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Bateshorn

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Everything posted by Bateshorn

  1. FWIW, I listened to portions of the birthright citizenship case and when they were not discussing injunctions, at least 6, and possibly 7 judges were extremely skeptical of the government’s position.
  2. I know we are talking tactical campaigns... but since being a pedantic asshole is a birthright here, I'd argue this little campaign in the spring of 1863 is kinda the gold standard for operational planning and execution:
  3. As long as Marine Le Pen draws breath and the French far right remains a viable political party, I wouldn’t rely on the French for anything beyond cheese and wine.
  4. I don’t disagree with that. Just the narrative that the Iran’s just straight trucked a bunch of 60-90% enriched uranium out and nobody in combined intelligence community said “hmm, I wonder what’s in those 18 wheelers?”
  5. I find it a little hard to believe that over the course of a week since the war started, with air superiority, the Israelis just watched the Iranian's back up trucks to Fordrow and load it up with an unidentified cargo and drive away. Or the US overhead satellites feeding intelligence to the IDF.
  6. I mean, we can't have that wartime cabinet dissolve and him be exposed to criminal indictment now can we?
  7. Depending on how successfull we ultimately determine the Fordrow attacks to be, this kinda seems like the Iranians are all but begging us to ask Isreal to stop.
  8. Given what Israel just did to Hezebollah and continues to do to Hamas, I think we know the answer to that question. They've gone full Judge Dredd.
  9. That's Marvelous!
  10. Lol. The Russians:
  11. Technically you may be right, but it's a pedantic difference only this White House and the Surl would engage in. I'm sure Macron was using some artistic license, or b eing polite. Unlike Trump, I'm sure he didn't want to say "yeah, my understanding is he's going back to bomb the fuck outta Iran."
  12. Man, I love you, but there ain't no fucking way the Persian Diaspora isn't going to meddle incessantly in post Ayatolla Iran. The US ones alone will pay-for-play with the Trump White House for concessions. It's not quite going to be on the grift level of South Florida Cuban meddling in the case of a Cuban government collapse, but it's going to be bad.
  13. I posted it above, but the White House said Trump was leaving G-7 to deal with Israel-Iran. Macron, when asked, said President was leaving to deal with Israel-Iran. Trump goes on Truth Social and says I didn't leave because of Israel-Iran and Macron is talking out of his ass. That's just in the last 18 fucking hours. Gaslighting and bullshit is default for this administration. They are the fuckboi of Presidential Administration.
  14. Either that, or the Isrealis may try some sort of airborne force to take the facility. Which may also require our involvement from an overwatch and logistical support.
  15. The Press Secretary literally said he was leaving because of Israel-Iran.
  16. As an aside, I've heard anecdotally the Air Force is loathe to use B-2 for almost anything these days, out of fear that each time use them, there's the potential the Chinese pick up improved data on stealth detection.
  17. Same. Although I'm getting more isolationist as a I get older. America never thinking more than one step ahead and resorting to force as a solution for everything?
  18. Good shit. I think for the Isreali's they have 3 military options for the nuclear program, none of which are perfect: 1. Use their limited bunker buster weapons repeatedly in hopes of eventually breaking through deep buried Iranian facilities. Both inefficient and risks potential dirty bomb scenerio. 2. Use nukes tactically. I don't believe this is really on the table short of some sudden existential threat we haven't seen. 3. Some sort of airborne operation to take the facilities in force. The chances of this turning into a debacle are high. Which leaves them with two other outs: 4. We use our bombers to destroy the facilities, which is possible if option5 doesn't happen. 5. Iranians capitulate and give up weapons and/or internal regime change. It's worth noting, while Iranians are suffering civilian casaulties, the Israelis appear to be using much more caution than they are in Gaza.
  19. Height for men is like breast size on women: Generally more is better, to a point. Like many things, it can be a deal breaker when you are young when it comes to long term relationships. There are people out there who prefer the itty bitty titty committee, just like some women value a short king, but that's not the norm. As people age, we tend to start caring less about certain physical qualifiers and are more looking for companionship. I'm talking relationship parameters. Woman will lower their standards just like men when they want to drink and fuck. As a manlet myself, I've never found it to be an issue, but I also have a charming personality.
  20. Trade Deadline is 6 weeks away and they took the first bullshit offer they got. This is the equivalent of bidding out a painting job, and the first guy doesn't really want to do it, so he qoutes you 100K for two rooms, and you go "DEAL, WHEN CAN YOU START?!"
  21. Chuck's gonna pull out that puffer, then people are gonna know the Dems are serious.
  22. It's wild how much the entire Islamic world is basically: I'm all good. That ain't none of my business.
  23. TBC: i'm not referring to before the Israeli attacks, i'm referring to after. I also don't entirely subscribe to the idea that the Iranians would immediately or quickly nuke Israel (in the time before ths war started), although I do think it would instantly become leverage in the various ME proxy wars that currently occur. I'm sure the Israelis are also terrified the Iranians could use it to gain leverage in Palestinian negotiations on a two state solution that would totally destablize the Israeli political situation if forced into a deal the right wingers couldn't accept. My point is now that Israel has engaged a broad across-the-board attack, the Iranians would probably attempt to nuke or threaten to nuke Israel upon acquiring a deliverable weapon. So Israel now has to destroy the Iranian program or have the Iranian's give it up in an acceptable way. And if they can't destry Fodrow with conventional weapons, they'll use nuclear, and that makes it our problem (in addition to conventional warhead destruction of Fodrow could be essentially a dirty bomb, which is a disaster in it's own right).
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