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Mitch Cumsteen

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Posts posted by Mitch Cumsteen

  1. 1 hour ago, texifornia said:

    Given that it was cleaning out a previous surgery, and he obviously could walk with it, I bet he went to NYC and saw the sights (hopefully beyond Times Square) then went down to Philly for the operation.

    Transferring to Columbia. 

  2. 16 hours ago, Patrick Bateman said:

    But.... they're not.  Certainly not his overall advanced and his defensive metrics are down, but there are 2 points here.  First, his jump in offense easily compensates for his small decrease in defensive metrics and more.  His OBPM is 5.5.  Do you know who on the Spurs (who's played more than 50 minutes total) has an OBPM this good?  Nobody.  That's it.  No one.  The closest is actually Patty (Kerm, hide your eyes) at 2.2.  But his DWS is -0.1, his DBPM is -2.5, his Drtg is 118 (pace related).  You know who lives around these defensive numbers?  Patty, Brynn, Marco and actually Lonnie (but SSS and he's only played in blowouts typically).  In other words, he provides around the same defense (with a higher pace) than those 3 guys yet offers substantially more offense.  And why is this not surprising?  Because he did the same fucking thing last year.  So again, it's not that he's good defensively (he's not), but he wasn't a travesty for the Spurs and offered more offense. 

    I'm sorry that I even brought up the advanced stats. I don't think they tell the whole story, which is why I take most of them with a grain of salt. And while I understand that his numbers are adjusted for pace, that doesn't really tell the whole story. Pace just adjusts for the number of possessions. It does not take into account style of play, which when the game is wide open, tends to deteriorate on the defensive end. So when the Bullets are giving up >120/game, the other team typically isn't playing at the same level of defensive intensity. If we are being honest, there is probably a nonlinearity to pace that is not accounted for, because all possessions are not created equally when the contest has turned into a glorified pick up game three minutes into the first quarter. Which is how the Wizards play almost every night.

    Don't get me wrong, I still wish we had the guy and for sure Pop should have been giving him more minutes. My real point is that I don't feel like he's having that massive of a breakout season where he is impacting wins and losses. I think he is mostly still the same player as he always was for the Spurs, just getting more burn and playing in a style conducive to his strengths that inflates his numbers. If he were still with the Spurs, would their record be any different than it is today? I don't believe so. I still think Morris would have had a bigger impact on wins and losses and I can't blame the Spurs for that one. They got screwed by the most bush league franchise in sports pulling a complete bullshit move.

    It will be interesting to see what happens to Bertans this offseason. I think there are a lot of teams with cap space and it's a weak free agency class. My prediction is that somebody is going to get a hard on for his shooting and overpay the hell out of him. 

     

  3. 45 minutes ago, Hank_Hill said:

    Take away the head case issues and I still don’t think Evans is a generational back

    I'm kind of in this boat too. I haven't watched him enough to make a bold "Sam Bradford seems like he sucks" call that would backfire curse him into a Heisman trophy, but the few times I did see him, I never thought I was seeing a generational talent. An excellent running back? Sure. But Adrian Peterson-level can't miss hall of fame level level running back? I didn't get that impression.

  4. 3 hours ago, Patrick Bateman said:

    Bertans wasn't a defensive stalwart but you also have to wonder why he wasn't playing more and like this offensively.  Maybe it's just development, but feels like he was shackled last year so we could play Patty and Brynn more minutes.  He's not substantially a different player, just more minutes and a bit more confidence.

     

    The other thing about Bertans is that he's playing on a team with the third highest pace in the league and the single worst defensive team in the league. In addition to the increase in minutes, those numbers are inflated like a motherfucker because of how they play. I'm not big on advanced stats and especially the defensive ones, but his advanced numbers are way down compared to what they were for the Spurs. He's one of 6 players in the league with negative defensive win shares, and 4 of the other ones are his teammates. Who'd a thunk he'd thrive on a team where all he has to do is jack shots and not play any defense? Despite how terrible the Spurs are defensively and were last year as well, Pop was at least going to make him try.

    Don't get me wrong, I'd take him back in a heartbeat and the Marcus Morris thing still pisses me off, but somebody is going to give him a horrible contract this Summer.

     

  5. 4 minutes ago, TXSooner518 said:

    I feel pretty sure about it. Oregon started outside the Top 10 in the polls. The Pac 12 cannibalized itself, and the narrative would be that Oregon and Utah were 11-1, but neither had even played a ranked team between the two of them. Oregon got credibility by controlling the game with Auburn, especially when Auburn proved to be a very good team. 

    Similarly, I think OU jumps Utah if Utah beats Oregon (not positive, but think so, unless Utah smoked them), but if Utah had a really good OOC win, that changes things.

    And also with Clemson, if they lost they were toast, but if they had beaten a top 15 team OOC, that would have helped insulate against a loss. 

    Last, we will always be arguing about style points/etc. Why should Memphis go to the 8 team playoff over Boise or App State? Or let's say we are discussing wild cards. Should UGA's SEC title game loss put them back behind Bama? I mean, if not, we are punishing UGA for making the game and rewarding Bama for not. But should we ignore a pretty conclusive data point on whether UGA is elite/better than Bama?  What % of people would take UGA over Bama on a neutral field right now? I definitely would not.

    And Oklahoma beat exactly who OOC? 4-8 UCLA and 4-8 Houston? Their biggest achievement this year was digging out of the hole they dug for themselves against Baylor. And then unimpressively hanging on against Baylor in OT with their 3rd string QB who had something like 3 passes all season in the championship game. How did the Pac cannibalize itself any worse than the Big 12 did this season?

    With regard to the other notion that we will always be arguing about style points, I think it makes more sense to argue about them with the 3 teams after 5 other teams have automatic bids. 

    And what exact data point do we have regarding UGA/Bama? For sure Georgia would get into the playoff. They finished 5 in the final poll. You think Bama with no Tua, who lost to the only two decent teams they played this year would be an overwhelming favorite against Georgia? Or that they would make an 8 team playoff field in a final poll that they finished 13 in? What sport are you watching? 

    • Like 1
  6. 43 minutes ago, TXSooner518 said:

    People keep saying this. Oregon wasn't penalized for scheduling Auburn. They were penalized for LOSING to Auburn. If they had beaten Auburn, they still would have been in great playoff shape even after losing to Arizona State. If they played South Idaho State, and then lose to Arizona State, now they are gonna be behind OU, etc., in the 1-loss debate. Instead, since they played (and really outplayed despite the final score) Auburn, they were ahead of OU in the pecking order, and if they had won out, I'm quite sure they go over OU if both finished 12-1.

    And that's ONLY because of playing Auburn. OU got a similar boost in 2017 for winning in Columbus that they might not have gotten if they had played Tulsa instead. 

    I don't know about that. OU hasn't been overly impressive the last half of the season and letting Baylor with its third string QB take you to OT in the CCG probably wouldn't have helped their cause. Oregon's win over Utah and the manner in which they beat them is probably more impressive than anything OU has done the last half of the season.

    And this kinda proves the point -- we are arguing about style points and strength of schedule and all sorts of other variables that wouldn't fucking matter if you just let all the P5 conference winners in. I can't believe there are real college football fans even debating this. We have god knows how many meaningless bowl games and you would rather keep that system in place instead of adding 4 more games that actually count for something. 

    • Like 1
  7. I read this article over the weekend and it was fairly horrifying.

    22 hours ago, bschoolprof said:

    My above comment notwithstanding, this agenda-driven reporter wrote an article on the Joe Bryan case not too long ago that conveniently left out very incriminating information on Bryan.  So I would take her claims about the strength of the State's evidence in various cases with several heaping teaspoons of salt.  

    This is a great point and it's difficult to assess how influential his testimony was in each case, but holy shit this guy was testifying in trials where people got the death penalty. And then he was getting let out of prison over and over again as a reward, only to get out and ruin more people's lives with his con game. I can't imagine how many lives this piece of shit destroyed.

  8. So... this thread has morphed from a debate about whether John Q. Pederast, Ph.D. should be shitcanned for having an intellectual discussion about the age of consent based on historical cultural norms to an actual intellectual discussion about the age of consent based on historical cultural norms? Advantage pederast.

    Also, I'm not about to go read this deviant's publications or defend his position, but it's got to be extremely easy to cherry pick a few quotes out of context from an academic article about a subject like this to put the guy in as bad a light as possible. Just saying.

    • Like 1
  9. My memory is fuzzy, but back in the day the Spurs and Lakers replayed the last few seconds of a game that was decided on a screwed up FT lane violation. 

    Ah... here it is from 1982. Moral of the story: fuck the Lakers. And the Rockets too for that matter.

    Quote

    Larry O'Brien, the commissioner of the National Basketball Association, today upheld a protest by San Antonio and ordered the last three seconds of the Spurs' Nov. 30 game against Los Angeles to be replayed. It was only the second time in O'Brien's seven years as commissioner that he has upheld a protest.

    The game will resume with the Spurs leading, 116-114, and Norm Nixon of Los Angeles on the foul line shooting one shot. The replay will be held before the regularly scheduled game between the teams in San Antonio on April 13.

    ''Upholding a protest is an extreme measure,'' said O'Brien. In 1978, he upheld the Nets' protest of a loss to Philadelphia. The Nets lost the replay.

    The Spurs lodged the protest following their 137-132 loss in double overtime, contending that a jump-ball call involving Nixon's second free-throw attempt at the end of regulation was improper. The Lakers won the jump ball and Nixon hit a game-tying shot that sent the game into overtime.

    Faking a Free Throw

    The point of dispute came when Nixon made a motion as if to shoot a free throw. But he did not release the ball and players from both teams moved into the free-throw lane. Jack Madden, the referee, called a double-lane violation and ruled a jump ball. The Lakers won the jump, and Nixon's subsequent basket sent the game into overtime.

    The Spurs argued that since Nixon never released the ball, no double-lane violation should have been called and, instead, the players should have been repositioned for a free-throw attempt. Los Angeles contended the jump-ball call was a proper ruling.

    ''By calling for a jump ball, the referee failed to properly administer the rules,'' said O'Brien.

    A Claim With 'Merits'

    Before issuing his decision, O'Brien viewed videotapes of the game and read briefs that both clubs submitted. In addition, he directed members of the league's office to interview the game officials.

    ''However, in this case, it is clear to me that a misapplication of a rule by the referees adversely affected San Antonio's opportunity to win the game,'' said O'Brien. ''The protesting club has established conclusively the merits of its claim, and it is my responsibility as commissioner to attempt, as nearly as possible, to correct the error that was made on Nov. 30.''

     

    • Like 1
  10. 45 minutes ago, aggie08 said:

    Oklahoma ran a spread too. How'd they do?

    But I agree, nothing in my 15 years of watching A&M (and their overall history) has led me to believe that they're capable of going a season without losing at least one game that they shouldn't have.

    What? They did it this year. They didn't lose any games they should have won. You could say auburn but clearly they are better than A&M. They are who we thought they were. 

  11. 14 hours ago, Patrick Bateman said:

    Rumor is staff went to LMA and maybe Patty to get their insights, they told the coaches the starters run better with DW in the lineup, the coaching staff and Pop, in their infinite wisdom, benched DJM instead of Forbes and now you have some beef.

    I'm not defending starting Forbes, or even playing him at all for that matter, but a starting lineup of white, djm, dd, LMA, and poetl (or whoever else up front) would be the worst floor stretching unit in modern nba history. They gotta find some shooters who can d it up. They roster is fairly horribly constructed at this point. 

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