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Serak The Preparer

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Posts posted by Serak The Preparer

  1. On 5/7/2020 at 9:39 PM, Vito Andolini said:

    Mizzou415 is still here, just goes by a different handle. He can identify himself if he wishes, I always get a kick out of his protective attitude toward competitive reality show ethics. He must be in the business. Maybe he’s Jeff Probst. 

    I thought it was common knowledge that he posts as @closetojumping.

    • Like 1
  2. 16 minutes ago, Wulaw Horn said:

    He literally said “they won’t be attending higher education in the state of Texas for their entire life”. I’m not putting words in his mouth. That’s what he said he was responsible for bringing about. 

    You brought up people in jail. That was exactly where I went with my philosophical question- as to when and how we deal with rehabilitation in this world 

    I absolutely think we need to leave the door open to that possibility. People change sometimes. 

    Sorry to quote you twice, hit post on auto-pilot, but 100% agree that you that we (as society) should discuss rehabilitation. I am sure that @TwiceHorn would agree given other posts he has made, that we as a sociry view punishment as be-all and end-all of justice.

    That being said, I do find it noticeable that conversation on rehabilitation seems to arise more regarding white youth than non-white youth. Maybe it's just my perception, I don't have any data on that.

    • Like 3
  3. 11 minutes ago, Wulaw Horn said:

    He literally said “they won’t be attending higher education in the state of Texas for their entire life”. I’m not putting words in his mouth. That’s what he said he was responsible for bringing about. 

    You brought up people in jail. That was exactly where I went with my philosophical question- as to when and how we deal with rehabilitation in this world 

    I absolutely think we need to leave the door open to that possibility. People change sometimes. 

    Hmm, maybe I have a poorer view of Lobo's power than he does (or than you do), but I read that as saying any school in Texas will look these people up (by themselves) and deny admission, not that Lobo has power over all of Texas education system.

  4. 2 minutes ago, Wulaw Horn said:

    You are literally unhinged. That has nothing to do with this video. 

    Ah, I will say I missed Lobo's response of "They fucked up and now it's time to pay.  And pay dearly.  For decades." when I posted previous reply. Still not sure I would call this his life's mission, but less of an exaggeration that I initially thought.

  5. 2 hours ago, Wulaw Horn said:

    I totally get what you are saying. I really do, and one of the worst things (not political) about the last 3 years to me is the rise of the racist/sexist/bigots (I say this as a republican/libertarianish voter) in this country that fee empowered to spread their filth. 

    Mall that said, I believe growth and maturity are possible with more life experiences. That’s why I posted what I did when Lobo said that he was going to make it his life’s mission that they could never go to college in the state of Texas. 

    I’m 41 and I’m an entirely different person than I was at 17, or even 31. I’d hate for a mistake I made then to still affect my life and who I am now. That’s all I’m talking about here. 

    First, Lobo (crazy as he is, and bless him for it, for it makes Surly more interesting) certainly never said he was making it his life's mission to make sure these people never got into college in state of TX. Not sure why you like to attribute extreme statements to people.I guess it makes it easier to respond to but it doesn't make it true or accurate.

    Second, agree that it is possible to grow / mature. That being said, people suffer consequences all the time for decisions made when they were young. Should someone in jail for theft / selling drugs / even aggravated assault have the scarlet letter of jail follow around them for the rest of their lives? This isn't a case of a minor boo-boo, and I suspect that there is a higher likelihood of a random 19-year old in jail making a better place in the world than either of these buffoons. 

    The bad news is the online is forever, but the good news (I guess) is that this misbehavior will be forgotten quickly in terms of coverage. They will likely change their names and probably achieve the same outcome in life as if they had not made the video. And if this does cost one of them Senior Partner at Bain or major law firm, oh well, not going to shed much of a tear.

    • Like 1
  6. 19 minutes ago, Anastasis said:

    You are really attached to this delusion. 

    Eh, rep is serious business and all, but if someone posts an accusation that a poster likes to diddle kids, and then adds "man it's a great day outside", I'm probably going to look askance at any poster who pos reps because they like great days.

  7. Come on man, don't be CTJ/Slorch. There is a middle ground. Life is not either business as usual or "life would stop". People don't either think AMERICA NUMBER 1 FUCK YEAH or OMG FUCK AMERICA WE SUCK.

    Life can be impacted, people not respond as usual. Nobody is saying we won't survive. But if there are 250k deaths (and I have not thought a lot about this number. Maybe it's lower, maybe it's higher, so please don't get hung up on that, it's just the number that I think was referenced). The point of that tweet was that people aren't going to respond with business as usual, and I think it's correct. We can discuss magnitude of effect, but you dismissing based on equivalent number of deaths from other causes shows lack of critical thinking. How deaths occur matters.

    • Like 3
    • Fuck You 1
  8. 7 hours ago, Wulaw Horn said:

    I"m not making a value judgement about whether or not we should or should not shrug off preventable deaths, what I'm saying is that its demonstrative fact that we, collectively, as a society, do exactly this. If we didn't then we'd all be basket cases and totally and completely be unable to get anything accomplished. The world is a nasty, awful terrible place full of all manner of death and depravity, and if you could feel the weight of that every day it would crush you physically, mentally and spiritually.  So, we shrink the world down to people in our social circle that we care a lot about and another social circle that we care a little about and then everyone else that we do little more than pay lip service to, or that we emote with if it somehow gets brought into our circle. It's like watching the ripples in a pond after you drop a rock in there- it's just how we are wired.

    And that doesn't mean we shouldn't try to prevent all sorts of bad shit wherever we can. I'm not arguing against that. I'm arguing against the idea that we can't/won't collectively shrug this off and get on with our life b/c the world does keep on spinning. It just is. And that tweet got that wrong. Not in a moral sense but in an  absolute sense. 

    You've spent a lot of time talk about the number of deaths, and the significance of this number.

    Let's say tomorrow that 250k die in a bombing somewhere. Or even smaller scale, a series of mass shootings. Something potentially repeatable and difficult to stop.

    Do you really think that Americans would gloss over this and respond with business as usual? This is fundamentally different that car accidents or other stupid fucking analogies; it's not just the number, it's the idea of repeatable, out-of-control incidents that are not already embedded in daily living.

    • Like 2
  9. Trump is fucking moron but these reporters are even bigger morons. Stop trying to ask a series of questions, leading with a stupid one. Trunp will seize on this. We see this time and time again. Christ, learn from the last three years!

  10. 17 minutes ago, closetojumping said:

     

    Q4/Q4% isn't quarter over quarter. Only being off from same period, year prior, by 6.9% looks like a rosy outlook. 2020 looks like is a lost year. We're all trying to predict a future after a global black swan with no precedent. Maybe the Q3/Q4 percentages are validated, but I don't see the YOY ratio for Q4 being close. I guess it starts with how far things go for Q2.

    Major segments of the economy aren't just in a lull, they've disappeared, and some permanently:

    -Sports is a top 10, maybe top 5, industry in the US. When does it return? Hint: probably not at all in 2020. Poof, gone. I'm not just talking large gatherings and the pro sports. Little League has been canceled. Pop Warner is in jeopardy. Most golf courses are closed. 

    -Restaurants, hotels, casinos, tourist attractions (when does Carlsbad Caverns open back up to large groups of people crowding together in cold, damp, dark places?), tourist cities (Vegas and NYC going to be booming by Q4 ahead of a vaccine?) amusement parks, movies, filming tv and movies, airlines, rental cars - these things are all fragile shells of themselves or gone for the time being. There's probably 20-30 other types of businesses that can be flatly lumped into this. It all sucks, but I don't feel like it's hyperbole.

    -Energy - right

    -Car manufacturing and sales - not good, Bob. How about boats, hoes and planes? 

    -Healthcare - you yourself have highlighted the mass peril and the absolute need for a bailout just to see it survive.

    40% fall off from the prior quarter looks rosy, as insane as that is to type. Things hummed as normal in the US until basically the week of March 6, when SXSW was canceled that Friday. The dominos fell from that week forward. 40% worse for Q2 presumes that we're all back at it at some point in May, picking up where we left off. Q1 had the luxury of running as planned for 70% of the cycle. Q2 won't have that for a single day. 

     

    You are vastly overstating impact of sports, which isn't surprising given the nature of this site (not meant as a dig at you, more that sports is what drew most of us here). Yes, sports is in the shitter, but you can get data directly from the Bureau of Economic Activity at Dept of Commerce that includes things like economic output by industry. The category of "Performing arts, spectator sports, museums, and related activities, which is ~$210B in output, accounts for less than 1% of private industry, let along if you include Govt.

    Banking, Insurance, Real Estate, Manufacturing, Professional Services, Retail, Wholesale, Information, and Healthcare are what move the needle, and all of those have numerous subcomponents that outweigh sports. There are still some big losers in there to be sure, but grocery is doing ok. Most professional services are still doing ok. If you  bring public sector back in, that is increasing spending. When you take full view, a 40% decrease Q/Q is still really bad, but it's not like all economic activity is completely stopping.

    • Like 1
  11. 1 hour ago, Hagbard Celine said:

    IaaS (Infrastructure as a Service), SaaS (Software), PaaS (Platform) and several other acronyms are all Cloud.  Hosting and applications are not the same thing.

    AWS and Azure are not the only hosting players not mentioning GCS is criminal.  SNOW and Atlassian are 2 totally different things.  SNOW is a Service Management platform.  Adobe, Salesforce and Workday don't make apps.  They are systems of record, just like Oracle, SAP, Oracle/NetSuite and Microsoft Dynamics 365.  Splunk is big data, not DevOps.

    In short, whoever wrote that knows fuckall about the IT industry in my opinion.

    You have some non-orthodox opinions. When mentioning IaaS, it is ok to to only talk about Azure and AWS. Yes GCP exists but it is a distant 3rd. There are use cases where GCP is superior but there is a reason why they are pushing containers and talk about enabling multicloud where AWS and Azure don't.

    When talking about SNOW, I think you are talking about Snowflake? If so, totally agree that they are a company to watch and enable a lot of backend services through data warehousing, but would not call them a service platform.

    Saying Splunk is big data and not DevOps is a weird statement. It's not either/or. Splunk has security in it's DNA but is a major player in AIOps, with goal of zero-touch IT Management.

    And finally, dissing the author for calling Workday, Adobe, and SFDC for calling them application vendors just seems, well, odd. That is that they are. They sell applications. Every research house on the planet will call them application vendors.

    I am not saying you are wrong on any of these things as terms certainly get stretched by vendors, users, and research firms, but you are the one on edge of industry thinking in this case.

    • Like 2
  12.  

    4 hours ago, RayDog said:

    Does having sex with 5 or 6 different women a week make me immunologically naive or a super spreader?

     

    4 hours ago, Goredho said:

    It makes you a goddamn American hero.

     

    2 hours ago, MissingInAction said:

    It makes you my hero.

    Ray, you forgot "paying girlfriends hookers to have sex with 5 or 6 different women a week". I have nothing against your lifestyle, but it does make me laugh when you talk about your girlfriends. Anyone on this thread could do the exact same thing, especially if they left family / friends to move to another country solely to exploit currency exchange. Vic is more of a hero, at least he earns it by paying attention to those who are "glandularly challenged". 

  13. On 2/25/2020 at 10:56 AM, TrashMaster G said:

    Nope, not done.  The g in gif should be pronounced the same as the g in graphics.  Doing it differently is just stupid.

    Do you pronounce Scuba with the soft U of "Underwater?? What about NASA? Do you say "A" as in "Aeronautics?

  14. 5 hours ago, FondrenRoad said:

    If anything, Trump is Joffrey, incompetent and irrational, but nonetheless thrust into leadership.  This time with no Tywin around to guide him.  If there is a Littlefinger, its Miller machinating in the background, but he is really probably more of a Varis.  What the Trump family really needs is a Tyrion.

    frustrated the wire GIF

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