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TXSooner518

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Posts posted by TXSooner518

  1. 26 minutes ago, TornACL said:

    This is such bullshit. Ohio State - Michigan almost always kicks at 11am.

    Quit fucking whining. If you haven't gotten used to 11am or noon kickoffs by now, that's on you. I'll be up at 6am and I'll have a bloody mary in my hand before 7am. It's Texas/OU. They could play at 4am in a parking lot and I'd be ready.

    Step your game up.

    This. I had been wishing for later kickoffs for a while, but really didn't enjoy the 230 kickoff last year as much as the 11am kicks.

    I love that the fair opens early when the kick is 11am, and so you can get in and get stuff with no lines. Last year, the booths didn't open until 10am, and the fair was already crowded by then. Looking forward to resuming my ritual of vodka drinks in the parking lot at 7am, corny dog at 801, fried butter with cinnamon/honey around 825, then a cornucopia of assorted food items and beer until time to go into the stadium at 1030.

    Postgame to the embarcadero for football watching, more food, and light dozing. Perfection.

    I would love a night game, and I would love a kickoff around 1pm, with the fair still opening early. Neither of those will happen, so I guess I will just have to try to find a way to enjoy the best sports event of the year.

    • Like 3
  2. In 2018, how many black guys are going to escalate shit with an armed and tired/pissed off cop, female or not?  Especially one that lives in their building. This isn’t something he can run or drive away from if it goes south and he survives the encounter. 
    And given that he had to know a cop was below him, I don’t see him doing things that would antagonize her.  At the least, she could complain to management, who would most likely take her word for it over his, and at most/worst, she could gin up something to get him raided   Either way, she could make his life miserable if he left a loud tv on all night or whatever.
    The whole thing is fishy.  I’m not saying she planned on executing him, but I am curious about past encounters between them, and how much sleep she actually had in the previous 48 hours.  


    I didn't say that he escalated it. I don't think he had to know a cop lived below him either. How many people know what the person who lives below or above them did?

    Given that she had no legal authority and he wasn't doing anything wrong, I can easily see him telling her something along the lines of "I will listen to my music in my house if I decide to, bye Felicia" and her having her RESPECT MAH AUTHORITAH button pushed and there ya go.
  3. ISU played a helluva a game Al.  They play like that the rest of the season and they'll have a really strong year.


    +1. Good game 'Clones. ISU is a really fun team to watch, smart, play hard, well-coached. GL the rest of the way.
  4. It doesn't make sense for her to have gone to her apt first given she apparently carried her vest, computer, backpack and lunchbox to Jean's apartment.

     

    She either went straight to his apartment from work or premeditated the whole thing with the plan to make it look that way. But her carrying the stuff there makes it impossible that she went home then went up to argue about noise and got carried away and shot him.

     

    Now, she could have been exhausted after her shift and decided to go straight to his place first to say "hey, I'm fucking tired tonight so you need to keep it down" and then it escalated.

     

     

  5. It doesn't make sense for her to have gone to her apt first given she apparently carried her vest, computer, backpack and lunchbox to Jean's apartment.

    She either went straight to his apartment from work or premeditated the whole thing with the plan to make it look that way. But her carrying the stuff there makes it impossible that she went home then went up to argue about noise and got carried away and shot him.

  6. http://www.foxnews.com/us/2018/09/14/dallas-police-face-ire-over-portrayal-man-shot-by-officer.html
    Court documents obtained Friday revealed that an investigator from the Dallas County district attorney's office seized the electronic door lock to Guyger's apartment and downloaded data from the lock.
     
    ....downloaded data from the lock...interesting...I assume they did the same for the victim's lock.
     


    Yep. Saw the search warrants posted for both locks.
  7. I bet out $30 because he wanted action,  and  I was really hoping he had a small ace and was going  to pay off every bet.   it wasnt until the no-hesitation smooth call on the turn that my senses really tingled.  
    I had AK and 99 so many fucking times on this trip that I lost track. I never hit a set with the 9's, and  AK only flopped a pair 3 times the whole trip.  First 2 were in the early sessions.   the last hand above was the last time it hit. 


    If he has an ace, money gets in either way. If he misses or has a small pair he may bet if we check but just fold when we lead 3/4 pot. I would certainly bet if checked to and c-bet as preflop raiser, just think we lose tons of value leading into the raiser here.
  8. WOOF, what a fucking session.  That KTdd hand feels like me.

    Why are we leading 3/4 pot into the preflop raiser when we have AJ on AAQ? I would also definitely 3b AK against someone whining that they want action, but understand that at that point that snakebittenness (that's a word now) has taken over.

  9. My understanding is that if you are dealt a max payout hand (so Royal on any game, or 4 Aces with 2,3,4 kicker on the Triple Double Bonus I was playing, 5 deuces on deuces wild, etc.) it will just instantly lock up.

    I had actually hit 2 royals on this trip already, but they were on a machine where I was playing 10 hands at once, with 10c credits (so $5/spin, just like playing one hand with $1 credits).  Playing that machine smooths out variance, but you can't get a BIG hit unless you get dealt the big hand (Royal is 4000 credits, so "only" $400 at dimes, but if you got dealt it, it would be on all 10 hands so $400 x 10).  

    I was up a decent amount, so I decided to take a hundo and fire it on this machine (I had hit quads on it earlier for $250 also) to try and get a good one.  Binked 4 deuces fairly early to get to like 530 on there. Hit the slide pretty quick, then got quads again to get back around 450.  TDB is a super swingy game with top heavy payouts, but that means you can go on the dreadboat quick, which is why I was just firing it with house money.  

    Tell myself "OK, cash out when it gets down to 200 and lock up the extra 100", then when I get there think "meh, you're playing to get a big hit, you're only in for 100, cash out at 100", get to 100 and think "meh, you're up for the trip, this is house money, we're trying for a big hit, just play it out".

    Couple deals later get dealt Ac Kc Qc Jc 5c. Obviously have to pitch the 5c and throw away the guaranteed $25. I've had a made flush with 4 to a royal maybe 7 or 8 times lifetime, and I always brick with like a 4d, instead of at least redrawing a flush or straight or even a pair.

    I didn't pause that long honestly, just kind of expected a brick, hit draw, and instead of hearing the boooop booop booop of adding credits it just locks up, and I simultaneously take in the ROYAL FLUSH header, the beautiful 10c, and the CALL ATTENDANT JACKPOT $4000, and am just shocked. 

    Took like 30 minutes to get paid, and while I waited some random dude sat down and started talking to me and of course it ended up with a sob story and him needing some money. I let him down easy but should have said "You think THAT's bad?? OK, so I open pocket nines in early position....."

    • Like 5
    • Haha 1
  10. On 9/3/2018 at 8:26 AM, TXSooner518 said:

     


    Playing not to lose instead of playing to win isn't "playing the percentages" nor is it winning football.

    I will grant you Tom Landry never went for 2, but that was less a strategic decision and more that he stopped coaching in 1988 and the NFL added the 2pc in 1994.

     

    Bears "played the percentages" and "took the points" last night and got f'd in the a. Results notwithstanding, CLEARLY better to take two shots at 1 yard to win the game, rather than attempt a FG which guarantees Aaron Rodgers has a chance to beat you. 

    Both CLE and PIT hurt their win equity also by going gutless and settling for 40+ yard FGs in a rainstorm instead of trying to get closer.

    Try to WIN THE GAME FOR YOURSELF instead of playing scared and risk-averse and gutless.

  11. Wash St -34.5 at home vs. San Jose State who lost 44-38 to UC Davis last week.  Like -34.5.
    Also, the O/U is only 65.5. IMO, WSU might get 63 pretty easily and SJSU will get some garbage points. The Over looks great. 


    Damn that over does look good. What am I missing?
  12. Flopping too many sets, IMO.
     


    I flopped another one in my 40 or so minutes. On bullet two had 88 on 865 and I check raised. AQ guy gave me the stink eye and he folded. Too bad he didn't jam AQ or AK there and be literally drawing dead instead of later when he was only basically drawing dead.
  13. 3 minutes ago, Rip76 said:

    Wow LSU at 11??

    I mean, where should they be?  Everyone hates that the preseason polls lock a team in place, then when they make adjustments based on the game, people don't like that either.  LSU obliterated Miami and made them look stupid.  They went 6-2 down the stretch last year, only losing close games to Bama and ND (this one on a late-game 55y TD). 

    • Like 1
  14. 8 minutes ago, Loco said:

    Still ranked behind the UW team they beat, but sec sec...etc

    What?  Auburn edged UW, and Auburn is ahead of UW.  LSU annihilated Miami, and they are well ahead of them. 

    The poll looks pretty good I would say. The SEC had the most impressive weekend. They annihilated 3 power 5 teams, all on neutral fields. The poll didn't overreact to it. If Texas had been ranked and then wafflecrushed a top 10 team like LSU did, and didn't jump into the top 10, everyone would whine about not getting respect and "If we had been SECSECSEC we would be top 5!" and yet there LSU is still outside the top 10.

    • Like 2
  15. Yeah, 30 seems like a lot. I think that may be somewhat of an overreaction to Week 1 games. I would take UCLA and the points, see it as something like a 45-20 type game that could be something like 35-14 if the weather is a slog, as some projections for Hurricane Gordon involve significant wind and rain in Oklahoma on Saturday.  

  16. Last few tourneys I played, I have lost AT to AQ all in on AJT5 for 70% of the chips 4 handed, lost QQ to 98s all in pre when he jammed over my 3 bet with zero fold equity, and two weeks ago, I had a ridiculous cash game trip of run bad that was just constant and relentless. That all pales to what just happened to me this weekend at the Winstar River main.

    I have had a lot of success in this tourney, finishing 28th in 2008, 1st in 2011, 11th in 2013, and 32nd in 2015 after running KK into AA as a top 4 stack into one of the 3 that covered me. I love the tourney, and look forward to it every year. My favorite activity in life is playing poker tournaments, although the last 4 years have been unmitigated disasters. I don't get to play nearly as much as I would like to.

    So I sit down with 25k chips at 50/100 and fold for 25 minutes straight. Literally saw one flop, defending T9 from the BB to a small raise and 2 calls. I then raise KdQs UTG and get 2 calls. KT7ss, I bet one call. Turn Q, I bet, he calls. River 8s. I lead small, he calls, he has KQ also.

    Next hand, a good and aggressive player with lots of results who just sat down opens CO to 300, I defend 22 from BB. 723r, I ck call 400. Turn 3 flush draw, I ck he 700, I 2300, he call. River J, I 4800 he jams. Against most of the field I would actually fold, because they just don't have worse. Here, he could maybe jam A3 for value, and could jam missed 45 and missed flush. I tank for 90 seconds, call, and get shown JJ.

    Re-enter, and very soon I defend 88 to a raise and call.  865, I check-raise, and the raiser who bet the flop grumblefolds. Next orbit, I open 99 UTG, 2 calls, same guy 3bets to 2100, we all call, so 8400 in the pot.  J97r.  All check to him, he 3200, I 7600, he 18k, I jam, he tanks and asks how much.  It's 4500 more to him into a pot of over 40k. He finally calls and shows AQdd (no diamond on flop).  Turn T, river K.  I had envisioned before the tourney getting a quick double up, and it's funny that I always picture my opponent drawing stone dead in those spots, because if they aren't stone dead, I know what will happen. I knew when he tabled his hand what was going to happen. I knew it.

    If he just folds to my raise, I'm sitting with a nice solid 35k stack and going great. As played, I'm 97% to have an awesome 55k stack, which insulates me against coolers and positions me to play fearless, situationally aggressive poker. It would have kind of cancelled out the boat over boat cooler, as I'm in for two buyins, but hey, I have 2+ starting stacks now too.

    I then get to go check in to my nonrefundable hotel room that I don't even need anymore.

    So two buyins gone in 45 minutes of play. Not only the brutality of the losses, but I don't even get to sit and enjoy the activity of playing before getting buttfucked.  Lose as 95% in hand one, 97% in hand two. About 750-1 for both of them to get there (sure I also lose to a river 3 in hand one, but I just check-fold, as my hand would be worthless). But the parlay is WAY worse than that, because not only do they have to hit, the guy with AQ has to also decide first of all just to spaz out completely at 75/150 for 23k chips. AND, he has to make it 18k over my 7600, instead of going something like 14.5 and then he can fold when I jam.  Although, even with 40k in the pot and only having to call 4500, he STILL wasn't getting the right odds if he saw my hand.

    And blah blah it will all even out. Yep, the next 32 times someone decides to put in 150 BB on the flop with no pair no draw, drawing all but dead, in a fucking $2500 main event, I should win!  Except, for many reasons, that will almost surely never happen again in my life.

     

     

    • Like 1
  17. I don't think it was football smart to pass up 2 close FG opportunities against USC last year.
    I don't think it was football smart to pass on the extra point at the end of the first half against MY.
    Other examples exist from last year as well.
    It's about scoring points.
    I guess we can agree to disagree.


    Nah it's about winning games. Or to put it in a "scoring points" mindset, say you are 90% to hit the FG and 40% to get the TD, which scores more points? It's easy to do one or both of being risk-averse or results-oriented (gambles that work are smart, those that fail are stupid).
  18. Will you offer the tickets for free and provide a $50 travel credit?  
     
     
    I'd probably still pass, but just wondering.


    Sure! Just PM me your name, addy, credit card number, exp date, and the code on the back and I will arrange for it to post to your account.
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