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PenelopeWitherspoon

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Posts posted by PenelopeWitherspoon

  1. First drink in 2+ weeks. Also, first day in ages I haven't taken an afternoon nap. Amazing as I only got 4 hours of sleep last night.

    Made a Paloma, but with Empirical Spirits Fuck Trump and his Stupid Fucking Wall rather than Tequila.

    It is good.

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    • Like 2
    • Haha 1
  2. 25 minutes ago, closetojumping said:

     

    I don't think it's unreasonable or irresponsible to view handling things in low-infection places like Texas differently than in NYC or the tri-state + MI + LA. The bottom line is that there's no reason to believe that Texas has anywhere close to 10% of the total population infected right now. No markers indicate that in any form.

    So sure, isolate when you have symptoms, get tested, let everyone you know that you've been around that you got it, and ride it out and hope they do too. Keep the social distancing. Forbid the large gatherings. Keep school closed. But feeling like everyone should be getting tested in a place that isn't a hot spot seems pointless. Let people do it if they want, but even that creates some sort of bizarre sense of security that is dangerous. Like I said, "not infected" means nothing when facing your next new interaction unless you've had a confirmed positive antibody test along with it. 

    Obviously, with 40+% of tests showing positive in the tri-state, they should be testing everyone they can and anyone living there should be assuming they've got it or had it and get the tests as soon as possible.

    The Tri-State area needs both, and they need them to be home based.  I would love to get an antibody test (not sick, nor feeling sick, so not going to have a swap shoved into my brain), but I am not going ANYWHERE near a healthcare facility at this point.  

  3. Are you sure?  Looks like MTA averages about 0.8 rides per day per capita, and BART is somewhat lower, about 0.6 rides per day per capita.  I admittedly no transportation expert, so I could be reading the numbers incorrectly, or just missing a huge chunk of transit.
    You don't just have people on MTA. You have Metro North and LIRR and NJ Transit coming in.

    There may be almost 9M people in NYC, but there are probably another 2 million that work here in NJ and CT. Nevermind all the tourists and other folks who are here.

    And to be clear, NYC is MUCH more dense than SF. SF clocks in at just a smidge under 19k per square mile. NYC as a whole is at 28k per square mile.

    Queens, where the outbreak is the worst, is 21k per square mile.

    Manhattan is 72k per square mile.
    • Like 1
  4. Which would seem to mean that without an extended Wuhan style lockdown, the only think that would stop the spread in NYC is a vaccine or herd immunity. 
    My vote is herd immunity. Even a fast vaccine is too long to demand all people continue isolating (until the beginning of 2021). Also, the economic damage that would bring for the city and state of NY would take a decade to recover from.

    Once over the initial hump, and hospital capacity and supplies are better, then I think you have to come up with a better fucking plan that this NY on Pause.

    The vulnerable should continue to quarantine, but the rest of us should start getting back to it.

    • Like 2
  5. I am so sorry @hundredTT.  

    I went through something similar last May when we had to let Abby go after over 16 years in my life.  I am still grieving.  Rini and Harvey definitely help, but Abby was such a big part of my life for a very, very long time.

    You will always love them.  Think of the good memories.  It will get better.  

  6. 2 hours ago, Skipper said:

    Gottlieb seems to be one of the sharpest people around and has been tweeting a lot about how we open things back up and the "massive surveillance system" we need.    That sounds great and all but then we see the WFAA story last night confirming what I've assumed indicating that numerous people that were tested 14 to 16 days ago that haven't received test results. 

     For Dallas specifically, I'm optimistic that the hospitalization data we'll see today and on Friday this week will show that the curve is beginning to flatten.   And based on the data of open hospital beds and ICU beds currently, Dallas clearly doesn't appear to be on the precipice of being overrun.  But there has been pretty much no talk about the testing infrastructure still sucking ass and what our plan is to fix it.

    We flat out can't open up in May if there are limited tests available and people are waiting 2 weeks for results.  That is a recipe for disaster.   And from what I've gathered, there hasn't been any improvement over the last several weeks.  I'm glad WFAA at least ran a 1 minute story on this last night but the local media needs to do a much better job of recognizing this problem and holding city and county officials accountable.

    Do you really trust ANY of our governments with "massive surveillance ssytems" of its citizenry?  I know I do not.

    But yeah, the delay in testing is ridiculous.  New York is still updating cases and deaths from 2-3 weeks ago.  That is NOT acceptable.

    • Like 2
  7. 23 hours ago, Anastasis said:

    2MM would represent a greater American loss of life than in all wars combined in our nations history. You are far underestimating the impact, not only economically, but humanistically. 

    To be an asshole, if 75% of those who die are those over the age of 65 or the sickest of Americans, that could, economically, be a help.  Yes, humanistically, it is rough, but economically, it could be beneficial.  That is why you have to look at both, and there absolutely is a balance.

  8. On 4/3/2020 at 8:36 PM, Onboard 2.0 said:

    Had a virtual client meeting today. The husband has traveled all over the world for his career.

    He said this is probably a  game changer for their company.  He said he doubts very seriously if they go back to the level of travel they were engaging in.  The dollars they save will be significant he said.  Not a good omen for the airline industry if his company is anything typical.

    Eh, VC and virtual meetings are great and all, but face to face is still the best.  

    • Like 3
  9. On 4/4/2020 at 1:28 PM, FondrenRoad said:

    The moratoriums are just talk too. Rent was due on April 1.  So far, it will also be due on May 1 too.  I think early May is about as long as people will be able to do this.  Both spring fever and the need to make money will be overwhelming. 

    We need to establish and implement a plan to pick up where we left off when this is over. No rent owed, no mortgage owed, no property tax owed, and no utilities owed for the duration of this. Mortgages can instead be extended 2 months.  Utilities and state/local tax revenues can take it on the chin. But it will allow small businesses to reopen without being overburdened with back rent which will allow their now laid off employees to get back to work when this is over. 

    New York State has a bill that does just that for small businesses and those who have become unemployed (though it seems like it would be much easier to just have it be blanket, but that is probably not palatable).  However, it is still in Committee.  This is an urgent issue, and I do not think this is moving fast enough for most.

  10. 1 minute ago, C-Man said:

    Saw a story last night or the night before where a guy went and got tested and went home. Started feeling worse and worse at home and went to the hospital where he was admitted and treated for a period of time. I don't remember if he went on a ventilator or not. Then he got better and was discharged and was home for a couple of days and then (drum roll) got a call to be told that he had in fact tested positive for COVID-19. Oh well ...

     

    1 minute ago, C-Man said:

    Saw a story last night or the night before where a guy went and got tested and went home. Started feeling worse and worse at home and went to the hospital where he was admitted and treated for a period of time. I don't remember if he went on a ventilator or not. Then he got better and was discharged and was home for a couple of days and then (drum roll) got a call to be told that he had in fact tested positive for COVID-19. Oh well ...

    Yep.  Or people are not feeling well, and cannot even get tested.  Honestly, the NYC cases are what, at 55k.  I would not be shocked for it to be 1M in the city.  I had the WORST cold I have ever had back at the end of January.  Funnily enough, it was RIGHT after Chinese New Year.  I would not be shocked if I, and a couple of other folks in our office, all had it late Jan/mid Feb.  Hell, I traveled through Heathrow, as did a number of other folks who attended IP week in London the last week in Feb.  I was also in Houston the last week in Feb for a wedding and meetings.  

    We need antibody tests widespread ASAP (preferably at home).

    Truth is, if you are not sick, DO NOT GO TO THE HOSPITAL OR EVEN THE DR.  STAY THE FUCK AT HOME.  BECAUSE IF YOU DID NOT HAVE IT, AFTER WAITING THERE, YOU DEFINITELY WOULD HAVE IT.

    • Like 1
  11. 21 minutes ago, Anastasis said:

    Blah blah blah. Fuck China and fuck French data. Where is teh fucking NY data?  They started trials last week. They should have interim results.  

    That article completely disregards the larger France study that happened after the smaller study, which showed very positive results.  

    Further, there was another Chinese study that also said it prevented cases from becoming serious.  

  12. 8 hours ago, MNLonghornFUKM said:


    So far not today, NY reported 462 deaths this AM

     

    8 hours ago, dcar00 said:

    a few of the states may(looking at you Florida/Mich/Louisiana) but I'm thinking most of the rest don't.

    Point blank, NY is still catching up on results.  If you look at the NYC Health website, where the stats are, they have started to change the way they counted the positives.  Now, they are saying we are counting when the person came in to be diagnosed.  What sucks, it is takes almost a fucking week to get results back.  THAT is absolutely NOT acceptable in any way, shape, or form.  

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