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Posts posted by 40acredropout
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1 minute ago, jw4381 said:
So, how do we get to say 30th out of FBS teams? Just small adjustments to overall in-game play-calling? That would get us to 10-2 this year, I'd bet.
My guess is maturing from a unit featuring two true freshman O-lineman and a freshman QB will move the needle the most. I don't have the numbers but I'd be willing to bet a significant chunk of those 3-and-outs came on series where a false start off the bat put us 1st and 15.
The playcalling was absolutely a part of it. I wanted to stab my eyes out watching us try (and fail) deep passes on first down, get stuffed on predictable 2nd down run between the tackles, then of course failing on third and long with whatever we tried to dial up.
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31 minutes ago, redswingline said:
with us and choklahoma leaving, I wonder which two schools have the biggest media markets and fan bases
There was a study put out this year that estimates fan base size. I'm not familiar enough with methodology to vouch for it but it was circulated pretty widely so assuming it's at least directionally accurate https://drive.google.com/file/d/1MiUOwx8X3H2bSkUOz8a1YhceyJWLLCoJ/view
Big 12 rankings:
- Texas - 7.82M
- OU - 3.22M
- WVU - 1.84M
- TTU - 1.65M
- OSU - 1.42M
- BYU - 1.03M
- KSU - .91M
- KU - .90M
- ISU - .81M
- TCU - .80M
- UCF - .78M
- BAY - .57M
- HOU - .47M
- CIN - .39M
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1 minute ago, jw4381 said:
Now do us.
27% which ranks 54th out of FBS teams. Nobody is saying that's good or acceptable.
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47 minutes ago, jw4381 said:
I'm looking for never having a 3 and out. It shouldn't happen with our players.
This is how we know you have unrealistic expectations.
USC is best offense this season in terms of % of drives that result in at least one first down. They go 3 and out 14% of the time.
2019 LSU is probably the best offense in recent memory. They went 3 and out 19% of the time.
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7 minutes ago, CTC2 said:
He was at the basketball game tonight wearing a Worthy/UT shirt. Came over and yucked it up with
SarkLoreal inhisher court-side seat and took several pictures with fans and students.
I figure that’s about as valuable as anything FCB would give you.
FIFY
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32 minutes ago, closetojumping said:
We all feel bad for you in the most patronizing and condescending way possible. It must suck to be an ISU fan and I'm glad it isn't my lot in life. While I hope Texas never stoops to playing ISU in anything ever again, I sure hope you guys are able to get back to .500 and stay there against the likes of UCF, Northern Iowa and UH. You guys deserve some sad form of mediocre happiness every now and then.
I'll never understand why people think Texas fans are arrogant
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5 minutes ago, EuroHorn said:
With security video of the incident
Wow. Two dudes chilling at the bar just earned some free drinks.
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24 minutes ago, MirrOlure said:
Best place to ask…
When will this shittastic shitshow announce its 2023 schedule? We grownups like to plan ahead.Last I heard was it would be announced in early December. My guess is they release it after B12 Championship game?
Looking forward to see which two new schools we will be visiting this upcoming season.
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1 hour ago, utee94 said:It's in a strip center on Anderson Mill, several blocks west of 183. Right where Spicewood Parkway tees into Anderson Mill. Also, it has changed names from Tavern, to Pub, or vice versa. I don't recall what it is right now but people use it interchangeably.
It has live music quite often, and it's actually not a bad venue. Mostly old-guy bands playing 60s/70s/80s rock, but occasionally some other stuff too.
I can't believe so many posters here have hung out in that shit hole. Oh wait. Yes I can.
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8 minutes ago, Wulaw Horn said:
That doesn't even seem conceivable. My goodness- I watched every play and I didn't even realize it was that bad. #3 receiver with 4 catches? In a functional offense your 3rd WR running 11 should have like 4 catches a game fairly often. I know we ran a bunch of 12 or 21 but not that much to explain that number. Good lord.
I had same reaction. Actually I lied. I just looked to see Cain had 4 but didn't look further down to see Savion with 5.
Worthy - 53
Whittington- 45
Red- 5
Cain- 4
Milton / Sulser - 2
Thompson / Omeire / Hall - 1
As you alluded to- obviously JT and RB's ate up a decent share but it feels like the playbook has to be seriously limited when there was obviously zero confidence in anyone besides Worthy/Whitt.
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9 minutes ago, Wulaw Horn said:
We would take him and consider him an upgrade to the room/roster if he's like our 4th WR- right?
Second part of what you said- yes. Our 3rd best receiver had 4 catches this year. I still can't believe that's an actual stat.
Wease was like OU's 4th guy though. We can easily find more proven guys... guess the real question is how much value you place on his prospect pedigree.
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3 hours ago, closetojumping said:
Card is about to graduate from McCombs with what, a BBA in finance? Is there some notion that the guy wants to go pro? If not, and he's going to leverage his skills to get a high quality MBA, why on earth would he go anywhere but to an elite institution?
He was a top 50 recruit, is a competitor and has 3 years of eligibility left. That kid still has an NFL contract on his mind and I'd be surprised if the quality of the MBA program is in his top 3 deciding factors.
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7 minutes ago, Tylerocks said:
Watching the portal announcements coming fast and furious, a buddy sent a text that 29,000 kids were/are/will be in the portal. Is that right?
That can't be right, can it?
No it’s right. Just means every FBS and FCS school will each have have 111 guys in the portal.
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Just now, immamac said:
So Sark reads surly confirmed. lol
Handle is obviously @Thatguy
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24 minutes ago, closetojumping said:
Hope is now my strategy.
At least it's easier to place hope in someone who dresses sharp, right?
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21 minutes ago, Nivek said:
You are kind of wasting your effort here. He simply cannot fathom how accusing others of being associated with some high school affiliation, calling people cum guzzlers, and saying they are all fools for being blinded by ratings, but he has the real knowledge and correct opinion. He deflects away all criticism from some players and doubles down on another when everyone can see the ball hit the WR in the hands, he pretends that it wasn't a perfect throw, therefore it is all the QBs fault. He knows everything, we are just fools for not believing him and trusting our lying eyes.
I used to feel bad for him because he seemed like a decent person who has some social issues. I get that. But a decade plus later, and while he has mellowed out, the root problem is that he lacks respect for others on here when they disagree with him and it is tiresome. Add in some salty homophobic language, and his constant need to spin things (Dan Marino is Quinn Ewers! ) and people get tired of his shit.
So many of us have tried to reach out to him. He just rejects good advice because well, he knows better than all of us.
But that is like my opinion, man.
Oh for sure- the meat of my post was to provide some actual historical data points and my thoughts. That was for the reasonable adults interested/capable of a thoughtful dialogue.
Last spoiler was all the effort I'm giving Derka until he gives us something other than 'trust me, I watched the tape -> I know what I'm talking about -> Quinn Ewers is a terrible 1 star talent at this point -> fuck you, fuck everybody, I am the only reasonable one here, how can you not see that!?'
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Efficiency Rating (sportsreference.com)
True Freshman QB:
Spoiler96 Player sample. 124.6 Average. 32 > 131.4 (Quinn)
- 90.5 - Drew Lock
- 93.5 - Brady Quinn
- 109.0 - Matt Stafford
- 113.6 - Max Duggan
- 122.3 - Dorian Thompson-Robinson
- 123.4 - Jared Goff
- 125.0 - Bo Nix
- 131.3 - Matt Barkley
- 132.4 - Teddy Bridgewater
- 132.6 - Chad Henne
- 134.3 - Josh Rosen
- 136.0 - Shane Buchele
- 139.1 - Jalen Hurts
- 142.0 - Robert Griffin III
- 157.6 - Trevor Lawerence
- 160.1 - Jake Fromm
- 160.2 - Sam Howell
- 169.6 - Caleb Williams
- 169.9 - Brock Purdy
2nd Year QB (who didn't qualify statistically in previous season):
Spoiler199 Player sample. 129.8 average. 90 > 131.4 (Quinn)
- 105.0 - Jake Locker
- 118.5 - Andy Dalton
- 119.3 - Jordan Love
- 120.3 - Kenny Pickett
- 126.3 - Daniel Jones
- 128.2 - Kyle Orton
- 128.9 - Terrelle Pryor
- 130.8 - Landry Jones
- 131.4 - Quinn Ewers
- 137.0 - Kyle Allen
- 138.0 - Charlie Brewer
- 140.5 - Braxton Miller
- 144.7 - Geno Smith
- 145.1 - Chase Daniel
- 146.8 - Sam Ehlinger
- 147.6 - Case Keenum
- 150.8 - Colin Kaepernick
- 153.3 - David Ash
- 155.3 - Johnny Manziel
- 161.1 - Sam Darnold
- 161.8 - Colt McCoy
- 165.1 - Drake Maye
- 169.8 - JT Barrett
- 172.6 - Spencer Rattler
- 181.4 - Justin Fields
- 184.3 - Grayson McCall
- 184.8 - Jameis Winston
- 199.4 - Tua Tagovailoa
Given his pedigree, it was a disappointing season for Quinn. Empirically, it was objectively average to slightly above average for a guy taking his first snaps.
I don't blame people for getting excited about him after Alabama. If you're saying you didn't, you're fucking lying. Joel Klatt, all the youtube QB dudes and every other talking head in the sport were lining up to jerk off about some of the throws he made in that game. And they weren't just attributable to his arm talent. It was having feel in the pocket, anticipation and then the NFL throw on top of that.
Regression was inevitable and he wasn't ever going to play lights out like that all year. That said, I am surprised how much he seemed to regress. None of us know how much was attributable to injury, the yips, play calling, the O-line, or whatever. I personally think Sark, who I really like, really hurt Quinn with his playcalling this year. I've posted it else where but way too high of a reliance on the medium to deep throws. For reasons others can document better than I can, they just weren't fucking working and I think the resulting failure probably really dinged Quinn's confidence which is paramount for a young QB. To Sark's credit, he did finally adjust the last two games but at that point most of the damage had been done.
I roll my eyes at the unrealistic, toxic bitchasses who take his "poor" performance personally. I don't really care if he's making his NIL money or not, he's still a kid under more pressure than any of us will probably face in our lives. I wish we could collectively be more patient and supportive. If you want to be miserable and bitch and moan on a message board about a 19 year old you've never met, be my guest. I wouldn't bet against him rebounding in a big way though.
Also, Derka:
SpoilerStop being such a whiny fucking bitch. Take a step back and try to understand why you always end up in these predicaments. There are dickeads on here and you don't always deserve it but honestly right now you do.
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3 minutes ago, Wally Pryor said:
He's going to make a nice living for himself working on Sundays.
I know you’re not saying otherwise but this badass motherfucker works his ass off seven days a week. Man, I’m gonna miss him.
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3 minutes ago, jimmyjazz said:
That was extremely well done. Kudos to the LSU dudes.
You can tell the dude watched the tape when at 4:05 he does the half spin with fancy hands to lead into his whoop. Textbook.
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1 minute ago, Thatguy said:
On the safety the edge came in unblocked on the right. Rojo was there to deal with the extra man but was looking inside and never saw him. Guy was completely untouched. Completely. I ran a stopwatch 3 times and came up with roughly 1.7 seconds from the time he caught the snap until he threw it.
People have been shitting on @Thatguybut who else on this board is grinding their ass off and busting out the stop watch? Respect.
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Holy fuck, Derka. Yeah. Besides arm talent, which totally doesn’t matter, Quinn ewers is a 1 star prospect at this point. Definitely.
This board is going to drag its nutsack across your stupidass forehead in a way that makes the “mistreatment” you drew from from your incessant grandstanding, bitchass Sam critiques look like child’s play.
You bring it on your self dude.
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As much as I’d love for bijan to stay, there’s no way he should. I say that with zero knowledge on insurance policies / NIL potential but from my view, why risk ruining an awesome thing?
DKR chanting his name at end of game today was one of my favorite moments in my 12 years of going to games. Go get paid (more) and make us proud, Bijan.
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1 hour ago, BevoAbyss said:
Always great to beat Baylor. Always. Especially with the 4th quarter running game featuring Bijan. Why did it take so long to come up with that plan?
But, for those who attended UT in late 1980s-early 1990s, we have seen this before.— 13-11 after two years suggests Sark will end up somewhere between Mackovic (best-case scenario) and McWilliams (worst-case). This season has a total Mackovic feel: great victories and inexplicable, bumbling losses. Mackovic was supposed to be offense whiz.— Sark has 3 more wins than last season, but only 1 more than Herman’s last season. So the longer-term improvement is not 3 wins, but 1 win across two years. Almost exactly like Mackovic following McWilliams.— Sark has 5 wins and 8 wins, which averages to 6.5 per year, which rounds to 7. As in 7-Win-Steve.The history repeats because we ignore it and do the same thing again ... and again ... and again. All while hoping for the best despite what is right before our eyes. Feel free to ignore or slam me with my references to actual Texas football history.Do better or stop posting, rainman
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This is who Steve Sarkisian is.
in Football
Posted
Also FYI- last season we went 3-and-out 36% of the time which ranked 105th in the country. So as bad as it felt at times, we actually took a pretty big step this year. I expect us to take another big step next year and more sustained drives helps us out as a team in a lot of ways.