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RayDog

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Posts posted by RayDog

  1. The Philippines is up to 3764 cases and 177 deaths. The big news in my neighborhood is that a UK expat died yesterday, likely from the Wuhan virus. I only heard that he had a cough and fever a few days ago, then went to a hospital and was dead two days later. Right now it is word of mouth, and I presume the authorities are awaiting the test result before reporting anything. It appears that it has finally hit the expat community here, and I doubt it will be the last as there are lots of retirees with bad health problems.

    Duterte decided to extend the quarantine until April 30th so I will stick with the one girlfriend a couple weeks longer to play it safe. I am helping 7 families with food money right now and that number may go up. Luckily rice is their staple and is less than 80 cents a kilo, so it does not take a lot of money to feed a lot of people enough rice to survive. But not everyone has someone like me to help them. 

    My girlfriends doctor wants her to come to the hospital tomorrow for a checkup. but she said no. They have one known covid 19 patient, and even if we wanted to go there is no public transportation and it is too far to walk. She had her thyroid ablated in early January for a toxic goiter and she is being monitored to see where her thyroid hormones level off. We are hoping she does not go to far to the side of hypothyroidism, and hope putting off the lab work and appointment a few more weeks won't hurt. She is packing on the pounds though as she went from 45 kg to 63 kg and climbing, which is part of the reason the current arrangement is temporary.

    • Like 1
  2. 1 hour ago, Anastasis said:

    You just don't understand women. Maybe @Bama Chick can help you out. 

    She has a daughter with a fever and has no food except for a little rice and no money. I am going to meet her to give her some money, no strings attached,  because we are friends.  It is not that complicated.

    • Like 5
  3. 1 hour ago, closetojumping said:

    They went through this thoroughly and concluded that dogs couldn’t catch it. I’m sure google will prove what I recall being posted in this thread about 2-3 weeks ago if you do a search. 

    Okay, I know you’re really smart, but simply fuck off on this kind of silliness. 

    1) You can’t take your cues on what is happening from the manufactured hysteria on this thread and in social media. Mitigation here is full blown compared to “normal” in our society. 

    2) Stick to stories about whores and your fears of being murdered while sheltering in place. They were better. 

    3) We won’t come within 425,000 of your number by Memorial Day. Let me know if you want to take the over for money or photos of sluts that one of us would be required to share to the other over DM. I’m giving you 17/20ths of your previous post, so it should be an easy one for you.  

    Fucking A right he did. Empowered dorks randomly throwing out doomsday math is so old it’s stale here. 

    Maybe you are right and reports of people not isolating and not wearing masks is exaggerated.  I don't live there so I don't  have first hand knowledge of anywhere in the US. Based on what I do read I expect the first wave in the US to reach 100 million cases, and the real case fatality rate to take place, whatever it is. I used 0.5% because  it falls in the middle of the expected range.

  4. A friend in my apartment complex said he always used a 30x approximation at work to estimate the real number of flu-like illnesses. So using his rule of thumb there are around 10,000,000 actual cases in the US. Given that only half the country appears to be taking effective isolation and mask wearing steps, the number of cases will continue doubling every 3 to 7 days.  Consequently I expect the US to have 100 million cases in the next 10 to 21 days. That could lead to 500,000 deaths by the end of May, unless something is done immediately. Of course politicians will find ways to not count all those deaths appropriately. 

    Unfortunately,  herd immunity takes over 80% of the population to be infected, so that will take at least three waves. We won't achieve herd immunity until sometime next year, and probably not until a vaccine has been used. This is a long way from over.

    • Like 1
  5. 10 minutes ago, Anastasis said:

    Not really. 

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia-pacific/in-philippine-red-light-district-an-uphill-struggle-to-battle-trafficking-and-abuses/2019/11/17/43a6470a-bad3-11e9-b3b4-2bb69e8c4e39_story.html

     

     

     

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    In Philippine red-light district, an uphill struggle to battle trafficking and abuses

    An "entertainer" works her way along a street in Angeles City, Philippines, as the pressure to find a client increases as the evening ends. “I don’t want to go home without any money for my children,” she said. “When I was in my 20s, it was really easy. Men didn’t just want to sleep with me – they wanted to support me and my whole family, so I wouldn’t have to work every night. Now I’m 38 and they think I’m too old for them.” Most of her customers are in their 60s. (Francesco Brembati)

    By Corinne Redfern, The Fuller Project 

    November 18, 2019 at 4:00 a.m. CST

    ANGELES CITY, Philippines — The girls onstage were numbered, not named.

    Silently, they shuffled in a circle around the mirrored platform in a basement dance bar; arms folded around bare stomachs, eyes fixed on the scuffed metal floor.

    At the back of the stage, a 14-year-old in black heels hunched her shoulders and tried to shrink into the shadows. It has been more than a year since she was trafficked into the dimly lit nightclub about 50 miles north of Manila.

    She is among hundreds of girls supplied each year in Angeles City to meet the demands of foreign men paying for sex — many of whom are American.

    A bell sounded and a tourist entered the bar. Under the gaze of her manager, the girl stepped forward and forced a smile. Her knees shook in the spotlight.

    The Philippine city of Angeles — home to a former U.S. military base — has long been a hub for “sex tourism”: illegal prostitution between foreign men and Filipina girls often still in their teens and trafficked into the industry, or young women pushed into the sex trade by family pressure and economic desperation.

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    The Philippines sex industry and potential for continued exploitation, however, remains indirectly aided by legislative loopholes and apparent indifference from authorities, according to activists.

    Prostitution is illegal in the Philippines and commercial sex with a child under the age of 18 is rape. But bar managers can circumnavigate laws. Girls and women are presented as “entertainers” rather than sex workers, and payments for sex are packaged as “fines” paid to the bars by a patron on behalf of a woman leaving her shift early.

    Meanwhile, the government of President Rodrigo Duterte has devoted few resources to battling the Philippines’ illicit sex industry even as it wages brutal crackdowns on the drug trade.

    Duterte, in fact, has appeared to invite foreign men to the country with the suggestion that young women are waiting.

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    “They’re all on the beach sunbathing,” Duterte said during his State of the Nation address in July. Last year, he joked that he would attract visitors to the country with the promise of “42 virgins.”

    Local leaders are left to mostly handle the repercussions alone.

    “I will not give up on this,” said Angeles’ newly elected mayor, Carmelo “Pogi” Lazatin Jr., in July, adding that ending all forms of prostitution in the city was top-priority. “But it will take time. There is a lot of resistance.”

    Activists' warnings

    As the sex industry has become more lucrative, corrupt officials have taken steps to give it a veneer of lawfulness, activists say.

    More than 9,000 bar girls are registered as “entertainers,” but the government mandates they take sexually transmitted disease tests on a weekly basis — a move criticized by activists as a marketing trick to present the city’s sex industry as clean and tourist-friendly.

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    Meanwhile, bar owners often pretend to obey minimum-age requirements of 18.

    Unregistered, freelance sex workers and trafficking victims abound. The youngest girl interviewed by The Fuller Project was 10 years old.

    Next year, a new airport terminal on the outskirts of Angeles is set to triple the number of visitors to the region and bring a possible expansion of sex trafficking and abuses, human rights advocates warn.

    “If tourism doubles, then the vulnerability of children doubles, too,” said Dolores Alforte, Philippines executive director for the international nonprofit End Child Prostitution And Trafficking, known as ECPAT.

    In July 2018, the then-mayor of Angeles, Edgardo Pamintuan, and Angeles-based nonprofit founder Robert Wagner met with John McGregor, then the human rights officer of the U.S. Embassy in Manila.

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    They proposed a six-point plan for American assistance in holding U.S. citizens accountable for possible crimes related to exploiting Filipina women and girls, including the placement of closed-circuit TV cameras outside the bars and a kiosk where sex workers and trafficking victims could report abuse and ask for help.

    Neither Pamintuan nor Wagner have seen any action taken since.

    The U.S. Embassy in Manila declined to make a public comment. But past statements by U.S. officials have emphasized a strong partnership with Philippine law enforcement on human trafficking and related issues.

    In June, the State Departement’s Trafficking in Persons Report listed the Philippines among the top-tier countries with laws in place to battle human trafficking.

    “Although the [Philippine] government meets the minimum standards, it did not vigorously investigate and prosecute officials allegedly involved in trafficking crimes,” the report added.

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    Back in the darkened bar, an American man beckoned the 14-year-old down from the stage. She told him that her name was Rose and that she had just turned 18: two lies, taken from the fake papers used to secure her job in the bar. A manager informed the tourist that it will cost 2,000 Philippine pesos, or $38, to take Rose back to his hotel for a “short time.” Two crumpled blue notes are passed between palms.

    “They remind me of my grandpa,” Rose said later.

    The Washington Post does not identify minors in sex cases or victims of sex crimes.

    Of the 30 girls in the bar that evening, Rose thought she was the youngest, but she wasn’t sure.

    'No jurisdiction'

    More than 150 women and girls interviewed by The Fuller Project in Angeles City said they wanted to leave prostitution but didn’t know how.

    Those younger than 18 were scared that “rescue” would involve leaving their friends or families. Many were afraid that under current anti-prostitution laws, reporting foreign predators to the local police could land the girls in jail.

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    “It’s just normal,” said Angel, 14, who said she was trafficked into the city’s sex industry when she was 12 years old by an American man. She now works “freelance” with a group of nine friends. All are underage, she said.

    “It happens to all of us,” she added.

    Under the 2003 PROTECT Act, U.S. citizens suspected of committing child sexual exploitation abroad can be charged in the United States, regardless of where their offense takes place.

    But despite a team of U.S. law enforcement agents in Manila specifically tasked with investigating Americans who sexually abuse children across the Philippines, there have been few convictions.

    “We’ve identified American citizens going to places like the Philippines with the purpose of having sex with kids who are poor,” said Stacie Harris, an associate deputy attorney general and national coordinator for Child Exploitation and Human Trafficking at the Justice Department.

    But the PROTECT Act has no reach over U.S. citizens seeking out adult sex workers while abroad.

    “You have a U.S. tourist who goes over and picks up someone on a street corner,” said Harris, “and we have no jurisdiction over that.”

    This article was reported by The Fuller Project for International Reporting, a nonprofit newsroom investigating issues that most impact women.

     

    That is a bullshit article that misrepresents the way things are here. 

  6. 19 minutes ago, Poolflood said:

    So if "my friend" wanted 3 blowjobs a day from some nice young ladies down the street from you, what are we looking at $ wise.... again, asking for my friend...

    Freelancers run $20 to $40 for boom-boom and bj, but I have a friend who is not very picky who pays $10 to $14 and he often does 2 or 3 a day and only does bisexuals so he has more fun 3somes. You might get a bj alone for as low as $10. Bar fines run $50 to $70 plus tip with most Walking Street bars charging $70. I usually get a bargirl's number and meet her outside work to save a few bucks. Since the girl gets less than half the barfine it works out better for them as long as they don't  get caught and get fined by their mamasang. Including drinks and a tip it is easy to spend $100 in a bar, including the girl of your choice, but that is mostly tourists doing that. 

  7. 12 minutes ago, Anastasis said:

     

    It is complicated but most of the sex trade is not human trafficking. Most Filipinas get into it willingly for the money and the chance of marrying a rich (in their mind) foreigner. Some do get tricked into coming here thinking they will be a waitress, but most know the truth from their friends. Most of the ones who are tricked leave before ever having a customer, or they get a foreigner boyfriend right away if they are really hot and leave the bar.

    I have heard the Chinese set up brothels in Clark and other areas with girls from China who they bring in on tourist visas. Then they don't let non-Chinese in. That is sex trafficking and they get shut down when they don't make the proper payoffs. I heard there was a bar full of Ukrainian women that got shut down before I moved here. The Philippines government is active at preventing Filipinos from being trafficked to other countries but often there is a fine line between a foreign job and being trafficked since they are cheap labor and are being taken advantage of in at least that way. 

  8. 7 minutes ago, futureman said:

    so are you using dong bags or are you at a point in your life where a little infection every now and then just isn't an issue for you?

    Yes and yes. I wear condoms with the meth whores, or if I can tell from her smell that she has trichomoniasis vaginosis,  or if she asks me. Otherwise I go without and figure I will be taking antibiotics for something eventually anyway. Most Filipinos don't use condoms,  so the women are used to bareback. The 24 year old who is fixing breakfast for me never used a condom before when we met last year.

  9. 8 minutes ago, Hagbard Celine said:

    Ray, is there are part of the space-time continuum where in a parallel reality another version of you is able to contemplate not fucking for more than a day?

    Which leads to the question, how many days in a row have you had sex?  What happens when the live-in has the monthly visitor?  You stand down then, right?  Right?

    My current live in fell asleep while we were watching TV the last two nights, and she is shy about having sex when the red tide is in. But it is different when 5 or more different women a day are messaging needing money for sex, as there is usually one that makes me think hell yes. Even so, when I don't have a live in I try to take off a day once or twice a week.

    Prostitutes tend to run out of money and get hungry when they have their period, and most Filipinas never have sex then. Some will ask for money for food for nothing or just a bj, but I don't  mind a little blood. I have lost track of how many have told me it was the first time they had sex during their period. 

  10. The Philippines is up to 3094 cases and 144 deaths. 14 of the dead are doctors  and 4 other doctors are suspected to have died of it. It looks like there is still vast under reporting. 

    I am getting contacted by more women needing money for food and am handing out some to those I know.  My ex girlfriend who is staying with me during the lockdown is annoyed, but I am taking care of her family and friends first, so she is keeping her mouth shut about it. I sometimes wish i was living alone, but it would be risky to be doing a different woman everyday right now. 

    I have had bronchitis like pain with a dry cough for the past 9 days while being more tired than normal,  but with no fever. I have actually had the cough for 2 months following a case of a flu like illness, so I did not think much of the bronchial pain initially. I feel much better today and walked a couple miles doing errands. I was able to breath better through the N95 while walking briskly than I have in the past week. Now I am wondering if I had a mild case of a virus on top of whatever is making me cough. I don't dare consult a doctor as I don't want to be quarantined with a bunch of sick Filipinos and end up getting really sick.

    The local Mayor who shut down a local hospital for accepting Wuhan virus patients from Manila and promising he would never allow it to reopen as long as he is Mayor,  was overruled by the National government and told to let it reopen. He complied. He also keeps running misters around spraying bleach water into the air. He is a real dumbass, like most Filipino politicians. 

  11. 2 hours ago, Message Board User said:

    Tough but fair.

     

    I posted about this previously.  They also banned the sale of alcohol. They do that during elections in an attempt to minimize killings although around 150 politicians get killed anyway.

    I suspect they will extend the quarantine another month rather than let them expire on April 14 for Manila or the 12th for the rest of Luzon. That is a sure way to make sure there are protests and riots. I only go out in the morning now.

  12. I wrote an op-ed that did not get published back in 2015 that predicted world peak GDP would occur between 2020 and 2030. I was wrong as it was Q4 2019. My prediction was based on the high income and upper middle income countries including China being past their all-time peak 15-64 year old demographics. Since that age group has most workers and spenders I concluded that peak spending would occur soon after, especially once China passed it peak population in the mid-2020s. I did not know then that China has been falsifying their population figures too and are already past peak. I had also predicted world peak oil demand would occur about the same time, which it has.

    The worldwide recession starting in Q1  2020 that will extend for a long time meaning that Q4 2019 was the world peak GDP. So much wealth and so many jobs are being destroyed that spending and consequently manufacturing will never recover. The deaths that occur due to the Wuhan virus and the starvation that is coming in poorer countries will only accelerate the overall decline in spending.

    The 2nd great depression that we have entered will change people's spending habits in ways that will last for decades the way the first one did. This will slow spending through world peak population which was likely to occur in the 2040s by my estimates, even before the virus.  People will chose to have fewer children now during the depression further reducing the fertility rates. 

    Economically speaking it is impossible to grow ourselves out of debt as the debt per person will continue to increase in most countries. That can only end badly.

  13. After protests in Manila yesterday, Duterte gave the order to "shoot them dead" for any quarantine violators who endanger the police or the public. Being out of your home protesting is a quarantine violation. They arrested the protesters yesterday, but I expect things will get ugly if Duterte extends the quarantine which is scheduled to end April 14th in Manila and April 12th in the rest of Luzon.

  14. 7 minutes ago, Thetexashammer said:

    Italy is in fact massively understating deaths from Coronavirus. The real number is probably at least double. While the evidence is indirect, it's also overwhelming. It's also been reported than Italy wasn't counting deaths in nursing homes. Keep that in mind when the US numbers start to rise.

    https://www.wsj.com/articles/italys-coronavirus-death-toll-is-far-higher-than-reported-11585767179

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-italy-homes-insigh/uncounted-among-coronavirus-victims-deaths-sweep-through-italys-nursing-homes-idUSKBN2152V0

    https://edition.cnn.com/2020/04/01/europe/borromea-residence-coronavirus-deaths-intl/index.html

    As part of their triage they have also sent high risk patients home when no vents were available, and home deaths are not being included. I definitely double or triple Italy's death numbers.

    Back in January one morgue in Wuhan said that 60% of the bodies they picked up were at home, a percentage that likely increased into February.

  15. 3 minutes ago, Onboard 2.0 said:

    Maybe I missed it, but was the lab a Chinese military lab or a medical research lab ?  Probably not a lot of difference in China.

    It is a medical research lab, a level three lab if I recall correctly. One woman who works there does a lot of work with bats. She predicted in recent peer reviewed papers that another new coronavirus would emerge from bats. This allegation, however, is not that it was a military effort, but that one of the researchers caught the virus at the lab and is patient zero. But the lab and CCP are denying it and perhaps covering it up, since her profile was deleted from the laboratory website. 

    Laowhy86 had previous noticed that the lab had posted for 2 post-doc positions to study bat viruses on November 18th, which was the day after the first known case was reported. In this video he said that a December 24th job posting reports that the lab had identified a new virus that could infect humans. It appears, at the very least, that the researchers at the lab knew what was happening well in advance of everyone else, and possibly it escaped from there.

    • Like 1
  16. 10 minutes ago, Thetexashammer said:

    Those guys are a great follow. I've watched a ton of their videos. Laowai is the Chinese term for foreigner, by the way, I just learned that recently.

    Look at the titles of Serpentza's most recent videos, he's seriously going off on the government. He and Laowai are both married to native chinese women. They have discussed censorship issues often and I'm guessing will have to leave now because they will be targeted for what they're doing, if they haven't left already.

    Laowhy put up a fantastic video "Why I change my opinion on China".

    On the upside, views are up for them.

    They live in southern California now, and have for several months. They had always pulled their punches before so they would not get deported, but not anymore.

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