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tokamak

Burnt Ends
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Posts posted by tokamak

  1. Saw it today. It’s a cute, professionally made family film. Nothing surprising or revelatory, but a decent enough way to spend a couple hours. The songs were good but we’re not going to be listening to the soundtrack 3 months from now or anything like that. They should not have used “Pure Imagination” but I get why they did. 

    That said, I don’t get Timothee Chalamet. He has negative charisma. He’s both miscast and doesn’t do a particularly good job. Not like, distractingly bad but I just kept asking myself out of all the actors in the world, what compelled them to pick Timothee Chalamet? He and Awkwafina must share the best agent in the business. 

  2. 1 hour ago, Skipper said:

    I think that $2100 get in the door goes down if it is Texas Bama.  If UW wins it does down significantly.  If it is Bama/UW, I'm pretty confident tix will be well under face (considering face is pretty pricy for this game).   If it is Texas/Michigan all bets are off.  Hard to know where it would land.  Really no precedent other than Texas/USC when digital tickets/online market wasn't really a thing.

    Already been discussed in this thread, but I think the move for someone that wanted to buy right now would be to buy an RSVP and then layoff some of the risk with a moneyline bet on Washington. By my math you could guarantee you break even if Washington wins, or end up with a ticket for a little bit less than the current secondary market price if Texas wins. On the other hand, as you said, Texas fans buying now are going to take a bath if we lose.

  3. I'm starting to question my assumption that ticket prices will go up if we beat Washington. They've already risen considerably - from $1300 to around $2100 get-in-the-door price. I think all four fanbases are buying right now to lock in a price. Obviously two of the four are going to be selling on January 2.

  4. Bought some 50 mg Delta 8 gummies the other day. Had no idea what I was looking for, never bought any of this kind of stuff before, but Sharmaine was really helpful on the live chat. Quick shipping, overall a very easy buying experience.

    Like others have said, I have no idea how this stuff is legal in Texas. If you're a novice like me, and wondering if this stuff "works"...uh, yeah, it definitely works. I had one quarter of one 50 mg gummy and that was plenty for me. @Grippe is a maniac eating 275 mg of these things and still being able to function around the house.

    • Hook 'Em 1
  5. Same story for me as pretty much everyone else here - I discovered HornFans as a freshman and here I am 20ish years later. I was just a kid that fucking loved Longhorn sports, especially football, and wanted to discuss them with other people that felt the same way. From there, as I got older, I grew to appreciate being able to discuss other stuff like pro sports, travel, entertainment, and even news/business/politics with people who I’ve always assumed are a lot like me - Texans, college (UT) educated, 30+, sports fanatics.

    I understand that 18 year olds don’t read message boards anymore, and I’ve actually been thinking about that for a while. What I can’t understand - and I’m definitely showing my age here - is where the conversations that drew me in 20 years ago are happening now? Are people really having lengthy, in-depth conversations about sports in the comments of Instagram posts and YouTube videos? I can’t wrap my head around that. Even if that’s true, you’re at the mercy of whatever topic the content creator feels like covering that day. It’s a one way street. How does that build community?

    • Hook 'Em 2
  6. 1 hour ago, ITHorn said:

    You may as well buy a Bama and a Michigan at those prices. You still get a ticket if Texas makes it and if they don’t you can still try and recoup some of your money by selling to a Michigan or Bama fan. 

    Yeah this seems like the way to go.

    Buy a Texas reservation: Texas plays = ticket for ~$1500 all in, Texas doesn't play = get nothing for $1k

    Buy Bama+Michigan reservation: Texas plays = ticket for ~$1500 all in, Texas doesn't play = get ticket for ~$1500 and recoup what you can on the secondary market

    Only downside is that if we go, you'll be sitting with opposing fans. But monetarily you come out way ahead assuming you can resell the ticket for more than approximately face value (which you can).

  7. I just watched McKinley's junior and senior tape and it doesn't scream 5-star to me. Great size and frame, but it's just a lot of clips of him making kinda normal DT run stops, not wreaking havoc. College guards will be able to hold those blocks against him for longer.

    Compare, for example, to Colin Simmons' tape, which is him running past 6A tackles practically before they get out of their stance.

    • Hook 'Em 3
  8. 1 hour ago, jimmyjazz said:

    I don't pay a whole lot of attention to recruiting:  how is NIL's effect shaking out?  When it was announced, the consensus was that schools like Texas, USC and Notre Dame would start to dominate.  It doesn't seem that's happened yet, although 7-5 and 9-3 seasons probably didn't help those other two programs much, either.

    That said, ESPN has Oregon's class ranked #3, which might hint at the power of $$$.  Thoughts?

    For the average fan (speaking about myself here), it's pretty clear that NIL is having a big impact. On the flip side, there's a lot about it that is opaque to us as fans. There are a lot of rumors, innuendo, and speculation, and very little public in terms of hard numbers, for obvious reasons.

    Here's a (probably incomplete) list of things we're pretty sure we know:

    1. NIL is at the forefront of high school recruits' minds. It's openly discussed during visits and so forth. However, the extent to which NIL matters as the deciding factor varies a great deal. There are several 5-star recruitments each year that are pretty much purely NIL-driven. However, there are plenty of others who are still operating on the mindset of finding the right fit and the opportunities will come. For your average 3-star type, they're probably not getting promised much at all, just sold on future opportunities if they perform well.
    2. It's assumed that NIL is a bigger deal in the transfer market, at least at the top end where Texas is and should be involved. Guys at smaller programs that show out know that they can improve their situation by jumping into the portal. Small school coaches have started complaining openly about this.
    3. There was an initial gold rush associated with NIL with some pretty ridiculous numbers/contracts/promises involved. It looks very likely that the market is already correcting a little bit into something more sustainable.
    4. Different programs take very different approaches. Some go for big swings to land a few top prospects but probably aren't doing much for the middle and bottom of the roster. Others are a little more cautious about going all-in for any one player. Careful observation reveals that Texas is probably in this second group.
    5. The bag game is still alive and well in certain circumstances. It's probably best to think of bags and legitimate, rule-following NIL as a spectrum, not a binary.
    6. Texas BMDs are not yet fully mobilized in a way that us average fans would hope. The reasons boil down to conservatism and concerns about lack of ROI. A relatively small number of people are carrying the weight for Texas right now and it's not sustainable in the long term. It's very easy for us to sit here on a message board and spend other peoples' money.
    7. Fan collectives seem like a mixed bag. For example, supposedly Ole Miss's is rolling and coincidentally they have been really active in the portal. Many of them are a complete joke right now. Texas One Fund is off to an OK start but has lots and lots of room to grow.

    edit: adding a couple more thoughts to this

    • It's clear that we have gained some advantage via NIL so far, but to me it does not seem that Texas' (and programs like it) advantage has been as immediate and decisive as many assumed. I think the reason is point #3 above. Damn near every school has a few donors that can splash out some cash. The question going forward is who can sustain in the long term? A gap between haves (Texas, ND, USC, etc) and have-nots (Wyoming, Wake Forest, etc) appeared immediately. I expect the gap between those true haves and the sorta-haves (Nebraska, Tennessee, Alabama?????, etc) to begin growing.
    • My personal opinion, probably not very controversial, is that we are still a long ways from the final form of all this. There are lots of aspects of the college football world in late 2023 that do not look sustainable. I think it's quite possible that the concept of NIL as it is right now will be largely forgotten or irrelevant in 10 years, replaced by a system in which the players get a share of the CFB revenue pie in a much more direct way.
    • Hook 'Em 6
    • Like 2
  9. 1 hour ago, Neonmoon said:

    Updated Depth Chart (yes I know Jaden Allen is a CB, not FS, but wanted to save space)

    image.thumb.png.f427ab7e2909ff14b4e10db6c8b6bc59.png

     

    I completely forgot about Hunter Moddon already. Just checked his 247 profile and he didn't sign anywhere yesterday, has no crystal balls, and has zero activity on his timeline since his decommitment in June. Wonder what the story is there.

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