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686

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Everything posted by 686

  1. The St. Pete duma members were against the war from the beginning, so they haven’t changed their stance. I don’t know about the Moscow members that issued this second motion. My read wasn’t that they wanted to replace him with someone who would “win”, more that they probably know they aren’t going to win and want to stop the bleeding before the Red Army is completely gutted and the country potentially bankrupted. I’m no expert so I may be over optimistic.
  2. It’s like a Dave Chappelle sketch. You coudn’t have scripted it to be more awkward. The interesting thing is that now that things are really serious for them, they are talking less and less about nukes. The nuke threats are getting more and more veiled. Today it’s “why aren’t we bringing everything to the fight?”; when months ago they were showing mushroom clouds and tidal waves over Great Britain (yes and Ireland, but honestly, who cares about the Irish?) Anyway, now that it’s getting down to the nut-cuttin’ time on tactical nukes, it seems like they aren’t reaching for the football.
  3. Cooking dinner in the burning hull of your enemy’s armor is the most metal/Conan the Barbarian thing yet in this thread.
  4. Good stuff. You can hear the thousand yard stare in that guy’s voice. He had a nice dunk at the end: “and then the amazing spetznas left”.
  5. SIAP. Guessing the Russian had this video and was captured.
  6. Very consistent reporting that the Ukrainian diet is much better than the Russian diet. The looted chow is enough to call home over:
  7. People already sending the UA winter gear:
  8. “We keep seeking peace but they demand our defeat” is such a twisted statement, but it twists all the way around to what may be the truth at this point. I’m sure the Russians want to do a deal immediately to try and keep some territory, and Ukraine is demanding they GTFO. Russia needs to take the fucking loss and go home if (God willing) the UA is able to make it happen.
  9. I would imagine countries allied with Russia or that have been buying Russian arms are basically at this phase of viewership:
  10. Kofman with a short thread on the recent movements:
  11. Standing on the side of the road with lady friends trying to figure out a plan while active traffic zooms by is a great look.
  12. From that thread. Looks like the conscripted defense forces aren’t in agreement on standing and fighting the UA:
  13. The quote says these are opposition politicians, will be interesting if they get the Navalny treatment or not. I mean Putin made it public several times that he was personally running this operation right? Somebody is going to take the fall for 50k+ dead and a complete gutting of Russian military material stores/vehicles that took 50 years to amass. Especially if nothing or very little ends up being gained.
  14. The thread on the Duma motion to remove Putin from office says it obviously won’t go anywhere, but may be a sign of louder dissent to come.
  15. This is interesting:
  16. Since the spring when people thought Russia would roll right through Ukraine, Ukraine has stopped and reversed much of the Russian advance, attrited the Russians to the tune of 49,000(!!!) Russian KIA, over 5,000 vehicles/heavy equipment lost, and has now coordinated what as of today looks like the start of a successful counteroffensive to take back Russian occupied territory. All of the US/NATO systems we have sent the Ukrainians have been very successful. The last two days have looked to perhaps be the turning of the tide and people are feeling like maybe The Ukrainians can actually win this against what started as a massive disadvantage. So your question came off like the contrarian / rhetorical / shit posting that Russian bots like to spew on the internet.
  17. Yes, I’ve been trying to remember who said it a week or so ago on twitter that the US isn’t willing to commit genocide anymore, even if it means “losing” a war, which is a differentiator between us and Russia, China, etc. I think that’s a huge reason we’ve pushed our military sophistication so far, not only do we want our guys to come home safe, we want to be able to overwhelm adversaries quickly and avoid the protracted meatgrinders that reflect negatively on us globally and lose political support at home. Powell Doctrine vs. Westmoreland’s attrition warfare. Sun Tzu knew it a long time ago: “in warfare, keeping a nation intact is best, destroying a nation second best…Therefore, to achieve a hundred victories in a hundred battles is not the highest excellence; to subjugate the enemy's army without doing battle is the highest of excellence.”
  18. Back when we were out of patience in asymmetric wars with Stone Age nations we did. We’re still reconciling it. We at least as a nation have regrets and can own the fact that mistakes were made and we can learn from them and try not to repeat and advise others not to go down that road. Russia doesn’t give a shit and has no moral barometer or ethical floor.
  19. Yes they are very good on their turf, and when they want to kill each other, it’s really damn hard to stop it. We used to get some grief because we didn’t go into Rwanda when they were doing their ethnic cleansing, but to paraphrase one of our officials at the time “our military isn’t designed to stop one guy with a machete from killing another guy”. I.e the extreme asymmetry eliminates our advantages, we literally have to have guys standing guard everywhere with rifles to stop that, which isn’t what we’re setup to do.
  20. I should have checked that
  21. SIAP. We trained the UA guys that Harpooned the Moscow. I mean we are just pantsing Putin. Our military has an incredible capability when we’re going up against a 20th century opponent and not trying to stop goat herders from stoning each other.
  22. Can you imagine what the tone of that meeting/afterparty is going to be like? Talk about high morale. Ukrainian Def Min should come in like this, get it started right.
  23. I would bet Erdogan brokered the deal, he maybe even loaded the ordinance on grain freighters headed back to Odessa after they unloaded in a Turkish port. To state the obvious, I think Putin read Erdogan (and separately the entire west) completely wrong on this deal. It seems like Putin thought Erdogan was going to look the other way and it has been the opposite, which is great.
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