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dimyh

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Everything posted by dimyh

  1. Usually I'm set at 76 but I'm doing my part and just turned it up to 78.
  2. Gotta love this line: "Our military can't be satisfied with a second place at the mental disability contest." Congrats Putin for going for the gold!
  3. Congrats to Russia for wanting to sanction themselves?
  4. Video was bugged out for me but found this other copy. Watch to the end, best kind of 4th of July fireworks. Burn Ruskies burn!
  5. Thanks, pretty fair view of the current struggle. Here is a link to an article by Pomorenko which gives some more details on the action in the Donbass. Hoping that UA can stand firm in Lysychansk and rely on some of the terrain advantages but the Russian push from the south is a concern. https://kyivindependent.com/national/as-ukraine-withdraws-from-sievierodonetsk-battle-of-donbas-enters-next-phase
  6. At least Napoleon got to burn Moscow to the ground before his entire army disintegrated. Putin could take his and lose to yours and then take yours and lose to his. Top notch coach right there.
  7. With that much aid, Ukraine is going to be giving Russia more than the tip.
  8. Putin's wallet is taking a major hit: https://www.ft.com/content/8cbfc961-cf57-4c71-96ca-bb144c6dd676 Gazprom shares plunge 25% after dividend blocked Gazprom lost a quarter of its market value on Thursday after the Russian state-backed group said investors had blocked plans to pay a large dividend. “The shareholders decided that in the current situation it is not advisable to pay dividends based on the 2021 results,” said deputy chief executive Famil Sadygov. The company’s biggest shareholder is the Russian state, which directly holds a 38 per cent stake with an additional 12 per cent owned by two other state companies. The stock plunge on Thursday prompted Moscow’s stock exchange to halt trading of the group’s shares. Gazprom’s board recommended a dividend of Rbs52.53 in May on the back of soaring gas prices, as its 2021 net profit hit an all-time high of Rbs2tn. The recommendation would have meant a record payout of Rbs1.2tn, or $22.8bn at the current exchange rate. Gazprom announced its new dividend policy in 2019, with the plan to pay out 50 per cent of profits by 2022 — a decision that quickly made it the biggest company by market capitalisation in Russia. The shareholder rejection of the payout marks the first time since 1998 the company has not paid a dividend. Stock in several other Russian energy groups also dropped on Thursday morning on expectations their boards may follow suit. Russia’s top oil producer Rosneft lost nearly 7 per cent in early trading hours on Thursday, Rosseti power distribution company shed 5 per cent in share value, third-largest producer Surgutneftegas dropped nearly 3 per cent, and Transneft pipeline operator lost 2 per cent. State-owned Sberbank, Russia’s top lender, also announced on Thursday it would not pay dividends for last year, prompting a 5 per cent fall in the company’s shares. Gazprom’s dividend news comes as the company reduces gas supplies to customers in Europe, including Germany’s Uniper, which issued a profit warning on Thursday. While Gazprom’s sales have been falling, dropping almost 30 per cent year on year in the first half of 2022, soaring gas prices have helped it offset the losses.
  9. I thought sanctions weren't working? How do you like them apples, Vlad?
  10. Millions/Billions whatever calculus you want to use, the point is that even in the most optimistic scenarios Russia has a hefty arsenal of glow in the dark scented candles to gift out to the west.
  11. The attack on the mall was with KH 22 missiles which were older Soviet tech that even Ukraine discontinued. They were originally designed as anti-ship missiles for use against aircraft carriers. So Russia is reaching really deep in their old warchest at this point. Still fucking dangerous but I'm curious how much they have got stockpiled before they have to start rolling out some trebuchets. https://www.euronews.com/2022/06/12/russia-increasingly-relying-on-heavy-soviet-era-missiles-western-defence-officials-claim Russia increasingly relying on heavy Soviet-era missiles, Western defence officials claim By Euronews with AP • Updated: 12/06/2022 Elena Holovko sits among debris outside her house damaged after a missile strike in Druzhkivka, eastern Ukraine, 5 June 2022 - Copyright AP Photo/Bernat Armangue Russian forces are increasingly relying on heavy Soviet-era weapons that can cause mass casualties and significant collateral damage in their bid to make headway in capturing eastern Ukraine. Fierce, prolonged fighting is depleting resources on both sides, according to British and US defence officials. Russian bombers are thought to have been launching hefty 1960s-era anti-ship missiles in Ukraine, the UK Defence Ministry said on Saturday. The Kh-22 missiles, with a reported range of 1,000 kilometres, were primarily designed to destroy aircraft carriers and can carry a nuclear warhead. When used in ground attacks with conventional warheads, they "are highly inaccurate and therefore can cause severe collateral damage and casualties," the ministry said. It is unclear how many Kh-22s Russia has in its arsenal. By 2006, Ukraine has scrapped 423 missiles it inherited from the Soviet Union after deciding to decommission the weapon. Both sides have expended large amounts of weaponry in what has become a grinding war of attrition for the eastern region of coal mines and factories known as the Donbas, placing huge strains on their resources and stockpiles. Russia is likely using the 5.5-tonne anti-ship missiles because it is running short of more precise modern missiles, the UK ministry said. It gave no details of where exactly such missiles are thought to have been deployed.
  12. Nukes require some maintenance but even if only a third of their nukes are functional then that is still enough to kill millions.
  13. That kraken artillery strike is a chef's kiss. Beautiful accuracy on the longball.
  14. How large do they gotta be? Ohhhh I thought you meant goats!
  15. I really really hope this story is true. Nothing more aggy than being foiled by a single goat. https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2022/06/20/7353684/ Goat accidentally neutralises several invaders in Zaporizhzhia Oblast MONDAY, 20 JUNE 2022, 21:30 5226 0Додати у вибране Mykhailo Zagorodniy – Monday, 20 June 2022 A nanny goat has injured several Russian servicemen by triggering their tripwires with pinned grenades in the village of Kinski Rozdory in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Ukraine’s Chief Intelligence Directorate has shared a curious incident that happened at a local hospital. A total of 40 invaders have been stationed at the medical institution in Kinski Rozdory. The Russian military installed a "circular defence" and placed tripwires around the perimeter of the hospital. The aggressors regretted this decision after a goat from a neighbouring farm decided to pay a visit to the hospital. As the frightened animal moved chaotically around the area, she accidentally "disposed of" several grenades. The unexpected "guest’s" actions triggered a chain reaction, wounding several Russian soldiers to varying degrees. It is not currently known whether the goat survived the incident.
  16. A short video on Kalingrad/Crimea as exclaves containing key ports along with some of the back history. Also I believe some of Russia's support in Syria was to have a friendly port accessible outside of the Bosphorus. Would be a damn shame if they lost the ability to store those rustbuckets...
  17. Just in time for my Sunday walk - new Perun video doing a deep dive on the economies. Lots of tidbits in here but in summary both sides can keep this war running financially for quite a while. What's interesting is that the new Ladamobiles are coming out but with no automated seatbelts, airbags, other electronic features, etc. So we can look forward to more entertaining dashcam footage!
  18. Well I give them this much, the Ruskies believe in truth in advertising: we are going to kill your men and steal your children. They probably have a mural around back showing what they do with the women.
  19. I think Putin lost his strategic goals the moment he sent troops across the border. Even if they had mopped up in a couple of weeks his strategic goal to rebuild the USSR 2.0 was going to be a long time failure. The results would have been a regalvanized NATO, a pissed Ukrainian populace that would have to be policed for years, plus all the other sunk costs for the war. All to have the same inevitable economic collapse vs the west. What we are fighting for now is just trying to accelerate the decline of an aging empire and making a point that naked power grabs are not to be tolerated. The Russian casualties are definitely encouraging. This is going to boil down to the Battle of the Benches. Whoever can organize and train up the JV team is going to make the difference. My concern the past few weeks is just not hearing enough about the UA reinforcements. And that their most experienced front lines may have getting ground down hard too. If we can start to see consistent gains in Kherson then I could be more confident, it's just tough to be patient when people's lives are on the line.
  20. I'm basing my assumption that once Russia's offensive fizzles out that they are going to sue for peace with territorial claims for whatever clay that their orcs are currently looting. I think they are very desperate to come out of this with Luhansk, Donetsk, and bonus prize of Kherson oblasts. If Ukraine can't mount a successive counter offensive and this war becomes a stalemate through winter I could see Germany, France, and Italy start clamoring for a peace settlement which could include loosening of the sanctions.
  21. I'm not the financial whiz but here are some articles about the state of the Russian economy. While holding steady in the short term, the long term prospects look bleak. Unfortunately its not going to be an immediate deterioration and I'm still worried that EU/US doesn't have the appetite to keep up sanctions for a conclusive victory. CEO of Sberbank (Russia) already describing a decade long recovery to reach pre-sanctions levels. https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/GLOBAL-PORTS-HOLDING-PLC-34897151/news/Russian-economy-may-need-a-decade-to-return-to-pre-sanctions-levels-Sberbank-says-40752045/ (Reuters) - Russia's economy may need a decade to return to the pre-sanctions levels of 2021, the chief executive of the country's top bank Sberbank said on Friday, as economic curbs have cut the country off from half of its trade. Western nations imposed economic sanctions on Russia, the most severe a nation in a modern history has faced, after Moscow sent troops to Ukraine on Feb. 24 calling it "special military operation". Russian assets took an immediate hit and consumer prices have soared, prompting authorities to introduce capital controls, hike the key rate and curb foreign investors' ability to sell their assets in Russia. German Gref, whose bank is seen as a proxy for the Russian economy by holding the majority of the household deposits and corporate loans, estimated on Friday that countries that hit Russia with sanctions accounted for 56% of its exports and 51% of imports. "This is a threat to 15% of the country's gross domestic product, the bulk of the economy is under the fire," Gref, a former economy minister, told Russia's annual international economic forum in St Petersburg. "As a result - and if we do nothing - we may need around a decade to return economy to the 2021 levels," Gref said, calling for structural reforming of the Russian economy. Sanctions on Russian banks have largely curbed financial transactions with foreign counterparts while Russia is also blocked from receiving equipment and parts essential for its car, energy and air industries. According to Gref, cargo shipments have fallen by six times while transportation by the sea and by air was also obstructed as sanctions prevented Russian airlines from flying westbound and ships under Russian flag were banned entrance to EU ports. While admitting major setbacks, Russian officials have said that the economy is doing better than initially expected, with some flows already diversifying and higher energy prices - partially resulting from sanctions - helping the state revenues. As European Union prepares to ditch Russian fossil fuels by 2027, Russia has re-routed over a half of its oil supplies to Asia, Alexander Dyukov, head of the country's third biggest oil producer Gazprom Neft, told the same forum. Dmitry Pankov, chief executive with Delo Group which operates Russia's top railway cargo company Transcontainer and Global Ports firm with sea terminals in the country's north-west, far east and south, said that while the drop in cargo shipments continues, Asian clients started to emerge. "They are not global (cargo sea) lines - mostly local operators," he told the same forum on Friday. (Reporting by Reuters; Editing by Alison Williams) © Reuters 2022
  22. I mean they did slaughter a bunch of traffic lights but should we really count them in the Russian totals?
  23. DAMN THOSE RUDE AMERICANS!
  24. More on the Ukes counter offensive towards Kherson. The one consistent tactical advantage has been the flexibility and mobility of the Ukrainian infantry. Since they have an inverse composition problem than the Russians, with more foot soldiers and not enough heavy firepower, maybe they can leverage broad counter attacks to negate losses vs the main Russian attack force. Russia has adapted from their initial mistake of trying to attack everywhere all at once. By amassing artillery they can achieve local domination to slowly grind out territory. The big question is if Ukrainian defensive lines around Severodonetsk/Lyshansk area can hold long enough for the counter offensives to score wins in the south. Especially unsure if the Ukrainian forces have enough to quickly regain Kherson. They might get bogged down in urban fighting. Overall it is still a major attritional war but if they keep a fluid counter attack strategy going they might be able to out maneuver the Russians who can only push when they have artillery dominance.
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