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SuingToGetAMessageBoard?

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Posts posted by SuingToGetAMessageBoard?

  1. 7 minutes ago, Lobo said:

    Delaying the special election for Senate 14 and the runoffs from May (when we might, if we're lucky, be back to some semblance of normalcy) to July when we should have much higher turnout...you think that's a bad thing?  Curious as to whY?  

    because it allows people (in say, November) to point back to this and say delaying elections is totally appropriate.  we've been doing it all year because of this virus.

  2. 16 hours ago, zork said:

    Better than this guy:

    https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2020/03/20/nolte-mere-8-days-ago-joe-biden-still-attacking-trumps-travel-bans/

    Biden in charge would have meant more travelers from coronavid hot spots.

    An entire article built around a misconstrued (on accident, I'm sure) tweet.  Biden is talking about the MUSLIM ban in that tweet.  "I will end bans [that are just based on stoking racism].  All you have to do is show Trump is better than Biden on something. anything.  And you still have to lie to do it. At some point do you not say "maybe my guy, that comes in last place in everything that i can possibly think of, shouldn't be my guy"?

     

     

    And:

     

    I think one answer to OP is this:  people see America as too big to fail, and at the same time they haven't gotten their fair share.  From that perspective, voting for Trump makes a little sense.  Hey, we (as a nation) are rich, we have this magical ability to stay rich because this machine can't break.  Why not roll the dice a little, maybe I'll get a little more of the pie on this reorganization?  The worst that can happen is I end up where I am because a mindless drooling vegetable can do the day-to-day of this golden goose, so it's not like we are going to harm anything.  I think that explains why it was Trump over the others in the primaries too.  He best exemplified a roll of the dice.

    • Like 1
  3. On 2/5/2020 at 4:35 PM, SuingToGetAMessageBoard? said:

    time for me to start putting money somewhere.  my current plan is to just open a vanguard account and buy some ETFs that track the indexes and start my learning that way.  good idea?

    You guys!  I don't want to brag, but you can definitely see and upward swing since this post.

    Vanguardiam-Leviosa.png

     

    I really think I'm getting the hang of this!

     

    • Haha 1
  4. 5 minutes ago, henrygandorf said:

    is someone on here actually arguing that young people are going to vote for trump?  they may like bernie more than biden, but they fucking hate trump. 

     

    no. i've just concluded that races now are only about turnout, so i get nervous of any indicator of reduced turnout in a population that would toss trump out.

  5. 4 minutes ago, Storm the Field said:

    Anecdotally speaking, my Dad is one of these. Conservative but not MAGA. GOP type but also a lifetime union guy. Regretfully voted for Trump despite thinking he's a bumbling idiot solely due to extreme dislike of Hillary. He seems pretty inclined to pull the lever for BIden this time. Also liked Klobuchar. Would absolutely have jumped back on the Trump train if nominee was Warren or Bernie. Now, flipping my Dad isn't enough to flip Texas, but there's a not-insignificant number of "My Dad's" out there, especially in midwest swing states, and they vote reliably.

    sounds like you found your mom's diary.

  6. 13 minutes ago, HenryJames said:

    Why is it a bad sign? That Biden is very popular among those who actually bother to vote?

    Another way to look at it is that the area for biggest growth from 2016 is the yoots.  It worked in 2018 when they voted 2x the normal rate.  I’m hoping that happens again but that chart makes it feel like they’ll be less inspired.  We will see 

  7. 10 hours ago, Biff Tannen said:

    maga/kag.  what a dunce.

    I’ve said since he rolled it out that KAG will be his undoing. entire campaign based around earworms. Then he botches it by going from a catchy one to that disaster. Seems to recognize it now and is trying to revert to MAGA.  

  8. 10 hours ago, Pasken said:

    You know why? Because it’s not that fucking hard.

    I've also decided it's because calcified brains become more certain they are right over time.  Makes it easier to get the motivation to get out and vote.

  9. Yeah, Jon Snow dying was the signal plot armor had gone from 0-100 in a show that chopped the main character’s head off in season one. Even after that I was surprised how bad it got with everyone not imminently disposable surviving impossible situations at the battle of winterfell. 

  10. 7 minutes ago, Ghost of LL said:

    You know--it's irrational given that it's not really supported by very much data.  But for some reason I just feel so much better about Arizona than I do about Maine.

    Well, that's not true.  There is a rational reason.  McSally has never been elected to shit and she just lost a statewide contest to a candidate who, on balance, probably isn't quite as good as Kelly.  Collins, in contrast, has won and is a legitimate incumbent.

    1) I think there is no such thing as bad press too.  Collins is front and center of everything.  Sheer name recognition has to be peak. 
    2) McSally gives of too much of a cheap imitation of Trump vibe (“I’m not talking to you, you’re a liberal hack”). To the extent the prevailing winds is a return to normalcy, Collins projects that better.  

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