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HookEm

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Everything posted by HookEm

  1. I invite you to watch some non-tournament teams. The college basketball product across the board is pretty shitty. When we play teams outside the top-50, we win 95% of the time under RT. When I say he is a "good coach", I mean it holistically, not just gameday scheme and X's and Os. In my opinion, he is a great recruiter and very good at retaining talent. He is a solid motivator and the team tends to play hard. Under other coaches, they could have quit last year when Beard F'ed up or this year in January when it seemed like the wheels were coming off. We want to attribute that to the team being "player led", but that itself is an identity that the coach fosters or destroys. He experiments with lineups and the team seems to get better as the year goes on. Most of our players have developed pretty well, even if Hunter can be frustrating. He isn't an egomaniac and seems like he respects and leverages his assistants (and they are all pretty solid). The main problem we have had is consistency. At times, the team looks like a Final Four caliber team. The blowout win at Tech was extremely impressive in that environment. The first half of Baylor and K-State were about as good as any Texas team has looked in 20 years. But then some adversity happens, like Disu getting hurt or getting in foul trouble, and the rest of the team fails to pick up the slack. They are not mentally tough like some of the teams we have had in the past. But on the flip side, pushing players to the breaking point constantly also has its risks, like the late season collapse by some Barnes teams. Or the heavy attrition under Beard just about everywhere he goes. "Good" is relative anyway. I think we can agree he hasn't been good enough.
  2. You may as well stop following Texas basketball then, because he is going to be with us for a while.
  3. HookEm

    Terry 4ever

    No team with a NET ranking of higher than 33 has ever missed the tournament. Right now we are sitting at 28. We are comfortably in. We should be hoping for a 10 seed. Anything to get out of the dreaded 8/9 seeds.
  4. I just like clarity. If someone is going to be a blowhard and say stupid shit like we are going to finish 10-20 next year, then they should clarify their projection and stand by it. And in the spirit of clarity, I will reiterate my position on RT. He is performing slightly better than I expected and right at our historical average over the last 25+ years. And Texas can do a lot better than that. He isn't a shitty coach, or even an average coach considering the whole landscape of college basketball. He is a good coach. But he will likely never be an elite coach and that is what Texas should want (and what we had with Beard). The fact that he is a good coach is actually our worst case scenario. If he was shitty, he would indeed go 10-20 and we could fire him easily. But because he is a good coach with tremendous resources, we will likely make the tournament every year with an occasional run. (Hell, we could still make a run THIS year.) We will finish in the top half of the SEC next year. We will reload with some good players in the portal. And it is going to be very unlikely that RT will fair hard enough to be fired before his contract ends. I think most of our fans understand this about RT - even the ones who are entrenched on both polar ends of the spectrum. The ones who are overly negative want him to suck so that we can fail quickly and move on. The ones who are overly positive know he is likely to limp along for years making the tourney and hope against hope that he will outperform expectations. Neither scenario is likely to happen and both are just coping mechanisms. We are all stuck with good, but not great RT for the foreseeable future.
  5. I'm sure the goalposts will move. "No no no... I meant we will have a losing season in CONFERENCE". Then... "No no no, I meant we will have a losing season against top-10 teams."
  6. Our shitty 3 point defense rearing it's head.
  7. I would say the odds are 1 in 3 that OU makes it in now.
  8. I'm not seeing this game listed on ESPN+. Of course, I don't have ESPN+ so that could be the problem. Can anyone confirm?
  9. Agree completely. This is probably the most important game of the season to date. Not just because it gets us off the 8/9 game, but it opens up the possibility of significantly improving our seeding. If we win, that gets us to a 7... but if we keep winning we could move up as high as 5 if we win the whole damn thing. I see every win as basically moving us up one whole seed.
  10. I have no doubt we will pick up some great players. 3 yrs ago: Marcus Carr, Timmy Allen, Tre Mitchell, Dylan Disu, Christian Bishop, Devin Askew 2 yrs ago: Sir'Jabari Rice, Tyrese Hunter 1 yr ago: Max Abmas, Chendall Weaver, Kadin Shedrick, Ithiel Horton, Ze'Rik Onyema Since the portal started really changing the game, we have been able to add all-conference type players every year.
  11. Maybe I'm the only one who would rather be at Ole Miss than Louisville. Yes, Louisville has a better program historically, but with the pending demise of the ACC I would rather be at one of the big boy conferences until the dust settles. I also think Beard's hard nosed, underdog, gritty mentality will not play as well at one of the historic blue bloods. Or in the NBA for that matter. All this talk of how shitty Ole Miss is as a program and destination motivated me to see where they stand historically. I created a database of all the Massey rankings since 1980. Not the best, but they are free and directionally accurate. (I'll probably start a new thread on it because there are some interesting insights on the overall landscape). But anyway, Ole Miss ranks the following: Since 1980 - #57 (ahead of #69 Texas Tech) Since 2000 - #52 (ahead of #60 Texas Tech) Last 10 Yrs - #62 (behind #21 Texas Tech) Last 5 Yrs - #58 (behind #13 Texas Tech) Beard is the big reason why Tech is a top-15 program over the last 5 years when historically they are worse than Ole Miss. Just like his situation at Tech, they already have some solid infrastructure and are committed to improving the program (as evidenced by them hiring him in the first place). I wouldn't be surprised if he roots down there. He had opportunity to leave Texas Tech before Texas came calling and he passed.
  12. Out on playing Tech. Fail.
  13. Just saw that Miami finished the year on a 10 game losing streak. Wow.
  14. The problem is that people were ignoring the data. The fact is that the environment has changed. Yes we lost some people to the portal. Yes we lost some recruits. Replacing them takes time and usually happens in late spring to early summer. We weren't going to go 5-25. Anybody looking at the data and coming to that conclusion was a moron. I predict that this year we will lose a few players to the draft. And then we will lose a few more to the portal. A few posters will freak out, seeing 6 players on the roster and think we are going to go 10-20 and will loudly proclaim that RT isn't "the guy". Then we will get a handful of elite players in the portal and everything will be fine. Go ahead and bookmark my post. If you were one of the morons that thought we were going to have to start Alex Anamekwe, well... I hope you use the data from last year a month from now and learn from it.
  15. The dude has pretty solid mechanics and is only 20 years old. I'm not ready to say he won't develop a 3 ball yet.
  16. Kind of funny to go back and read this thread from early-April of last year. The majority of the board had written us off before we had brought in a single player from the portal. Projections of 5-25 and missing the tournament.
  17. I actually like what Mitchell brings to the team. He is averaging 10 PTS and 7.7 TRB and is defending well. His free throw shooting is up to 69% in conference, which is a huge improvement over his 40% free throw last year. He gives us a nice burst of energy and is a good complement to Shedrick who is a little slow footed. Mitchell is also someone who can really run the floor and is good for a few highlight dunks every game. I'm not convinced that this is our last year with him on the roster - and I really hope he comes back. The team has plenty of good pieces. The most important one is Hunter. If he is attacking the basket and hitting a few 3s, we can beat anybody, even if Abmas or Disu aren't playing well.
  18. This would be a better point if it wasn't being made in a thread titled "Fire Rodney Terry". 🤪
  19. OU can definitely do better than Porter Moser. They should be gearing up to do some damage in the SEC. Over the last 40 years, OU isn't that far off from blueblood territory and actually has a better average Massey rating than Indiana, Michigan, Florida, UConn, Virginia and Louisville. Here is where they rank over various periods: Last 5 years - 29 Last 10 years - 16 Since 2000 - 19 Since 1980 - 14 It is a shame that Beard didn't just sit out the 2023 season, because he would have made a tremendous hire for them. They may go after him anyway.
  20. I can't back it up. Like I said, it's really weird.
  21. It's weird that so many people have this wrong opinion of you.
  22. Really the worst part of hiring RT is that it is going to be very hard to fire him. The resources at UT are so good (the NIL money, the new arena, Austin, the UT marketing machine, the money to hire good assistants), that it will be hard for Terry to fail bad enough to get fired. Simply making the tournament every year will likely be enough for him to finish his contract. I really think subconsciously (or consciously) everyone is aware of this. So I think all this fighting really boils down to the anti-RT folks hoping that we go ahead and fail hard enough that we have to fire him, so we can move on and get a great coach. While the pro-RT folks are hoping that he can defy the odds and get us to a high level, because we know we are probably keeping him through his contract anyway. I don't think either side is delusional. We all have the same data.
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