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Wulaw Horn

Burnt Ends
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Posts posted by Wulaw Horn

  1. 1 hour ago, Storm the Field said:

    2.8% actual vs. 2.7% estimate. 

    Markets were wincing in anticipation of a big overshoot (>3.0%)  based on yesterday's GDP report, breathed a sigh of relief at only a small hiccup.

    Yep. Was expecting to lock yesterday afternoon and carnage this morning- but we did our anticipatory freak out 24 hours early. 

  2. 2 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:

    Mauricio Dubón: "It's a slap in the face. If you'd have told me we were going to be like this after we broke camp, I probably would've called bullshit. Things are not going our way right now. We just have to battle through, stay positive and keep playing baseball."

    Start playing baseball my dude- not keep playing baseball. 

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  3. 1 hour ago, UTPhil2006 said:

    I think we may have had a 5.99 or two but loan amount and other factors come into play so kind of apples and oranges 

    Yep. That 6.124 we actually paid 3k in closing costs so if he wanted he could have gotten sub 6, but didn’t. 

    1 hour ago, MonkeyDoughnut said:

    I'm rooting for you (and us), just don't see any context where that happens anytime soon.  I'm much more of the belief that we'll end 2026 thinking  6.124%  isn't bad.

    I hope not- but that’s the way it looks right now. 
    hell- I will be fine with that end of 26 if we have a couple months in the low 5’s on the up and down roller coaster…

  4. 48 minutes ago, MonkeyDoughnut said:

    Shark Tank Writing GIF

    I will keep this updated by posting my lowest 30 year loan YTD (not buying points) on a conventional loan.

    Right now I had someone in at 6.124%- no points on a standard 30 year conventional.  That's winning the year for the present.  Hopefully I bump this post before the end of the year- but I'm starting to worry I might not.  

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  5. 1 minute ago, Incredulity said:

    I assume you mean '23.

    Unfortunately, "someday be refinanced" is literally meaningless.   

    There was logic in the thinking rates COULD come down and the mortgages would be refinanced.  Of course that was never a certainty and some will claim they were sold a bill of goods.

     

    I will say it for the hundredth time, I think rates coming down is inevitable due to the federal debt accumulation.  whether that is 6weeks, 6 months or 60 months away is anyone's guess.

    Yes I meant 23 of course.

    when you say come down what do you mean?  My bet is before 26 ends I will put at least a couple people/ who didn’t buy points- into a 30 year loan that starts with a 3 in it. 
    feel free to clip this and mock me mercilessly in 2.75 years. 

  6. 11 minutes ago, Mitch Hedberg said:

    I wrote down everything you said, lineup wise,this morning almost for word. I’d bat Bregman 7th just to either piss him off or embarrass him into giving a fuck. Bring up Salazar as 3rd catcher and play Caratini the majority at 1B until we find one. Send Singleton and Kessinger packing. I didn’t consider the pitching rotation because suck gonna suck, and I like your premise, but I don’t think Javier is available. Excellent thoughts though.

    Brown said abundance of caution and he's eligible to come off the IL Monday night before the Tuesday start I had him penciled in. He also strongly intimated Framber was going down in Mexico. If neither of those things happen I'm going to assume in the future every time his mouth opens up he's lying.

    I actually like Arrenghetti- I think he's got some swing and miss stuff. Of course- Hunter Brown used to- I have no idea where that shit went to. 

  7. 24 minutes ago, hornmpa96 said:

    When’s Javier eligible to come off the IL?

    I agree that the pitching situation improves once we get Framber and Javier back. That means Arrighetti and either France/Brown come out of the rotation which would be huge.

    Absolutely agree on the lineup. What they do with Abreu and Singleton will tell us a lot about the intelligence level of the current organization. I’m extremely concerned that it’s going to reveal that Reggie Jackson and Jeff Bagwell are booger eating morons.

    Also, when will Josh Miller tell his pitchers to stop wasting a pitch by throwing 2 feet outside the plate? It seems like all of the Astros mediocre pitchers get 2 strikes on a hitter and then throw 1 completely non-competitive pitch which evens the count. It’s an epidemic among this staff.

    Monday the 29th- off day- so him pitching Tuesday is perfect.  

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  8. 1 hour ago, hornmpa96 said:

    2 years ago, the Astros had the best pitching staff in baseball and now, it’s possibly the worst.

    This version of it has been.

    How about this version (and what I would absolutely do if I was Espada- no fucking around with Brown, France or Spaghetti again until you have to) of a staff- I can't imagine it will be bad: 

    JV Thursday

    Friday off

    Saturday- Blanco,

    Sunday Framber,

    Monday off

    Tuesday Javier.  

    Wednesday- JV

    Thur- Blanco

    Friday- Framber

    Saturday- France/Brown/Spaghetti/Bielak- whichever you think will suck least

    Sunday- Javier

     

    That's 10 calendar days where you should only expect 1 shitty start.  Make that happen- fire Abreu into the face of the sun- send Singleton along with him- rotate C/1B between Caratini, Dubon and Diaz, move Bregman down to the 6 hole or something like that and lets see if that lineup/team can fuck.

    Altuve/Pena/Alvarez/Tucker/Diaz/Bregman/Chas/Caratini/Dubon.  Make that the lineup for a solid week to go with that rotation and I bet we win more than 1/3 of our games. Boom- problem solved Espada.

    I'm sure that's not what they will do.  

     


     

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  9. 10 minutes ago, closetojumping said:

    He’s an excellent NB who will likely be drafted. He’s not a natural CB, irrespective of his delusions otherwise. 

    The first sentence was how I think of him. I’m not sure why he couldn’t play a better corner than Brooks but that’s not me arguing that’s exposing my own ignorance. 
    but this board is kind and gentle to well intentioned dolts so I figured- why not ask the question?  

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  10. 5 hours ago, closetojumping said:

    Justin Wells knows less about the program than the most idiotic poster in this forum.

    I don't think Texas is going to have to start Barron at CB this year, but if they did, light the cigarettes now because we've already been fucked.

    I’m a dumb dumb so keep that in mind when you answer- but serious question…. Is that because you don’t think Barron is a good football player in general or because you don’t think he’s capable of playing CB- and if the latter why isn’t he?  

  11. 2 hours ago, LCHorn said:

    If I might rebut, if I was hiring a manager with no previous experience, and he was replacing a seasoned and somewhat independently minded employee, I’d want someone who made very plain he would work as part of a collaborative team and would follow best practices as set by the general manager’s office.  
     

    I also would think that some messiness is just a by-product of it being April and wanting/needing to experiment.  What’s unfortunate is that they are losing and that’s not giving them much cover.

    TL:DR It ain’t Joe, it’s Dana (or just the front office).  
     

     

    Yeah, I get what you are saying. And I don’t have a problem really with the decisions being made at 4.30 which is where Dusty was the absolute worst, but I think he’s screwing up in game on his own. 
     

  12. 6 minutes ago, hornmpa96 said:

    Espada’a not the issue. The only change he could make is benching Abreu. He’s moved him down in the order. He’s played Singleton more. I would have played Caratini at first instead of Singleton. 

    It’s truly a crime that Singleton was still on this roster at the start of the season. Abreu provided fool’s gold with his performance after coming back from the IL. He was always going to be here in 2024. Sticking with Singleton as the primary backup was not a defensible decision. 
     

    The back of the bullpen has been absolutely terrible to this point. You have to assume Hader and Pressly will get better at some point this year. If that doesn’t happen, the season’s over anyway.

    Yep.  They are the difference (back of the pen) from us being worst in the league and in 1st place in the division if they had done their job. 

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  13. Our FIP is 4.31, our actual ERA is 5.1.  We've had an insane amount of bad luck in babip both ways.  Our top 3 pitchers have all been on the IL, and our back end of the bullpen who was supposed to be awesome and has been totally awful- beyond that- all is well, all is well. 

    Seriously, it's really unlikely that this shit keeps up- it's not plausible and weird stuff can happen over any 20 game sample in a 162 game season.  

    All that being said- our manager is a dipshit- he's pitching the bullpen too much and in the wrong situations, he's running out Abreu when he doesn't have to, he's running out Singleton when he doesn't have to, and he's fucking around with Meyers for reasons I don't understand.  I'd rather have a gold glove CF with an average bat in the lineup vs the desecrated carcass of Jose Abreu- which is what the decision to play dubon at CF instead of 1B or 2b (with altuve doing some DH.  

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  14. 12 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:

    Espada, Dusty, your dream manager - their hands are tied with the make up of this roster. 
     

    this didn’t age well ….

     

    That's just not true. There are answers on this roster.  It's one guy that can't hit and one guy that isn't hitting (bregman) and that's it.


    OPS plus:

    Diaz- 125

    Altuve- 196

    Pena- 146

    Bregman- 73

    Chas- 98

    Meyers- 100

    Tucker- 162

    Alvarez-152

    Dubon- 115

    Caratini- 110

     

    That's 10 dudes with 8 of them average or above average- Chas 2% below and Bregman off to his typical slow start.  

    You could play either Caratini, Diaz or Dubon at 1B and have a lineup that's basically average or above at every position- unless you somehow believe that Bregman is below average as opposed to just starting slowly as he always does. 

     

     

     

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