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Captainant

Certifiably Surly
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Posts posted by Captainant

  1. 34 minutes ago, immamac said:

    What if they were not cheating and were married?

    What if frogs had wings so their ass didn't scrape the ground when they hop?

    It blew up BECAUSE they are both executives and public figures at a pre-IPO company. It isn't hard to validate that they aren't married to eachother, considering they're both on their public "about us" page lol

    image.thumb.png.767cdff733ac8ec48609504a41123b37.png

     

    The internet is going nuts because this is FAFO. Degenerates love seeing some good FAFO play out

  2. 3 minutes ago, texasdago said:

    I wish we would stop referring to cabins in the 100 year floodzone.  Yes, some indeed were in the 100 year flood zone but the lowest ones were in the floodway.  There is a difference.  

    Let me show you a non-Mystic example or two...

    Here is Buffalo Bayou in Houston close to BW8/T&C and as you go into the villages... the flood zone is light blue.  You build/live there, you need insurance and assume there is a risk because you are in the 100 year flood plain.  The green is the 500 year flood plain.  Lower risk, no flood insurance required.  The dark blue... yeah, that shit is flooding.  When we flooded with Harvey, our neighborhood had a house built around 1958 in the floodway.  That house got wrecked.  You do not build in the floodway.  THAT is where Mystic had cabins full of little girls. 

     

    image.thumb.png.0e35da454e71d5cf2e645447968b78e7.png

     

    Now here's Meyerland.  Damn they won't stop rebuilding houses in the flood zone... you've probably seen the crazy ass lifted homes on Braeswood before.  Flood zone.  Yeah, I think they're kind of dumb. Meyerland farts and it floods.  BUT they're not in the floodway.  That's insane.  That's where Mystic knowingly maintaned cabins.

    image.thumb.png.1839af1aab200b740834fb9b7fd9a5a0.png

    Now, back to the Mystic map...

    A or light blue is the flood zone... like the people who lift their houses in Meyerland.  The striped section is floodway, like the dark blue above and where Mystic had the youngest children.

    image.thumb.png.b337f37aea879f06612c3ee46c3a57f7.png 

    More people died in this single flood in one night than died in Hurricane Harvey over a week of continuous flooding in the area in Houston you're ID'ing. I don't think the stakes or the risk is as directly comparable as you are asserting here.

  3. 6 minutes ago, TwiceHorn said:

    What about the Biden administration makes you think they'd do that?  Particularly the Department of Justice?  Releasing pre- or post-indictment/conviction investigation information is not normal and is against DOJ policy, as well as most state prosecuting authorities.

    Because Zeus thinks that everyone is as base and transactional as he and trump are. He can't imagine a world where someone would have incriminating evidence and NOT break all the rules and norms to release it

    • Hook 'Em 5
  4. 26 minutes ago, alexis texas said:

    The cabin floor of all the cabins appears to be above the 100-year Base Flood Elevation (BFE). The roadway along the 3 cabins closest to the river was slightly below the BFE, so those cabins were evacuated first. 

    http://pxl.to/Mystic-FEMA-flood-map-analysis

     

    Historically, the flash flood warnings have rarely resulted in any flooding of significance and many of those warnings included the same "life threatening" language. 

    http://pxl.to/Mystic-NWS-Flash-Flood-Warning-Analysis

     

    When considering the information from above, combined with the weather forecast that did not predict anywhere near a 500-year rain event, it seems reasonable to use a phased cabin evacuation approach. The only information they had to act on was visually observing the water level of the river. The combination of the rapid rate of water rise and total amount of rise made evacuation difficult. There likely was not enough time to change plans by the time they realized how serious the flooding was. Here is an estimated timelapse video in 10 minute increments: 

    http://pxl.to/Mystic-flood-timelapse-video

    https://pxl.to/mystic-4d-timeline

     

    I think the phased evacuation might have been successful in either of these scenarios:

    • Rapid rate of rise but max flood height only reaching somewhere between the 100-year and 500-year flood elevation. The ground outside Twins/Bubble was about 3ft above BFE and the floor was another 2ft higher. These cabins would be the last to flood and would be safe for flood heights up to 7ish feet above BFE (the July 4 flood was about 11 feet above BFE).
    • 30ft rise but slower rate of rise. That would give them time to make it safely to the Rec Hall where the 2nd floor was above the 500-year flood elevation.

    Unfortunately, the river rose extremely rapidly and higher than it ever had before with little warning. 

     

    Here is a overall big picture analysis of the flood event.

    https://pxl.to/mystic-analysis

    Sounds like sirens would have saved some lives and given them a few critical minutes of warning to get uphill

  5. https://www.newsweek.com/trump-birthday-letter-jeffrey-epstein-wall-street-journal-2100495

    Some of the details are pretty wild:

    Quote

    The letter bearing Trump's name, reviewed by the Journal, is dated 2003 and is said to feature several lines of typewritten text surrounded by the outline of a naked woman, sketched in marker.

    The illustration also includes two small arcs representing breasts, with Trump's signature written below the waist and resembling pubic hair, the report said.

    The letter reportedly concludes: "Happy Birthday — and may every day be another wonderful secret."

     

    • Fuck Around and Find Out 1
  6. The fired SDNY prosecutor who prosecuted Maxwell and Epstein released some sobering words:

    "Instead of fear, let this moment fuel the fire that already burns at the heart of this place. A fire of righteous indignation at abuses of power."

    • Hook 'Em 8
    • Like 1
  7. 2 minutes ago, HornPhD said:

    You serious, Clark?

    https://apnews.com/article/camp-mystic-floods-state-inspection-ef17d51dc7868fa9cc5c3076c31ed98a (published July 8th)

    HUNT, Texas (AP) — Texas inspectors signed off on Camp Mystic’s emergency planning just two days before catastrophic flooding killed more than two dozen people at the all-girls Christian summer camp, most of them children.

    The Department of State Health Services released records Tuesday showing the camp complied with a host of state regulations regarding “procedures to be implemented in case of a disaster.” Among them: instructing campers what to do if they need to evacuate and assigning specific duties to each staff member and counselor.

  8. 3 minutes ago, Goredho said:

    I don't understand why Elon does not have 120930129301293 microphones in front of him from a press that smells the blood of a juicy story in the water.  I mean, whether you think this is legit or a nothing burger, it's strange that the press does not seem to really be engaging the richest person in the world that brought Epstein/Trump into the national consciousness.

    The "media" writ large just got done paying off several specious SLAPP cases from trump, I don't think they're looking to cash in those goodwill chits just quite yet.

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  9. Hits keep coming for intel...

    https://www.tomshardware.com/pc-components/cpus/firefox-dev-says-intel-raptor-lake-crashes-are-increasing-with-rising-temperatures-in-record-european-heat-wave-mozilla-staffs-tracking-overwhelmed-by-intel-crash-reports-team-disables-the-function

    “If you have an Intel Raptor Lake system and you’re in the northern hemisphere, chances are that your machine is crashing more often because of the summer heat,” says Svelto. “I know because I can literally see which EU countries have been affected by heat waves by looking at the locales of Firefox crash reports coming from Raptor Lake systems.” The engineer even added that it has gotten so bad that the team disabled the bot, which filed these crash reports automatically, especially since these events almost exclusively happened to Intel Raptor Lake PCs — specifically, the Intel Core i7-14700K model.

    The instability issue exploded around the second and third quarters of last year, and it took several months for the company to find its root cause. Since this was a physical degradation problem, no amount of patches can reverse the instability — Intel’s microcode updates only mitigated it and prevent the conditions that triggered the instability from occurring. Just last month, Intel released microcode update 0x12F to address the Vmin shift that’s happening to Raptor Lake CPUs that have been running for several days in a row. However, Svelto says that this version also caused the bugs to “come back in full force”.

  10. 6 minutes ago, Wulaw Horn said:

    I gave a very very very clear timeframe in 6 months. You are going back 5 years. Yes. Inflation is up 25% from that time period. Carry on quoting me without remotely coming close to responding to anything I said in a topical matter. 
    also, I never mentioned anything about stocks. 
    Up your meds. 

    Yes, it's easy to argue that inflation has been defeated since January 20, 2025 if you ignore all the reality surrounding your claim. Prices are going up, and tariffs are driving that.

    https://www.reuters.com/business/us-inflation-expected-rise-june-with-tariff-driven-price-hikes-2025-07-15/ (apologies for using this rag of a publication, next to no factual reporting from them unfortuantely)

    Further, you didn't bring any data or anything aside from your assertion, so I'm not sure how you'd like me to respond aside from going "ahyup okeydoke". Most tariff regimes take months to show impact, we're only just now seeing the first wave of price pass-throughs.

     

    But yes, of course. Anyone who disagrees is mentally ill. Such incredible community building that's not toxic, wow.

    • Fuck You 1
  11. 26 minutes ago, Wulaw Horn said:

    You want to say you don’t trust the data?  Cool. I’ve certainly been making that point (and been vindicated by it) on the job report for YEARS. 

    No, I'm saying that the stock market is decoupled from reality, so arguing that the "economy is fine because stonks go up" is not really a thorough analysis.

    26 minutes ago, Wulaw Horn said:

    every month there is expectations for what inflation is going to come in at and every month it has come in at or beneath expectations. 

    Oh, so prices aren't significantly higher than they were five years ago? I must have missed that the house I bought this year was literally half the price in 2019. Or that my same $150 grocery cart is now $250. I'm sure all the attacks on farm workers and invasions of build crews will definitely help with bringing those prices down too.

  12. Related to the protests, abbot has signed into law new speech restrictions on campus between 10P and 8A. So much for campus free speech, huh?

    https://www.insidehighered.com/news/students/free-speech/2025/06/23/texas-passes-bill-limiting-expressive-activity-campus

    Quote

    The new legislation, SB 2972, includes a number of limitations on how, when and where individuals can demonstrate on college campuses, striking a key provision in the 2019 bill that established all common outdoor spaces on a public campus as traditional public forums—spaces where anyone can engage in expressive activity. Now, college leaders will decide which areas are public forums.

    The bill also changes language from the 2019 legislation that says “all persons” can participate in expressive activities on college campuses to instead cover only “students enrolled at and employees of an institution of higher education,” leaving it up to individual colleges to determine whether the public is welcome to demonstrate there.

    The most contested provision of the law prohibits all expressive activities on public campuses from 10 p.m. to 8 a.m. Because the legislation defines expressive activities broadly—as anything allowed under the First Amendment or the analogous section of Texas’s constitution—free speech experts and advocates have warned that the legislation would prohibit essentially all forms of expression between those hours, from wearing a red Make America Great Again hat to engaging in a heated debate in the dining hall. (A similar policy at Indiana University, which banned protests between 11 p.m. and 6 a.m., was blocked last month by a federal judge.)

    What starts here changes the world.

  13. 3 hours ago, Texas Fight said:

    Good luck with the siren 1 mile up-river from your camp, pal.  That'll show them.

    Honestly, that would have probably saved lives. Campers waking up in neck deep water is too late. Waking up to ankle deep means they can probably scramble to higher ground.

    That was a difference of about 5 minutes in this specific case with the cabins near the headwaters.

    Sirens would have saved lives. I don't know why this is such an offensive concept to you.

    • Hook 'Em 3
    • Like 2
  14. 2 hours ago, Vegas64 said:

    It seems like you know more than me about what makes it blase— have you read into the details and still find it to be a nothing burger?

    Lol did you use chatGPT to write this response? The long hyphen gives it away, or at least it's become a characteristic linguistic tick of the chatGPT application 

    And you didn't link the blog so idk what it said, but all the hyperscalers offer bot protection WAF rulesets that aggregate threat intelligence from their platform in the same way that is gestured at in the ad.

    What is an "AI crawler"? If it's a non-human agent programmatically calling a website, that's just a bot in WAF rule parlance 

  15. Just now, Willfully Horn said:

    UNZ.com, also known as UNZ review has been rated a far right biased (which is fine) organization with a LOW reputation of factual reporting, (which is the antithesis of fine.)

    You are a nut. You are also a nut for ignoring that tris administration is actively destroying, instead of protecting and defending our Constitution.

    But, congrats on being among the vanguard for the normalization of anti-semitism. I

    https://mediabiasfactcheck.com/the-unz-report/

     

    no no let him cook - last time one of them did that it ended up with babayaga posting links to neonazis as his source

  16. 3 hours ago, BrickHorn said:

    So when the Blue Donkey gouges eyes, it’s a horrible crime and grounds for immediate disqualification. But when Cheeto Benito does the same thing and also smacks his opponent with a steel chair when the ref is distracted? Totally justifiable. It’s not really against the rules, and I’m not sure that there even are any rules. Has anyone ever actually seen a WWE rule book? Does that even exist? If it does, there’s probably an immunity clause for the defending champion. And OH MY GOD THE BLUE DONKEY JUST USED POCKET SAND—WON’T ANYONE HOLD HIM ACCOUNTABLE FOR THIS DISGUSTING VIOLATION OF THE RULES AND COMMON CIVILITY?!?!?

    Immamac and Blacklab as WWE refs is a pretty hilarious mental image, not gonna lie

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  17. 15 minutes ago, 956 Worldwide said:

    I can’t stop thinking about how many gallons of water were used to make Grok talk about foot jobs. How we have a computer more powerful than all of NASA in 1969 in our hands and we use it to sexually harass animated goth girls.

    My favorite one of these comparisons is that a 90's era Furby holds more computational power than the Apollo guidance computers that landed man on the moon. Heck, the phone in my hands right now is significantly more powerful than the laptop I got my degree with

    • Hook 'Em 1
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