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Texas Jeff

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  1. Over the past 7 days, Texas has averaged around 56k-60k "first shots" per day. Texas has given 478k shots in the last seven days (first and second shots), about 68k shots per day. The number is growing as more second shots arrive. Eventually the second shot number should roughly equal the first shot number if vaccine allocations remain constant.
  2. Texas Week 7 is out: https://www.dshs.state.tx.us/news/updates/COVIDVaccineAllocation-Week7.pdf Very similar to Week 6 for the hubs. That is good because the hubs need predictable supply to just keep going. In Travis Co, if you don't have a friend at the DSHS Central Warehouse, or are not affiliated with UT, or are not 65+ or don't have insurance, you really need to look elsewhere. I *hope* those with the vax in Travis Co are focused on the 65+ category.
  3. That article said he moved to Bee Cave, but he was complaining about Belterra and NW Austin. I think that dude never figured out where he was. He complained about open spaces while being just a few minutes from the Wildflower Center, the greenbelt, Zilker, Barton Springs, the hike and bike trail. Not sure he looked that hard...
  4. I was just looking at that this morning. In Texas, 65+ accounts for about 72% of all deaths. 80+ is about half the death. If you think about a little herd immunity effect once you start vaccinating all of the seniors, you are probably right with the 80% number. I don't have trend data yet, but I can say that in Texas, about 12.7% of folks over 65 have already had at least one shot (about 480k out of 3.77M seniors). Consider that the first two weeks were just Phase 1A, so really we have been working on the 65+ group for 3-4 weeks. You can project that out, but it's going to take a
  5. At current 7 day average first shot vaccination rates, Texas will cross 50% of the over 16 population on July 21st and 100% next January 18th. Believe it or not, that's progress. About ten days ago, the 100% date was in June 2022.
  6. HEB's website is awesome. Simple to use, easy to understand, appears to scale, appears to function...
  7. The allocation numbers are from the feds for Texas, going back to week 1. I got them from the HHS website. I think they reflect all doses manufactured and allocated, but I am not certain. The feds may have held back some for themselves. The "actual" numbers are from the Texas dashboard.
  8. OK, a little chart for today. I have been tracking vaccine allocation to Texas and the amounts vaccinated as reported by the state. This chart shows you a solid blue line showing total first shot federal allocations for Texas, combining Pfizer and Moderna. The date on the chart is the first date of the week of the allocation, so the earliest possible data that shots could have been received. The vertical axis shows the percent of Texans that could have been covered by the allocations. The dashed blue line shows actual first shot results, shots in arms reported to the tracking databas
  9. In theory a second shot should follow the first shot at the same place you got the first shot. Three weeks later for Pfizer, four weeks later for Moderna.
  10. From the article: "He says that will mean someone in their 30s with an underlying condition in the priority ZIP code will move ahead of someone in their 80s not in a targeted ZIP code." That is an amazingly bad idea, in my opinion. If the politics gets worse, Abbott needs to change course and just do it by age, statewide. Drop the age as lines get shorter. I get trying to make sure that old folks in all parts of town get the vaccine, especially ahead of healthier folks elsewhere, but this is too much steering.
  11. You know, I don't mind being in a line for the vaccine, or having others in front of me, or letting 65+ go first ... whatever the rules are. But it is crazy that there are different rules and registration for each county. It is crazy that one county gets to make rules for the region, because they effectively control all of the vaccine available. The state is giving vax to the hubs with the promise that the hubs are going to distribute it according to state guidelines. Austin tacks on more rules, gives it to legislators but denies it to people because they have health insurance unless y
  12. Does anyone know if the AZ and J&J vaccines reduce the intensity of COVID, should you get infected after vaccination? I think their test data is showing lower efficacy than the Moderna and Pfizer vaccine. I think I have read that if you get COVID after having the Modera/Pfizer vax, you are likely to have a mild case. I might take the AZ/J&J stuff if offered ... but it would be nice to know that if I did get COVID then I would be at lower risk for a severe case.
  13. There's a bright spot emerging in the Panhandle, let's see if the trends continue. Amarillo is hosting walk-up vax clinics for people in 1A and 1B, no appointments required, just walk up and wait in line. You might be in line for a while... Covid Act Now is showing "better" colors for the Panhandle counties and showing reproductive rates below 1.
  14. Federal allocations have been flat for the last three weeks, varying between 317k and 332k first shots for Texas per week. It's not nothing but it's not growing. A million first shots every three weeks in a state with ~28 million people.
  15. Texas Week 6 is out: https://www.dshs.state.tx.us/news/updates/COVIDVaccineAllocation-Week6.pdf Travis Co is all APH all the time, with a smidge more for UT. Wilco getting 6000 doses at Family Emergency Rooms Cedar Park, about half of Travis's allocation.
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