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Helobious

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Posts posted by Helobious

  1. 1 minute ago, Goo Punch said:

    you know what i don't get? all of the people in these threads who "don't get" why this deranged mass murderer did what he did. "why does he have to take out seven more people? what's going through his head? doesn't he realize what a pathetic cliche he is?" what, exactly, about someone being fucked in the head is hard for you to understand? anyone who gets fired and then goes on a killing spree is clearly and totally fucked between the ears. what's not to understand?

    This. Never got that response at all.

    Most fascinating episode of season 1 of “I am a killer” on Netflix is the episode where they interviewed the guy that killed 3 people in Laredo with an axe. He says he felt happy after the murders, because by killing he appeased the devil, and now the devil would protect him and he would never die. He says, “whether or not that makes sense to anyone else, it didn’t matter. It made sense to me”. 

  2. 21 minutes ago, Tailgate said:

    Everyone, calm down...it will be ok.

    If it’s any consolation... official numbers say less than 80,000 people were infected in Wuhan, the city at the epicenter of all this. Realistic estimates put that number well over 100,000. I say fuck that, let’s take the estimated number and x10 it. Let’s say there’s over 1,000,000 people infected in Wuhan. 
     

    That still means “only” about 9% of the city of Wuhan got infected with this thing. Scary for sure, but perspective can’t be lost. Obviously the number of cases will still grow, but 9% in the city where this was most out of control isn’t too bad.

  3. 35 minutes ago, Thetexashammer said:

    Why did you need 800 words to correct a single number? 

    If you are so dumb to believe presidents literally, perhaps you could show us where your family saved $2500 from Obamacare. 

    But do that in the correct thread.

    Your post is far more CR than any of his. Pretty telling that people get this offended by other people pointing out that our president said something that was inaccurate. 

    • Like 7
  4. 36 minutes ago, horncyclist said:

    I've been following this thread and the news developments. Reading this it kind of sunk in. Is it really a 15-20% hospitalization rate? This is going to disrupt our way of life for a year. Until the vaccine is widely available.

    Lulz at there ever being a vaccine for this.

    No one knows what the true hospitalization rate is. Roughly 20% that tested positive for it needed to be hospitalized. But not everyone infected even gets tested or needs to go to the hospital. 

    • Like 1
  5. 2 minutes ago, BrickHorn said:

    It’s not inevitable that every disease must evolve reduced mortality.  This virus apparently has a long incubation period during which the infected is contagious.  And 2% is already a pretty low mortality rate.  98% of infected don’t die and are thus infectious for the maximum duration.  It’s spreading rapidly at the current rate; this isn’t SARS or MERS, which petered out precisely because they killed too effectively.  
     

    So what, in your expert opinion, is the environmental pressure on a disease with those characteristics to become less lethal?

    We don’t even know what the true mortality rate is, how infectious it is, etc. This disease has only been at the forefront for about 2 months. But your Harvard professor wouldn’t get much attention for saying, “we’re still in the early stages of this disease, we don’t fully understand how severe a crisis it can truly become”. It’s much easier to say “this will infect everyone and end the world” because that’s much more attention grabbing.

    • Like 1
  6. 12 minutes ago, BrickHorn said:

    Okay, that’s fine squishy analysis.  But you’re ignoring the mathematics of it.  The current data points to a 2% mortality rate.  An expert in epidemiology, having studied other relevant statistics about the disease, is predicting 40-70% infection rates.  If those numbers are correct or approximately correct, then the fatalities will be along the lines of what I posted.  That’s just math.

    Now, the experts might be wrong and the data might be skewed. But I’m not going to take some random message board dude’s word that “It’s just another cold.”  Because you have cited absolutely zero data to support that view.

    It’s pretty naive to think that mortality rate will hold steady. Unless this acts like no other virus in the history of mankind, it’ll eventually evolve down to a less lethal strain (like the spanish flu did). 

  7. 1 hour ago, BrickHorn said:

    All true.  We also don’t know what the mortality rate will be when the number of serious cases exceeds hospital capacity.  So while it’s possible this may not be as bad as current data suggests, it’s also possible it may be worse.  But it’s interesting to put this thing into context assuming current data are accurate and applicable globally.

    It’s hard to imagine it getting to apocalyptic levels like you and others on here predict. For example I’d be shocked if it isn’t currently being transmitted openly across the US. I wouldn’t even be surprised if I have been exposed to it already. Seems like other viruses, it’ll kill some people, some people won’t even get sick, and everything in between. 

    • Like 1
  8. 3 minutes ago, BrickHorn said:

    Just read an Atlantic article in which a Harvard epidemiologist predicted 40-70% of the global population will be infected within the next year.  At a 2% mortality rate, that amounts to approximately 60-110 million deaths.

    Those are Black Death-level numbers.

     

    That’s pointless extrapolation given how little we know about it. Also we don’t know how it infects an entire populace living in a place with first-world healthcare and air quality.

  9. 43 minutes ago, ChickenSandwich said:

    Do you support the Yankees being fully investigated by MLB?  

    Yes. They’d find absolutely nothing on them. The Yankees & sox did their rudimentary electronic sign stealing, then the MLB issued a league-wide warning. The Astros went full steam ahead anyway. Now all their fans are completely oblivious as to why the Astros punishment differed from the other teams.

  10. 2 hours ago, Beau Vine said:

    You mean the guy who won the AL batting title last season?

    On the whole, Astros fans are the least knowledgeable about baseball of all the fanbases out there. The vast majority aren’t fans of the sport and have only been following the team itself for 4 years. Minute Maid will go back to being an empty wasteland in a couple years when the Astros run of competitiveness is over.

    And say what you will about me, there’s a huge difference between not knowing who Tim Anderson is and not knowing who Adam Duvall (does he even play anymore?) is.

    • Fuck You 4
  11. 2 hours ago, Xian said:

    Screams of the lockdown.  It really looks like a horror movie

    to make things worse, reports are that the government barricaded the tenement buildings. So everyone is stuck in high rise prisons 

     

    oh and did I mention the fuckers are all spitting from their windows? Wtf   Trying to infect everyone else 

    Seems like an incredibly easy thing to fake. Just edit the audio. 

  12. 16 minutes ago, Beau Vine said:
    1 hour ago, Helobious said:
    Tauchman and Urshela had unreal luck and extended hot streaks, they’ll be back to being spares this year. Both faded towards the end last year. Voit and DJL are grown ass men and there were mountains of evidence that they were poised for breakouts. 

    You're completely full of shit. Voit was hitting 182 for the Cardinals when traded. He hit 333 the rest of the year, higher than he had ever hit in the minors. His SLG beat his minor league high by nearly 200 points.

    But his exit velocity & launch angle & barrel % and stuff. River ave blues (best MLB fansite hands down, RIP) had an article about why his peripheral stats were good when the Yankees got him. 

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