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Tuco

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Posts posted by Tuco

  1. There is a combination of a few things for me:

    1. So many choices for entertainment means that I get distracted.  I don't have the attention span to pay attention to a lengthy setup.  I am rewired for the instant gratification of social media and 10 minute youtube vidoes.  I find this is true even for classic movies that I still kind of love.  I find myself watching Kubrick movies in sections, because no way am I sitting down for three hours straight.  

    2. So many choices that I get spoiled.  When it was three channels, you pretty much took the best of three shitty options.  Now, if it's not great, I ain't watching.  Probably a good thing.  But I don't have the patience to sit through a rough first season, or rough pilot, of anything.  

    3. I'm old, so it's gotta be weird and pretty.  I've watched every classic story line so many time, in so many forms, it just doesn't interest me, regardless of how well it's done.  The shows I get into now tend to have interesting cinematography and weird storylines.  Mr. Robot is a good example. Peacock has been surprisingly good with Poker Face, Miss Davis, and Hysteria.  I'm sure The Bear is "better" than any of those three, when it comes to writing and acting, but I have very little interest in watching brothers argue in the back of the house of a restaurant.  I couldn't get past the first two episodes.  

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  2. On 12/15/2024 at 6:28 AM, Parliament said:

    And it's wonderful.  Doesn't make the pain go away.  Makes you not CARE about the pain.  Scary stuff.  Do not recommend.

    My stepdad had a myriad of health issues in his late 80s, including cancer and a hernia.  The cancer was the bigger concern, but the hernia was more painful, but he was too frail for them to operate on him to fix it.  The dude was in agony despite several different rounds of pain killers.  I think the combo of the pain killers and pain kept him pretty delusional through this period, which may have been a blessing.  Finally they gave him a Fentanyl patch, and it was miraculous.  It blocked the pain and we got our dad back, for a couple of years at least until he passed.  

    On the flip side, my cousin lost her 21 year old son to an OD, heroin likely laced with fentanyl.   

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  3. The most stable democracies in the world are those with less not more wealth inequality. Currently we are racking up trillions to finance tax cuts for the wealthy. So yeah, let’s trade hand outs to those who don’t need them to those who do for the benefit of the whole. It’s novel I know but it’s kept the Northern European democracies quite stable and frankly the envy of the developed world when it comes to governance, education, healthcare, happiness, and quality of life.

    I like it. I wish the American voter did.
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  4. 5 minutes ago, bangkok said:

    then please enlighten me how she underperformed biden in just about every state?

    she was an unprimaried, backup replacement after biden’s health deteriorated more quickly than jerry jones’ football teams.

    she was gilbert coming in for injured colt.

    you’re defending a candidate that got their ass kicked in embarrassing fashion by donald fucking trump as an excellent candidate?

    wtf is wrong with you?

    the topic is that we should have been better, and you arguing against that is a very weak position to take particularly after just losing an election as pivotal as this one seemed to be.

    I think as far as skill, her campaign was much that Biden's.  But, she is neither white nor a man, so she did not get as many votes.  It is an indictment of the American voter.  

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  5. 14 minutes ago, linux said:

    The worst part is that in the end it was for nothing Michigan (big muslim demo) lost and Penn (big jewish demo) both lost.

     

    If the Gaza issue was impactful, it was likely showing up in the (lack of) youth vote.  But, yeah, it was always going to be a wedge issue that difficult to navigate.  

  6. So in poll with democrats since Clinton the stance of most democrats has changed drastically to further left….  But pointing this out is my bad somehow?  There’s no actual conversation coming from this obviously, it’s the same for both now.  Neither will admit anything.  

    We’re not asking some random sampling of what policies the Democratic Party has shifted far to the left on. We are asking you. Do you have an answer that you are willing to share.
  7. How does one go about sussing out the differences between Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, and Indiana?

    My two cents:

    I think Iowa, Minnesota and Wisconsin are similar in Midwestern Popularism, but most notable in Minnesota. Not only do you get Walz as governor, but Jesse Ventura 20 years ago. The Dems in Minnesota are officially called DFL : “Democratic - farm - labor”. But, a lot of the same feel in parts of Iowa and Wisconsin, then lesser so as you get into Nebraska, Kansas…

    But over the last 30 years, national politics has preempted state politics. There used to be prolife Dems in Nebraska who could win elections. Now, there aren’t any left and they wouldn’t win elections if they did exist. The Obamacare vote doomed the last Nebraskan Senator. The “all politics is local” isn’t really true anymore in the age of syndicated talk radio and cable news.

    I think over the last 10 years you are seeing a resurgence of more progressive, common sense movements as a reaction to complete Republican dominance and overreach in places like Kansas, Oklahoma, and Nebraska. Hopefully that grows.
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  8. I’ve been reading a lot of G. Elliott Morris on Twitter, guy knows his data. Says Selzer is no better or worse than any other poll and that it’s still just noise at the end of the day. So I think a lot of people in this thread need to really tamper their expections just because Harris finally got one good poll result. He still has Trump as a favorite (not a guarantee) to win 

    You and Morris may be right. But what Selzer is telling me is that under a different set of assumptions-that are realistic and supported by a very respected pollster - Harris wins in a landslide. And yeah, that’s a data point that is aligning with my gut. It aligns with other data points that I admittedly filter for, because it matches my gut. But it’s still a valid, compelling data point.

    (Worth noting that extrapolating from other IA polls, she still wins the election, but much tighter.)
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  9. 35 minutes ago, Gatorubet said:

    So - I’m ashamed to report that I was not able to complete the 15 pre-purchased cocktails per day on this, my first day.  But I have had - ah - several.  And I had about a 12 ounce pour Pinot Noir I took back to my room from dinner.   

    So I’m rereading Paul Revere’s Ride by David Fischer, when I saw this quote:

    ‘Milo Kundera has recently reminded us that “the struggle against power is the struggle of memory against forgetting.” ‘

    All of these women have a firm memory of their rights pre-Dobbs, and they have definitely decided not to forget. 

     

    Case in point, it's Milan Kundera. :) 

  10. Update on NE-2 (Vargas (D) vs. Bacon(R)), but mostly just venting.  

    I can't find the ad that national Republican PAC ran during the Husker game this week, but it was the head of the police officer association talking about how Vargas "blamed the police for a violent riot" and led attacks on the cops.  I did find this one that features Douglas County Attorney Don Kleine saying the same thing, directly from the Bacon campaign.  

    First of all, All Cops Are Bastards. That's the kind of mood this shit puts me in.  

    Secondly, the history on this: during the 2020 George Floyd protests, I went to one of the Black Lives Matters protests.  It was along Dodge Street, the busy street in Omaha.  It was initially along the road, but the cops then put up barricades to close the road to traffic.  Protestors go out onto the carless road.  Cops then get into riot gear to clear the protestors, firing pepper balls at them when the highly predictable resistance to that order happens.  There is absolutely no indication any protestors attacked the cops, despite thousands of hand held cameras and bodycams. .  

    Later that weekend, there is a protest downtown.  Vargas, and some other state senators, go down to observe the major political events happening in the region.  Cops fire pepper balls liberally, including one that catches Tony near the eye.  (I went down to help clean up the next day, and there were pepper ball marks 10 feet up on building walls; this was not selective use of non-lethal deterrent.) 

    At the same downtown protest, a white bar owner shoots and kills a black protestor.  After a brief investigation, Don Kleine announces it is self defense and there will be no charges.  He doesn't even get the victim's name correct during the press conference. After the backlash, Kleine agrees to allow a special prosecutor/grand jury investigation, smugly confident that it will come to the same conclusion.  But, the special prosecutor finds evidence on the shooter's phone (which was never released) and the grand jury indicts the shooter.  Shooter ends up killing himself, thus the public never sees the evidence.  Don Kleine switches from Dem to Republican, and thens wins re-election as a Republican. 

    Thirdly: Unfortunately, the "back the blue" shit in Omaha is effective.  So, I can see it working here.  But they also ran these types of ads last cycle, so hopefully some if it baked into Vargas's polling previously. 

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  11. 52 minutes ago, Fudge Nuggets said:

    How confident are we that Osborn will be a somewhat reliable 'D' vote in the Senate and not pull a Munchkin or 'Dangerous Creature'?

    Not confident at all.  If he wants to be re-elected, I'd say he stays indy for at least four years and then make the calculation if he has better odds in a Republican primary as the incumbent or as a Dem/Indy in the general.  My gut is saying he'd tack right and go R, but it's worth noting that while has Fischer held that seat for 12 years, Dems held it for the 24 years prior.  It's easy to forget how quickly things can change.  But, even if he had an R behind his name, he's a huge step up from Fischer who will rubber stamp literally anything the GOP tells her to.  Voting for Party leadership is important, but so are the actual Senators themselves.   

    45 minutes ago, Js1 said:

    We are all skeptical of Harris up 3 in Iowa, but her track record speaks for itself. She knows her state. 

    And she would need to be very wrong for this to be anything short of fantastic for Harris. 

  12. 4 hours ago, Fudge Nuggets said:

    I said back in the beginning, Harris should have at least made one trip to Ohio as part of the Blue Wall barnstorming campaign. 

    I don't think that would help Brown. 

     

    1 hour ago, jimmyjazz said:

    I continue to wonder why it's any worse to trade a blowjob for a promotion than it is to trade a promotion for a blowjob.

    Because I'd rather have a blowjob.  Is this a trick question? 

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  13. 1 hour ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

    No offense, but I can only assume you’re being willfully obtuse here.

    No, he's not.  You are doing what a lot of people do: you see a problem and you attribute the cause as something you see as deficient.  But, if there was really a cause and effect between these problems and that deficiency, if Trump was winning this voting block due to economic policy, nobody would be talking about "white working class" - it would just be "working class."  Full stop.  It's absurd to pretend that this is an economic policy issue.  I would love to see more progressive policies.  But, the House candidate my wife worked for four years ago was a Medicare for All proponent, in a district that went to Biden, and she lost by 5 points.  The people prefer Biden's moderate economic policies.  It's why you don't hear M4A discussed at all this cycle.  It lost.  In part, because the blue collar labor union members were against it.  

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