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pyrohornIII

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Posts posted by pyrohornIII

  1. 10 hours ago, Longhorn94 said:

    So strange - he is a really nice guy. His main passion is doing pro bono work for indigents... I don't get it.

    But then there are a lot of nice guys who post in here who have fathers that are big MAGA types.  There might be a reason the guy is in SF instead of Austin.  

    • Hook 'Em 1
  2. 4 minutes ago, LCHorn said:

    I think part of the problem is no one else wants to do it (take on the role, I mean-I’m sure you can find plenty who’d happily fire him).  
     

    I hate to bash Beto but there’s a case to be made that he’d have been a far more dangerous AG candidate than governor.  Until you can mount some kind of state wide victory you’re going to be working against the leftover Ann Richards brigade and whose corpses run the state party.  
     

    That said, if Lina Hidalgo wants to take that next step and doesn’t use it for something Federal she could do it.  

    Lina is a good suggestion.  Hinojosa started as a judge. 

  3. 14 hours ago, Longhorn94 said:

    But that's what I don't understand. The more money you have, the more you should be interested in running the state the correct way. So you know, you keep making money. But these fuckers are hellbent on destroying everything...

    At that stage it's not about the money, it's about the power high.  Think Trading Places.  image.png.dcc69b21620f529b524881b7b342436e.png

    14 hours ago, tx 3 putt said:

    The dumbest fucking people alive ….

     

    Bexar County came dangerously close to this process too.  Cannot imagine the clusterfuck that would have been.  The votes have to be counted by a certain number of hours after the polls close, 24 I think.   Not sure what happens if they don't.  This whole hand count never made much sense, since they could only force counties to hand count in the primaries, not the general.  Maybe they figured if they could catch enough irregularities in the primaries they could force some sort of change?

    13 hours ago, ChuckNorrisActionJeans said:

    Can we at least fire Gilbert Hinojosa (who? state Dem chair) into the sun and start getting serious about voter engagement??

    This.

    • Hook 'Em 1
  4. Each county has some discretion on how they set up their poll sites.   Stassney is right about having to declare which primary you want to vote in.  My county has a card on the table by the poll book and you can either state what party you choose or simply point.   So while verbal commitment isn't required, some sort of commitment is.  

    I think the larger counties will set up the tables for different parties and assign quantity of machines per party at that site according to the historical split of voters in that precinct.   The number of machines available in that fashion often discourage voting due to overly long lines (this is one reason there aren't propositions on the Dem ballots, to speed up the process). 

    But many smaller counties just have one check in table and all the rest of the machinery is shared.  And all of those details are spelled out in a joint contract between the two parties and the county Election administration.  

  5. 2 hours ago, FirstTimeCaller said:

    Question -- I've heard for a few years now how renewing your license is a complete hassle, but it seems like it's usually the case in cities (on Reddit, people often suggest driving an hour out of town to get an appointment).

    Is there something nefarious here give that you need ID to vote? Or is this impacting people equally?

    I think the TDL hassle is partly driven by the immigration red herrings.  But in the past there has been reason to suspect that either by plan or glitch DPS was not getting the updated data into the county clerks in a timely manner, if ever.    

  6. 57 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

    Okay.....so in the various state house races, which are the GQP races that we should watch to see if the nutbar Paxton/MAGA challengers take out incumbents?  I know to watch Dade Phelan's race, but which others should I be watching?

    Also, I'll be watching the three TX Ct of Criminal Appeals races to see how the incumbents do because Paxton is made at them for following the law.

    Here's a good chart of who is endorsing whom.  These two Republicans endorsed in dozens of Texas House races. One put his money where his mouth is. | KUT Radio, Austin's NPR Station

    55 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

    Also, Hanlon's Razor applies here: “never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity.”  This was surely a multi-part fuckup, by the election folks and Ogg's partner.  Not sure how it happened, as the ID should reflect the actual voter, but if the voter picked up the wrong voter registration card from the house, showed an ID that matched their face, but what was scanned was the voter ID card, that could happen.  Even the simplest of systems can harbor a fuckup.

    True, but something doesn't ring true with that.  Her partner is Olivia Jordan, and looks somewhat similar to Ogg.   image.thumb.png.d8d4606d0fb122e5ce4aeeb6dfcc11b9.png

     

    Your voter ID card is no longer used for identification purposes for voting.  It continues to play a role in advising someone that they are still registered, and what precincts and districts they are in.   They also serve the County Election Administration when they are sent back and undeliverable at that address.  That is the main way voters are put on suspension and eventually cleared from the rolls.

    Texas Driver's licenses are used to verify the voter now, or another form of ID, which is pretty limited.  ( https://www.votetexas.gov/docs/sos-voter-ed-8-5x11-eng.pdf)   They use it mainly for facial identification, and the address on your DL doesn't come into play.  So Jordan would have had to actually use Ogg's photo ID to vote as her. She does look a bit like her, and then also sign off on the fact that she was indeed Kim Ogg.    I would imagine the poll book would have proof of what ID was used.  

     

     

     

  7. The idea we went from 0 picks two years ago to potentially 9 this year is incredible.  And yes, Sark didn't recruit all of them, but his staff did develop them.  

    And the fact that no one is shying away from Horns for being soft is another check for Sark and his change of culture. 

    • Hook 'Em 7
  8. On 2/23/2024 at 10:39 AM, 'stache said:

    lowered-expectations.gif

    https://tulsaworld.com/sports/college/ou/bill-haisten-first-sec-adjustment-for-ou-fans-lowered-national-expectations/article_7319d090-cd45-11ee-af47-cf90bbdbd9cf.html

    Bill Haisten: First SEC adjustment for OU fans – lowered national expectations

    Before most of the last 25 seasons, the perception of the OU football team was extremely positive.

    In the majority of those years, the Sooners were favored to capture the Big 12 title. In 14 of those years, OU did win the Big 12 title.

    Usually, OU was on everyone’s short list of predicted national contenders.

    Because there is a year-round appetite for football content, there already is an abundance of 2024 Southeastern Conference prognostication. For OU fans, the first adjustment to the Big 12-SEC transition would be a look at February expectations and seeing the Sooners picked to finish seventh.

    There no longer is an SEC West-East division format. There is a 16-team league, and the Dec. 7 championship game in Atlanta matches the top two teams in the final regular-season standings.

    Released one week before the retirement of Nick Saban, and several weeks before any FBS programs roll into spring practice, Athlon’s SEC 2024 predictions had Georgia at No. 1 in the SEC, with Alabama at No. 2, Texas at No. 3 – and OU at No. 7.

    The Athletic has LSU finishing with a regular-season record of 12-0, with Georgia and Texas at 11-1, Alabama and LSU at 10-2 – and OU at 7-5, with losses to the Longhorns, Ole Miss, Missouri, Alabama and LSU.

    Also different in 2024: the retooled College Football Playoff, expanded from four teams to 12. Last week, Oklahoma native Brett McMurphy of the Action Network formulated a 12-team bracket.

    His top four seeds: Georgia, Ohio State, Florida State and Big 12 rookie Utah. Seeded fifth is SEC rookie Texas, followed by Oregon, Notre Dame, Missouri, Penn State, Alabama, Michigan and Boise State.

    In the McMurphy semifinals, Georgia beats Texas while Ohio State eliminates Oregon.

    McMurphy didn’t stop at the CFP; he crafted projections for all bowl games, and it’s on that list where you’ll find OU (matched with Iowa in the ReliaQuest Bowl at Tampa, Florida) and Oklahoma State (matched with Kentucky in the AutoZone Liberty Bowl).

    McMurphy shared with the Tulsa World an emailed explanation of what he expects from the 2024 Sooners: “I think OU ends up with less than eight wins. The schedule is brutal. Hello, SEC! Based on our Action Network power ratings, OU actually ranks 19th nationally, but we’re projecting OU to be an underdog in six games: at Auburn, against Texas, at Ole Miss, at Missouri, against Alabama and at LSU.

    “It doesn’t mean OU will lose all six of those games, but you probably have to go back to the John Blake days for the last time OU was an underdog in six regular-season games. Of course, those lines could change during the season based on the success or lack of success of OU or its opponents.”

    In six of the seven years since Bob Stoops retired, Las Vegas oddsmakers set OU’s preseason over/under win total at no fewer than 9.5 wins. In 2019 and 2020, it was 10.5. In 2021, it was 11.

    Before Brent Venables’ first season in 2022, the Sooners’ win total was 8.5.

    The FanDuel Sportsbook’s current over/under win total for the 2024 Sooners: 7.5.

    FanDuel has Georgia as the national championship favorite, with Ohio State as the second favorite and Texas the third. At plus-6,000, OU is on the same long-shot line as Utah, Miami (Florida) and Kansas State. At those odds, if you were to bet $100 on the Sooners to win it all, you would net $6,000.

    image.png.3ceae017356e22cd9d8cf5506bf9641d.png

  9. On 2/21/2024 at 11:43 AM, hookem2010 said:

    You don't say?

    Screenshot_20240221_114139_Chrome.jpg

    This fool is on both the Dem and Rep primary ballot for this seat.   He's done this before and they tried to pass some legislation to close that loophole, but the republicans were too busy writing suppression laws to pass something to fix something actually broken.  The kicker is, if he wins one or the other, then he can't be in the general at all.  Seems there is legislation for that.  Just not enough to help out those running the primaries.

    Dr Ortiz is a good candidate though.  She's an educator first and she is solid.  But like most people in these races, they are getting into them as good people hoping to serve.  They really have no idea the pit of vipers they have jumped into.

     

    On 2/21/2024 at 9:28 AM, royiv said:

    I also voted Gutierrez knowing that Allred will likely win. It was a bit of a protest vote for Allred pissing me off for going along with some of the GQP border stunts. I’ll obviously vote Allred in the general and if his relatively inconsequential bullshit is a play to rope in some of the Republicans that hate Cruz, then so be it.

    I think Gutierrez is going to surprise some folks, particularly Allred.  He's covered over 9,000 miles of Texas meeting people this campaign.  And unlike Beto, he comes off as sincere, there's actual discussions, not just photo ops.  

    On 2/21/2024 at 9:18 AM, Pescado_Rojo said:

    I'm in Williamson County, but not Round Rock. My Democratic Party Sample Ballot is Ballot 55 (TX31, HD52) I haven't spent much time on the judicial races yet (kind of surprised there's more than one challenger for a few of them), but here's where I'm going on the Federal and State races..

    President - Biden (Duh)

    Senate - Roland Gutierrez, but Allred will probably win

    TX-31 (R+15) - Stuart Whitlow. The other two candidates are unserious people

    Railroad Commission - Bill Burch has the money and endorsements lined up behind him. Either candidate would be an improvement

    State BOE District 10 - Dr Raquel Saenz Ortiz. DC Caldwell is an aggie weirdo libertarian that somehow snuck onto the D ballot

    HD 52 (R+11) - Angel Carroll has the money and endorsements, Jennie Birkholz is a fine candidate, and either would be a huge improvement over Caroline Harris

     

    Burch is the real deal.  He's a third-generation driller and earlier served as an oilfield firefighter.  He knows his stuff and is great at explaining it from old oil patch guys down to laypeople like me.    He says he's the only Dem in the race, because his opponent is from somewhere on the east coast and has a history of voting/running republican.   He also is traveling the state like Gutierrez.  He does a lot of soc med stuff on IG, Threads, X.  

    11 hours ago, Js1 said:

    Let’s go Amanda!

     

      Thierry needs to go in a big way, Houston voters.  

     

    • Hook 'Em 2
  10. I get them because I have had to use my phone number for all things doing with my mother, like medical, financial, etc.    

    I don't opt out because once in a while I get one that is pushing a local event like when Abbott was on his way here to stump for vouchers the first go around.  Gave us enough of a heads up to get together a little protest outside.  

    Been getting a lot from Don Jr lately, which is kind of weird, since TFG is the one everyone worships.

    Also get a lot of red junk texts for my ex, who hasn't lived her since 2014 when she moved back to Canada.  She was never a voting citizen anyway, so I keep her opted in, because now and then they waste money on junk mail to her. 

     

    And yeah, Allred has no problem bomb texting us.  But I think Beto was even worse.  Still, Allred has time to win that aggravating race between now and Nov.  Another reason I like Gutierrez.

     

     

     

     

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