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SuingToGetAMessageBoard?

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Everything posted by SuingToGetAMessageBoard?

  1. A case of double short coat tails there. The president is not pulling up his senator, and the senator can't drive turnout for the president. That's a big deal in a state right on the margins like NC.
  2. The whole article is good. Howeva, I went there just so I can see more about that chart to see which states each of those dots represent and they don't tell you. Seems like that is a bit of important information. Is that -10 one AR? Well, I don't really care. Is it OH? That's a bigger deal.
  3. Late decided meaning things that weren't set in stone heading into election day. Not late decided as in when the ballot actually arrived. 13 Ds were able to *just* successfully get over the line for a flip (compared to 1 R flip). All well within the margins of what might happen given the winds on any particular election day in something as small as a congressional district. 89 races were within 10%. Seems like that is a bit of a statistical fluke that there would be that many and one party benefited disproportionately from it. Compare to say 2016, when there were only three flips nationwide of the size of margins below, 2 D and 1 R, and only 32 races nationwide within 10%. I think there needs to be some mental preparations that these aren't exactly Sheila Jackson Lee locked-down districts and some are just going to be lost because shit happens sometimes.
  4. I'm a big believer in turnout is everything (informed by watching Beto -- a D can go and talk to every single person in Texas that lives outside of a town of 100,000, and you'll pick up about a half dozen votes), so I asked about that issue, and she responded twice. She even cussed!
  5. One thing to remember is how it seemed like every single late-decided house election in 2018 went the Democrats way. At some point simple statistical likelihood is just going to catch up and some of those seats will move back to the R column.
  6. Here's the answer. Just unbelievable. 2. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Biden 46% 7% 91% 44% 41% 51% 51% 35% Trump 42 89 4 37 47 38 40 58 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 - 1 5 3 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 - - 5 3 2 - 2 DK/NA 7 3 4 9 6 7 6 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Biden 50% 40% 43% 52% 36% 45% 40% 73% 46% Trump 31 44 48 42 57 47 52 8 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 8 2 2 1 3 2 2 5 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 1 1 2 1 1 1 5 DK/NA 8 10 6 5 3 5 4 12 8
  7. 70% top marginal tax rates aren't cool, either, and you can coast on getting rid of that for a long time.
  8. what percent of republicans are republican just because they have no idea of what is going on around them, do you think? https://thehill.com/homenews/house/493182-rules-chairman-advises-pelosi-to-back-remove-voting
  9. some place was doing that for shopping using birth years
  10. DDL has been spending his days solving 4 minor pandemics in preparation for the role. He spends evenings staring for three hours in an unflinching trance at a medical diploma with his name on it.
  11. get a room, you two. but also stay six feet apart in there.
  12. I have a feeling that approval number is headed to, oh, about 42%
  13. This rings true to me. It seems like my right wing friends are taking this seriously, despite the popular portrayal of republicans intentionally flouting the rules. The golfers making a show of shaking hands / squeezing in together stories, beachgoers, and UT spring breakers seem to be more the exceptions than the rule.
  14. Can’t let the world know our aircraft carriers wouldn’t be able to adequate respond to an attack.
  15. that's where you are wrong kiddo. x died? thank goodness 2x didn't die, like they would have without trump.
  16. it's a mere continuation of his "all base, all the time." truck nutz guys will love it. loved him already. no one else cares.
  17. Listen here, my mick limey frog kraut meatball frozen windmill dam canuck ozzie senor senhor cheese eating friend, I'm gonna make so much trouble for you you won't know what hit you!
  18. "Guys, call it off. You can't have gatherings of 10 or more." "No, no. Give me a sec. It's about to be 9."
  19. talk about blowing it, dad. you had a legitimate way to keep your daughter from spending a full week in pound town and passed it up.
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