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Juicy

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Posts posted by Juicy

  1. 9 minutes ago, The Ace of Aces said:

    Saban has a month to scheme to beat Michigan’s defense. I like those odds over Harbaugh’s month to prepare to get McCarthy’s legs back to running shape  

    No one on Michigan’s roster can play Milroy on the scout team. They haven’t seen speed at QB this year. They have a fantastic d line - it’s phenomenal - but outside containment can be an issue. They “shut down” Harrison Jr but they can’t put a sly on Milroe and maintain that effectiveness against WRs. 

    It’ll likely be a slog of a game thanks to Michigan’s style but I like Alabama by 4 - something like 20-16. 

    Alex Orji.

  2. 1 minute ago, cochamps said:

    219 yards against Iowa.  You have to cover Mitchell, Whittington, Sanders and a fast RB as well.  I hope we get you guys.

    It was Iowa. They literally knew after they kicked the first FG that they didn't need more points to win. Iowa is also the number 2 defense in the country. There was no need to go air raid offense. Get a couple points, run the clock and win another b1g championship. Just like with Penn State they ran it 30 times in a row because they could and that was the plan, run the clock and end the game. 

  3. 18 minutes ago, Wilcox Cummingtonite said:

    Idk man. I think Milroe is going to give them nightmares. If Bama gets ahead early, Michigan doesn’t have the offense to get back in the game. 
     

    They haven’t seen anyone that can run like Milroe.

    Again I am confused where this Michigan doesn't have offense narrative comes from. 

    Points scored this year. Michigan 477. Texas 470.

    Michigan also played the #2,#3,#4 defenses this year. Texas played zero top 10 defenses. Michigan has plenty of offense. They just don't need to use it. 

  4. 30 minutes ago, BigHornedLurker said:

    Personally I'd much rather be playing Michigan and Washington, and I'd much rather play Michigan and Playoff Saban 

     

    Milroe struggles with solid defenses so I like Michigans chances 

    I don't think Michigan has the offense to keep up with Texas. We will shut down their run game and then the fun will begin 

    The thing with Michigan's run game is this year they haven't even attempted to incorporate JJ's legs in the game. Mostly because they didn't have to. Tough to get hat on hat when you have to keep a man on the QB as well. 

    I am sure all fans think this way but I like Michigan's chances against any of these teams. Worthy is good but he is no Marvin Harrison Jr. The DL can stuff the run without bringing safeties up and so Michigan's D is going to keep it a low scoring affair. 

    Michigan has done the slow slog offense this year because it is the style they want to play. Minimize possessions, grind the opponent down and come out with a win. No need for style points. I think people are confusing that with Michigan not having an offense. Which is not the case. 

  5. 19 minutes ago, TexArcher said:

    I think this is actually gonna be a hell of a game.

    Go Blue, since I'd rather see them a week later if we handle our business.

    Michigan has historically had major issues with mobile QBs. This defense seems to be solid all around that they should be able to prevent Milroe from completing a 4th and 31 to end the game. Michigan's offense seems like a good match up for Bama too. Bama can cover but Michigan will keep pounding the rock eventually bringing the safeties up. 

    Going to go with a 31-20 Michigan win with a month til the game. 

    • Hook 'Em 2
  6. As far as tonight, I assume it’s better for us if Washington wins. The Pac12 is getting someone in and I see it better for us that Washington is undefeated and Oregon has 2 losses. Oregon then gets zero consideration.  If Oregon wins, it’s possible that a 1 loss Washington gets some type of consideration over Texas.
    or do I have this wrong, and it’s better for us to have more 1 loss teams out there?

    IMO the less teams in consideration the better. Texas wants Bama and Oregon eliminated from discussion.

    Reality though is it likely comes down to winning and then Louisville winning for Texas to get in.

    The doomsday scenario for Texas is a playoff of Michigan Washington FSU and …… Bama. This place would implode, but even with the head to head I don’t see the SEC getting left out, especially since they will have just knocked out the number 1 team and Texas is playing Okstate
    • Hook 'Em 1
  7. Yeah I have no faith Iowa will do anything. Just wishful thinking for Texas to get in.

    The original Big 12 laughs at how unequal the divisions in the Big 10 are. The division with Ohio State, Michigan and Penn State is light years better than the other side. Teams like Iowa and northwestern, who are garbage on offense, are able to win it. Iowas defense is nothing more than a product of how bad their schedule and division is. Penn State is mediocre offensively and scored 31 on Iowa.

    At least in the old Big 12, the North teams were at least competent.

    Iowa has played one team with an offense ranked higher than 94th. That was pedo and they demolished Iowa.

    Maryland would be able to win the west easily. Poor wiscy. What a fall from grace for them
    • Hook 'Em 2
  8. I get what Iowa is and how they do it and have "success" but there is ZERO chance these guys can drive the field on Michigan. 

    Michigan has played two top 10 defenses and came away averaged 27 points in those games, and both of those teams (O$U/Pedo) had semi functional offenses. Iowa could seriously end up with less than 100 yards off offense and like 30 total offensive plays. 

    I know as Texas fans you are rooting for an upset but there is literally zero path for Iowa to win this game. Michigan turns the ball over 4 times in their own half of the field they still probably win 28-16. 

    In little Ferentz's swan song could they empty the playbook and hit a trick or two? Maybe? But they don't have the talent to do that.

    The score won't be close. They game will be even less close than the score. 

  9. 9 minutes ago, The_Great_Hornsby said:

    You are kidding yourself if you think the committee is gonna put FSU at 3 with Michigan at 2. Georgia will 100% be given FSU if the opportunity is there and they will twist the ranking any which they need to, to make sure that happens. If that means Oregon at 3, then they will jump them over FSU. 

    What possible reasoning could they give to have Michigan jump UGA for number 1 when UGA plays Bama and Michigan plays Iowa? 

    Same for putting a team with 1 loss over an undefeated team.

    I am not saying the committee won't do it, but last year they could have given UGA the "easy" game with TCU and didn't

  10. 1 minute ago, Dark Horse said:

    You just said you can’t consider rankings at the time you play the game. 
     

    Assuming Bama beats Georgia, and Oregon beats Washington, who will be ranked higher after both games, Washington or Bama?

     

     

    Bama. I explained that 5 posts ago. My assumption is that Bama is NOT going to beat UGA. Which is why I said a win over 12-1 Washington is better than a win over 11-2 Bama.

  11. 3 minutes ago, utee94 said:

    Yup.  The things I think about are

    1) All other things being equal, a road win is better than a neutral site win

    2) If Oregon beats Washington and Alabama beats Georgia, then Alabama will jump ahead of Washington in all rankings and therefore at season's end the Texas win over Alabama is better than Oregon's win over Washington

    3) Texas beat Alabama in one try and has a 100% win rate against the Tide, whereas Oregon required a mulligan game to get their win and has a 50% win rate against Washington
     

    Therefore if Texas, Alabama, and Oregon all win, Texas should be ranked ahead of Oregon.  Very simple. :)

    Obviously, it's possible the committee won't see it my way.

    I agree with this. I just don't see Bama beating UGA. 

    If Bama wins it makes things a lot more messy. 

    As a Michigan Fan I want Oregon, UGA and Florida State to win (sorry Texas) because I think Michigan would crush FSU, especially with no Travis, and I think the only way Michigan gets that Matchup is if UGA/UM/FSU and Oregon all win. 

    I think Louisville has a good shot of beating FSU, probably a toss up. If they do, Texas wins and they are in. Without FSU losing I really don't see a way Texas jumps in. *unless Michigan loses. 

     

  12. 3 minutes ago, dcar00 said:

    uh, what? you might want to reread his post.

    I am not saying that Oregon CURRENTLY should be ranked higher than Texas, they probably shouldn't. I AM saying Oregon beating Washington this weekend is not going to make them drop behind Texas. Beating a top 20 team isn't going to jump a team over another team that would be beating a top 3 team.

    Washington being number 3 right now is more impressive than a team being number 3 in week 2 of the season. 

  13. 3 minutes ago, Texasborn91 said:

    If ranking when played isn’t under consideration then Oregon’s best win is an unranked Utah and should have never been behind them. 

    You can't seriously want to take ranking when played into consideration. Colorado, USC and A&M were all ranked based on preseason expectations. The current rankings have the most data, why would you make a decision off incomplete data?

  14. This weekends game is going to be pretty funny. Both teams want to eat up clock and give the other team 5-6 total possessions. There are going to be a TON of Commercial/Kick or Punt/Commercial breaks in this one just for the sheer volume of clock winding that is going to happen. 

    Michigan (aside from 1 game) has done a great job not turning it over. I don't see Iowa being able to move the football against Michigan's defense at all. I think it will depend on if Iowa tries to get on the board with a garbage time FG, or actually tries for the touchdown if they will end up losing something like 24-0 or 24-3.

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