Jump to content

Had Enough

Full Members
  • Posts

    3363
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by Had Enough

  1. LSU pitchers not named Paul Skenes combined for a ERA close to 6.00 last year. They constantly were rotating weekend starters. They won every Friday night and then had to clinch their buttcheeks the rest of the weekend. We blasted on our pitching staff most of the year and we look up at the end and we had a top 25 ERA in the country.
    I am not in any way pleased with how certain guys are performing but we seem to dissect our own warts so heavily we forget that other teams have issues too. Vandy currently has 2 weekend starters with ERA’s north of 7.
    This isn’t 2013 anymore where if you score 4 runs it’s more than enough. And yes, I would expect 10 runs to be enough to beat Texas State and for a 11-3 lead to be safe. I’m speaking more to overall premises. 

    Yes and let’s not forget how Skenes wound up at LSU. He was already a great player that began to focus on being a one -way player. Hard to buy they developed him when you referenced their other guys not throwing up many zeroes.

    Giving up double digits in back to back games is never a positive. A quick scan of last year shows we did not lose if we scored double digits. We lost one scoring 9 and another scoring 7. Everything else was 6 or fewer.
  2. In retrospect, does the decision made thirty years ago, by the owner of the most talented roster in NFL history, to create a league salary cap, rank as the dumbest fucking thing ever?

    This is wrong. Shittiest era of football ever. Not even close to the most talented roster.

    Somewhere in that timeframe it was asked why there were no NFL QBs from Texas. Because those with power in Texas at the high school and college level lacked any foresight.

    No 7 on 7. No summer conditioning. Few, if any, wide open offenses. As the offenses opened up, the defenses had to adjust so more speed and agility.

    Fast forward and there’s an article saying 25% of NFL starting QBs are from Texas in 2020. One from the prior year saying 16 different high schools produced 18 NFL QBs. That’s one discussion point. I’d bet the number of WRs was limited too. Lotta muscled up dipshits with limited mobility.

    So virtually eliminate the state that produces the best talent at the most important position and start there on your talent evaluations.

  3. Top ten programs have holes every year. This is college baseball. 


    Yep. Pretty much everyone has limited depth. Few teams have 1-9 that hit .300. A team ERA of 4.00 gets you in or around the top 10 in the country.

    If your starting catcher (and wasn’t he the #1 in Texas two years ago?) goes down, there’s probably a considerable drop off with #2. If your projected closer goes down, the next guy creates a hole elsewhere. Very few teams can go 3 deep at starter. We should feel comfortable that LBJ can battle any #1. Hurley needs consistency but is capable. Anyone judging Witt mostly on one appearance needs to be checked out or have their ass kicked. Particularly first start of the season on a cool night. He’s still building his mind as much as his arm.
  4. 24 completions, x with 2, mitchell 4.  They shut down X in particular which was our nuke weapon. 

    The fumbles were the killers. The offense did not have a great game. The UW defense was easily their weak unit.
  5. That Watts RAS score is incomplete right?

    The vertical is surprising. If you’re talking free safety, I’m not sure his relative speed getting worse is a positive.

  6. Looking at some PFF data. Based on sheer number of attempts, not dropbacks, Williams threw middle of the field 10 yards and beyond on 17% of throws. Daniels also 17%.

    Now weigh that against Williams throwing play action on 39% of throws and 24% of his throws being screens. Daniels was 17% and 11%. I could back out the screen attempts but nah.

    There’s a number of questions about Williams. He’s not getting that many play passes and screens in the NFL. Given that Lincoln has had two recently over drafted QBs, that should give some pause. And it’s not like he just willed USC to win after win.

    I’d shoot for trading down and get the motherload of picks. Chicago needs help almost everywhere. They actually have decent offensive skill guys. They need to shore up their front.

  7. If that is your criteria then the people two years ago who said he would never pitch another meaningful inning for us were correct.

    Depends on how one interprets this. He pitched meaningful innings last year. Even had some successful ones.
  8. This. A team from San Diego definitely has more exposure to that kind of weather than a team from Texas. Oh wait..

    Californians don’t like to hit homers. They prefer defense and pitching so crappy weather plays into their game.

    And the proof of that. In 2023, Texas 91 homers, Tordorors or whatever 54. So there.
  9. Assuming you're quoting me, but even if not. I'm not assuming Mahomes is scoring a TD since they hadn't done it all game aside from the time they got the ball after the punt hit the 9ers players leg. What I am assuming is that, if it was a viable option, the Chiefs were going to win it or lose it with Mahomes and not their defense, even though their defense had been exceptional all year. Shanahan played for the 3rd possession but the Chiefs never had any intention of letting it get to the 3rd possession. Acting as if Shanahan would go for 2 had they scored a TD is pointless. He wasn't ballsy enough to go for it on 4th and 4 inside the 10 but he was going to be ballsy enough to go for 2? I don't buy it. That said, had Purdy thrown it to Aiyuk on the last drive of the 4th instead of going to Jennings they would have gotten the first down and ran out the rest of the clock and we (probably) wouldn't be having this discussion.

    Yes, a lot what ifs. You’re right I don’t think the 49ers go for 2 if they score the TD. They didn’t know Reid’s strategy. Or at least I’m not sure that was referenced leading up to the game. Not all coaches are going for 2 in that scenario though.

    But if you tell me it’s pointless to argue that SF goes for 2 is just as irrelevant as saying Reid would go for 2. Neither happened. We don’t know how that plays out. Certainly neither scenario impacted the outcome.

    To me, not going on 4th and 4 is worse than taking the ball first. You are saying the Chiefs never had any intention of it getting to the 3rd possession. You may well be right. But you just stated you weren’t assuming Mahomes was scoring a TD. That’s counter to Shanahan trusting his defense and the assumption that Reid will allow a 3rd possession.

    When Shanahan decided to receive, all options, all outcomes were on the table. He had to choose based on that. Anything subsequent to that was irrelevant as to whether it was a good or reasonable decision. Based on the outcome, it was the wrong decision.

    Anyway, good discussion. You’re welcome to the final word. I do think future strategies may be different based on how this played out.
  10. Obviously we’re talking opinion here. Whatever was chosen was not a sure fire thing. So honestly any choice can be justifiable.

    Basically what you’re saying is that you think Mahomes is scoring a TD. If you give them the ball first and if they score a TD, go for 2 and get it. Then the 49ers are behind the 8 ball. 4th and 1, maybe 2 anywhere on the field, Reid is probably going for it. Had the Chiefs been 4th and 8 from the SF 25 down 3, they are likely kicking the FG. If they get the ball first with same down and distance, they’re likely kicking the FG. It’s not as though every single 4th down decision would be made differently simply because KC got the ball last.

    I’d also say that anyone that made up their mind and never considered that the 49ers could score the TD and get the 2 pointer first has a major shortcoming in their thought process. Going with the assumption that the second possession is the only one that allows for 4 down territory is wrong too and ignores the way football is played today.

    • Hook 'Em 1
  11. The single best way to control the game is to not only score the TD first but go for two. If that happens you control the remainder of the game. If you’re convinced the other guy goes for two if you possess it first, then it’s marginal difference in the two point play whether your offense or defense. I do believe most teams feel confident their O can convert the two. So let your O be the first to go for it.

    There is absolutely nothing to say the team getting the ball first cannot play similarly as though they get it last. You can pretty easily do that once you hit midfield or so. So again 4th and 4 on the KC 9, go for it. If you miss it, they still have to travel 50 yards to get a 68% chance of Butker kicking the winner.

    Imagine the hell Shanahan gets foregoing that FG. But that was probably the worse decision in OT from a retrospective look.

  12. I thought we agreed that taking the ball first in overtime was fine, just needed that stop and SF would be good. 

    It was a reasonable decision. Once the game progressed his decision to go on 4th and 4 at the Chiefs 9 was questionable but not indefensible. At that point, you’re trading 56 yards to get into FG range versus 75 for the TD when the Chiefs get the ball.

    Once the Chiefs passed the 49ers 35 on their actual possession, the Chiefs are likely to kick the FG on anything more than 4th and 2 to tie.

    The biggest factor that I don’t think was known until later was that the Chiefs go for 2 if they score.

    All this was decided knowing that KCs only TD was a 16 yard possession so there are a considerable number of factors in taking the ball first.
    • Hook 'Em 1
  13. Sorry for talking football. Perhaps a bit of a tangent and too many words, but it’s a daily struggle to find ways to be unproductive at work. So here I am annoying the hell out of others.

    But back on topic. JJ sucks and was the beneficiary of his stellar teammates and coaches. He’s destined to be a bust at the next level.

    • Haha 2
  14. Mecole was not on the Chiefs in the preseason so obviously his team at that time didn’t prep either. Or he missed that day.

    My guess is that had Shanahan known Reid goes for 2 he might choose differently. His initial thought, which would be sound, is that worst case we both score TDs. More possessions trumps 4 down territory cause 4th and 5 from the 49ers 25 the Chiefs probably tie it.

  15. I'm saying that Corum is more than just a goalline runner, which is the only context in which you (finally) mentioned him.  His stats are nearly identical to Hall's, with the only difference of note being a better YPG by Corum.  The numbers are so close that anyone trying to say that one is clearly superior to the other is a person that I will ignore because they are full of shit.

    Semantics I suppose. Again my original point was that Purdy had some good skill talent around him with the centerpiece being Hall even though I didn’t say that specifically.

    With Hall you have a bit of proof at the NFL level that says he’s a 3 down back. If you read draft profiles, he was viewed differently then than Corum is now. The stats and projections reflect doubts that Corum is a 3 down back although I’m sure he’d be fine. Halls start in the NFL supports that his talent was worthy of a high pick and that he’s effective in the run and pass game.

    It wouldn’t surprise me if Corum becomes a pro bowl type player. It would surprise me if he caught 75 passes in a season.

    In college, Halls yards per carry trended upwards. Corums went the other way. Hall caught 45% more passes at 9 yards per catch versus 7.3 per catch. Rushing TDs, yards per carry were the same or in the same ballpark. All with the assumption that UMs Oline was better. You can also go into PFFs database and see that Hall broke more tackles/forced missed tackles in total but on a per carry/touch basis too. I think Corums worst year was 2023 in that regard same as his yards per carry.

    Ignore whatever you like, but I bet only one of us played RB in college. Thats a joke. For the most part anyway.
×
×
  • Create New...