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Wulaw Horn

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by Wulaw Horn

  1. If you want to keep it inclusive and reward teams that all have no chance of winning it all for having good seasons at their level I love that idea. Byes for top 8. 9-24 second week of December (no conference championship games first week of December- byes for all) 1-16 3rd week of December all at higher seed. 1-8 4th week of December- all at higher seeds. 1-4 New Year’s Day ish at neutral site locations. Championship game at neutral site something like January 12th. Fans win not having to pay shitloads to travel to a bunch of games. Everyone gets included that can win a title. Everyone gets rewarded for doing well against their level of competition. Make brackets flexible so 1 always plays the worst remaining team, 2 second worst remaining team and so on and you will have a reward and teams will care instead of punting regular season games. Or- the committee could not be dumb and we wouldn’t have to do reduced fixes. But the 1-24 seems like fun and would solve all problems associated. If you did it hone field it even solves the fan hassle problem. players are getting paid now- don’t care about too many games for a couple of the last teams.
  2. For us as in what happened? Sure. The committee has a say in how they decide to rank and explain what matters and what the rules of the road are going forward/ and that’s not finished yet. Imagine a world where Georgia and Ohio State romp next weekend and byu eked out a win v tech. A completely plausible ranking would be: 1) OSU, 2) Georgia, 3) Aggy 4) Oregon… 7) Oklahoma. If you split with 4 of the top 7 and have a win against another top 12 team and a loss against something like the 40th best team (that’s their computer metrics) with all the losses on the road and you can’t get in then why would anyone ever do anything remotely interesting in non con. And sure- you can’t design a system that’s better with like 40 or 48 teams but that’s not particularly likely to happen in the real world- while the committee can decide not to do stupid shit like put Utah with no good wins ahead and Texas and that can go a long way to stabilizing the sport and takes no effort.
  3. They all have data points dude. Those data points are the standings. They don’t end the season after 4 games or have 100 teams because then it wouldn’t work. Your data points (games) have to match the number of teams in the league in a sensible manner or it’s GIGO or a beauty contest.
  4. It’s like you are trying to not understand. One we control and the other we don’t.
  5. 64 with 12 data points is too unwieldy. You probably have to get to 36 or 40 tops to be good with 8 or 12 teams. I’d be absolutely fine with SEC plus Domers, OSU, Michigan, Illinois, Oregon, Washington, USC, UCLA, Nebraska, Iowa, MN, Texh, BYU, Utah, AZ, ASU, TCU, SMU, FSU, Clemson, Pitt, Miami, UNC, VA, VA Tech, Boise, Louisville add 4 for 48 or subtract 4 for 40 and that’s probably about as big as you can get and still keep it manageable with 12 or 13 data points.
  6. That’s functionally not true. If we played Purdue instead of Ohio state we would 100% be in. Like- no doubt about it. Ahead of OU and Vandy and Utah and Miami and maybe Domers. Getting ready for a home playoff game. Sure- same is true for Florida but fuck man- Sark said it and everybody in the world nodded along and said true except the densest of our fans. Florida was made to be on our schedule and OSU was a choice. but yeah- Ole Miss probably not good. When they get smoked in the playoffs the narrative will be it was about Kiffin moving on as opposed to them sort of not being great.
  7. How do you do that with 132 teams and only 12 or 13 outcomes. if the idea of college football playoffs is to collect all the teams that could plausibly win a title Texas 3-2 record with more quality wins than any team in college football needs to be in. There’s no conceivable argument against it. if it’s to reward good seasons with people that played well at their level then cool- let’s just say that too. I’m fine with either way. Just be clear that the deal is to try to get to 11-1 or 10-2 and nothing else matters and anyone who doesn’t plan accordingly is a moron who should be mocked and ridiculed. Either way is fine. if you are saying relegate the chuckle fucks of college football so that you can get to 32 programs or something that can play enough games to determine likely who the best is like the NFL that’s fine too.
  8. I’m not saying it will. Go ahead and put us at 15. Whatever. It will do incredible long term harm to the sport. September can be as meaningless in CFB as exhibition season in the NFL. If 9-3 Texas is behind 10-2 Utah who has zero quality wins then there is beyond zero reason to ever play an OOC team harder than Rutgers or Stanford or Purdue. That the world anyone wants to live in?
  9. Texas needs to be 12 after this week. Ahead of Utah and Miami and Vandy. That’s a fair ranking and values strength of schedule and quality of wins and takes into account 3 losses. If Georgia batters bama and tech beats byu the committee could justifiably move us up to 10 and everyone would/should be fine with that. If that doesn’t happen then at least they can say OOC losses to really quality teams aren’t disproportionately harmful. if we are behind Utah fuck that shit- they’ve beaten nobody and what are we even doing.
  10. Also poor aggies. Poor aggies walking down the ramp after a loss drives them homicidally angry which makes it worthwhile.
  11. Hey fuck face- if we schedule rice instead of Ohio State is Texas in at 10-2? Fuck you are dumb.
  12. So, beating 2 10-2 teams and an 11-2 doesn’t count as part of the schedule. Thats an insane standard that only a Texas fan would be myopic enough to hold their team to. Vandy, OU and aggy combined to lose 5 games- 3 of which were against Texas and you just said we had a 2 game schedule. That is insane.
  13. Sure. There will be one team pre CFP that finished unblemished. Everyone else “didn’t handle their business”. We are the only team to play 5 top 15 teams. How many teams ahead of us in the playoffs would have 3 or more losses against our schedule?. Tech lost to ASU for example. They basically beat nobody. Gun to your head what’s the line if we were playing them at the cotton bowl? Texas by 2.5 or 3.5. You think they are going better than 9-3 against our schedule? Or we’d go worse than 12-1 against theirs? Domers have 0 impressive wins. I think they are a top 10 school but you just can’t say they had a more accomplished season with us. Georgia and Ohio state are the class of college football I think. Indiana has a chance to prove they are but I think when they run into superior athletes Ohio state chokes them out. Beyond that I think Texas has the 3rd highest ceiling in college football all and something like the 20th highest floor. Theres a lot of dichotomy there. top 10 teams from watching an assload of football are probably OSU, Georgia, Indiana, Texas, Domers, ole Miss, tech, Oregon, Miami and maybe Bama. That’s my 10 in no particular order. No OU and no aggy.
  14. So, not beating one of the top 2 teams in the country means you shouldn’t be in a 12 team playofff. Cool cool cool. I think there’s maybe 4 teams in the country that might split that duo. Especially considering both were on the road.
  15. It’s so fucking stupid that anyone can say hurt durr Florida and try to hand wave away the reason we aren’t in the playoffs is bc we scheduled Ohio State instead of rice.
  16. They also said they won’t penalize teams for scheduling really tough OOC games but here we are.
  17. Nope. Top 5 conference champs are in. No guarantee from any one conference.
  18. Maybe if Georgia wins by 50 and breaks Ty Simpson in half or something. Fucking OU beating bama and walking through raindrops. That’s a shitty fucking OU team to go 10-2. My goodness.
  19. I’d love to schedule that way. It would be so much fun. The second the committee says a 8-4 Texas that plays 9 sec games and 3 blue bloods is in the playoffs we should totally do that. But, life is stupid so, yeah, we probably shouldn’t.
  20. We can play Purdue or Rutgers instead of Michigan or Ohio state. Same same. Correct.
  21. I wouldn’t hate that. Home games until final 4.
  22. Yeah I nailed it you fucking room temperature IQ idiot. It was a probabilistic post that had every fucking thing lined up ahead of time and focused on what mattered and what didn’t. That’s still what matters and what doesn’t. Basically boiled down to about a 35% chance Michigan, OU or USC would go 10-2 and we’d be out, or if they didn’t we’d be in (thus the 65% chance). And that’s exactly how it’s going to play out regardless of results, unless we get an unlikely outcome like 9-3 Domers or 9-3 bama.
  23. Cool. Ignore me. I’ve had this nailed from the second I put the post up and been right throughout. You and many others have been wrong saying 9-3 has no chance. Or we need massive chaos. We didn’t. We just needed those dickheads from bama to beat OU. Now, since they didn’t we need an unlikely but not improbable outcome. Either bama or OU losing to talented but flawed teams while Ohio State takes out the trash.
  24. Not remotely close to true. We need two things: Ohio state win and bama or OU loss. Everything else is nice to have but completely unnecessary.
  25. No fucking shit? If you win all your games you are in? Huh. 1 team at most will have done that at the end of this year. So, all teams will have not “handled their business” and the people will have to chose the best 12. Make them do their job. We did enough that we should be in. Period. Full stop.
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