Jump to content

40acredropout

Burnt Ends
  • Posts

    1249
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by 40acredropout

  1. 24 minutes ago, MonkeyDoughnut said:

    aggy will get saved by the SEC gods that scheduled Alabama traveling to Tennessee next week.

    Expect Alabama to be playing lots of depth/backups keeping starters rested and healthy first sign game is in control.

    Vegas knows this and why the line hasn't really moved off -24. It'll end up between 17 and 28.

    11 point range, where can I buy your other picks?

    • Like 1
    • Haha 4
  2. Got smoked again last week.  This year has been brutal... now 35-41-1.  Ouch.

    Final card for the week (I like the picks, okay):

    • UCF -3 vs SMU
    • Clemson -20.5 @ Boston College
    • Alabama -24 vs Aggy
    • U45.5 K-State @ Iowa State
    • Miss State -8 vs Arkansas
    • Coastal Carolina -14 @ UL-Monroe
    • Western Kentucky +6.5 @* UTSA 
    • Air Force -10 @ Utah State
    • Nevada -3.5 vs Colorado State
    • Duke -3 @ Georgia Tech
    • Notre Dame -3.5 vs* BYU
    • O45 Tulsa @ Navy
    • Memphis -3 vs Houston
    • Notre Dame -3.5 N BYU
    • Washington State +13 @ USC

     

    Spoiler

    Week 5 (3-8) 

    • BYU -24 vs Utah State LOSS, SMFH 
    • Houston -5 vs Tulane (Tulane starting QB not throwing in warmups) LOSS
    • UTSA -4 @ MTSU WIN
    • Air Force -14 vs Navy LOSS
    • U43.5 Illinois @ Wisconsin LOSS 
    • O59 Iowa State @ Kansas LOSS
    • Baylor -2.5 vs Oklahoma State LOSS
    • O65 Georgia Southern @ Clemson LOSS 
    • O40 NC State @ Clemson WIN
    • Texas -9.5 vs WVU WIN
    • Pitt -22 vs Georgia Tech LOSS

    Week 4 (8-8-1 straight)

    • Coastal -2.5 @ G State WIN
    • U49.5 WVU @ VT WIN
    • Syracuse -10 vs Virginia LOSS
    • Air Force -24 vs Nevada WIN
    • Boise State - 16 @ UTEP LOSS
    • Parlay-  5 picks above.  $5 to pay $105 LOSS
    • Baylor +2.5 @ ISU WIN
    • Kansas -7 vs Duke WIN
    • Memphis -12.5 vs UNT LOSS
    • Ole Miss -12.5 1H vs Tulsa WIN
    • Oregon -6.5 @ Wash St  LOSS
    • Arkansas +2 vs A&M PUSH
    • OU -12.5  vs K State LOSS
    • UNLV -3 @ Utah State WIN
    • USC -5.5 @ Oregon State LOSS
    • Utah -15.5 @ Arizona State WIN
    • 10 Team Favorite ML Parlay -108 (PUR, OSU, KEN, HOU, UCLA, PSU, MSST, AF, BOISE, MICH) LOSS

    Week 3  (4-11):

    • O47 Air Force @ Wyoming LOSS
    • U58.5 Purdue @ Syracuse LOSS god fucking dammit
    • OU -11.5 @ Nebraska WIN
    • O57.5 Buffalo @ Coastal Carolina WIN
    • O48.5 Tulane @ Kansas State LOSS
    • Nevada +23 @ Iowa LOSS
    • USC -12.5 vs Fresno State WIN
    • Texas -11 vs UTSA WIN
    • U61.5 Western Kentucky @ Indiana LOSS
    • BYU +3.5 @ Oregon LOSS
    • U58 BYU @ Oregon LOSS
    • U47 Colorado @ Minnesota LOSS
    • Michigan State +3.5 @ Washington LOSS
    • U56.5 Michigan State @ Washington LOSS
    • Sucker Road Dawg ML Parlay:  BYU, Michigan State, Miami, Western Kentucky -> $10 to win $506 LOSS

    Week 2 (9-4):

    • Boise State -16.5 @ New Mexico WIN
    • Wake Forest-13 @ Vanderbilt WIN
    • U56.5 Mizzou @ Kansas State WIN
    • WVU -13 vs Kansas LOSS
    • U49 Wash St @ Wisconsin WIN
    • O67 Tennessee @ Pit LOSS
    • U56.5 MTSU @ CS WIN
    • U56 Akron @ Michigan State WIN
    • Notre Dame -20 vs Marshall LOSS
    • U64 FIU @ Texas State WIN
    • U46 BC @ VA Tech WIN
    • BYU -3.5 vs Baylor WIN
    • Texas & App State Big Dick Swinging ML Parlay +8088 RAN OUT OF TIME

    Week 1 (8-9-1):

    • U60.5 LaTech @ Mizzou LOSS
    • O51 WVU @ Pitt WIN
    • Purdue +3.5 v Penn State LOSS
    • O52.5 NMSU @ Minnesota LOSS
    • U51.5 Temple @ Duke WIN
    • Houston -4.5 @ UTSA LOSS
    • BYU -11.5 @ USF WIN
    • U57.5 Troy @ Ole Miss WIN
    • Utah -3 @ Florida LOSS
    • O54 Army @ Coastal WIN
    • Kentucky -16.5 v Miami (OH) WIN
    • Georgia State +12.5 @ South Carolina LOSS
    • Boise State +3 @ Oregon State LOSS
    • Colorado State +31 @ Michigan LOSS
    • UTEP +31 @ OU LOSS
    • UNC ML +125 @ App State WIN
    • U51 Clemson @ GT PUSH
    • Clemson -21 @ GT WIN

    Week 0 (3-1-1):

    • Nebraska -13 v Northwestern LOSS
    • Vanderbilt -8 @ Hawaii WIN
    • U44 Wyoming v Illinois PUSH
    • U50.5 Nevada @ NMSU WIN
    • UNT PK @ UTEP WIN

     

  3. 27 minutes ago, ztejas said:

    This guy seems like he sucks^

     

    I hate when I start a thread wayyyyy too blasted and it somehow persists on the front page throughout the entire week. Especially when it's a bunch of shit I don't even agree with. 

    We'll be okay. Let's get a W tomorrow. I was looking at some past seasons, and the season that a lot of folks identified as potentially being similar to this one - 1998 -started with Texas beating NMSU at home then losing a fairly close contest on the road to a top 10 UCLA team (what a world) then getting absolutely fucking ass-blasted by a top 10 KSt team in Manhattan, 48-7. 

    The only other loss that Texas team suffered was by 7 points in Lubbock coming in as the 18th ranked team in the country (sound familiar?).

    They finished 9-3 - with some close wins along the way including 26-24 over aggy. 

    I'd say - so far - there's no reason the 2022 Horns can't do what that team did. 

    That said - I think tomorrow is going to tell us a lot about whether Sark really can be the guy going forward. 

    Hook 'em you buncha cocksuckers - not sure how you put up with me. 

    Positive vibes only 

    • Hook 'Em 1
  4. Aight, time to roll.  Week 5:

    • BYU -24 vs Utah State LOSS, SMFH 
    • Houston -5 vs Tulane (Tulane starting QB not throwing in warmups)
    • UTSA -4 @ MTSU
    • Air Force -14 vs Navy
    • U43.5 Illinois @ Wisconsin
    • O59 Iowa State @ Kansas
    • Baylor -2.5 vs Oklahoma State
    • O65 Georgia Southern @ Clemson
    • O40 NC State @ Clemson
    • Pitt -22 vs Georgia Tech
  5. It truly has been death by a thousand papercuts this year.

    Our defense ranks 22nd in county in allowing only 4.77 yards per play.

    In terms of limiting big plays, opponents only get 7+ yards on 9.5% of plays which ranks 6th in the county.  10+ yards-  4.8% of plays which ranks 14th overall.

    I didn't think we'd fare terribly in these metrics but also didn't think we'd rank that highly.  There has to be an adjustment.  Patient teams are going to continue to slice and dice us for 5 yards at a time and control the clock as long as we are giving it to them.  

    • Rage+1 1
  6. 1 hour ago, Sir Ulrich said:

    Kiffin has won 10 games everywhere he has been for more than 1 year. His issue is he obviously hates to recruit but with NIL at a place like Texas that becomes a whole lot easier (see Riley at USC). Gundy would also do well here for the same reasons and if he was given an elite DC. Stoops would be the worst hire of the three because his offenses suck and he has only finished with 10 wins twice in the easiest division in the SEC and he also gets an extension there for winning 7 games so zero reason to move at this point. 

    Like others, I was underwhelmed when the Sark hire was announced.  One of the first texts I got was from a buddy who asked how it felt to hire the knock-off version of Lane Kiffin?  My response:

    Alonzo Mourning GIFs | Tenor

     

    On this site, relatively speaking, I fall under the sunshine pumper category as I've grown to really like Sark and believe he can be very good here if given the time.  That said, I've definitely wondered at times what things would look like had we hired Kiffin instead.

    • Hook 'Em 1
  7. You guys seem like you need a pick me up.  PFF player grades so far amongst FBS qualifiers:

    • Cole Hutson, G-  282nd (of 309)
    • Hayden Conner, G-  303rd (of 309)
    • Jake Majors, C-  83rd (of 145)
    • Christian Jones, T-  134th (of 303)
    • Kelvin Banks, T-  142nd (of 303)

    Unit Grades (of 131 FBS teams):

    • Pass Blocking-  30th
    • Run Blocking-  113th

     

     

  8. 9 minutes ago, TwiceHorn said:

    Well, I have mostly erased last season, but he put up first-half leads on very likely superior opponents several times and the players ran out of execution and gas.

    EDIT:  So I looked.  Yeah, we lost to Baylor, OSU, and OU in the 4th quarter.  All of those teams ranked significantly higher than UT, and rightfully so.

    OU Is the only one where we had a double digit halftime lead.  And I consider the first half of that game a coaching tour de force.

    We never actually led the Kansas game. Same with WVU. And got our shit pushed by Arkansas and ISU

    Facts are pesky.

    Fuck your facts dude.  Sark would go 4-4 in conference with VY and crew.  Prove I'm wrong.

    • Haha 1
  9. 10 minutes ago, Longhornlove said:

    What's Worthys' drop rate? Catch the fucking ball. Not to mention a few that he could have caught. 

    PFF has him at 14 catches on 28 targets and only 1 drop.  The drop number feels way low-  guess they don't count it as a drop when it's a non-routine play which he's dropped several of that I think he'd tell you he should've caught.  They show him only catching 1 of 5 contested targets as well.  

    For record-  Whittington has 18 catches on 24 targets.  Think the biggest difference is Worthy has an average depth of target at 21.3 yards whereas JWhit's is 8.4. 

    • Hook 'Em 1
  10. Curious if anybody here has any experience with Ketamine for treating whatever ails you?

    It's a longer story but I've struggled with depression/anxiety for as long as I can remember and in the last two years my mental health / outlook has really deteriorated.  Have tried meds, therapy, group therapy, a week long resort rehab/workshop, 12 step program, and most other things.  After all that, I'm still in a pretty bad place right now.  I don't know what else to do at this point so guess I'm going to throw a hail mary and see if any of the hype around Ketamine is for real.

  11. At 32-33-1 on year.  4 of those losses are sucker parlays so doing aight on my actual picking but time to pick it up. 

    Things I'm looking at:

    • BYU -24 vs. Utah State -  might wait for 1H to come out on my book for this one with BYU playing ND next week
    • Pitt -24 vs. GT
    • Oregon State +10.5 @ Utah
    • USC -26 vs ASU
    • Air Force -15 vs Navy
    • U53.5 Purdue @ Minnesota 
    • Western Kentucky -5.5 vs Troy
    • O42.5 NC State @ Clemson
    Spoiler

    Week 4 (8-8-1 straight)

    • Coastal -2.5 @ G State WIN
    • U49.5 WVU @ VT WIN
    • Syracuse -10 vs Virginia LOSS
    • Air Force -24 vs Nevada WIN
    • Boise State - 16 @ UTEP LOSS
    • Parlay-  5 picks above.  $5 to pay $105 LOSS
    • Baylor +2.5 @ ISU WIN
    • Kansas -7 vs Duke WIN
    • Memphis -12.5 vs UNT LOSS
    • Ole Miss -12.5 1H vs Tulsa WIN
    • Oregon -6.5 @ Wash St  LOSS
    • Arkansas +2 vs A&M PUSH
    • OU -12.5  vs K State LOSS
    • UNLV -3 @ Utah State WIN
    • USC -5.5 @ Oregon State LOSS
    • Utah -15.5 @ Arizona State WIN
    • 10 Team Favorite ML Parlay -108 (PUR, OSU, KEN, HOU, UCLA, PSU, MSST, AF, BOISE, MICH) LOSS

    Week 3  (4-11):

    • O47 Air Force @ Wyoming LOSS
    • U58.5 Purdue @ Syracuse LOSS god fucking dammit
    • OU -11.5 @ Nebraska WIN
    • O57.5 Buffalo @ Coastal Carolina WIN
    • O48.5 Tulane @ Kansas State LOSS
    • Nevada +23 @ Iowa LOSS
    • USC -12.5 vs Fresno State WIN
    • Texas -11 vs UTSA WIN
    • U61.5 Western Kentucky @ Indiana LOSS
    • BYU +3.5 @ Oregon LOSS
    • U58 BYU @ Oregon LOSS
    • U47 Colorado @ Minnesota LOSS
    • Michigan State +3.5 @ Washington LOSS
    • U56.5 Michigan State @ Washington LOSS
    • Sucker Road Dawg ML Parlay:  BYU, Michigan State, Miami, Western Kentucky -> $10 to win $506 LOSS

    Week 2 (9-4):

    • Boise State -16.5 @ New Mexico WIN
    • Wake Forest-13 @ Vanderbilt WIN
    • U56.5 Mizzou @ Kansas State WIN
    • WVU -13 vs Kansas LOSS
    • U49 Wash St @ Wisconsin WIN
    • O67 Tennessee @ Pit LOSS
    • U56.5 MTSU @ CS WIN
    • U56 Akron @ Michigan State WIN
    • Notre Dame -20 vs Marshall LOSS
    • U64 FIU @ Texas State WIN
    • U46 BC @ VA Tech WIN
    • BYU -3.5 vs Baylor WIN
    • Texas & App State Big Dick Swinging ML Parlay +8088 RAN OUT OF TIME

    Week 1 (8-9-1):

    • U60.5 LaTech @ Mizzou LOSS
    • O51 WVU @ Pitt WIN
    • Purdue +3.5 v Penn State LOSS
    • O52.5 NMSU @ Minnesota LOSS
    • U51.5 Temple @ Duke WIN
    • Houston -4.5 @ UTSA LOSS
    • BYU -11.5 @ USF WIN
    • U57.5 Troy @ Ole Miss WIN
    • Utah -3 @ Florida LOSS
    • O54 Army @ Coastal WIN
    • Kentucky -16.5 v Miami (OH) WIN
    • Georgia State +12.5 @ South Carolina LOSS
    • Boise State +3 @ Oregon State LOSS
    • Colorado State +31 @ Michigan LOSS
    • UTEP +31 @ OU LOSS
    • UNC ML +125 @ App State WIN
    • U51 Clemson @ GT PUSH
    • Clemson -21 @ GT WIN

    Week 0 (3-1-1):

    • Nebraska -13 v Northwestern LOSS
    • Vanderbilt -8 @ Hawaii WIN
    • U44 Wyoming v Illinois PUSH
    • U50.5 Nevada @ NMSU WIN
    • UNT PK @ UTEP WIN

     

    • Hook 'Em 1
  12. Texas 41

    WVU 31

    RB Total Yards:  275 Yards

    I've talked about him elsewhere but gotta go with my ~25 year old cousin Jeff.  Quit high school in April of his Senior year because he "didn't see the point".  Married a girl (incorrectly) named after a winter month.  Think they've separated and gotten back together probably 4 times.  They spent their honeymoon at the water park in Oklahoma City... sharing a hotel room with her mom, her sister, and her sister's two kids.  He's had about 15 shitty jobs in the last 5 months, each one ending because he got screwed somehow.  I don't know where I'm going with this other than yeah, he's pretty interesting to hear about.  Avoid actually seeing him at all costs though.

    • Haha 1
  13. FWIW, season grades/rankings for each unit:

    Team

    • Overall: 90.7 | 30th

    Offense

    • Overall:  73.6 | 57th
    • Passing: 68.3 | 68th
    • Pass Blocking:  73.8 | 30th
    • Run Blocking:  51.3 | 113th
    • Receiving:  72.5 | 33rd
    • Running:  88.4 | 10th

    Defense

    • Overall:  88.5 | 16th
    • Run Defense: 90.7 | 8th
    • Tackling:  66.8 | 56th
    • Pass Rush:  83.3 | 6th
    • Coverage:  77.1 | 52nd

    Per game unit grade:

    image.thumb.png.0095b4eb6b8c2e028540afc3349ab33d.png

     

    And individual player grades vs Tech:

    image.thumb.png.1c283c121cfbcd55b2492d0126c18f1b.png

    image.png.fa44121aed0ab206a65fb229065d23d5.png

  14. 8 minutes ago, Cajun said:

    Like we "see" it with Wooderson and all the other canned retreads?

    Thinking a ra ra speech from a fan is going to flip a switch is hilarious.  I'm also not saying that one from one of our A-listers is any better.  Nobody from the outside is lighting a fire under their ass in any meaningful way.

  15. 5 minutes ago, ztejas said:

    Take it less seriously, dude.

    “I personally am struggling to stomach this loss today. This shit rips me apart. It tests me spiritually. I hate it to the core of my being.”

    - Ztejas in his tantrum thread 30 minutes ago.

    Lol.  Okay, yeah I’m the one taking it too serious.  

    • Like 2
  16. JFC what a bunch of dramatic fucking pussies in here.  Shit loss.  Let’s fire our couch, nuke our class, have a bunch of players transfer out and hire… oh we don’t know.  Shut the fuck up you fucking pussies.   

    • Hook 'Em 2
    • Haha 1
    • Fuck You 6
  17. Nice to get off to a little 2-0 start last night.  Card is locked in:

    • Coastal -2.5 @ G State WIN
    • U49.5 WVU @ VT WIN
    • Syracuse -10 vs Virginia
    • Air Force -24 vs Nevada
    • Boise State - 16 @ UTEP
    • Parlay-  5 picks above.  $5 to pay $105
    • Baylor +2.5 @ ISU
    • Kansas -7 vs Duke
    • Memphis -12.5 vs UNT
    • Ole Miss -12.5 1H vs Tulsa
    • Oregon -6.5 @ Wash St
    • Arkansas +2 vs A&M
    • OU -12.5  vs K State
    • UNLV -3 @ Utah State
    • USC -5.5 @ Oregon State
    • Utah -15.5 @ Arizona State 
    • 10 Team Favorite ML Parlay -108 (PUR, OSU, KEN, HOU, UCLA, PSU, MSST, AF, BOISE, MICH)
    • Hook 'Em 2
×
×
  • Create New...