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Reynolds Woodcock

Burnt Ends
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Posts posted by Reynolds Woodcock

  1. 1 minute ago, Longhornmaniac8 said:

    If true, this is real bad news for Biden in Georgia. He was running up the score in DeKalb.

    To me, our current likely reality is: (1) WI/MI areĀ definite wins for Biden, andĀ NC is very likely a win for Trump; (2)Ā GA is looking like a very close win for Trump, and Nevada is looking like a very close win for Biden (although both still technically open); (3) Biden is the favorite in AZ, but Trump has aĀ shot and we'll know way more at 9:00 ET and 12:30 ET when new results are announced; and (4) PA is shrug emoji.Ā 

  2. 2 minutes ago, Snake Diggity said:

    Trumps current plan:

    Stall concession by demanding recountsĀ in WI and MI

    Dig for votes in AZ andĀ NV

    Finish ahead in GAĀ and NC

    All out blitz on PA

    In the end, get EV from NC, GA, AZ, PA, and WIĀ 

    Ā 

    Replace WI with NV and you are right. He isn’t winning WI or MI. Trump’s legitimate (not fuckery) path to victory is toĀ hold on to NC and GA today,Ā pray that he holds on toĀ PA this week,Ā and somehowĀ squeakĀ out oneĀ of NV or AZ. AZ seems very unlikely.Ā Data suggests that Biden has the advantage in NV, but it’s going to be close.

    Biden is obviously the favorite, but Trump has a needle to thread.

  3. 20 minutes ago, Anastasis said:

    Where are we at with the calls on the Senate?Ā  Looks like either 51 or 52 seat GOP chamber?Ā 

    I’m having difficulty finding reliable reporting, but it seems like there is still a chance for an Ossof run off andĀ a Maine ranked choice, both hinging on whether the Republican falls below 50%. If Republicans sweep those plus the Loeffler runoff, it would be 52-48.

  4. 52 minutes ago, Dr. Beeper said:

    It’s unbelievable how much this is true. I feel like I don’t really have a political party, and unlike you I’m not gonna waste my time voting. I haven’t voted since ā€˜12.Ā 

    Trump is going to be obliterated today, and unlike Hilary, this motherfucker will likely not concede and fight/litigateĀ this thing out, leaving markets in limbo.Ā 

    I’mĀ actually really refreshed at the prospect of a Biden presidency precisely because it’s not Trump. When he’s elected, with all uncertainty off the table, markets are going to soar. I am scared as shit about my taxes.Ā 

    I would respectfully suggest that voting in Texas in 2020 is not wasting your vote, and to the contrary is more important than in any other election in my life time and I assume yours as well. There is a very real chance Texas could be decided by a few thousand votes later this evening, and that could be the difference between a lengthy, ugly court battle and a decisive election night victory.Ā  Paying more in taxes will suck; I get it.Ā Ā But I would encourage you to at least cast a vote to remove this bloviating imbecile, particularly if you are refreshed at the prospect of a Biden presidency precisely because it's not Trump. God knows 2024 isn't that far away, and there will be plenty of time to debate tax and economic policy over the next four years once the existential threat to democracy and decency is removed from office.Ā Ā 

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  5. One candidateĀ is a decent human being. One candidateĀ is a walking, talking piece of human garbage who is a liar, a coward and a bigot.Ā  Most election decisions aren't black and white, but this one should be for those reasons alone.Ā  Unlike Enchubben my taxes will actually go up if Biden wins, and it will be worth every fucking penny to know that piece of shit is out of office.Ā 

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  6. My final guess is a Biden presidency and, sadly, 51-49 R senate. I’d love nothing more than to be wrong, but I have no faith in pulling two new senators from Georgia, North Carolina, Maine, Iowa andĀ Montana.

  7. Run at 6Ā am

    Work fromĀ 8-7 or so and desperately try to avoid Twitter.

    Wife and I will head to our friends’ place at 8Ā and crack open the first bottle of Grand Cru. John’s of Bleeker Street pre-ordered for 8:30. Hopefully popping Dom before 3:00am.

  8. 10 minutes ago, Valmy77 said:

    I do wonder if in that alternative universe where Clinton won in 2016 are all those judiciary appointments still being held up by Mitch McConnell?

    You don't have to wonder. The answer is undeniably yes.Ā  Mitch McConnell has made it crystal clear that only one thingĀ matters in modern politics, and that is power. No norms, no precedents, just power.Ā  As a result,Ā  if the Democrats win they should exercise every ounce of constitutional power to further their constituents' interests, gnashing of teeth on Fox News be damned.Ā  That includes endingĀ the filibuster, expanding the HOR, pushing for statehood for DC and PR, and expanding the SCOTUS to 13.Ā 

    Of course, I doubt thatĀ Biden, Schumer and Pelosi are the triumvirateĀ to effectivelyĀ maximize that power, but that is a conversation I very much hope to have starting on Wednesday.Ā Ā Ā Ā Ā 

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