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Snake Diggity

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Posts posted by Snake Diggity

  1. 4 hours ago, tx 3 putt said:

    cardinals are in dump mode, nolan arrendondo has ties to this team 🤔🤔🤔

    Willson Contreras is probably a better fit.  An elite bat who could split 1B/C with Diaz to get them both in the lineup everyday.  Contreras could probably play LF too if they made him.  He’s got a palatable contract at $51M/3yrs plus a team option.

    • Hook 'Em 1
  2. The summary of this season is Jose Abreu fucked them.  His contract on its own is why they didn’t advance further.  Had Houston saved that money (or had Abreu been the player they thought they were getting), Houston doesn’t have to press so hard to win the division and likely wins enough games to avoid the wild card round.  Who knows what happens in the ALDS and beyond, but Abreu is the shortest line to draw to illustrate why Houston’s season is already over.  The bummer is that it could totally bleed over to 2025.

  3. Ok so 43% of voters minimum will be pulling the lever for Trump.  Who the fuck are they and how can they possibly do that?  Here’s my guess:

    3% of voters are single issue sexists; they simply will not vote for a woman for president

    5% of voters a truly reprehensible human beings.  They’re racist, sexist, classist pieces of shit.

    7% of voters are single issue anti-abortion voters.

    9% of voters are completely ignorant of where either candidate stands on any given issue; they know absolutely nothing and really couldn’t give you a reason why they vote the way they do; this number may be shocking but I would bet it’s actually much higher

    9% of voters are single issue personal income tax voters (many of them are misinformed on how each candidate will actually impact their own income tax bill)

    10% of voters are single issue racist voters; they vote for the candidate they think will prioritize white interests over the interests of non-whites


    Those numbers I pulled out of my ass but I’d be interested in how the board thinks it breaks down or what data/research actually shows.

  4. Star hitters (3): Altuve, Alvarez, Tucker

    Good hitters (1): Diaz

    Below average hitters (1): Caratini

    Pena is a star hitter against lefties but a below average hitter against righties

    Singleton is an above average hitter against righties but an unplayable hitter against lefties

    Meyers is an above average hitter against lefties but a poor hitter against righties

    Dubon is an average hitter against lefties but a poor hitter against righties

    Prior to this season, McCormick was a superstar hitter against lefties and an average hitter against righties; this season he was unplayable against both

    Dezenzo has a very high upside but also a very low ceiling, and he likely will be a below average defender if used at 3B.  He would likely be an average defender at 1B, LF, or RF.

    Whitcomb could potentially be a plus player in LF or 1B.  He would be average at 2B or RF and nearly-unplayable at 3B or SS.

    No other position player prospects should be expected to meaningfully contribute in early 2025, but there are several top prospects who could become key contributors in the 2nd half of next season (Brice Matthews, Pedro Leon, Jacob Melton, Kenedy Corona, Zach Cole, Jeron Williams, Luis Baez).  Kessinger, Salazar, Cabbage, and Hummel are DFA candidates you hope to stash in AAA.

    In terms of lineup, the Astros actually project to have a really good lineup against lefties.  But against righties they need 2 bats, 1 who can hit in the top 4 and one who can hit in the 5-7 range.  Those bats need to be able to play OF or 3B.

    Tor SP (2): Framber, Brown

    MoR SP (2): Blanco, Garcia

    BoR SP (1): Arrighetti 

    Closers (2): Hader, Abreu

    Setup (1): Pressly

    MR (6): Scott, Ort, King, Dubin, Martinez, Murfee

    Whitley and Sousa are out of options RP who have pretty high ceilings.  Gusto, Ortega, Hernandez, France, and Contreras are guys you want stashed in AAA.  No other young pitchers should be expected to meaningfully contribute early in 2025, but there’s over a dozen arms who could help in the 2nd half of next season (led by Blubaugh, Ullola, and Gordon).

    Javier is expected back in July.  Lance McCullers passed away a few years ago.

    The pitching staff is really good as-is.  But given the injury risk across the board, ideally there’d be another quality SP added to that mix, one whom you don’t mind starting a playoff game.

    I like the chatter around trading for Lowe from TB.  The OF and SP markets seem deep enough that a team that spends wisely will get good value.

    • Hook 'Em 2
  5. Vance clearly has a high IQ, he’s Pete Buttigieg with a beard (pun intended).  It’s really too bad he’s a piece of shit with zero integrity.  

    The net of this debate so far is bad for Harris but so far not bad enough to make a meaningful difference.  Of the trio of bad shit for Harris today, this debate is way down the list from Iran attacking Israel and port workers striking.

    • Haha 2
  6. Just now, Beantown Express 2.0 said:

    Can anyone else hear Trump yelling that this would have never happened if he was president.  He would have cut a deal with the port workers, a great deal, probably the best in history for both sides.  Same with Iran, Israel, Hezbollah and Hamas.  They would all be close friends now if Trump was president.  He would probably also say we wouldn’t have hurricanes anymore if you would just vote for him.  Millions of people will hear this and say, yeah that makes sense to me, he has my vote.  

    This is me acting like a conspiracy nut, but I actually think Trump is the cause of both events.  The head of the port workers union is a Trumper.  And Netanyahu almost certainly prefers Trump to Harris, if for no other reason than he knows Trump is completely ineffectual and will do nothing to push back on his agenda.

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  7. 4 minutes ago, Incredulity said:

    Go read this thread.  Fain played hardball and was belligerent in the press.   BTW the UAW is currently voting to strike at Stellantis.

    Now, Mr. Goldchain has certainly taken it to 11 and 2/3rds of ports not operating is a bigger pain point than auto industry.  There is also the rail strike as recent president for labor getting their way.

     

    Precedent.  Not trying to be a dick, just wanna make sure you aren’t going through your whole life making that mistake.

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  8. 38 minutes ago, perfectchaos007 said:

     

    Hayward for Meyers, and Singleton for Caratini? 

    If you mean for today, no way.  Singleton and Heyward are awful against lefties.  But against a righty I think you’ll see Heyward for Dubon and Singleton for Caratini.  If McCormick were fully healthy I’d rather he be in LF than Dubon but otherwise I like this lineup.

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  9. 49 minutes ago, Storm the Field said:

    I usually strongly on the side of the unions in these situations, but "No automation at all, ever. We want guarantees that our jobs will always exist exactly as they are" is not a particularly sympathetic asking point. And having the Union Chief sitting there in his gold chains sounding like a guy in a bad mafia movie talking about shutting down the entire country is less than endearing.

    Yep.  I am pro union but fuck that guy and fuck their unreasonable demands.

    • Hook 'Em 1
  10. 15 hours ago, tx 3 putt said:

    2024 Astros by the numbers:

    Record: 88-73
    Home: 46-35
    Road: 42-38
    Series record: 27-22-2
    Sweeps: 10-5
    Scoring 4 or more: 76-18
    Scoring 3 or fewer: 12-55
    Shutouts: 11-8
    1-run games: 18-27
    2-run games: 16-15
    Vs. LHPs: 26-21
    Vs. RHPs: 62-52
    Day: 28-29
    Night: 60-44
    Scoring first: 64-23
    Don’t score first: 24-50
    Outhit opponent: 70-19
    Get outhit: 11-44
    Equal hits: 7-10
    When hitting HR: 70-42
    No HR: 18-31
    Lead after 8 innings: 80-3
    Tied after 8 innings: 8-14
    Trailing after 8 innings: 0-56

    Crazy record for 1 run games.  Normalize that to .500 and this is a 90-95 win team.  Normalize it to their record in other games and they’re a 97 win team.  Thats amazing considering the number of SP innings lost to injury and the fact that their $20M/yr 1B died last year.

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  11. This will not go like the Harris-Trump debate went.  Walz might “win” but it will not be because he totally pantses Vance or because Vance comes off as a bumbling idiot.  There is a lot of downside for Harris/Walz in this debate because they have the momentum and it’s very close to Election Day; Walz could very well cost them the election with a really bad performance, and there’s almost nothing he could do that would widen their lead to the point of making it a landslide.

    Walz needs to “keep it real” without coming off as elderly or a bumpkin or having an “oops” moment (although that kind of flub won’t bury him the way it did Perry because Walz is so likable).  He does that, he will be fine.  Do no harm.

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  12. On 9/24/2024 at 9:15 AM, South Austin said:

    I recently told my daughter my own move-in story. 

    I'm the oldest, so the first kid my parents sent to college. They moved me into my cramped freshman dorm, my mom made my bed and helped unpack a few things, and then I recall they just left.  No lunch, no stroll around campus.  We parted at the elevator on my floor with a quick hug, and they were gone.  I really didn't think much of it.  My parents lived about 2.5 hours away, and I knew I'd see them on Labor Day weekend.  Big deal, I'm in college now, and we were all looking forward to this day.

    So a few minutes after my parents left I decide to take a walk around campus and find a bite to eat.  I see a couple about my parents age, and they're walking away from a dorm with a thousand-yard stare holding hands, and they both have tears streaming down their cheeks.  Even the dad looked he was doing everything to keep it together.  And I think to myself, "Oh shit, that was my parents."

    When I leave my daughter, I don't expect a prolonged good bye with a lot of parting wisdom.  I already gave her my dump of fatherly advice and heavy discussion when I took her for a final father-daughter lunch last Saturday.  And I told her that I'd be in Eugene all Friday after I move her in early that morning, and am available if she wanted to grab dinner, but I also respected the idea that it might be best to rip off the band aid and let her hang out with her new roommates or some of her high school friends who are also starting at UO.  She opted for the latter, and I told her that I was perfectly okay with that. 

    But fucking A, I've had a growing feeling of sadness this week, not just because she's going far away to college, but because in a very real sense, she's leaving me forever.  She'll be back, of course, but never in the same way.  It feels a little like a heartbreak.  

     

    29 minutes ago, South Austin said:

    Welp, I just said my goodbye to Thing One after moving her into her freshman dorm at University of Oregon. I gave her the longest hug I’ve given her in a while, and she squeezed me back the whole time. I told her, “You make me so happy, and I know you’re going to do great.” 

    I feel a little awful, but mostly happy. In the end, I’ve had little to do with how awesome she’s become, but I like to think I’ve been a pretty good dad to her, and am grateful for how resilient she’s been after her parents divorced shortly before she started high school. I know she’ll continue to amaze me.

    Now, I’m sitting alone at the Wild Duck Cafe, a local UO joint across from the basketball arena, having the first of a few beers that will be part mourning, part celebratory. I’ll probably end the day at what has become my favorite brewery in Eugene, and will wake up before dawn tomorrow, shake off the cobwebs and fly back home, landing in the middle of what I hope to be a Longhorn ass-whipping of Mississippi State, with a heart full of love.

    Congrats, but don’t be dismissive of the work you’ve done.  You’ve earned an independent child and you’ve earned the good relationship you have with her.  
     

    My parents loved me, but they couldn’t wait to get me out of the house.  I was the baby, so getting rid of me meant an empty nest.  They didn’t help me plan for college, didn’t help me pay for anything, didn’t help me find somewhere to live, didn’t help me move.  I remember both my roommates’ parents being there on move-in day, and one of them getting emotional.  After they left, I remember telling my roommate, “be grateful your parents wanted to be here.  My parents are probably having sex right now.”

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  13. 8 minutes ago, elfenix said:

    honestly i think the only thing that could really sink her at this point is the jobs report going negative. still have two of those to go.

    There’s a ton that could go wrong.  Either Harris or Walz could have a major health problem or be assassinated.  The Middle East could break out into full scale war (Israeli ground invasion into Lebanon, Iranian/Saudi attack on Israel).  A terrorist attack on US soil.  A black stock market event (e.g. Nvidia found fraudulent, hundreds of billions in value obliterated).  A scandal on Harris or Walz (infidelity, corruption).

    Even though Harris appears to be leading across all the swing states, we’re still talking about just tens of thousands of votes in 3-4 states making the difference.  A lot of bad shit can happen in 38 days.

    • Rage+1 1
  14. 2 hours ago, Js1 said:

    I swear to god, I truly think pollsters are herding. 

    Emerson just dropped 7 swing states - every state is 50/50 except GA (51-49 Trump)

    This is truly not realistic, I'm sorry. 

     

    1 hour ago, immamac said:

    Yeah. This is a blowout they are trying desperately to make competitive. Trump is fucked. Kamala should still act like it's tied and really finish strong, but they are fucked. 

    Unfortunately if Harris outperforms the polls across the board that will be concrete evidence that the election was rigged.  “Hurr durr how is it that Harris was tied or within 2 pts of Trump in ALL the polls yet she won by 5-6 points?!  Explain that, libtard!”

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