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berlinerbaer

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Posts posted by berlinerbaer

  1. Yang might pardon Trump if elected

    https://www.politico.com/news/2020/02/02/pardon-trump-andrew-yang-2020-110331

    Quote

    “If you look at history around the world, it's a very, very nasty pattern that developing countries have fallen into, where a new president ends up throwing the president before them in jail,” Yang said on ABC’s “This Week.”

    “That pattern unfortunately makes it very hard for any party to govern sustainably moving forward with a sense of unity among their people,” he continued. “And so to me, America should try to avoid that pattern if at all possible.”

    In 1974, President Gerald Ford pardoned his predecessor, Richard Nixon, after he resigned amid the Watergate scandal. “It could go on and on and on, or someone must write the end to it. I have concluded that only I can do that, and if I can, I must,” Ford said in September 1974.

     

  2. Something worth pointing out, as much of the hand-wringing on this page over immigration is from folks who lean left: most newly arriving Chinese are conservative.

    Unlike in past decades, few are political or economic refugees. They tend to have money, which they gained in a society with rampant nepotism and inequality. They'll naturally gravitate to similar entities, i.e. Trump and the GOP.

    That said, keep bringing them in. Their kids will grow up to be just as liberal as most other Asian-Americans.

     

  3. On 1/27/2020 at 8:27 PM, Message Board User said:

    This tweet shows the 22 House seats the Democrats are targeting to flip the House - not surprising that most are around Houston & DFW.

    https://twitter.com/KarinaKling/status/1221848673396625408

     

    Beto won in 9 districts that ended up electing a Republican state representative in 2018. 

    1) That was a lot of ticket splitting.

    2) Goddamn Ted Cruz is unpopular. I mean, holy shit. I can't fathom he actually runs for reelection in 2024. White House or bust for him, I think.

    3) It's going to be hard to claw away the 10 seats needed to win the State House, if Beto only managed to win in 9 of them. I'm trying not to get my hopes up.

     

  4. 6 hours ago, gecko said:

    I probably have it....or will get it.  I've been flying constantly since first of the year.  The number of sick MF'ers out there sneezing and coughing all over the airplanes is ridiculous.  Here's an idea.....if you're f'ing sick, why don't you stay home.....

    I envy the man who can just eat the cost of his plane ticket like it's nothing.

  5. 5 hours ago, Voldemort86 said:

    I don’t get why they are stonewalling universal background checks.

     

    they have to know that 80% of this country approves of legislation and a majority of Texans do so as well. They could actually end up getting some political benefit from it. 
     

    right now, most people view our state leadership as a bunch of overly conservative goons who vote no on everything. 

    also applicable

  6. 10 hours ago, Larry T. Spider said:

    I’m hopeful that Dems can take back the Texas House this election cycle but for the sake of discussion, let’s say they don’t.  Republicans will pull out all the stops to gerrymander the maps to hold onto control as long as possible. My main wondering is how they can draw a map in 2020 that benefits them but won’t completely trash their chances by 2028. Right now they can draw some 90% dem city districts and that won’t change. But they can draw enough rural areas into suburban districts to keep them red. What happens when these fast growing suburbs turn more blue and completely overwhelm the rural areas they are paired with as far as population? 

    Long term it seems like republicans would be better off giving up on some suburbs and drawing the maps to give others more rural areas than is currently needed. They might not get as many seats in the short term but it would protect them more in the longer term. 

    The Rs historically have been masters at the long game, but some of their recent actions look more like desperation to me. The recent laser-focus on the judiciary, a real bulwark against a liberalizing government and population, suggests the power brokers are aware that they are in electoral trouble long-term and looking for ways to maintain control after they've left office.

    Please, God, let that be true.

  7. On 1/14/2020 at 3:49 PM, FondrenRoad said:

    If progressives cared about advancing progressive ideas, they'd rally behind a single candidate like the establishment tends to do.  We are going to get Joe Biden, but Joe is only going to win about 40% of the primary vote.  Don't those combined Bernie, Warren, Yang numbers look good enough to win though?

    Bernie has a great message, but he is loath to let anyone else carry it.  Perhaps he should have joined the Democratic Party before running in its primary for President.

    Then it goes to a brokered convention. What happens then if the progressives, collectively, have the majority? When do the superdelegates swoop in?

  8. 1 hour ago, texifornia said:

    Moorhead. Who was originally kept on bc they made a bowl, but then their QB got his jaw broken fighting a teammate during bowl prep and he got canned.

    So beating Ole Miss got them to 6-6 and a bowl, which only temporarily extended Moorhead?

    Is that the connection? Or did one rival replacing a coach prompt the other to do the same? 

  9. 12 minutes ago, WhatTheBuck said:

    Ticky tack PI call but it probably wouldn't have mattered. Cal TD makes it 28-13. Tough to see Illinois winning this. Cal has better athletes. But the Illini came back from several scores down to give Michigana game late in the second half so maybe there's hope. Of course, that was a home game. 

    Speaking of Michigan, Cal QB Chase Garbers is slinging the ball all over the place. He throws better than either Brandon Peters or Shea Patterson. He's from Newport Beach, CA and looks more like the prototypical California QB that I would've expected Harbaugh to recruit when he took the Michigan job.

    I like Garbers but I'd take Patterson over him in a heartbeat.

  10. 22 minutes ago, wildcat09 said:

    Jill Stein got over 50,000 votes in Michigan, where Trump won by roughly 10,000, and she got over 31,000 in Wisconsin, which Trump won by about 22,000.

    Those numbers aren't earth-shattering for a third party candidate in a presidential election and they are not why Clinton lost.

    It's moot anyway in the case of Michigan, where sore loser laws would prevent Tulsi from appearing on the ballot as an independent.

  11. Someone who was polling around 2% of the likely Dem primary vote isn't going to play spoiler as an independent, even if Biden is the nominee. She'd be another Jill Stein, at best. Ralph Nader farts in her general direction.

    Her only political future is as a Republican in some weird district with a preternatural enrichment of young, disaffected, white males. That said, I expect her to go into media and have a diminutive, but dedicated following of aforementioned incels. She has the looks, but totally lacks the charisma to make it very far.

    • Like 1
  12. 10 hours ago, bad_teammate said:

    You know who else finds those words sexist and misogynistic?

    Cenk Uygur

    "First of all, I wrote that stuff 19 years ago; I deleted it 15 years ago," Uygur told CNN host Chris Cuomo during an on-set interview. "I deleted it not because I thought I'd get caught or someone would find it, I deleted it because I didn't believe it anymore. This is not me. I was trying to be a stupid, politically incorrect Republican. So I wrote these things I knew were offensive."

    “The stuff I wrote back then was really insensitive and ignorant,” Uygur said. “If you read that today, what I wrote 18 years ago, and you’re offended by it, you’re 100 percent right. And anyone who is subjected to that material, I apologize to. And I deeply regret having written that stuff when I was a different guy.”

     

    O'Reilly, Lauer, and Rose: Rape and sexual assault

    Ugyur: Edgy moron blog posts

    5y5qi0gwu2ln9h5241gz1.gif

    Ana Kasparian is someone who loves to give in to men and apologize for creeps. She's very meek. She doesn't disagree or argue with Cenk at all. Subservient all the way.

     

    Cenk is a meathead, but a highly entertaining one. He belongs right where he is: in media, not in public office.

    Ana should be the one running for this House seat.

    • Like 1
  13. Rick Miller (R) of Sugar Land isn't seeking reelection in the TX House 26th district following comments on his primary opponents largely seen as racist. Yes, this was in the Republican Party thread, but it belongs here, because this will be a very competitive district in 2020 and one that the Dems really ought to flip if they are going to take control of the State House.

    https://www.texastribune.org/2019/12/03/greg-abbott-rescinds-endorsement-texas-republican-rick-miller/

    Miller was a very strong candidate so his exit is a real blow to the Texas GOP. He mopped the floor with his Dem opponent, Sarah Demerchant, by 15 points in 2016 but won by less than 5 points in their 2018 rematch. Demerchant is running again but is likely going to get beat in the Dem primary by Rish Oberoi, who is killing it in fundraising and a better fit for the district (he's of South Asian descent, ahem). He'll gladly take your $20 if you want to flip the House next year.

    • Like 1
  14. Just to make another analogy, this reminds me of the Belotti to Kelly transfer at Oregon a decade ago. Belotti was pretty good in his own right but encountered a few rough seasons near the end before promoting an up-and-comer. I recall he also took an administrative role in the AD for a few years.

     

  15. On 11/25/2019 at 8:30 PM, NotActuallyALonghorn said:

    Maleic Anyhydride is typically used as a combatibilizer in polymers. So if you have two layers of different polymers that don't want to stick together on a molecular level, you toss a layer of poly in the middle that has maleic anhydride grafted onto the molecules of the poly and every thing sticks together on a molecular level. It's also useful for mixing hot melt adhesives or making layers of poly stick to stuff like aluminum cans.

    So I'm really curious what the mechanism is here.

    I think you're on the right track. The MA groups will hydrolyze in the body raising the polarity of the polymer overall. This helps make it more biocompatible, minimizing adverse reaction by the immune system. Also, as the polymer slowly breaks down, the fragments will be soluble, allowing it to be cleared more effectively.

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