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Tuco

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Everything posted by Tuco

  1. Megan Hunt, my former state senator and absolute badass.
  2. Ben Shapiro didn't know people could be live during a sex act.
  3. Good bless them for not selling chili before people step onto a plane.
  4. Chili's was always my go-to if I was on a business trip that lasted more than 3 nights. First three nights I would seek out interesting, local restaurants. By the fourth night, I was tired and just wanted to go to some place that was easy.
  5. I'm not convinced the pandemic helped Joe (other than depressing the economy). While I think people didn't like Trump's handling of it, by November they were ready to lose the masks and start going to bars.
  6. I think most of the conversation has been on the actual polls - you know, the important one that determines who is elected. Exit polling used to be used as a way to estimate who was going to win before the polls closed and votes were counted. But, it was determined that could actually depress voting for the team that was perceived as losing by a significant margin. So, folks don't do that anymore. Now they are used to estimate stuff that doesn't show up in government polls - like demographic splits, when someone made up their mind, what issues were important to them, etc.. It's probably better in some ways than the pre-election polling because you know these people voted and it likely has a better answer rate. Although, since it's not done at every polling station, so there may be some bias there.
  7. I am curious who is going to be more racist: the Koreans (who I am sure has been fed a superiority narrative since birth) or the Russians (who are Russians.)
  8. I assume they wanted to get away from the "pink slime."
  9. No, I caught your point - the Germans were making more ball bearings than ever, and just stacking them up in boxes. Because apparently it was a big priority to have boxes of ball bearings. Maybe they were going roll them out in front of the Russians to make them fall. As an experienced mechanical engineer, I just think it's nonsense. Like I said, there is probably some metric to imply they were doing great. They weren't. Factories have choke points, and you can't just divide a factory up into 100 smaller shops and it will work as well. You are believing something that doesn't make sense.
  10. I'm feeling like being an optimist today: Harris 355 sweeping the swing states plus picking up Florida and Iowa, because why the fuck not.
  11. And 2000 people in the caravan? I mean isn't that just a normal Tuesday if you believe all the other shit they've been spouting.
  12. My cousin served in the first Gulf War as a tank commander. The quote I remember him saying shortly after: "the two biggest surprises were how well our stuff worked and poorly the Russian shit did. With all due respect, that sounds like complete bullshit. Do you have a source on that? It's not like there is one "machine" making ball bearings from ore to final product. The heat treat on those little fuckers would be going through a furnace, and I doubt there were 150 smoke stacks coming up from 150 basements. And if German production was at its max two months before their surrender, where was it all going? It certainly wasn't into planes or ships. And why does literally no one follow this blueprint for making product now if it is more efficient? It sounds like one of the History Channel shows that takes some isolated metric that implies Germany was doing great, but it obviously was not.
  13. This fucking McConnell article. I mean, what a complete piece of shit. Let's start with the punchline: This is what he said into his "oral historian" that he turned over to someone writing a biography on McConnell. These are the statements made by a coward, wanting to be remembered as something else:
  14. I wasn't sure the context on that. NBCNews
  15. The problem with modern polling is that it filters for people who want to answer political questions. Everyone else might as well be dark matter: we know it's there, we know it outweighs the known universe, but we have no idea what it actually is. Edit to remove response on Iran.
  16. Because we are the point of the campaign where we are going to start throwing turtle shells into the fire to read the cracks. It's human tradition to seek out any form of divination to see if we'll win the battle and whether our crops will get rain. 5000 years of desperation can't be wrong.
  17. I am saying that the "walking a tightrope" analogy assumes some sort of balance between two bad consequences - falling off right or falling off left. In the case of political campaign, it generally means striking a balance that loses the least votes. And that affects policy between the elections. If the Arab American or Muslim American votes can just be assumed, there is no longer balance. It's not a tight rope anymore. Do you disagree with any of that?
  18. Do you agree that tightrope changes when one side says "you have my vote no matter how much you ignore my concerns"?
  19. For what it's worth, reporting on the Arab News/Yougov poll can found on Arab News and a ton of media outlets. Where you can't find it is on YouGov. I'm guessing the partnership did not include YouGov designing the survey and they aren't keen to publish it it under their name. (Or maybe they are still cleaning up the report before publication.)
  20. It's worth noting that The Arab News is a Saudi-funded paper. I would like to understand how the sampling was done, but I imagine they had a call list rather than just pulling numbers out at random hoping to get Arab-Americans. If that call list was provided by The Arab News, it is likely the respondents were generally pro-Saudi, or at least regularly receive the pro-Saudi paper. The Saudi Arabia government does not give a shit about Palestine and is definitely friendly to Trump. So, I would take this poll with a chunk of salt.
  21. 1. That's just for people who don't want to walk. Usually the biggest issue is getting people to knock on doors and talk to strangers. That would be way easier to fake. 2. The vendor has zero financial interest in catching and firing cheaters. Fewer employees=less income. They get a cut of every fake. I imagine the fakers pull in more dollars per hour than those actually doing the work. I mean, what unmitigated bullshit. Here is someone explaining how they have been successfully gaming the system, and the these dipshits are trying to pretend it's impossible.
  22. Dropped off my ballot last night. Fuck Trump.
  23. Columbia City here. One the craziest things when the state government has decided to get the public more power: “democracy vouchers”. I think it is $100 in vouchers they give to every voter that you can pledge for any campaign. (Maybe just local races.). It means anybody, regardless of their personal wealth or backing, can gather enough seed money to get a campaign rolling if they connect with enough voters. Trying to level the playing field.
  24. I think it's likely just normal, everyday arrogance and incompetence endemic to the tech bro culture. Musk is outsourcing these efforts. I guarantee the winning presentations included the terms "disruptors", "data-driven", and "six sigma." The superPAC has previously fired In Field Strategies in Florida (Rolling Stone) and the September Group in Nevada/Arizona (The Guardian)". Not surprisingly, Musk's SuperPAC is poorly run and surrounds itself with poorly run vendors. It gives me some solace that the world's richest man throwing money at Trump's campaign is about as effective as throwing it at a literal dumpster fire. They don't understand regular people, which makes it impossible to manage canvassing, which is just regular people talking to regular people. Now compare Musk's / Trump's campaign against Harris's. It is supercharged by young people, who have known Trump since before high school. They are clever, undaunted, and fully committed. This isn't just about a paycheck for them. I have high hopes for this generation.
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