Well you can feel free to take back over when you aren't on a plane but I'm clearly not getting any work done so I might as well do something productive
who else is still really in on that recruitment? OU, Oregon, and Miami maybe? As much as I would like to wishcast UT on that list it just never seemed like it was going to happen
I agree with you. I think it really all boils down to your first point about his insecurities. Every model has flaws because it is impossible to build the perfect model. If I could build the perfect model I would be worth more than Elon Musk. Shit, whenever my data scientists go through the results of their models, I have them start with why their model sucks. As long as it doesn't suck too bad then the results typically don't matter. It provides some insight that may move the needle a little bit and we go on justifying our salaries.
On the other hand though I will give him a small bit of leeway (5% or so) though based on how the general public thinks about probabilities.
My best guess is that he has some Bayesian model that takes in all of the post game stats and assigns a win probability without knowing what the final score is. Not particularly useful other than to drive a talking point
Is those NFL players with AC sprains can come back that quickly, there is a solid shot Quinn is back for the Tech game and we cruise through the early conference schedule