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boilerhorn

Certifiably Surly
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Posts posted by boilerhorn

  1. Cowboys successfully reached on every pick through the first three rounds.

    1.12 (12) Parsons - LB (rank 16)
    2.12 (44) Joseph - CB (rank 64)
    3.11 (75) Odiguizuwa - DT (rank 87)
    3.21 (85) Gholston - DE (rank 177)
    3.36 (99) Wright - CB (rank 272)

     

  2. 1 minute ago, TexasBeta said:

    Jenkins before Cosmi?

    It was the Bears after all.  That said, just about all prognosticators had Jenkins ahead if Cosmi, if memory serves.

    • Like 1
  3. 2 minutes ago, WhatTheBuck said:

    Figured they’d go for an OT. 

    There will be plenty of good OT at 33 and/or 45.  I am surprised some of the defensive guys are still on the board: JOK and Moehring come to mind.

  4. I am (naively?) hopeful that Texas A&M is becoming less racist over time.  The population growth, auto-admit issues, etc. will definitely help with that.  For the most part, a student who attends Texas A&M can get a top-tier education.  Their engineering schools and business schools are well respected and well-ranked.  Many students in those majors are there for the education and tolerate/ignore the associated idiocy.  Their goal: degree then on to the next phase.

    I suspect most of the folks who post on college oriented message boards no longer attend the university.  For many, they represent the lunatic fringe of the alumni or t-shirt fan base.  I think TexAgs falls into that category.  Surly ?  Only sometimes :)

    The demographic shift at Texas A&M has been quite profound.

      2000 2010 2020
    White 81.50% 72.40% 57.80%
    Hispanic 9.10% 15.90% 25.20%
    Asian 3.40% 4.50% 9.40%
    Black 2.50% 3.30% 3.00%

    What is missing in the above numbers is that more and more of the top-notch students from suburban schools are enrolling at Texas A&M.  

    Last, mean SAT scores have risen over 110 points since 2002 (~50 points from test redesign).  That means that the mean SAT at A&M moved from the 75th national percentile in 2002 to the 85th national percentile in 2020.  That is significant.  

    As Texas residents, we need Texas A&M to be a high quality university.  It seems to be improving in student quality and relevant rankings.  In time, we will either see the racist fringes die off or be smothered by the more responsible majority.

  5. On 4/25/2021 at 4:21 PM, jimmyjazz said:

    I still don't know why Flannigan didn't use all her bullshit social media history and outright false information against her.  It does kinda speak to the idea that he didn't actually want to win.

    Yup. A half-time job paying $140k can surely salve the wound.

    Kelly took a prudent political position heading into the council race, labeled as a conservative republican.  Otherwise intelligent, educated "R" have attached themselves to her as the way to guide Austin forward.  It's insane. 

    An acquaintance of mine touted her as the "Conservative voice of the Council" and I responded that she was "a kook."  She's viewed as the path to saving Austin from the homeless problem.  Uh, no.

     

    On 4/22/2021 at 4:52 PM, phdhorn said:

    Yep.  Austin dumped at-large districts in 2012 and of course in good bureaucratic fashion increased the incompetency from 6 to 10 members.  So even less voted for her than used to be the case per council member.

    However, you are correct in that the dumbasses all over Austin voted in 2012 to change the system, so indirectly you're right.

    To be honest, single-member districts seemed like a good idea at the time.  Increasing the number from 6 to 10 - at the same time - may not have been a good idea.  The conventional wisdom at the time was that council was dominated by "Central Austin interests" and that the high-growth areas had no representation.  10 years later, we have Fitlump because only 15k people showed up to vote in the district 6 runoff.  Did we get the representation we deserved?

    • Hook 'Em 2
  6. 7 minutes ago, Eggo said:

    Takes me back to 2011 when we desperately (like desperately) wanted David Ash to catch on but ended up subbing Case McCoy coming out of every half time. 

    Oh God not this again. 

    If Sarkisian thinks alternating between Thompson/Card is OK, then I am OK with it.  Either of Card or Thompson are better choices than either of Ash or McCoy.

    • Hook 'Em 2
  7. I worried that the "no new appraisals" in Travis last year would run most of the aggregators and appeal consultants out of business.  Fortunately, some are still around.

    For 2020, of the ~17k homes I reviewed in 78750 and 78759, only around 700 went up in value and most of those were not reappraisals, but removals of concessions made in previous appeals.  For example, my home value increased by ~15% last year when functional obsolescence reductions were removed.  Why?  "Because people are moving from California and don't care about those things."  Those were words from a TCAD appraiser.  I did a formal appeal and got some of it back.

    This year, my property went up another 15%.  I should appeal again - or hire someone - but I am not sure it will amount to much. 

    Anecdotes from real estate agents I know

    • Homes in River Place area often receive 20+ offers in a weekend and go for $150k above asking.
    • Outlier went for $400k above asking (asked ~$900k - sold for $1.3mm)
    • House in NW Austin on market for $1.25mm.  Under contract for $1.4mm cash.  TCAD: 2020 appraisal: $650k; 2021 appraisal: $725k
    • Demand is high and supply is low, so it's only going to get worse.
  8. 1 hour ago, BurntOrange&White said:

    Any list that does not include Ohio state at the 1 spot  in hostile is shit. 

    Attended the 2004 tOSU@Purdue game.  Bought tickets early in the season, as it appeared both would be top-10 by the time of the game. That did not play out.

    Anyhow, tickets were in high demand, so we (brother,  brother's wife, father) sat in end-zone.  Turns out it was filled with tOSU fans.  Most acted as adults, but still took everything too damned seriously.  They were jerks when Purdue was kicking their ass in the first half and toned it down as they came back.  

    Kyle Orton, who had been held out most of the game due to injury, was inserted for the final 2 drives.  The first was a 3-and-out with Purdue up 17-10.  tOSU tied it on the next drive at 17.  tOSU fans started to bow up and get confident.  Orton came in and proceeded to take Purdue 80 yards down the field - going 6-6 - for the go-ahead TD with 2:25 left.  We Purdue fans were going bananas.  We might have gotten shanked if we were in Columbus.

    Anyhow, after the Purdue win, the folks around us were as cordial as they could be.  Which was not very.

    As my we walked back to my brother's house (reasonable walking distance from the stadium in West Lafayette), several clusters of tOSU "fans" offered to fight us, etc.  My group took the high road, which was the appropriate choice.  There are more details: foul language, "space" violations, etc.  But I will spare that...

    Suffice to say, this was a proper indoctrination for when those assholes visited Austin in 2006.  Those "fortunate" enough to visit Columbus in 2005 had it worse, I gather.

    • Hook 'Em 1
  9. 6 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

    Imagine having a tweet and this is that tweet

     

    That's a comment he should have just kept to himself.  What a moron.  Aggy...

    https://texasscorecard.com/author/ccheshire/

    Cary Cheshire is the Vice President of Texans for Fiscal Responsibility. A 6th Generation Texan, Cary attended Texas A&M University was active in a number of conservative causes including Ted Cruz's Senate campaign. He has also worked on campaigns to elect conservatives to Congress and the Texas Legislature. Cary enjoys college football, genealogy research, and the occasional craft beer.
     
  10. Just now, JimmyJames said:

    Maybe I read the jury charge wrong then as this was not the language I saw. 

    Thanks - I should go back and read the jury charge.  I lazily did a cut-paste of the statutes from the MN gov't website.

    I also did not include this - which is another variant.  I think *this* was what the jury was directed.  My mistake.  The other felony was 3rd degree assault.


    (1) causes the death of a human being, without intent to effect the death of any person, while committing or attempting to commit a felony offense other than criminal sexual conduct in the first or second degree with force or violence or a drive-by shooting; or

    I

  11. 9 minutes ago, JimmyJames said:

    Normally that is the case. This isn’t the normal case. And the result bears that out. I would have voted for manslaughter and based on limited knowledge, third degree murder. I’d have to have been on the jury to comment on second degree murder. 

    Not a lawyer.  Here is the definition of 2nd degree murder in Minnesota.   I added the italics and BOLD.  The jury must have concluded that Chauvin intentionally inflicted or attempted to inflict bodily harm while Floyd was restrained.

    https://www.revisor.mn.gov/statutes/cite/609.19

    609.19 MURDER IN THE SECOND DEGREE.

    Subd. 2.Unintentional murders. 

    Whoever does either of the following is guilty of unintentional murder in the second degree and may be sentenced to imprisonment for not more than 40 years:

    (1) causes the death of a human being, without intent to effect the death of any person, while committing or attempting to commit a felony offense other than criminal sexual conduct in the first or second degree with force or violence or a drive-by shooting; or

    (2) causes the death of a human being without intent to effect the death of any person, while intentionally inflicting or attempting to inflict bodily harm upon the victim, when the perpetrator is restrained under an order for protection and the victim is a person designated to receive protection under the order. As used in this clause, "order for protection" includes an order for protection issued under chapter 518B; a harassment restraining order issued under section 609.748; a court order setting conditions of pretrial release or conditions of a criminal sentence or juvenile court disposition; a restraining order issued in a marriage dissolution action; and any order issued by a court of another state or of the United States that is similar to any of these orders.

  12. https://spectrumlocalnews.com/tx/austin/news/2021/04/18/3-victims-reported-in-active-shooter-situation-in-northwest-austin

     

    Cut-paste
     

    Quote

    The shooting took place at Great Hills Trail and Rain Creek Parkway, near the intersection of U.S 183 and Capital of Texas Highway.

    The Austin-Travis County EMS reported three victims have died from gunshot wounds; the agency said it has not received reports of other victims.

    During a 2:30 p.m. news briefing, acting Austin Police Department Chief Joseph Chacon identified the shooting suspect as 41-year-old Stephen Broderick. He was described as 5'7" tall and was wearing a grey hoodie, sunglasses and baseball cap. Chacon said during the briefing that there is some indication Broderick is former law enforcement but he could not confirm that. 

    However, Broderick matches the description of a former Travis County Sheriff's Office detective who, court records show, in 2020 was taken into custody and charged with sexually assaulting a child. 

    Chacon described Broderick as armed and dangerous and said officers hope to have him in custody shortly. There was some concern among police about Broderick taking a hostage.

     

     

  13. 4 minutes ago, Gourmand said:

    the women in your life must be proud of this post

    Valid point.  It was bad.

    It was a stream of consciousness that sounds horrific when I reread it. 

    I was attempting to cast it as a possible part of the advice he was receiving from counsel. NOT trying to cast it as my opinion of the character of the women involved or to discredit them. 

    I would see if there is some way to edit the post to clarify, but it is too late, as folks have already quoted it.

    Sigh - thanks for the msg.

    • Hook 'Em 3
    • Like 2
  14. A settlement would require a payout and an NDA.  IIRC, Watson already had NDAs with the majority of the accusers.  Is it possible that Watson's attorneys advised him that a settlement with NDA would be meaningless?  The accusers already violated 1 NDA; chances are they would violate again. 

    Let's say he settles with one for $100k.  It's not like it's the end of the problem.  Once she runs out of cash, she could try again.  NDA be damned.

  15. As noted, it's a click generator so people will whine about it.  Aside from the MSU ranking, the top-10 is just a shuffle of the Massey composite average from the end of last season with some bias toward returning players.

    A deeper dive shows more.  Every team in the top-25 is a P5 team.  8 SEC teams in top 25; 7 Big12; 5 Big10; 4 ACC (if you count Notre Dame) and 1 PAC.  Clicks.

    If I were in charge of a preseason "power" ranking, it would look very similar to what we saw here.  The top 25 would be VERY heavy on big name teams and have some that seem really crazy.  I would also use past "click" data to motivate the rankings.  If Ames, Starkville, State College, and Lubbock give me high clicks/population rates, I automatically rank them higher.  Ranking MSU at 8 and TTU at 21 costs me nothing, but might get me all sorts of click data and help my advertising rates.

  16. I scanned a few mock drafts and have summarized the projected Dallas pick and the Pitts pick.

    Of the 11 drafts, Pitts is drafted outside the top 10 3 times.  Dallas picks Surtain 6 times, Slater 2 times, Horn 2 times, and Javon Holland 1 time.  Dallas selects Pitts 0 times, which means its a virtual certainty :).

    To me, the only certain pick is Lawrence at #1.  Aside from that, the "insiders" are guessing just as much as we are.

    ESPN - Kiper
    • 4: Miami (via trade) - Kyle Pitts
    • 10: Patriots (via trade w/ Dallas) - Justin Fields
    • 15: Dallas - Jaycee Horn, CB
    ESPN - Tannenbaum
    • 10: Dallas - Patrick Surtain II
    • 12: Eagles - Kyle Pitts
    ESPN - McShay
    • 4: Atlanta - Kyle Pitts
    • 10: Dallas - Jaycee Horn (Surtain taken at 8, Fields drops to 11)
    NFL.com Zierlein
    • 6: Eagles - Kyle Pitts
    • 10: Dallas - Rashawn Slater, T, Northwestern
    NFL.com Maurice Jones-Drew
    • 10: Dallas - Jevon Holland, S, Oregon
    • 15: Patriots - Kyle Pitts
    NFL.com Chad Reuter
    • 4: Atlanta - Kyle Pitts
    • 10: Dallas - Patrick Surtain II
    The Sporting News
    • 10: Dallas - Patrick Surtian II
    • 12: Eagles - Kyle Pitts
    CBS Sports
    • 6: Miami - Kyle Pitts
    • 10: Dallas - Patrick Surtain II
    Walter Football
    • 4: Atlanta - Kyle Pitts
    • 10: Dallas - Patrick Surtain II
    The Athletic
    • 6: Miami - Kyle Pitts
    • 10: Dallas - Patrick Surtain II
    TD Wire
    • 6: Miami - Kyle Pitts
    • 10: Dallas - Rashawn Slater, T, Northwestern
    • Like 1
  17. 14 minutes ago, Machinator said:

     

     

    I see 20 cents worth.

    That said, it's great to see he's recovered from his injuries.  A bit of his game came from his mobility; the rest came from playing in the AAC.  I wonder how that will be impacted.

  18. Duran Duran has a fairly strong catalog, all in all.  Ordinary World and Come Undone are quite fantastic, but we do not get there w/o Girls on Film, Rio, Hungry ..., or Save a Prayer.  I did not recall "7 and the Ragged Tiger" released on 1983.  To me it "felt" like it was 1985 or 1986.  Perhaps it was Duran Duran fatigue at that time.  1993's eponymous album ("Wedding" cover) contained Ordinary World and Come Undone and caught my attention because of their artistry.  

    I really like this song.  It was cowritten by Swift and Jack Antonoff.  Antonoff is the guitar player for fun. (We Are Young and Some Nights) and lead of Bleachers.

     

    Here's a Bleachers song I recommend:

     

  19. For crying out loud folks, Bob Freaking Weltlich recruited well to Texas.  Beard, who is far less of a jerk than Weltlich, will be fine here.

    Plus, Beard has placed 2 lottery picks, a 2nd rounder, and several undrafted FAs into the NBA - FROM TEXAS TECH! 

    Trivia question: Before Beard got to TTU, when was the last time a TTU player was drafted?
    I'll answer: 2004.

    • Hook 'Em 3
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