I think you're misreading it a bit. The way I see it is that there is higher volatility/variability with the Washington matchup than the Michigan matchup. I roughly know what kind of game to expect from our matchup with Michigan given the strength on strength situation. I expect it would be fairly similar to our game against Alabama with one team or another taking a late lead. I wouldn't expect a blowout either way. With Washington, the strength on weakness matchup for both teams creates a lot of possible outcomes. We could blow out Washington if our D plays similar to last year, but cleans up the run game better by playing more disciplined. On the other hand, if our offense goes into one of the funks it has been known to do or if our D plays passively, trying to read and react, we could get blown out. I don't think that is as likely as us dominating, but it is possible. Washington is a puncher's chance type of team because of its offense, and I always hate playing those teams because there is a higher element of chance in the outcome. Frankly, you see that in their SP+ rating and in their post-game predicted chance to win in a lot of their games. Michigan is the better team between them. But Washington is scarier because of that random chance element.