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rickyspub

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Posts posted by rickyspub

  1. 10 minutes ago, Red Five said:

    Are we offering any financial assistance to potential takers?

    Basically, Shaka gets a new job and the school could pay him $1 per season and we would be on the hook for the 4 years of buyouts minus $1 each season he is employed at that school. The hope is to get him a job and negotiate more reasonable contract terms for his salary there, knowing that we are paying him an additional premium for the first 4 years.

  2. 10 minutes ago, Machinator said:

    RB Seth McGowan (Mesquite Poteet): McGowan is hard to read but he's certainly high on OU and A&M. In the Rube Goldberg project that is running back recruiting, he's a big domino even if UT didn't pursue. A&M seems to make the most sense as he looks for a good mix of academics and opportunity. He might have been his school's valedictorian if athletics didn't interfere with his curriculum.

    This was my favorite. Is he almost class valedictorian of a special needs high school? When I hear aggy and good academics for a football player, I assume it means the player isn't college material intellectually and aggy is a good place to play school. 

    • Like 1
  3. 11 minutes ago, Old Freak Nasty said:

    John Groce pulled a Mack Brown on that program.  The record looked okay to outsiders but he left that thing rotten from the core.  That said, it's easier to do a quick turnaround in basketball and he better show results next year otherwise he'll be on the hot seat.

    I'm shocked by that.  He doesn't appear to have any ties to the area personally or career wise.  He spent a decade as an assistant at Western Illinois but that might as well have been another world compared to Chicago and it ended 25 years ago.  I'd guess Kansas would be his dream job seeing that he's from there (although with no ties to the school).

    U of Illinois is in Champaign-Urbana. A shithole town that probably looks like paradise compared to Macomb, IL where Western IL is located.

  4. 3 hours ago, closetojumping said:

    I saw this thread get bumped today and laughed. I've been thinking about the title for the 2023 Texas recruiting thread lately. Something like "Texas 2023 Recruiting: Tompocalypse Now" has a nice ring to it. Maybe "Texas 2023 Recruiting: Oh the Hermanity!". I don't know. Lots to work with around here.

    'I got my Giles set on you'

    'I only got Giles for you'

    'Get out of mind and into my Oscar'

    'Oh, I wish I was an Oscar Giles wiener'

    • Like 3
  5. 1 hour ago, El Squared said:

    Which season is that, was that, or will be that? Are you referring to entering the NIT 16-16 golden season we are basking in now?

    It isn't out of the realm of possibility that we win 20+ games next year. If Coleman makes a decent leap I think 20+ wins is likely, no matter whether Shaka improves as a coach or not. It could even just be the rest of the conference sucks a bit more than this year. Then we get lucky in the tournament and don't face any high seeds until the Elite Eight and everyone acts like we are on the cusp of being a Big 12 power again. Do think he gets fired after a season like that? Would you really feel confident that Shaka had turned the corner and was headed for greatness? 

  6. 15 minutes ago, Burt Macklin said:

    So you think we’ll pay a $13 million buyout to Shaka (over 4 years), plus buyout Shaka’a Assistants, pay a $6 million buyout to Beard immediately, pay his assistants, and pay Beard a salary that’s enough to get him to leave Lubbock (like near $5 mil per year)? That’s like $16 million in one year on coaching, when our normal expenditure is 4 million per year, plus an average of $9 mil per year for the next three years after that. Basketball barely makes a profit most years, so CDC would be guaranteeing it’s solidly in the red for the next four years at a minimum.   

    And you still can’t see how this is not just a difference of $3 million? 

    Yes, I think he'd do it, if he thinks Beard is the real deal. If he isn't willing to fire Shaka this year over money, then he likely isn't firing him next year or the year after. Why is three years solidly in the red OK when 4 isn't?

    I think CDC is willing to gamble that the next guy will turn the program around and have us back in the black in before then while having new energy in place to get donations for the new arena. Perhaps Beard isn't his guy and everything is more favorable for next year, but I am wary to think ADs, agents, and coaches are willing to work out such deals 2 years in advance on the hope that all the ground rules remain the same.

  7. 27 minutes ago, Js1 said:

    He's not going to fire Shaka on his "belief" to land a home-run hire.  He will do it if and only if he has that hire lined up and ready to sign on the dotted line once it's official. 

    Because Lord help him if he fires Shaka and we end up with the 5th-6th-7th choice on the list because the rest played us for suckers.

    Reading comprehension fail. I am talking about CDC's 'beliefs' about the quality of his Shaka replacement. If the guys he knows he can sign don't give him confidence that they will be worth all the buyouts, then he might very well sit it out and see what the landscape is like in a couple of years without being so upside down. For instance, let's say Buzz Williams is the only guy who is listening to us and CDC has him at #5 or 6 on his list and has concerns that he will out-perform Shaka. Does he fire Shaka now or let Buzz go to aggy? I think Beard is likely our top target and he going to get a huge raise this year from someone. If he has Beard all but signed on the dotted line, is CDC really going to pass on the deal just because Shaka didn't get hired by Wake Forest?

  8. 34 minutes ago, Burt Macklin said:

    Lol. An extra 3,000 people per game doesn’t come close to making up Shaka’s buyout per year. Basketball has never had huge revenues and a good coach doing well in his first couple years won’t increase revenue by 3 mil per year.  

    You need to chill on the money thing becuase it’s not that simple. CDC has a lot of things to weigh, like using his political capital and fundraising resources on this versus other projects, not to mention the buyout means we’ll be stuck with our new coach for a minimum of four years, so CDC can’t take a risk an a guy with a short resume (who would also likely be cheaper than a proven coach and have a smaller buyout than a guy like Beard). Shaka’s buyout means someone who could have a high variance, like Musselman is off the table even if CDC likes him, because if that goes south by year two, we’ll still be stuck with him for two more years.

    It’s not as simple as just saying there’s only a difference of $3 million.

    Wait, so you are saying we are stuck with Shaka for 4 more years no matter what? I am not arguing in that realm. I already barely watch basketball because of how shitty we are, but if we are in for 4 more years of Shaka I'll just leave it be and move on.

    The rumor we are basing our arguments around is the idea that if we find Shaka a soft landing we will make a move this off-season. That soft-landing isn't going to soften our blow by much more than $1M a year. So if indeed CDC is weighing Shaka's tenure based on his new job lowering the payout then we are taking about a $3M difference that supposedly keeps us from changing coaches this year. So the calculation comes down to what are the benefits of keeping Shaka another year vs. bringing in a new coach. An increase in attendance alone could cover a fair piece of that difference if the new coach is immediately successful. Enthusiasm for a new coach, especially one that is successful, greases the wheels for donations down the road. It is impossible to put a dollar figure on it, but that too certainly pays for the buy out difference and it's the big donor enthusiasm that likely carries the biggest influence.

    I don't think CDC retains Shaka for the full term of his contract. It comes down to how confident CDC is in his list of replacements and his ability to seal the deal. If CDC thinks he will hire a home run and can make the deal, then I have little doubt he will make the move now regardless of whether Shaka finds a soft landing, because the move will ultimately pay for itself. If he can't be certain of a deal or he thinks the next guy is going to need a long ramp up to success, then perhaps he waits and sees if Shaka turns it around. But if he doesn't pull the trigger this year, then he has to be prepared to keep him beyond next year as well, because the optics will suck if he fires him after a season of decent improvement.

  9. 25 minutes ago, Skipper said:

    Well, according to Rickyspub, you are wrong, the University of Texas is playing with monopoly money and CDC is a failure if he doesn't cut a $13MM check to fire Shaka the second the season is over while he is managing half a dozen other ongoing capital intensive projects.   CDC may very well decide it makes sense to eat the buyout now, but it's the fiscally clueless idiots on here that act like it's an easy or obvious decision that wear most of us out.

    It isn't paid as a lump sum. It will likely be paid over the course of his remaining contract length since the amount will be adjusted based on any future coaching income. We aren't paying him $12+M now and hoping he will send us check each year to reimburse him for future employment. 

    If a new coach comes in and wins early, we will easily make up the money in ticket sales by the time that last payment comes due on Shaka's buyout. We averaged 10,500 at our home games this season. In the below average 2011-12 season we had close to 13,500 per home game. That sort of attendance increase alone could make up the buyout difference over the next 3 years.

  10. Just now, Skipper said:

    Posts like this are so fucking stupid.  Please let us know when your 7 figure buyout donation hits then you can have this opinion.

    I love how people with money are the only ones allowed to have an opinion. If CDC fires Shaka this season will you shut the fuck up and never share your opinions again? 

    • Fuck You 1
  11. 16 minutes ago, dcar00 said:

    IMO, it shouldn't be more than 3 names.  more than that and you don't have "your guy".   we aren't going to fire Shaka, pay 13M and then have CDC tell the money guys he had to go to his 4th, 5th, 6th choice.  we'll see.  I'm certainly not in the camp that says he will be 100% fired this year.  the soft landing spot thing is fools gold IMO.  if CDC can do that I will be very impressed.

    The maxim I have heard is that an AD always has 'Top 5' list of replacement coaches for each job. I just hope that CDC's list isn't topped by Coach K, Izzo, Roy Williams, Bill Self, or Jay Wright with Chris Beard as the only guy we have even a slight chance of getting at the bottom. 

  12. 3 minutes ago, dcar00 said:

    right. because of the 13M, he's only going to fire him if he has his guy.  

    Exactly. I am confident if CDC has his guy he will pull the trigger. The admin isn't going to hold him accountable for a bad contract made by his predecessor. The question is just what sort of coaching list does CDC have. I am going to guess it is realistic, but I hope it goes beyond one or two names.

  13. 14 hours ago, dcar00 said:

    this.  if 2 wins in the NIT save Shaka's job then we have the wrong AD.

    If CDC is ONLY going to fire Shaka if he can save a few million on his buyout by finding him a 'soft landing' then we have the wrong AD.

  14. Decided to look around and see if I could find any Clemson practice reports. Found this one from two weeks ago, just prior to their Spring Break.

    https://247sports.com/college/clemson/Article/Clemson-spring-practice-scrimmage-Derion-Kendrick-cornerback--130043415/

    Money quote from our POV: Swinney did sneak in a couple compliments: "Lyn-J Dixon continues to splash. I thought Tavien Feaster ran the ball well. I thought Chase Brice made a couple of nice plays." 

    Didn't find too much else...their Spring Game is in two weeks.

  15. 1 hour ago, Fud said:

    Guys I think are most likely to end up on our class all things considered, who aren't already committed to us 

    In order

    1) Crawford

    2) Dorbah

    3) Lindberg

    4) Thompson Jr

    5) Jackson

    6) Broughton

    7) White

    8') Collins

    9) Washington

    10) Ringo

    11) Hullaby

    12) Alford

    13) Cooper

    14) Dixon

    15) Johnston

    16) Jordan

    Thoughts?

    No Evans?!?!?!?! Should I panic now, later or both? 

  16. 17 minutes ago, TexasToast said:

    Aggy fans are, by nature,  easily identified. They turn it on,  and can't turn it off.

    source.gif

    Someone replace the string hanging out of that hole with the dick from the Looch gif and you would be closer to the mark. Too bad he took off his maroon sweatshirt before making the leap.

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