Was Biden +4 in 2020 GE, should be comfortable D in 2022 GE due to redistricting to make it Biden+16. Special Election winner gets a few months vacation in DC and some letterhead to frame on the wall.
This special election will serve everyone with an opinion on GOP "gains" in South Texas. You will mostly get to make whatever opinion you want and not be wrong, The "favorite" Mayra Flores has gotten a shit ton of money from GOP PACs as well as her own fundraising number and is outspending her main opponent 16 to 1, Democrat Dan Sanchez. She is a Border Patrol wife, immigrated to Texas at 6 from Mexico, and made Instagram post with QAnon and Q tags. Dan used to work with former Rep Filemon Vela and his father I believe, and will not be running afterwards in the general election.
This should not a competitive seat in November and the Democrats showed that by not using their wallet, believing if it flips it will just return back in a few months. Republicans want to use this as a "See, I told you they like us and Trump." GOP wants momentum in south Texas.
Early voting showed 80% was made up of Cameron Co and Hidalgo Co. Participation overwhelmingly went to the Democratic side in the primary and runoffs this year in Cameron and Hidalgo. However, 16 million dollars prints a lot of glossy pictures to send people in the area to remind people you are attractive looking.
Early Voting
County
Registered Voters
# In Person On 06/14/2022
Cumulative In-Person Voters
Cumulative % In-Person
Cumulative By Mail Voters
Cumulative In-Person And Mail Voters
Voter Turnout
Voter Details Report
CAMERON
225,424
0
10,003
4.0%
1,454
11,457
5.08%
Click Here
HIDALGO
58,591
0
1,143
2.0%
313
1,456
2.49%
Click Here
JIM WELLS
26,484
0
599
2.0%
144
743
2.81%
Click Here
KLEBERG
18,458
0
561
3.0%
196
757
4.1%
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SAN PATRICIO
15,868
0
119
1.0%
124
243
1.53%
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BEE
15,710
0
517
3.0%
169
686
4.37%
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DEWITT
12,118
0
231
2.0%
124
355
2.93%
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WILLACY
11,811
0
238
2.0%
58
296
2.51%
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GOLIAD
5,745
0
171
3.0%
36
207
3.6%
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GONZALES
4,507
0
70
2.0%
24
94
2.09%
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KENEDY
309
0
17
6.0%
3
20
6.47%
Click Here
TOTAL
395,025
0
13,669
3.0%
2,640
16,309
4.13%