nd drive, 3rd and 3 about 10:35 in 1st period,Texas takes a deep shot to Bond.
Announcers (and me) thought QE made a bad throw. On rewatch, Bond slipped on the midfield logo coming out of his cut.
If that doesn’t happen, Bond gets his hands on the ball (he barely missed it anyways), and possibly catches it on the run. Big change in early momentum and QE’s confidence if that happens.
It was a really bad throw. Quinn should have thrown it about 10 yards further and more vertical ahead of Bond. Bond slipped because he was trying to adjust and come back to the poorly thrown ball. If Quinn threw it anywhere close to where it should have been, it was an easy touchdown. Quinn had some pressure in his face, but he absolutely should have been able to make that throw. His throwing motion was weird on that one, so I'm going to optimistically chalk that up to the injury/rust.
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2 hours ago, sunset87 said:
It certainly isn't a given that OU can win another game in the SEC this season. If they lose the rest of their conference games this year, Venables might be gone. This is his 3rd year and his offense is hot garbage. He has completely fucked up their QB situation, and their offense. He is at least is partly responsible for how that has been handled. He might get another year by replacing his OC, but I wouldn't count on it.
I can't see their decision makers being very patient with him. Good DC but in over his head as HC, imo.
On the other hand, maybe they are dumb enough to let him stay a while. They're due a down cycle.
OU just gave him a 6 yr, $50 mil extension this summer and OU’s boosters are being hit up hard for NIL funding. I don’t see him getting fired even if they go 5-7 this year. Likely an OC firing and he’ll get at least one more year.
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28 minutes ago, Codaxx said:
Watched a little Georgia. I dont think they are going to be as complex. I dont think their LBs can match OU LBs' eye discipline. Georgia has struggled with eye discipline this year. That is usually a death sentence vs Sark. If Kirby cmes out and does the Saban "we have better talent" game plan, I expect 35 or more on the scoreboard for Texas. (assuming we see pre-injury Ewers)
Agree with this. UGA has better athletes on defense, but they’ve looked much worse coached than OU to this point in the season.
I was shocked at how poorly prepared they were to account for Milroe, especially when Bama went empty, in the first half. Kirby basically said they weren’t ready for it at half time and then they accounted for the QB and more or less shut Bama down in the second half besides that Williams play. It was a terrible coaching job by Smart that lost them the game.
Overall, they have not been disciplined or assignment sound on defense, which is very unusual for Smart. The comparisons of him to Urban Meyer at UF are starting to look accurate. He seems to be losing control of the locker room/culture both on and off the field.
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On 10/14/2024 at 9:03 AM, victory88 said:This defense has a chance to go down as the most dominant defense in Texas history if they continue this. Props to PK, the players, and the assistant coaches. They have improved every year. We're big, fast, strong, and can cover at every level. The crazy thing is the level of disrespect this defense gets. All week people talked about ou's defense. This week they will talk about the UGA defense. This squad should be getting more attention than the offense. I cannot wait for them to fuck up Georgia.
Texas defense is definitely being disrespected, but I do understand it. We haven’t played a single offense worth a shit, and dominating terrible offenses doesn’t mean you can hold up against a good offense. Having said that, I think the defense will have a very good showing against UGA, and then all the doubts/excuses are out the window for the defense and the team as a whole. If we execute like I think we will against UGA, then Texas should be power ranked in its own tier at the top of CFB, with everyone else fighting to be second best.
On 10/14/2024 at 11:14 AM, Doc Daneeka said:Maybe this staff will double tap the “Texas doesn’t develop players” take, once and for all.
Some talking heads might not realize it until later this season or into the NFL Draft time, but that narrative is already lying cold on the table.
Last year’s draft class was littered with guys developed by this staff. Sweat was underwhelming and inconsistent at UT before this staff turned him into the best DL in CFB last year. Jaylan Ford was a 3 star turned into an All-American by PK. Same for Byron Murphy. Christian Jones was another one.
Then they follow up that effort last year with guys like Tre Wisner, Gunnar Helm, Jake Majors, Cam Williams, Gbenda, Guilbeau, Broughton, Taffe, Sorrell, and Barron. This team and the 2025 draft class will be littered with 3 and low 4 star guys turned into high level football prospects.
And that list was focusing on lower rated recruits. When you add in the 5 stars and elite transfers we’ve developed, like Banks, Hill, Ewers, Bond, and Simmons, there isn’t a single coaching staff in CFB doing a better job developing players than Sark and Co.
4 hours ago, Mitch Cumsteen said:Boy next year’s LB crew with another year of experience for Hill and Lefau, and letting Tyanthony Smith marinate a little, is going to be the best Texas LB group I can remember.
Yep. If you look at what this staff has done at LB and edge in the last couple years, it’s absolutely miraculous. We’ve been wandering the desert at those spots for over a decade.
We could very well have the best LB and edge position groups in the country next year.-
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9 minutes ago, tokamak said:
Realistic best case finish to get a little discussion going?
Hilson, Terry, a DT (Mbatchou/Wynn/Mathis/Simpson), a LB, a surprise CB
Questions:
- we still recruiting any LBs other than Pettijohn? Haven't heard much about Faraimo or Owusu lately
- would they take more than 1 DT if they want in?
- Kelshaun Johnson coming in for Georgia is interesting considering we just landed McCutcheon. That's not a question, get over it.
It definitely seems like we’re going all out for Pettijohn with his visit this week and then the staff can circle back on the other guys if it’s not happening with Pettijohn.
I think the goal number remaining at DT is 2, but I doubt they take a second DT if it’s not one of the guys on their short list.
The staff still seems to be going after all of Lee, Brew, and Sanchez at CB. I’m not sure if we take a CB if we miss on those three, unless there’s a late riser not currently on our board.
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18 hours ago, BurntEyes said:
That's fine you want to enjoy it. It's also fine if some choose to critique it. Both are reasonable and logical choices based on yesterday's performance.
I am curious of the faulty logic I bolded above in your statement. Are you accusing ME of faulty logic?
Are you debating me on the quality of the defense we played? Are you arguing it is a good defense? If so please define good defense.
Before the game Ousux was ranked 43 after 48 out of 133 in that ranking system.
That's below the top 30% or.. below a C average. AKA failing grade.
Maybe that's good to you. Failing grades don't qualify in my world.
17 hours ago, BurntEyes said:There is no metric upon which Ou's defense is ranked 4th in the nation that I'm aware of currently. None, but show me data and change my mind.
Talking heads say stupid shit.
48th of 133 isn't good by most measures and defintions. But that's semantics which I've covered.
I've already agreed multiple times the OU D scheme was good.
I don't disagree with your points on the difficulty reading coverages nor your broad assessment of Quinn. However, a Heisman level QB on an NC contender should not struggle with that difficulty for a quarter.
Not sure what you're debating me about.
16 hours ago, BurntEyes said:All fine and dandy but they are 48 out of 133 in total defense. Don't go FULL Graham on me, you don't have the chops or street cred.
If you call a D grade pretty good, well, you're bad at math or your verbiage sucks.
This is a true tour de force in stupidity by Burnt Eyes. Using total yardage to measure a team’s defense in the year of our Lord 2024 is mind boggling. And then to triple down and start talking smack using total yardage as your metric is some all time Shaggy/Surly combination of hubris and idiocy.
8 hours ago, BurntEyes said:OU Football schedule:
Temple 124 FPI rank
Temple 3 v OU 51
Houston 78 FPI rank
Houston 12 v OU 16
Tulane 24 FPI rank
Tulane 19 v OU 34
Tennessee 7 FPI Rank
Tennessee 15 v OU 24
Auburn 34 FPI Rank
Auburn 21 v OU 27
Texas # 1 FPI Rank
Texas 34 v OU 3
Holding Tennessee to 15 points is good defense.....
Never in my life did I think I'd be arguing with so many Longhorn fans who were complimenting OUsux offense as being good on a Longhorn board.
Seems like there might be a hidden agenda I can't quite figure out.
6 minutes ago, BurntEyes said:It was a typo early AM, and that's all you have because the OU defense isn't good.
It’s not a typo. You’re just continuing to show you don’t know shit about fuck. He gave you their defense-only ranking, DFEI. You quoted FPI, which is a team’s overall ranking from a completely different metric and which is pretty pointless when you’re trying to determine how good OU’s defense is in isolation.
Both DFEI and SP+ have OU’s defense as a top 15 defense in the country even after the UT game. OU has a good defense. It’s really not possible to intelligently argue otherwise.
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Brent Venables thinks Jackson Arnold is better than Dillon Gabriel.
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1 minute ago, Kwix said:
He makes how much now? Shows up with wrinkled jacket, pants too long, and shoes untied.
Elko needs to donate his entire collection of sport coats to the hurricane relief efforts. Each one could easily work as a tent for a family of four.
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2 hours ago, JBJ said:
My model has Mizzou #54 (high confidence) and Iowa #14 (low confidence).
Did Mixzou drop a ton after last week, or did your model already have them lower?
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2 hours ago, Fud said:
Current draft odds per DVOA
1) Carolina (19.4% of getting the top pick)
2) New England (also 19.4% for the top pick)
3) Cleveland (12.6%)
4) Tennessee (8.4%)
5) Jacksonville (7.4%)
6) Las Vegas
7) Miami
'8) LA Rams
9) NY Giants
10) IndianapolisThis seems like a brutal year to need a QB at the top of the draft. I wouldn't feel good about spending a top 3 pick on any of Milroe, Ewers, Sanders, Ward, or Beck.
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19 hours ago, texifornia said:
Hate Week, midweek football, and a top-tier primetime slate. After a weekend of snoozy matchups gave us must-watch TV, this one gets mean in a hurry.
PS: I'll be in Seattle on Saturday. Anyone know a good spot to watch the games?
Lines are the Circa opening lines.
Tuesday game
Florida International @ Liberty (-18) - 7/6 CBSSN: Vice U versus the world's most annoying money laundering front. Just like every week, we hope one of the community colleges Liberty plays removes them from the Playoff conversation.
Wednesday games
New Mexico State @ Jacksonville State (-18) - 7:30/6:30 ESPN2: Aggies at Gamecocks! No, the other ones. Sorry.
Thursday games
Coastal Carolina @ James Madison (-10) - 7:30/6:30 ESPN2: Fun Belt action! Say hello again to Tim Beck, who has already made the Chanticleers much less fun to watch.
Middle Tennessee State @ Louisiana Tech (-6) - 8/7 CBSSN: It's college football. It's on TV.
Friday games
Harvard @ Cornell - 6/5 ESPN2: Did you know Ithaca is gorges? Why is this televised? Harvard even has a conference loss already.
Memphis (-5) @ South Florida - 7/6 ESPN: A pair of talented G5s, in what should be a close game.
Northwestern @ Maryland (-12) - 8/7 Fox: Well, it is a B1G game. But it's not a good one.
#16 Utah (-5) @ Arizona State - 10:30/9:30 ESPN: The Big XII has been very good at cannibalizing itself. Can Utah stop Cam Skattebo?
Saturday games
South Carolina @ #7 Alabama (-22) - 11/12 ABC: Two wounded teams face off. Dylan Stewart had one of the funniest, most utterly braindead penalties of the week last week. Bama lost to the New Mexican Superhombre, Diego Pavia. Feels like Bama rights the ship here.
Washington @ Iowa (-1) - 11/12 Fox: A Big Noon Saturday game finally makes the watch list! It's not very good, and it's mostly here because it's a weak early slate, but still.
Georgia Tech (-4) @ North Carolina - 11/12 CW: How low can Mack go?
It might be fun to check in on some decent MACtion with Toledo (-10) @ Buffalo (11/12 ESPNU) and see if the Deacs can put up any resistance in #10 Clemson (-23) @ Wake Forest (11/12 ESPN).
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#t18 Oklahoma vs. #1(!!!) Texas (-14) - 2:30/3:30 ABC: OU sucks.
#4 Penn State (-4) @ USC - 2:30/3:30 CBS: Now we're reaching the kinds of games James Franklin loves to lose. USC's schedule is a bag of hammers, and Minnesota is an ugly loss, but they should be up for a top 5 visitor.
California @ #22 Pittsburgh (-3) - 3:30/2:30 ESPN: Top-tier online fanbase matchup, but it's hard to imagine Cal has much left in the mental tank after the officials swiped a monster win from them in Berkeley.
Arizona @ #14 BYU (-3) - 4/3 Fox: It doesn't feel like BYU can keep this undefeated streak up, and Zona is coming off a big win against Utah. Should be an excellent game.
Keep an Upset Watch eye on Stanford @ #11 Notre Dame (-23) (3:30/2:30 NBC) and Mississippi State @ #5 Georgia (-34) (4:15/3:15 SECN).
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#2 Ohio State (-4) @ #3 Oregon - 7:30/6:30 NBC: Fuck yes, this is going to kick ass.
#9 Ole Miss (-3) @ #13 LSU - 7:30/6:30 ABC: A mean, hateful ranked rivalry undercard. The Magnolia Bowl is a guaranteed mudfight, and Lane and Kelly are box office head coaches.
#11 Iowa State (-3) @ West Virginia - 8/7 Fox: A nasty trap game for the force 5 Cyclones. Night games in Morgantown hit different.
Florida @ #8 Tennessee (-17) - 7/6 ESPN: A strong helmet game. Tennessee can't let Arkansas beat them twice. Being at home should help.
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#t18 Kansas State (-4) @ Colorado - 10:15/9:15 ESPN: KSU is the fully-weaponized version of the NDSU team Colorado almost lost to. Good luck, Buffs.
#17 Boise State (-18) @ Hawaii - 11/10 CBSSN: Can Ashton Jeanty pass the Hawaii test?
There's some pretty interesting lines this week after all of last week's upsets. There's definitely some debate over who's actually good or who just had a one-week fluke.
1. Vandy is a 13.5 point dog at Kentucky and Bama is a 21.5 home favorite over SCar. So Bama seriously dropped the ball to a still not good Vandy team. Also has some inference to Mizzou since Vandy also took Mizzou to OT at Mizzou.
2. Following up on #1, Mizzou eeked out wins at home against BC and Vandy, who are 56th and 67th in F+. I have no idea how SP still has Mizzou at 13th other than still having preseason ranking bias. FEI has them all the way down to #32, and I believe FEI puts less preseason weighting in their rankings at this point in the year than SP+. To the eye test, I'd say Mizzou looks to be around 50th-60th best team in the country, and I expect they'll keep falling in the advanced rankings. A&M got a huge boost getting to play Mizzou while they were still ranked in the top 10.
3. It's not a direct comparison, but Texas was a 37.5 point favorite over MSU with Arch starting two weeks ago. MSU's performance against us bumped them up a bit in both SP+ and FEI. UGA is a 33.5 point favorite over MSU this week. I'm sure the lines will change based on how UT does against OU, but the markets are a little all over the place with the UGA game in two weeks. Most places have UGA as about a 2 point favorite over us. Fanduel is the outlier with UT as a 2.5 point favorite. Caeser's has UT +3 at -110. That seems like a pretty nice line to bet two weeks out, especially if you think UT will mudhole OU this weekend.
4. Iowa being a 2.5 point favorite over Washington surprises me some. I think Washington is pretty clearly better, but I wonder how much the game being at Iowa and Washington traveling two time zones plays in to the spread. Big Ten teams are 1-8 when traveling multiple time zones (not many unexpected outcomes though), so maybe the travel is giving a bigger home field bump than normal. Iowa's a little different this year than most previous years. They still have a very good defense, but they are more prone to giving up explosive plays this year, and their running offense is very good. If UW can hold up against the run, Iowa will be in trouble because I don't see them shutting down UW's offense all game.
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Quinn "La Joya" Ewers - The Man The Myth The Mullet
in Football
Posted
Other than Arch having all the time in the world and completely missing a wide open receiver on third down, right?