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Anastasis

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Anastasis last won the day on May 18

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  1. maybe some of you guys figured that out, don’t know. But some of the dashboards he had access to suggested otherwise to me. I may very well be wrong though.
  2. UH 86, sitting in the horseshoe with my dad.
  3. As far as that specific example re: GR, I think it's interesting how the various trolls are treated. Take for example GR vs. triple. Pretty similar profile. Both physicians with an outside the norm perspective. Triple was a psychiatrist I am basically 100% certain. GR, not sure his area of practice, but virtually certain he is medically trained based on the way he framed certain arguments. CR brain trust crowd sourced GR for trolling them on vax debates, and particularly some areas where the data is very ambiguous and debatable. Triple spread his nonsense here across multiple genres for many years and never got the same. Not a peep. He is probably the single most greatest disseminator of disinformation on that sub, Hugo a close second, GR somewhere in the mix. One gets crowdsourced, also the only one that made some meaningful contributions to ex-CR threads. But whatever. CR is a special place.
  4. I don't think otherwise at all. I agree with the OP's posts. I fucking love that cesspool. There are some really sharp individuals posting there that will challenge your perspective. There are also a lot of dumbasses. I'll put up with the latter with good humor cause the value of the former. But sometimes it all bleeds to together.
  5. Agreed. Done some work specific to this. What we are seeing is that the rates of specific complications are difficult to untangle from background rates, and to the extent that we can construct similar comparison groups, the overall rates are generally similar to what is seen after other acute viral infections such as influenza. The impacts are real, but the population level impacts appear to be driven by the shear magnitude of covid cases, rather than something unique to COVID. Lots of limitations to those observations, but FWIW.
  6. Where did @triplehorn go? Hope that he is doing well, but with less quacking. https://www.cochranelibrary.com/cdsr/doi/10.1002/14651858.CD015017.pub2/full Based on the current very low‐ to low‐certainty evidence, we are uncertain about the efficacy and safety of ivermectin used to treat or prevent COVID‐19. The completed studies are small and few are considered high quality. Several studies are underway that may produce clearer answers in review updates. Overall, the reliable evidence available does not support the use ivermectin for treatment or prevention of COVID‐19 outside of well‐designed randomized trials.
  7. Case counts are fucked up and influenced by testing requirements, esp in a country like Israel where they are arguably over testing asymptomatic cases. Same here in situations where we are getting lots of pings in settings where broad testing requirements among vaccinated are being implemented. Hospitalization and death are the real endpoints. And the data are extremely clear.
  8. The Israeli data on proportion of cases means jack shit*. Let's consider something restricted to adults to illustrate. Population = 1000 adults Vaccinated = 850; Unvaxxed = 150 (this is close to Israel's adult vax rate). Assume cases among Vaxxed = 15 and among unvaxxed = 15. (50% of cases are vaccinated OMG). That works out to a VE of approximately 85%. Actually, the data do mean something, but it is lost on the math challenged televangelists. The data mean the fucking vaccines are working you dumb fucks. And if they need further illustration, look at the decoupling of cases and deaths.
  9. Consider for a second how extremely lucky we were that delta variant didn't evolve earlier in the pandemic prior to vax availability.
  10. Feels right to me, with many regions spanning into September. My concern is what happens when we go back to school and what impact that has.
  11. Hopefully, but the timing with back to school sucks a big one.
  12. Unfortunately the CDC is going to be slow to issue formal guidance on what JNJ people should do, and what role a 3rd dose booster might be able to play. By the time that they get around to addressing the topic, we will be on hopefully a steep ride down from delta peak. The CDC/FDA machinery just doesn't move at the speed necessary during an emerging pandemic, both for better and for worse. Relatedly,
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