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clapclapclap

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Everything posted by clapclapclap

  1. Frozen in time. But technically she's too young to be a tweent. Meanwhile, I see that CNN is supporting the war effort by running a lot more commercials.
  2. So no more '163rd' tiebreaker game, but the new playoffs format still doesn't fix the div. round best of 5 bullcrap.
  3. Volyn oblast is in the northwest corner, on the border with Poland and Belarus. Lviv oblast is the next one south. Looking at Google maps, there's a ton of Ukrainian military facilities to the northwest of Lviv. If true, invading Volyn would be the move to cut off supply lines, but could also cut off most of the refugee flows. Latest I see is 20 dead in the western missile strikes, unclear if that includes any foreign advisors. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/mar/13/russia-widens-attacks-on-ukraine-with-missile-strike-on-base-close-to-polish-border
  4. So no Erbils hurt? Iran's military trying to get into Gere?
  5. Oh crap, does this mean Nolan dies in about a week?
  6. Russian forces now within 9 miles of downtown Kyiv. Equivalent to southbound Russians taking the Domain. Also, the Wall Street headwinds against energy companies aren't just the 'Limit production to maximize profits' and risk aversion mentioned in above articles. Activist investor ESG bullcrap is also a big factor, along with current and perceived future possible impacts of the myriad of regulatory roadblocking, foot dragging, and games.
  7. This is such a close call. I've struggled so long deciding which is worse that I'm now starting with a man on second.
  8. Needs Gus Johnson calling those tweets. "SAM. I. AM!!!"
  9. Meanwhile, apparently Ukraine did run bio labs (surely with west cooperation):
  10. https://twitter.com/timkmak/status/1500822536346603531?cxt=HHwWlsC43aSJ_9MpAAAA Tim Mak @timkmak An aide to Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs sends along this photo of the train station in the embattled northeast town of Kharkiv. 7:15 AM · Mar 7, 2022
  11. Putin is just mocking Macron, who negotiated this humanitarian corridor ceasefire:
  12. VX is chemical. Google 'Covid' for how bioweapons can work. The bioweapons false flag threat is the one that has most concerned me the last several days. The nuclear FF threat may (or may not) be a bluff to discourage the aircraft transfer and other issues. Putin has been planning this war for over a decade. China is his partner, and there's a good chance their goals go far beyond Ukraine. Tactical implementation may be shoddy so far, but I'm sure they have plans and have wargamed all types of incremental escalation options. I'm afraid this is going to be a long war.
  13. Well we know she's tough. Living in Phoenix during summer and the edge of Siberia (Yekaterinburg) in winter is doing it the hard way.
  14. Starting to see reports of eaten Cadillacs. Lincolns, too. Mercuries and Suburus.
  15. Almost certainly planted. She might be the most high profile name wanting to leave that they could nab to hold hostage. I expect we will eventually pay a heavy ransom (not necessarily monetary) for her release.
  16. "Go get him!" - somebody, Tuesday night [/no Robert Gates] According to Wundermaps, the winds for the next 10 days will range from the NW to the ENE. So if a crack develops or radiation would somehow leak, it's headed toward the Russian troops on the southern front. https://www.wunderground.com/forecast/ua/kamianka-dniprovska/I23KAMEN12
  17. Are you certain? China and Russia have both long believed that they could first strike some type of nuke in various situations and the west would not respond in kind. If Russia hit a Polish base or city with even their smallest nuke, NATO probably fractures. Massive crowds would hit the streets of European capitols chanting, "It's not worth it, peace now. Settle this!" As we've seen in so many wars, angry rah rah defiance can often spring up early in a war, but long term commitment is much more difficult when the threat becomes real at home. Former Soviet states might still maintain enough will, but I have strong doubts about Germany, Spain, Italy, etc. I also doubt that currently our own govt would respond in kind. "Ultimately we must do what saves the most lives." Of course there are many, many ways this war could be incrementally escalated, I'm not implying that such a surprise, measured nuke strike would be likely. But it is very possible, a potential checkmate at. And your specific point was about invasion, not a nuke strike, but the threat is always there. So much depends if Putin's endgame is just Ukraine, or a demilitarization fantasy for the rest of the former eastern bloc, or a combined Russia-China (-Iran proxy) asymmetrical cold world war three. Too much debt in Europe and way, way too much debt in the US. We're in end of WWII territory at the start of this war, with the Fed in a bad position. If the Axis of Evil actually has the ability to knock off a major part of our electric grid for an extended period of time, it could have a similar economic impact of a Great Depression. (No, I don't expect the doomsday scenario of widespread social chaos, other than some usual trouble spots we'd get through it like other wartime hardships.) If they have the ability, power outage attempts are likely if we actually try to cut off Russia's oil exports and extend SWIFT to that. If the US and Europe economies are heavily weakened, the attempt to de-dollarize energy in the BRICs may succeed. Which with our debt bomb would produce another huge economic blow to the US. A bad reset. Then there are the critical weak points we've allowed to develop. The economic pain of supply issues of furniture/car chips/phones are nuisances and short term job losses, but China cutting off a large part of our prescription drugs would be huge. Add in some strategic terror attacks, perhaps through proxies or false flags, and we face some major political instabilities (we'll get through those, but it could further tie up us and our allies for awhile.) Brisket's grave concern is warranted in this case. We have to play smart and sober, not the hope, wish, and denial of the past. I don't worry much about MAD, I worry about a combined Russia-China-proxies asymmetrical war. They've been wargaming and planning such for over a decade. (/no SLXpress)
  18. the financial sector is probably the best protected of all industries because it has spent billions in preventing cyber fraud. “Other industries definitely at risk from attack,” Lin said. “I think the water utility companies could be a weak spot as they’re not known for their cybersecurity.”
  19. The union needs to bring in the Ghost of Minute Maid to end this standoff.
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