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hornmpa96

Certifiably Surly
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Posts posted by hornmpa96

  1. 10 minutes ago, texashorne said:

    Anyone willing to run the Astros record with and without Abreu this season? 

     

     

    If I read Baseball Reference correctly, the Astros are 19-19 when Abreu doesn’t start. 12-19 when Abreu is in the starting lineup.

    • Rage+1 1
  2. 1 hour ago, immamac said:

    Ds in fact do not perform better in low turnout votes. 

    Educated voters don't turnout higher than non educated voters if you are saying college educated. 

    If you are pulling shit out of your ass and mistakenly calling engaged voters educated voters then you are still wrong, engaged voters do not have a strong bias R or D. 

    I know the Nates have a bad reputation here (probably for good reason).

    From Nate Cohn’s 2/2/24 article in The NY Times 

    - College graduates make up an outsized portion of Special Election voters about 10% higher than general election voters

    - Confirming the point above about the olds, 50% of the voters in specials are 65+

    - 92% of special election voters also vote in primary’s 

    Also Trump has been driving college-educated voters from the R party. Just look at the change in this board’s profile over the last 10 years.

  3. 4 minutes ago, Js1 said:

    Special elections have historically been pretty decent predictors for the general election. 

    if you want to ignore the data, do it.  But a 20 point shift left in a district by a guy who spent less than 50k against a state Senator in a Trump +29 district that ended up being R+8/9 in the end? 

    Animated GIF

    Plus rep for the Sgt Schulz gif

    I just don’t see that election as a very interesting data point. 

    • Hook 'Em 1
  4. 5 minutes ago, BabaYaga said:

    Yeah, it was a mess.  To be fair, they are a foreign family, but that doesn't indemnify them on gauging time & distance.  I know that stretch of road, and if you don't gas up at least in Amarillo, it's your ass.  Same with everyone going down into Chaco Canyon

    I prefer Dumas or Dalhart for my Panhandle gas and Allsups burrito stop.

    • Hook 'Em 9
  5. Bringing Loperfido up and then back down within 3 days tells me everything I need to know about this organization. It’s run by know-nothing clowns. If he wasn’t going to play, he should have been getting at-bats and first base reps in Sugar Land.

    stephen colbert lol GIF by The Late Show With Stephen Colbert

    • Rage+1 1
  6. Is Jim Crane on his way to becoming Jerry Jones?

    It’s depressing to think about. Obviously, he made a great initial hire in Luhnow. With the passage of time, I can see that Click did a really good job.

    He needs to empower an actual GM and let Bagwell/Reggie go back to just signing autographs.

  7. 34 minutes ago, txduck87 said:


    Pretty generous package for MRO employees, particularly if you’ve been there awhile. What’s to stop COP from bringing them all over and then just laying them off in a couple of months? Is this negotiated as part of the buyout? Good faith? Just seems like they could get out of paying a ton of severance by bringing em all over and the whacking them in short order.

    Most of the time the severance package has been set by the Target company prior to any transaction negotiations. The Buyer almost always accepts the existing terms. Additionally, the Severance plan will normally apply for a 1 or 2 year period after the change in control. So, the Buyer can’t avoid the severance payout.

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