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Wulaw Horn

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Everything posted by Wulaw Horn

  1. This would be certain death. Coached poll is often dumb. Like the other one better. Real question is how close are the vote totals.
  2. They also say they won’t punish you for scheduling up and losing an OOC game but here we are. They can do whatever they want. do I think that would be likely? No. Is it possible? Sure. All but the dumbest of human beings are open to the idea that gaining more information can make a difference in how you think. something would have to happen to reset that thinking. There will be like 5 or 6 games played 3 of which have some connection to Texas or Miami and 2 of them directly involving bama and BYU.
  3. Sure. All completely true. Doesn’t mean I can’t talk myself into being happy still. Rather have that than playing MN or someone like that in a bowl. Nebraska might be fun just to make them mad for old times sake.
  4. If we are ahead of Utah and Vandy and it plays out exactly the way I said with big OSU, Georgia and Texas tech wins I think there’s a lot of room for TV to get involved and people to change their minds. nobody went to bed after the 2023 conference championship in games thinking it was going to be Texas and bama but eventually people wanted to the idea and said that might make sense. The same thing could absolutely happen this weekend. It would have to really break right (and having CDC call Disney and ask them how much they like upcoming Texas v Ohio state, Michigan and domer games on the OOC schedule probably wouldn’t hurt). That *should* be enough to get us over Miami. Then it becomes Bama or Texas. There’s lots of reasons for Texas over Bama with Arch and Sark and resume etc. I’d expect it to be Bama but wouldn’t be shocked if it was otherwise. It would be funny if Sankey said Texas and Bama were more important to the future of the conference and elbowed OU out.
  5. I can tell myself into being happy if Texas beats a blue blood but yeah- that’s pretty much true.
  6. To be fair I meant after head to head in a two way situation or 3 way situation where all teams played each other.
  7. Probably also help if they got injured or something. And if OSU dominates Indiana and BYU gets smoked by Tech. There’s at least room for a conversation. It we have to be above Utah and Vandy and probably Miami for that conversation to happen.
  8. And you want to play the best team possible because of you lose that’s what you say and if you win you ignore all that and say- hey we best “________” to end the year which is cool.
  9. With so many schedules being so fucked up I would celebrate the tie breaker being rank in the CFP poll. we’d have Georgia and Ole Miss in the SEC and Miami and VA in the ACC. No need for a tie breaker in the Big 12 or Big 10 I don’t believe.
  10. I mean- yeah in a bowl game you should always want to play the best and most fun team possible since at the end of the day it really doesn’t fucking matter. I’d also be happy to play BYU (if we did that I’d really want to be focused and best then by 50 to prove a point. wouldn’t care for Miami. USC, be fine. We owe Iowa a shit pounding. We owe Washington a buttfucking. I’d be fine with Utah as well. Michigan seems like the biggest scalp we could get so I’d be in favor of that. Only downside is we’ve played them 2 years ago and have them 2 years from now so it’s not a special game. BYU we played recently. Eh I have no other team I’m super fired up to play so Michigan works.
  11. No. The first 4 out are in a wrong and stupid order. The actual 12 looks like what it will probably be of the bracket was made today.
  12. BYU will drop behind Miami and Texas if they lose next week. If bama we’re to decimated by Georgia then it’s 3 teams for 1 spot between 10-3 bama, 10-2 Miami and 9-3 Texas. Texas has 2 wins over playoff teams (OU and aggy) bama has 1 (Georgia), Miami has 1 (Domers). bama has a shitty loss to Florida State. Texas has a shitty loss to Florida. Miami has 2 quasi shitty but not bad losses to unranked Louisville and unranked SMU. if it came out that way and championship weekend ended with big wins by Tech, Ohio State and Georgia that would be the starting point for rankings that could get Texas into the playoffs if the committee wanted to with not much backlash. I’d prefer over Miami in the next rankings but if was this that would be ok. it would be trying to draw an inside straight (maybe an inside straight flush) but it would be possible. Behind Utah and/or Vandy and no chance.
  13. Sure didn’t say it would change it. But if the threshold is must be better than Georgia and OSU than nobody qualifies and let’s just do a best of 3 home, away, neutral with those 2 teams and call it a day.
  14. East: Georgia, bama, Florida, TN, Auburn, Kentucky, Vandy, SCar thats probably pretty fair. 3 traditional door mats in the east. 3 in the west. Georgia, Bama, Florida probably a little stronger than Texas OU and LSU but it could absolutely flip all the time. Aggy and Ole Miss in the middle probably a little stronger than TN + Auburn. do it!
  15. I mean- in the last 2 years Texas is 0-5 against Georgia and Ohio state and 24-1 against everyone else. In that 24 wins over the last 2 years you have probably more scalps than all other teams not named Ohio state and Georgia (to be fair maybe Oregon). To say we can’t make the semis is dumb. Do we get seeded where we won’t have to play Ohio state or Georgia before the semi’s? Then we can make them. we are pretty clearly the 3rd best team over the last 2 or 3 years collectively, and not as good as Georgia or Ohio state. 1 loss to Florida doesn’t change that.
  16. Bullshit. Bama claims 187 titles. They didn’t give back a title when they lost to LsU and got a rematch with only 2 teams chosen! Not any of the other 1 loss Saban bullshit title’s when picking 2 teams and that wasn’t the deal. They happily take every break and laugh about it and don’t consider a team to need to be a generational team to deserve a title. Ohio state fans were happy to claim a title after losing to Oregon and Michigan and beating nobody other than PSU of quality last year.
  17. Here’s the thing that’s so infuriating… college hoops is so much better from a scheduling perspective (yeah it sucks but that’s bc the nba has the best 100 human beings 18-21 playing in it in a way the nfl cannot and will not) because the tournament committee says “who did you beat and where did you beat them” and not “how many losses do you have. Because of that we see really great tournaments, neutral site games conference challenges and home and homes between national powers. It works. when the committee in football says not who did you beat snd where did you play and instead “how many losses do you have” we will see a wasteland of shit. a modest proposal: all playoff teams must have either a great win (top 10) or two good wins (top 20) to qualify. that would incentivize everyone to schedule really good games. It would fix almost everything. This year’s eligible teams: Ohio state (Texas and Michigan) Indiana (Oregon- top 10) aggy (domers) Georgia (Texas, ole Miss) tech (not in unless they beat byu) ole Miss (OU, Tulane) Oklahoma (Bama, michigan) Domers (nope- only mediocre USC win barely in top 20) bama (Georgia) byu (nope- not unless they beat tech) Utah (nope) Vandy (nope) Texas (aggy, OU, Vandy) Miami (Domers - nobody else) if you don’t get to 12 doing that fill in with whoever else wins the eye test I guess. Aggy and Miami have tentative grasp on qualifying wins depending upon what one did with Domers that one simple trick would make September fucking awesome, and it would make conference schedules better too bc conferences wouldn’t WS t their best teams to duck each other to protect the loss column college football could be twice as good without changing anything other than committee selection criteria TV and fans would win big time
  18. It’s really an amazing combination of self loathing, obtuseness, arrogance (2005 Texas is our standard and should happen every year even though that’s a once in a generation type team) and general dipshittery.
  19. What’s even worse is the self loathing. If we don’t do that we deserve to be shit all over and sit in the corner like a dumbass. Meanwhile Saban got to lose once every year with no problem when the conferences were much more balanced and that wasn’t the deal for everyone else. Texas has to be generational in talent or many in our fanbase are like fuck it- we suck.
  20. You mean from 64 right? Because I don’t know anyone who wants it at 32. 64 was perfect 68 is dumb. I think going from 12 to 16 or 24 will be very well received by most- especially if first 2 or 3 rounds are at home fields.
  21. If you want to keep it inclusive and reward teams that all have no chance of winning it all for having good seasons at their level I love that idea. Byes for top 8. 9-24 second week of December (no conference championship games first week of December- byes for all) 1-16 3rd week of December all at higher seed. 1-8 4th week of December- all at higher seeds. 1-4 New Year’s Day ish at neutral site locations. Championship game at neutral site something like January 12th. Fans win not having to pay shitloads to travel to a bunch of games. Everyone gets included that can win a title. Everyone gets rewarded for doing well against their level of competition. Make brackets flexible so 1 always plays the worst remaining team, 2 second worst remaining team and so on and you will have a reward and teams will care instead of punting regular season games. Or- the committee could not be dumb and we wouldn’t have to do reduced fixes. But the 1-24 seems like fun and would solve all problems associated. If you did it hone field it even solves the fan hassle problem. players are getting paid now- don’t care about too many games for a couple of the last teams.
  22. For us as in what happened? Sure. The committee has a say in how they decide to rank and explain what matters and what the rules of the road are going forward/ and that’s not finished yet. Imagine a world where Georgia and Ohio State romp next weekend and byu eked out a win v tech. A completely plausible ranking would be: 1) OSU, 2) Georgia, 3) Aggy 4) Oregon… 7) Oklahoma. If you split with 4 of the top 7 and have a win against another top 12 team and a loss against something like the 40th best team (that’s their computer metrics) with all the losses on the road and you can’t get in then why would anyone ever do anything remotely interesting in non con. And sure- you can’t design a system that’s better with like 40 or 48 teams but that’s not particularly likely to happen in the real world- while the committee can decide not to do stupid shit like put Utah with no good wins ahead and Texas and that can go a long way to stabilizing the sport and takes no effort.
  23. They all have data points dude. Those data points are the standings. They don’t end the season after 4 games or have 100 teams because then it wouldn’t work. Your data points (games) have to match the number of teams in the league in a sensible manner or it’s GIGO or a beauty contest.
  24. It’s like you are trying to not understand. One we control and the other we don’t.
  25. 64 with 12 data points is too unwieldy. You probably have to get to 36 or 40 tops to be good with 8 or 12 teams. I’d be absolutely fine with SEC plus Domers, OSU, Michigan, Illinois, Oregon, Washington, USC, UCLA, Nebraska, Iowa, MN, Texh, BYU, Utah, AZ, ASU, TCU, SMU, FSU, Clemson, Pitt, Miami, UNC, VA, VA Tech, Boise, Louisville add 4 for 48 or subtract 4 for 40 and that’s probably about as big as you can get and still keep it manageable with 12 or 13 data points.
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