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HamsterHookah

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Posts posted by HamsterHookah

  1. 10 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:


    I mean…it’s like you’ve never gone fishin’.

     

    57 minutes ago, Burt said:

    The next time I order a Bud Light...bottle, draft, can, keg, straight from the mud hole where they fetch it...will be the first time I order a Bud Light. I can't believe it took transphobia to get people to stop drinking it. 

    This situation sucks for everyone involved at Bud Light. The human beings-- the marketing and product folks who got thrown under the bus, the business executives who saw the reality of their business and tried to widen the addressable market and demographics, the shareholders of AB InBev, etc.

    For as much as everyone hates this beer, somebody had to be drinking it regularly enough. And when I say somebody, I mean millions of people. Losing $26bn in 6 weeks is pretty breath-taking. $26 million, okay, whatever. But $26 billion hit because of a smart business decision/risk is insane. And that's an existential hit if you aren't a behemoth like AB InBev.

    And we know how "boycotts" usually are. They taper out as fast as they begin with the far right. Too many conveniences to not go to Target, etc.

    But this one I wonder if it could be called a Black Swan event. Nobody at AB InBev could have seen this coming. This response, while theoretically possible, just wasn't thought to be a real, probabilistic occurrence.

     

  2. Been on an Ivan Reitman kick without even realizing it.

    What I mean by that is that the last two movies I’ve seen, in back to back days, was Kindergarten Cop and Twins (1988), both with Arnold as well.

    Both are good, campy, 80’s/early 90’a cheese that is satisfying and mildly funny. Both are feel good endings and family friendly.

    Hollywood doesn’t seem to make films like these anymore, which I guess speaks to the changed tastes of culture and people— these movies were smash hits in their day.

    In fact, I read Twins was the 5th highest grossing movie of that year and Arnie and Davito forwent a salary for the % of the box office deal and both have said it was one of the best financial decisions of their lives.

  3. 46 minutes ago, Leeroy Jenkins said:

    Is it just me or is the hate online this year much stronger than in the past several years?

    It does feel that way. Not sure if there is a bias for me at play (recency bias, online more this year, confirmation bias, etc.) but it does appear that more negative news and momentum against this stuff is being reported.

  4. 3 minutes ago, longhornmatt said:

    Yes, it’s going to get worse until we have some option that bundles the various streaming services together into one platform - basically going back to cable packages except with streams instead of broadcast networks. 

    As for Netflix itself, as stated above they benefited from being the only streaming game in town and from being able to license just about everything in the old days.  They were on borrowed time once the studios stopped licensing their big ticket content to Netflix because they wanted to keep them exclusive for their own streaming service.  Netflix’s move in response - to flood their app with massive amounts of their own expensive but nevertheless shitty original content - is a disaster.  They now survive on the gym membership model where they built up a bunch of subscribers and those people just stay out of inertia. Nobody is really out there clamoring for Red Notice 2 or whatever.  

    Ugh, tell me about it. We couldn't find anything decent to watch and settled on Murder Mystery 2 (Adam Sandler and Jennifer Aniston) and I fell asleep.

  5. 24 minutes ago, YGIFS said:

    Blackrock Funded Chicken? 

    Do the chickens even know about their financial backers?  Also makes a kickass band name.

    Do these fucking people know like it's Pride Month, you don't have to blow another dude to get in-store coupons.  You can just go shopping and be heterosexual.  

    It's just Wal-Mart saying, "Hey, sometimes we sell dish soap and tires to people you don't know that hold hands with other people you don't know of the same gender.  And we'd also like to sell you dish soap and tires, but if you want to shop somewhere else, that's fine too."  

    But yeah, I'm dying to see where this NASCAR thing goes this week.  Besides in to the left.  In a circle.  "Man, you must really like Tide."  /ripMitch

    The NASCAR one is the only one that confuses me from a business perspective. Did they not see what happened to Bud Light with respect to catering to their target demographic? I'm interested to see if there is any commercial impact, but props to them for not caving like the others, regardless I guess.

  6. On 5/26/2023 at 2:36 PM, Esque said:

    It all comes down to i) the lenders and ii) the government.  For the lenders, it is all game theory.  The more everyone can work out loans and kick the can, the better for all - until one person can't, they sell loans at a loss, and they effectively force a mark to market of everyone's loan books and you see more calling of lines of credits and loans from lenders.  I've been watching a few key assets for 24 months now and many of them have been able to roll and extend for 12 months, much to my surprise.  But many of these deals are dead - equity is for sure wiped out and debt may be sitting on 85/100, but marked 100/100.

    This is all to say, you still have another 12 months or so.  The defaults in office are not going to surprise anyone.  The defaults in MF will and that is what will catch a lot of people offsides.  But will be a good time to pick up blue chip public REITs as NAV gets punished by short term market volatility - or so I guess.  In many ways the public markets have already front run the private markets.

    How can we make money on the upcoming disaster? I think I speak for everyone except you and bluto when I ask this.

  7. 32 minutes ago, Gene Parmesan said:

    I disagree.  Early netflix streaming was absolutely worth it.  They had a shit ton of quality content because they could get the rights cheap since they were the only platform for streaming.  That absolutely was game changing at the time.  Cord cutting started because of Netflix.  Not saying they were visionaries, but they were absolutely at the forefront of this market.

    Yes and maybe it's a testament to the success of Netflix that it seems so quaint. Use the internet to stream TV shows on an app. Meh, so passe, everyone can do it and everyone does it.

    But in 2012 this was novel and new and ground breaking, for the 80% of the mass market who aren't sufficiently tech-savvy people.

  8. 22 hours ago, HamsterHookah said:

    I think you are a bit confused. Here is a breakdown for you, because you have the timeline and motives wrong:

    1. I posted the NYT quote about Tesla being up YTD $48bn because I read it in an email and thought it was interesting. I specifically thought it was interesting considering his boondoggle and mishandling of Twitter, and commented "wow must be nice to be a billionaire" insinuating you can fail and still succeed because you have such a resource privilege.
    2. However, another poster rightly said, "hey wait, YTD is a stupid metric. Here is why..."
    3. To which I said, "you know what, you are right! It would actually make more sense to look at how Tesla is doing since he bought Twitter (oct.) versus just YTD, like the headline did."
    4. So, because I don't care that much to waste actual real time, I went to AI to find a snapshot of data from a certain period of time (Oct-present).
    5. I did so to get an objective and value-neutral look at where he actually stood in response to Tesla and Twitter and how it impacted his net worth.
    6. I didn't fact-check it and just posted. Dumb. Bad. Haha. etc.
    7. You get confused, as you often do, and post a bunch of weird stuff because you are generally a weird person. Which is cool! I like it, it's your personality.

    Ultimately I take blame for quoting you instead of brisket in my response because it was the beginning of your confusion. Hope that clears it up.

    Love,

    Musk fanboi because I'm neutral to mildly disdainful, according to some

    @SydneyCarton Just checking in to make sure you got brought up to speed and are all clear now. I know you were struggling a bit and were confused yesterday so hope this was helpful.

    • Fuck You 2
  9. 1 hour ago, Fudge Nuggets said:

    You would think someone (you) that has been stanning TSLA’s stock price bounce for the last four months would have noticed the stock price in the AI response was about 3x higher than the actual price.

    AI prompt:  Show me something I want to believe about TSLA stock price

    lulwut?

    I don't follow the stock and don't own any and have never owned any (much to my detriment, apparently, compared to some of you who bought it a decade ago).

    Is it that reporting a factual, topical headline from the likes of NYT, WSJ, etc. is "stanning" or is it something else?

    I hope I won't be vilified for noting that I read yesterday that due to Louis Vuitton sales declining and slower growth, ELMO has taken over again as the world's richest man.

    I thought that was interesting because whether you love him, like him, hate him or are neutral on him, he's the world's richest man and his maneuvers and antics and news related to him have to be covered if you are going to have a full-context conversation about certain things (World economics, American Capitalism, EV's, and now Social Media and apparently Brain implants?). You can do so without "stanning", is my position.

    But for some of you, we live in a world where if you aren't actively against something that makes you fervently for something else.

    • Fuck You 2
  10. Plot twist: It's not just the rednecks and MAGAs who are hurting Bud Light, but also the LGTbq community. They are being squeezed on both sides:

    Quote

     

    Calls to boycott companies usually fade pretty quickly, but Bud Light has seen six straight weeks of declining sales since its controversial partnership with trans influencer Dylan Mulvaney, and brands are nervous.

    But the beer’s 26% drop in sales for the week ending May 20 (its worst week ever, according to the NY Post) could be attributed to the brand also angering the LGBTQ community and its allies with how it responded to the pushback—something other brands have also done by opting to abandon or alter Pride campaigns at the first sign of trouble.

    Even so…most companies are still planning to move forward with Pride plans. Coors Light is the main sponsor for Denver’s Pride Parade. And Levi’s and Adidas will also run ads prominently featuring gay and trans models wearing and talking about their products.

     

     

  11. 10 minutes ago, dcbc said:

    While granite and other decorative stone can contain some trace natural radioactivity, granite countertops are not considered to be a key contributor to radiation in the average home.

     

    https://www.epa.gov/radiation/are-granite-countertops-radioactive-are-levels-dangerous

    Yea, exactly, which is why I said, if you are one of those who think having a gas stove is going to hurt your health then you might care about the trace radiation that granite/marble gives off, but most everyone else sees it as a nothing-burger.

    • Like 1
  12. 1 hour ago, Armybrat said:

    Supposedly quartz is easier to maintain.

    If you mean, it doesn't dull as quickly and easily, that's also what I've heard.

    To be fair, we have marble countertops in bathrooms and I can't tell a difference between them and the quartz in the kitchen. Maybe I'm just not discerning enough and it's certainly true that I don't care one way or another about such things as countertops and interior designs.

  13. 3 hours ago, Doc Daneeka said:

    I searched and found a few things about granite maintenance, so I’m hoping this isn’t a duplicate. 

    I suppose the usual suspects are granite, marble, and quartz. Concrete is a little rustic for me, unless things have changed much for the better. Other similar options would be, well, options  

    I’ve googled a bit, but what would y’all with experience say are some pros and cons of each? My kitchen isn’t gigantic so while the percentage difference in price might be a thing, the absolute dollar amount probably isn’t prohibitive for reasonable grades of the typical materials. 

    I’m looking for something in medium to lighter tones, probably grayish or white with gray/blue, which looks potentially feasible for any of the three types I mentioned at first. Ideally, I think, I’d like full backsplash in the same or a compatible material. We cook a lot, but we”re fine with trivets and mats and generally protecting a surface.

    What am I looking for here? What questions do I need to ask about how they handle seams or whatever else? Pitfalls? Things that sound good but in practice really aren’t? 

    I don't have a ton to add from firsthand as my wife did all the heavy lifting (pun intendedish?) on this stuff, but from what I recall:

    • Granite & Marble is out; Quartz is in (style)
    • I thought that Quartz would be cheaper and it is generally supposed to be, but the Quartz we chose ended up being more per sqft than Marble/Granite. I guess it was the coloring and style or something
    • Granite & Marble emit radiation and gas in the air, apparently, and Quartz does not. Don't know if this is something to care about as it is probably minimal and a nothing-burger, but my wife cared about this. If you are one who thinks that gas stoves should be outlawed, this is probably of interest to note as well.
  14. 21 minutes ago, Reynolds Woodcock said:

    Look, I would cut the throat of every other partner at my firm if it meant making an extra million, so I get the allure of the almighty dollar. But being an empty suit puppet for a guy who openly admits he is going to try to fuck your wife? That’s a little much even for me. I continue to think Tom is just the tallest midget in all of this.
     

    I see that guy walking on the Hudson River greenway occasionally. Always alone, always looking like he’s ready to jump. Intense cat.

    What makes you think Tom cares? Aren't they still technically estranged and in the middle of a divorce with a dozen of the top lawyers tied up? Before that scene, Shiv essentially came back hat-in-hand and asked if there was anything there in his heart for her and if they wanted to take a serious stab at fixing their relationship and he gave a pretty damning non-committal. 

    I get that he was portrayed as a sensitive fellow early on, with his shock at the open relationship talk on his wedding night, but as he grew to be more and more disgusting in Logan's shadow and protection and along with Greg, I think he probably views Shiv as a strong play versus a person at this point.

  15. 2 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

    It's also accurate.  The only things with true, inherent value are the things necessary for survival/comfort: food, water, shelter, etc.  Add "and things that can be used to GET those things," like tools...or....guns and ammo.  On the "comfort" side, add in "a comfy chair and a mattress, a durable cooking pot" that sort of thing.  Again, utilitarian items that can actually be used to advance a base human interest.

    Literally everything else has value only because of a collective agreement that it has value.  Don't even tell me that gold has that value - we've long since reached the point where we can make things as shiny and golden as real gold items without using much real gold, or any.  The inherent aesthetic value of gold can be obtained for much less than the price of gold.  Precious metals are fake.  Money is fake.  Crypto is fake.  Credit card points are fake.  Frequent flyer miles are fake.  What makes cryptobros uniquely pathetic is that they think that 1) they're the first guys who REALLY have that figured out, and 2) they have a blind spot that prevents them from seeing that crypto suffers from the same deficiencies as the things they hate.

    And the venn diagram of crypto bros and Elon stans are two circles that very closely overlap.   But keep on keeping on.  Maybe you'll find some more suckers.  I'm actually sure you will.  That's the one thing there's never been a shortage of.

    Thanks for fleshing out your point, makes more sense. I agree with you by and large except I don't have a real opinion one way or another on cryptocurrency. That's a realm I am almost wholly ignorant of and stay out of because I'm sure I would somehow, in a world where everyone was making millions, lose money.

    • Fuck You 2
  16. 3 hours ago, Captainant said:

    It's hilarious and cute to see yall spiking the football while completely ignoring that the egg companies profits soared while their prices soared much further and faster than their costs.

     

    If you enjoy paying so much for products, why don't you just give companies more money??? Hurrr durrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr

    I think the point is that in the short term you might have some power to flex pricing, but in the medium and long-term, technical and economic forces will drive behaviors.

    • Hook 'Em 2
  17. 1 hour ago, Brisketexan said:

    This.  It always comes back to this.  Which is also the song of one of the dominant constituencies on Twitter: crypto bros.  On every platform, I get pushed to, randomly followed by, etc., crypto bro after crypto bro.

    At least the porn scammers try to entice me with pics of attractive women with impressive attributes (I'm listening....).  The crypto bros just offer explanations about how this time, the sca...I mean, "opportunity"...is different.

    People who attack the financial system as "imaginary" with an argument that amounts to "but our imaginary system is better, because of the caliber and quality of the people who believe most fervently in that imaginary system" is fantastic, and is one of the most amusing parts of the new era.  And Elon is here for it (as he is for pretty much every crackpot take to be found out there these days)...and that's why they love him.

    Are you saying people who say things like "well, the first step is realizing that things only have value if we value them." are cryptobros? That's not the laziest thing you've said, but it's pretty close.

    • Fuck You 2
  18. 1 hour ago, SydneyCarton said:

    Did that last post where I attempted to help you understand where you were confused help? Just wanting to make sure to tie off and make sure we got on the same page.

    • Fuck You 2
  19. 1 minute ago, SizzleChest said:

    That one or both of Kendall’s kids were not his biologically.

    When he said this my mind went back to when Logan slapped one of the kids or otherwise physically abused/hit one at some point, or something, and it made more sense.

  20. 2 hours ago, 1978horn said:

    My 6th grade daughter failed the English portion last year and the school said she had to come into summer school.  We talked to a teacher friend in the district and told us that was bullshit.  She was able to keep all her electives and they put her in an Inclusion English class.  During class she was pulled aside at various times with other kids in the same situation and then made up the 30 hours during the school year.  We didn't get notice this year that she "may" have failed so it seems to be a good thing.   I don't know if all districts have inclusion classes or not.

    The silver lining on it was that we had been telling the school that she might have dyslexia for years.  They tested her in 4th grade and she didn't qualify.  We brought it up again when she failed and they did a more comprehensive test which showed that she does qualify for help with dyslexia.  She will have to loose an elective next year as there is now a "dyslexia" class, but there are 4 electives and she is in the 2 that matter most so she doesn't care.

    Sounds like it's your fault for the genetics that English isn't a strong suit. Just kidding dude, glad they are getting her some help with the Dyslexia. We had a similar issue but with dyscalculia (think of dyslexia but with numbers/math).

    • Haha 1
  21. 5 minutes ago, Beau Vine said:

    Well, I guess that since he was embedded with the club this season, he was in more scenes, but most of what he did was nod at the end of a scene or roll his eyes.   We learned that he's gay, but that's basically all they did with that. 

    He wore a lot of tight band shirts, though. 

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