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Fud

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Everything posted by Fud

  1. A couple of notes from Tice's podcast.. The Houston offense is: 25th in success rate 17th in EPA per play 26th in EPA/rush on 1st and 2nd down 30th in success rate on 1st and 2nd down Going into the NE game, they had a bottom five run game success rate since 2012 (presumably the NE game was a bit better) 43% success rate on 3rd and 4th down (that's really good) because Stroud is doing yeoman's work dragging this offense forward, and right now should be MVP. Pressure rate is top half of the league because Stroud is good at getting the ball out early before pressure gets there
  2. Fud

    2025 NFL Draft

    Updated #1 overall pick odds per DVOA 1) New England 24.2% 2) Carolina 20.1% 3) Cleveland 18.1% 4) Jacksonville 9.7% 5) Las Vegas 8.8% 6) Tennessee 7.1%
  3. Fud

    2025 NFL Draft

    I understand all of this, and I think Watson having the worst QB'ing season in decades will lead to Haslam blessing it
  4. Fud

    2025 NFL Draft

    I could any of Cleveland, Carolina, Las Vegas, Tennessee, and NYG taking one at 1.1, and I could see LAR and Miami taking one in the top ten as QBs to groom
  5. Fud

    2025 NFL Draft

    I agree with the recency bias on QBs I think Carolina views Young as sunk cost and wouldn't be surprised if they look to trade him away for whatever they can get. Cleveland might have to move on from Watson as the starter regardless of the contract, he's been playing historically bad Shedeur has been playing better recently. I think the top six QBs can go in pretty much any order, so I'm not going to quibble with how they're ranked at this point in the draft
  6. Houston is #2 in defensive DVOA
  7. Fud

    2025 NFL Draft

    1) Cleveland- Shedeur Sanders 2) New England- Travis Hunter 3) Carolina- Abdul Carter 4) Trade- Las Vegas- Cam Ward 5) Tennessee- James Pearce Jr 6) LA Rams- Will Johnson 7) Jacksonville- Will Campbell '8) Cincinnati- Mason Gram 9) NY Jets- Nic Scourton 10) NY Giants- Carson Beck 11) Trade- Miami- Kelvin Banks Jr 12) New Orleans- Tetairoa McMillan 13) Arizona- Mykel Williams 14) Trade- Indianapolis- Malaki Starks 15) Dallas- Ashton Jeanty 16) Denver- Luther Burden 17) Philadelphia- Jalon Walker 18) Chicago- Jonah Savaiinaea 19) San Francisco- Shemar Stewart 20) Trade- Seattle- Cam Williams 21) LA Chargers- Deone Walker 22) Washington- Benjamin Morrison 23) Buffalo- Kenneth Grant 24) Green Bay- Tacario Davis 25) Pittsburgh- Isaiah Bond 26) Atlanta- Landon Jackson 27) Baltimore- Aireontae Ersery 28) Tampa Bay- Colston Loveland 29) Detroit- Jack Sawyer 30) Houston- Walter Nolen 31) Kansas City- Emeka Egbuka 32) Minnesota- Derrick Harmon
  8. My review from when I watched it "Skinamarink- I checked out of this movie almost immediately. This has a cult following, but I can’t recommend this low budget avant garde horror movie, although I tip my cap to the notoriety/hype it received for such a small and experimental movie"
  9. Does anyone have Georgia's PFF grades for the season?
  10. Autry is now eligible to play. Demeco said Harris isn't back yet
  11. This seems like harsh grading for a guy's first start his rookie season
  12. Fud

    2025 NFL Draft

    He’s a 6th-UDFA He’s not a thing
  13. Autry is back
  14. It's not being chicken little to say that this game might be a little tougher than you'd expect with a 7 point spread Houston is just fine against rush. #21 in EPA per rush, primarily because their DTs are just ok against it and because they'll stay in nickel against heavier personnel
  15. I think New England will be extremely run heavy out of 12 personnel. The Texans stay in nickel against that, and NE has two good two-way TEs plus a QB who can move the chains with his legs in Maye. Houston should win a 0-net turnover game, but if they lose the turnover battle in a low possession game (because NE is moving the chains), then it could get a little dicey, especially if Houston has a lot of players out
  16. Lassiter is most likely out for the game This feels like a very tricky game
  17. Whoa, BS just said they’re doing a Hereditary rewatchables
  18. An interesting double feature if you’ve seen neither.. A Dark Song, and then Anything for Jackson
  19. I just did one movie per franchise to make the list more interesting
  20. Vecenie's updated mock. He said on his pod that Ace Bailey's upside is similar to Flagg's, but his floor isn't; has concerns about his shot selection (too many mid range jumpers and not enough at the rim or at three) and his functional ball handling, and if those issues aren't cleaned up he might be a thicker Brandon Ingram. He likes the three guards at 3-5 in the mock but they're a clear step below the first two. He sees 6-20 in this draft as relatively weak, and there's not a lot of separation in that group. 1. Brooklyn Nets Cooper Flagg | 6-8 forward | 18 years old | Duke 2. Washington Wizards Ace Bailey | 6-9 wing/forward | 18 years old | Rutgers 3. Portland Trail Blazers Dylan Harper | 6-5 guard | 19 years old | Rutgers 4. Detroit Pistons V.J. Edgecombe | 6-3 guard | 19 years old | Baylor 5. Chicago Bulls Nolan Traoré | 6-3 guard | 19 years old | Saint-Quentin 6. Utah Jazz Kasparas Jakucionis | 6-5 guard | 19 years old | Illinois 7. Charlotte Hornets Asa Newell | 6-9 forward/big | 19 years old | Georgia 8. Toronto Raptors Ben Saraf | 6-6 wing | 19 years old | Ratiopharm Ulm 9. San Antonio Spurs (via ATL) Kon Knueppel | 6-5 guard | 19 years old | Duke 10. San Antonio Spurs Liam McNeeley | 6-6 wing | 19 years old | Connecticut 11. LA Clippers Collin Murray-Boyles | 6-7 wing/forward | 20 years old | South Carolina 12. Golden State Warriors Donnie Freeman | 6-8 forward | 19 years old | Syracuse 13. Oklahoma City Thunder (via HOU) Drake Powell | 6-6 wing | 19 years old | North Carolina 14. Atlanta Hawks (via LAL) Jalil Bethea | 6-3 guard | 19 years old | Miami (Fla.) 15. Oklahoma City Thunder (via MIA) Dink Pate | 6-6 guard | 19 years old | Mexico City Capitanes 16. New Orleans Pelicans Hugo González | 6-6 wing/forward | 19 years old | Real Madrid 17. Houston Rockets (via PHX) Motiejus Krivas | 7-2 big | 20 years old | Arizona 18. Indiana Pacers Hunter Sallis | 6-5 guard | 22 years old | Wake Forest 19. Sacramento Kings Alex Karaban | 6-8 wing | 22 years old | Connecticut 20. Orlando Magic Khaman Maluach | 7-1 big | 18 years old | Duke 21. Memphis Grizzlies Tre Johnson | 6-5 wing | 19 years old | Texas 22. Utah Jazz (via CLE) Rocco Zikarsky | 7-3 big | 18 years old | Brisbane Bullets 23. Dallas Mavericks Egor Demin | 6-8 guard | 19 years old | BYU 24. Brooklyn Nets (via MIL) Alex Toohey | 6-8 wing | 21 years old | Sydney Kings 25. Orlando Magic (via DEN) Kwame Evans Jr. | 6-8 wing/forward | 20 years old | Oregon 26. Oklahoma City Thunder (via PHI) Jaland Lowe | 6-2 guard | 20 years old | Pittsburgh 27. Utah Jazz (via MIN) Noa Essengue | 6-9 forward | 18 years old | Ratiopharm Ulm 28. Brooklyn Nets (via NYK) Michael Ruzic | 6-10 forward | 18 years old | Joventut 29. Brooklyn Nets (via OKC) Ian Jackson | 6-4 guard | 20 years old | North Carolina 30. Boston Celtics Kam Jones | 6-4 wing | 23 years old | Marquette
  21. If any of you are on Letterboxd, I need at least one like on this list to get it into the "recently liked lists" page
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