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Wulaw Horn

Burnt Ends
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Posts posted by Wulaw Horn

  1. 8 minutes ago, huge said:

    He has .475 BABIP

    But your BABIP tends to be high when you are getting barrel'd over and over and over and over again.  Like a monkey with a miniature cymbal...

    No doubt. But not that high. That’s why I said a bit unlucky. I’ve seen guys fail to hit 500 in batting practice which is what the league is doing to him on balls where contact is made. 

  2. 5 minutes ago, UTexasFight said:

    I laughed at Kalas talking about his “bad luck” with his babip at .416 or something.

    and I’m thinking “I’m not sure that’s bad luck for brown this year.”

     

    (the HR was, I’ll give you that)

    I mean- yeah- both things can be true- Brown has generally been shitty and he’s also been a bit unlucky. 

  3. 4 minutes ago, WBT said:

    93.9 ev and a HR in 1/30 mlb parks

    And 1/1 Mexico city parks probably

    What a shitty year. 
    I mean I’m not crying for him because he’s been behind every hitter, gave up 2 other solid contacts and that’s what happens when you play with fire, but son of a butch does every half mistake we make have to get punished to the maximum? 

  4. 4 minutes ago, WBT said:

    Damn Crawford Boxes

    And there’s the other side of the buzzards lick we’ve had. I assume that’s a f7 for an out in 26 or 27 other parks. But this year it sneaks into row 1. 

    • Hook 'Em 1
  5. 24 minutes ago, Snake Diggity said:

    It really is weird how erratic Abreu’s decline was.  
     

    2014-2017: badass

    2018-2019: ok

    2020-2022: badass

    Mar-May 2023: sucked

    Jun-July 2023: good

    Aug 2023: sucked

    Sep-Oct 2023: badass

    Mar-Apr 2024: unplayable

    You don't become this unplayable- even if you are old- without being hurt.  Period.  End of story. He's either nursing an injury that will get better, or more likely refusing to acknowledge that at his age the back stuff he has going on is probably career ending. I do not believe this is age related decline b/c of how terrible it is. 

    • Hook 'Em 2
  6. 33 minutes ago, Scraps said:

    Yeah he barreled his first ball in what 300+ pitches? I am proud of him 

    Yeah- hopefully the sarcasm was dripping through in my post.  Whatever- cocky Bregman is better than humble Bregman. But I'm not convinced. His head is pretty far up his ass...

    • Hook 'Em 1
  7. 8 minutes ago, Snake Diggity said:

    They may still be in limbo about Abreu even tho they know the intention is to get rid of him.  So they may IL Chas or option Kessinger for a week or two while they finalize the plan for Abreu.

    They should have that resolved by 4:00 pm tonight or 60 day DL him or dfa. I mean- I think you are probably right but if they had balls that would be the deal. 

    • Hook 'Em 1
  8. 4 minutes ago, Mitch Hedberg said:

    Sounds like Loperfido will primarily be in the outfield for now. Espada talked about needing to build him up to first base. Said Chas has some leg soreness creating some time for Loperfido. Wouldn’t give any hints of corresponding moves. 

    I said on the podcast- watch this be for them to IL Chas and this is about Loperfido being the 4th OF or some such nonsense.

    This org is really testing my patience. None of this is difficult.  We've got plenty of dudes that could play 1b not as an abject joke.

    If they were serious about winning it would look like this (if chas were hurt) 

    P- JV- normal rest tonight- lineup facing a RHP

    Altuve-2b

    Yordan- DH
    Diaz- C

    Tucker- RF

    Bregman- 3b

    Pena- SS

    Loperfido- LF

    Caratini- 1b

    Meyers- CF.

     

    If chas is healthy substitute Loperfido at 1b for Caratini and see what happens

    If LHP substitute Dubon for 1b.

     

    Ugh.  Dumb dumb dumb. 

     

    • Hook 'Em 4
  9. 12 minutes ago, jimmyjazz said:

    Can someone explain to me like I'm pre-K why rising home prices would drive rates higher?  I can see how rates could affect pricing, but the reverse seems odd to me.

    The rates went up today because hourly wages went from 0.9% to 1.2% (expectation was 1.0%). That’s driving inflation which is driving rates higher today.  
    interestingly enough tax receipts are lower, consumer expectations are at a 2 year low right now and one real life number has jobs down 100k over the same time period BLS has them up 500k. So- there’s some disconnect between what is actually happening and being observed vs what’s being reported which relies heavily on modeling. 
    inflation is actually the opposite right now- the government number is coming in significantly higher than what’s being seen by the dudes looking at 10M factors v 780k factors. Thats to say that maybe the government is simply getting it wrong and not intentionally. 
    none of this is original thoughts be me, passing along what the market tea leaf reader I pay says. Is he right? Dunno. It sounds plausible. 
    rates will improve Wednesday if fed slows down balance sheet reduction and starts buying treasuries and MBS. The thought is that will definitely happen, but when?  Habib seems to think that could be at tomorrows Fed meeting announcement. 

  10. 4 hours ago, tx 3 putt said:

    Scheduled starters for CLE series:

    Tue: Hunter Brown vs Carlos Carrasco
    Wed: Justin Verlander vs Triston McKenzie
    Thu: Spencer Arrighetti vs Logan Allen
     

    For fucks sake. Why not blanco Thursday Framber Friday, Javier Saturday and IV Tuesday and Sunday?  
    So irritating. 

    Back to normal on the episode. I think it’s good. We talk problems and solution for the Astros. 
     

     

    • Hook 'Em 2
  11. 9 minutes ago, HOOKEM4 said:

    Thinking of taking my boys to a day game after their baseball is done. July 14th vs the Rangers is the target. Never been to the park.  Where should I sit to make it fun and not pay 1k for 4 tickets. Any tips?

    How many boys you got?  Where you coming from? 

    • Hook 'Em 1
  12. 5 minutes ago, Dutchrudder said:

    Is there any indication that Tucker actually wants to be here long-term? The MLB has no rules that provide their current team an advantage in money offered vs free agency. If this ship is sinking, I wouldn't blame him for shopping around. He was born and raised in Tampa, maybe he wants to go there and play at home? 

    Either way, I agree, extending him is the best plan.  If worse comes to worse, possibly trading him in the future for prospects is better than nothing. 

    I've never thought he wanted to be here long term.

  13. 5 hours ago, LCHorn said:

    To be fair, that’s mostly who is available on the FA market.  His refusal to take on long-term FA deals is also why we’re not paying Springer for his declining performance and Correa’s absences (personally I probably still would have retained Correa for the mix of performance and leadership).
     

    I think it’s clear we’re shedding talent faster than it can be replaced and that’s going to accelerate over the next two years.  It’s partly why I’m sure he hired Brown-you’ve got to have prospects you can consolidate into lower cost established players like Cole or Verlander.  You just can’t rely on your draft skills to produce them.  By the time they are FA’s you’re mostly paying for the back part of their career and there’s not much surplus value.  
     

    Tucker is a little different; I’m sure there’s some caution just because the team might need to be down for a few years to rebuild the farm and young player depth.  Why pay Tucker market for six wins if you’re better off losing?

    The answer for why pay Tucker market for 6 wins if you are better off losing is "if you are paying market you can always trade him," and if you are paying market you can always trade him and pay a lot of his salary and get some prospects that you really like- which in a market where you can't trade guys for draft picks is a market inefficiency every rebuilding club should aspire to.  Also- I think with the base of this team we wouldn't be likely to prefer losing to Tucker's 6 wins, but if it went that direction that's the lesson to take from him having that deal- imo. 

    • Hook 'Em 1
  14. 1 hour ago, tokamak said:

    9: Ewers, Blue, Bond, Banks, Sorrell, Collins, Moore, Barron, Mukuba

    No idea on Savea. I could see Campbell and/or Williams having a good year and going early. Suppose it’s possible that Moore returns (he’s won’t be a high pick even if productive because of size). I’ll set the O/U at 10.5 and take the under. 

    Bet on over. You also aren’t factoring in 1 or 2 guys from the portal that are not on the roster yet. Helms going to get drafted too I’d bet for sure. Another WR. 

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