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Bateshorn

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Everything posted by Bateshorn

  1. As I understand it, this is more or less correct. The money issue is much simpler with Harris.
  2. once he's nominated and accepted, the only way to get him off the ballot is for him to resign the Presidency, if you want to avoid the ballot complications. And he'd have to do it around Labor Day, I'd think. Short of a full blow rebellion with MoC boycotting the convention, Cabinet Secretaries openly calling for the 25th, Obama and Clinton publicly calling on him to step aside, Donor's bailing in giant numbers, I just don't see Biden leaving. They've convinced themselves they are the comeback kids. They aren't even talking to much of their campaign at this point.
  3. It's fine. Happy to suffer through another Trump Term. Just as long as Joe, Jill, Hunter, and Ashley don't have to get the feels.
  4. As much as everyone keeps talking about the 1968 Democratic Convention in Chicago, it's going to look like a different Democratic Convention in Chicago: 1956, when they nominated Adlai Stevenson to get slaughtered by Eisenhower.
  5. JFC, the Dem Convention is going to have such a funereal atmosphere.
  6. Putting aside the technical difficulties of getting her at the top of the ticket, I think Big Gretch is keeping her powder dry from 2028 and hoping we still have elections then.
  7. Because the Wildly Unpopular Old Man at the top of the ticket is?
  8. It's not who he is, as much as what he looks like, this is America afterall:
  9. This is kinda shaping up to be the Women Vs. Men election. And the Democratic party is not giving women a lot to work with, while the Trump and the GOP are just straight pumping Bro Energy into the XY system. But sure, sit back and hope a moribund candidacy and Dobbs will drag the party across the line in MI, WI, and PA.
  10. That's the problem: The party (non necessarily Biden's inner circle, who I think are trapped in a confirmation bias loop of epic proportions) is just in disbelief that this is happening and swing voter's are considering Trump again. And it's creating a denial problem that is trapping the party. The first thing you have to do is accept swing voters will vote for Trump again, even after voting for Biden in 2020. Then work the problem backward from there.
  11. Biden's chances are worse than Harris, IMO. She's not an ideal choice, but at least she's vibrant and gives everyone who hates Trump but doesn't want an 81 year old man who can barely read a teleprompter an option. Attach a Andy Brashear or Roy Cooper as VP, and hope Trump can't control himself and reverts to the mean.
  12. This is the hard part for committed progressives and political junkies to understand: Biden was never particularily popular, but represented a digestible alternative for low information swing voters to Trump's invective and boobish presidential term. They could swallow his age then. Increasingly, they can't now, and by staying the race and showing the candidate energy of a near corpse, he's letting the GOP slowly convince the same low information swing voters that maybe they can live with another Trump term, since they are clearly stating they don't think Biden is capable as either a candidate or a elected official.
  13. No, No. You don't understand: There is a close knit circle of advisors and family members who REALLY understand what America wants, and see that Biden is actually WILDLY popular, all polls are wrong, and he's got the Mo, Jack. The vast bulk of his party being in the dumps, depressed, and resigned to a second Trump term and future GOP autocracy is just Elite (TM) talk.
  14. If the GOP convention suddenly looks like the 2004 GOP convention, and Trump comes out playing peacemaker on Thursday....then we will have some news that worth paying attention too. If it's the same swamp of conspiracy theories, "FAKE NEWS," nonsensical anti-leftest drival, and Trump comes out and does one of his stream of consciousness brain dumps that include sharks and weak showers(with added NEAR-DEATH EXPERIENCE [TM]), next Monday we will likely be back to how do the Democrats get rid of Biden.
  15. One of my sons plays D&D, so this is a nerd reference, but spot on: Trump rolls nothing but Natural 20s. It's frankly unbelievable. He's basically Domino from Deadpool 2.
  16. Dude is the luckiest person alive. How is he not playing the Powerball every week?
  17. You’ll get no defense out of me of LBJ as a human being in daily life.
  18. Sure, buddy. Also, Robert Caro spends an awful lot of time hating on a man who did this:
  19. Do you think Biden would have survived that SS tackle or are you chortling at how feeble he is?
  20. I’m not sure, barring Trump coming out with some sort of Kum-ba-ya Reaganesque “we all need to come together to save America and I’m the first to moderate ” moment, this changed things all that much, other than making him look much more physically robust than Biden. What reliable likely voters are most likely to change their vote based on Saturday: older white men who consider themselves Reagan Republicans who are likely to rally back to the GOP flag. The question is whether they stay there when the crazy starts to creep back in. By Wednesday we are going to be shoulder deep in GQP conspiracy and angry talk. Maybe, Trump’s folks will tone the convention down, but what in recent memory has shown any indication they ever take their foot off the gas? Maybe the entire country will Rally to Trump like Johnson in 64, but that seems….unlikely given how deep our political divisions are.
  21. Nvrmind
  22. Also: it’s often a box you check in closed primary states when you get a drivers license. I did it last year when I moved back into the District.
  23. I was not going to post here, but it sorta confirms the rule/joke that you can get anywhere by carrying a ladder and looking official.
  24. I mean, I guess remaking Winter Soldier is a creative choice, but it doesn't give me any confidence that Marvel has shaken itself out of the rut it is in.
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